BNY Retracement Presents Potential Buying OpportunityThe Bank of New York Mellon (BNY) presents a potential buying opportunity following a recent retracement. The stock remains in an uptrend, characterized by higher highs and higher lows, while continuing to trade above both the 20- and 50-day moving averages. This technical structure supports the broader bullish trend and makes the current pullback worth monitoring for renewed buying interest.
The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation is a $108 billion market cap financial services holding company. It operates through four segments: Securities Services, Market and Wealth Services, Investment and Wealth Management, and Other. The Securities Services segment includes asset servicing businesses that provide global custody, fund accounting, integrated middle-office solutions, transfer agency, and data and analytics solutions. The Market and Wealth Services segment includes Pershing, Clearance and Collateral Management, and Treasury Services. The Investment and Wealth Management segment provides services to institutional and retail investors, including investment management, wealth management, and estate planning. The Other segment includes leasing activities, corporate treasury operations, derivatives, and other trading activities.
BNY is a wide economic moat company that has consistently grown year-over-year revenue and EPS over the last three quarters. The company has an operating margin of 39% and a net margin of 31%, while ROE and ROIC stand at 14% and 8%, respectively. Its current ratio is 1.6x, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.0x.
Revenue and EPS are forecast to continue growing consistently over the next three quarters, providing further fundamental support. The average analyst price target is approximately $170, representing about 7% upside potential from the current price. 
Long
Short
AVGO Presents Buying Opportunity After Technical RetracementBroadcom (AVGO) presents a potential buying opportunity following a technical retracement, with the stock showing signs of renewed interest. The stock continues to trade above both the 20- and 50-day moving averages, supporting the broader bullish trend and making the current setup worth monitoring for a potential entry.
Broadcom Inc. is a $2 trillion market cap global technology company that designs, develops, and supplies semiconductors and infrastructure software solutions. The company operates through two segments: Semiconductor Solutions and Infrastructure Software. The Semiconductor Solutions segment includes a broad range of product lines and intellectual property licensing, while the Infrastructure Software segment provides mainframe, distributed and cybersecurity solutions, as well as Fibre Channel storage area networking products.
AVGO is a wide economic moat company that has delivered consistent and significant revenue and EPS growth over the last three quarters. The company has an operating margin of 49% and a net margin of 42%, while ROE and ROIC stand at 37% and 21%, respectively. Its current ratio is 2.2x, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.7x, indicating a solid balance sheet and manageable leverage.
Revenue and EPS are forecast to continue growing over the next three quarters, providing further fundamental support for the stock. The average analyst price target is approximately $529, representing about 25% upside potential from the current price. 
Long
BTC | Supply Overhead, Sell-Side Liquidity Below
By analyzing the #BTC (Bitcoin) chart across the 1H and 15m timeframes, we can see a market that has just changed hands. The hourly trend was constructive for days, and that has now broken. What follows is a structure with clearly defined supply above and resting liquidity below, and the sequence between them is what matters.
1H Timeframe
The hourly had been in a clean uptrend, printing a series of bullish BOS as buyers repeatedly took out the highs above them. That sequence has ended. Price printed a bearish CHoCH , and it was confirmed shortly after by a bearish BOS โ sellers now set the terms on this timeframe.
The move down left behind two distinct pockets of unmitigated supply. The lower one sits between $63,611.14 and $63,710.18 , where an inverted FVG and an order block occupy the same band. When two mechanisms overlap on the same prices, that region carries more weight than either would alone. Above it, a second supply pocket sits between $63,869.73 and $64,051.29 .
Beneath price, the picture is equally clean. The 1H Order Block ($62,450.25 โ $62,802.37) is the demand that has not been revisited, and directly underneath it rests sell-side liquidity at $62,450.25 and again at $62,296.19 . That liquidity is what gives the order block its magnetic quality โ price is not simply falling toward support, it is falling toward stops.
Price is currently trading around $63,373.07 , beneath both supply pockets and above the order block.
15m Timeframe
The lower timeframe repeats the same message with more precision. Price printed successive CHoCHs on the way down, confirmed by a bearish BOS, and left its own unmitigated zones behind.
The 15m inverted FVG sits between $63,974.27 and $64,045.79 , and a second area of interest sits between $63,644.15 and $63,710.18 .
The detail worth noting is the overlap. The 15m zone at $63,644.15 โ $63,710.18 shares its upper boundary exactly with the hourly cluster at $63,710.18 , and the 15m inverted FVG at $63,974.27 โ $64,045.79 falls inside the hourly supply pocket at $63,869.73 โ $64,051.29 . Both timeframes are pointing at the same two regions independently.
The Bias
Scenario A โ the base case.
The structure suggests a corrective move higher into one of the two supply regions before the next leg down. Either the lower cluster at $63,611.14 โ $63,710.18 or the upper pocket at $63,869.73 โ $64,051.29 is a reasonable place for that retrace to end, and the timeframe overlap makes both credible.
From a rejection at either region, the draw is toward the 1H Order Block at $62,450.25 โ $62,802.37 , with the sell-side liquidity resting immediately beneath it acting as the reason price is being pulled there in the first place.
Scenario B โ continuation beneath the order block.
