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BTCUSD (Bitcoin) Setup: Selling Area Test & Bearish ContinuationBitcoin (BTCUSD, 4-hour timeframe) is pressing into a major structural Selling area resistance block near 65,000 - 65,113. Following a corrective recovery from lower lows, price action is showing early signs of rejection, setting up a potential swing short structure.
Key Technical Highlights:
Resistance Test: Price has entered the upper supply boundary near 65,113, aligning with the broader overhead selling pressure zone.
Structural Objectives:
Target 1: Mid-range support level at 64,143
Target 2 (Extended): Lower range liquidity and support objective near 63,012
Trading Plan / Setup:
Bias: Bearish (Sell / Short)
Entry Zone: Current resistance retest / supply area (~65,113)
Stop Loss (SL / Invalidation): Placed strictly above structural invalidation resistance (~65,730)
Take Profit (TP): Scaled across primary objectives at 64,143 and 63,012
Educational Disclaimer: This analysis is published for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial or investment advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Always perform your own due diligence and manage your risk accordingly before executing any trades 
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GRAM: Can Historic Support Finally Halt the Decline?A Dramatic Fall From Grace
GRAM, formerly Toncoin, has experienced a dramatic decline, falling approximately 93% in just 16 months from its June 2024 all-time high. Even after stabilising, price still remains more than 80% below that peak.
Historic Support Under Pressure
Price is once again trading just above the $1.20 support zone, an area that has repeatedly acted as both support and resistance since the asset first listed. Bulls need this level to hold if they are to avoid another leg lower.
Long-Term Trend Remains Bearish
The 10-Month EMA has consistently capped every meaningful recovery over the past year and a half, highlighting the strength of the prevailing downtrend. Until price can reclaim both the moving average and the $2.91 resistance level, sellers remain in control.
Historical Low Back in Focus
A decisive break below the $1.20 support area would leave the $0.54 all-time low as the next major downside target. Another successful defence, however, could offer bulls the opportunity to begin building a longer-term base.
In Summary
GRAM has endured a remarkable collapse from its 2024 peak and now finds itself back at one of the most significant support zones on its chart. The $1.20 area has repeatedly attracted buyers since listing, but the broader trend remains firmly bearish, with the 10-Month EMA continuing to cap rallies. Holding support is crucial, as a break lower would bring the historical low at $0.54 firmly back into view. Long 
Can Gold Build on Its Short-Term Momentum?Gold has finally broken out of the tight structure that contained price through July, with last week’s rally carrying the market back above its 50-day moving average and through the most recent descending trendline.
The short-term picture has improved quickly, but the broader correction has not disappeared. The question now is whether buyers can turn that burst of momentum into something more durable as price approaches heavier resistance overhead.
Macro catalysts finally release the pressure
For much of the year, gold has struggled with a difficult macro mix. Higher energy prices kept inflation risks alive, the Fed had little reason to sound softer and the dollar remained firm enough to keep pressure on precious metals. Last week finally loosened that combination.
The easing in Middle East tensions took some of the heat out of oil, while weaker US employment data reduced the urgency around further tightening. That mattered because gold was already sitting in a technical structure where selling pressure had been losing momentum. Once the macro backdrop stopped working against the market, the balance shifted quickly.
XAU/USD Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
What is more important than the headlines themselves is how decisively price responded. Previous rallies throughout the correction struggled to get through the 50-day moving average and failed beneath descending resistance. This time, gold moved through both with far less hesitation, suggesting the market was not simply reacting to one data point but beginning to reassess the broader policy backdrop.
That still leaves an important distinction