If the order block does not hold and price closes decisively below $62,450.25 , the structure opens toward the deeper sell-side liquidity at $62,296.19 . That would represent the demand failing rather than absorbing, and it changes the character of the move from a correction into something heavier.
The invalidation.
This bearish read depends on supply holding. A decisive close above $64,051.29 would mean both pockets have been absorbed rather than respected, which removes the basis for the sequence described above and puts the structure back in the buyers' hands.
The rule that governs all of it is unchanged: a break is a candle close, not a wick . These zones are exactly where a spike through and an immediate reversal is most likely, in either direction.
Fundamental Backdrop
The macro backdrop lines up with the technical read more closely than usual right now.
Bitcoin opened Tuesday at $63,912.50 , down roughly 1.4% from Monday's open, traded up toward $64,282 in the morning session, and has drifted lower since. That intraday fade is the bearish shift visible on the hourly chart.
The most significant development is corporate rather than macro. Strategy sold 1,690 BTC for approximately $108.6 million , using the proceeds to repurchase preferred stock. The company has now sold roughly $432 million of bitcoin during 2026 and has not made a purchase for seven consecutive weeks . For a market that spent years treating this buyer as a structural bid, a shift from accumulation to distribution is a meaningful change in the supply picture, and it deserves more weight than a single headline usually would.
Regulatory progress has also stalled. The Senate has pushed the CLARITY Act to the autumn, removing a catalyst that parts of the market had been positioning for.
The balance to note is context. Bitcoin remains well below its all-time high of $128,198.07 set in October 2025 and is trading roughly $54,500 lower than a year ago, which means a great deal of downside has already been priced rather than lying ahead.
The binary risk sits directly in front of us: inflation data is due this week. That release is the most likely catalyst to either drive price into the order block below or force the reclaim of supply above, so the resolution of this structure will probably be decided by macro rather than by price action alone.
This analysis will be updated as the market evolves.
Best Regards, BigBeluga 
Short
XAUUSD Channel Down tests Resistance Cluster. Rejection to 3800?Gold (XAUUSD) enjoyed a strong 3-day rally that made it hit on Friday its 1W MA50 (black trend-line) for the first time since June 18. That happens to be right at the top of its 4-month Channel Down with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) marginally above it.
That has been intact since April 24 and along with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is above but not far from the Channel Down, form the market's long-term Resistance level. As a result, if rejected here (highly probable), we expect the market to start the final Bearish Leg towards a 1W MA100 (red trend-line) test for the first time in years at $3800, which has been our long-term Target since the beginning of this Bear Cycle. Notice also the 1D RSI, which is less than 4 points from getting overbought.
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Short
GOLD New Range Detected , Buy&Sell Areas Cleared , 2000 Pips !Here Is My 15 Mins Gold Chart And This Is My Opinion , we have a new range created after this huge movement to upside last week , it was a very strong movement and the price reached the highest res that reached last month and now the price a little slow before taking the new direction , so we should spot our area carefully , so the price new range now cleared , the price now very near a good area for sell @ 4340.00 / 4343.00 and this is a good area for sell if we check we will see that area the price closed below and then retested it for 1 time and now i`m looking for second touch and if i have a good bearish price action we can sell from it and targeting at least our buying area @ 4315.00 / 4313.00 , and if the price go higher and tried to retest the highest area @ 436500 / 4370.00 then this will be the last area for sell if we have a good bearish price action and we can targeting the buying area or at least the nearest area for sell , and if we have a closure above 4372.00 then the price will continue to upside and we can enter a buy trade when the price back to retest the broken res , about buying area as we mentioned we can buy from it if we have a good bullish price action when the price touch it and if we have a closure below it then we can sell after the price go back to retest the broken support , all entries depend on price action and we should using a decent sl in any entry .
Entry Reasons :
- Clear Range Detected
- Clear Support & Res
Long
Msft potential short term tactical tradeMSFT has now reached the upper boundary of the 505โ515 overhead supply zone I mentioned in previous posts. The original target for this swing was around 475, but stronger than expected earnings and institutional momentum extended the move beyond my initial expectation. That's why I chose to lock in my long position around 480 rather than chase the final leg.
At this stage, I'm becoming more cautious in the short term. Price is approaching a major supply area while VD is showing divergence against price and the daily RSI has reached overbought territory. At the same time, other lagging Mags are consolidating. If those names begin to recover, short term capital rotation could shift away from MSFT as institutions rebalance exposure within the group.
Trade Setup
I'm entering with a small short position around this supply zone. My initial target is 480, which aligns with the previous breakout area and offers a reasonable R/R if rejection develops.
That said, this is only my current assumption, not a prediction. My position size reflects that. If it breaks above 515 with strong participation and holds, I'll simply accept that my thesis is wrong and move on. The market always has the final say.
Bottom line
My view on the broader market remains constructive. This trade is not a bearish call on MSFT or the market as a whole. It's simply a short term tactical trade based on overhead supply, momentum divergence, and the possibility of capital rotating into other lagging Mag names. As always, I don't trade based on opinions. I trade based on confirmation. If the market proves me wrong, I'll adapt accordingly. Short 
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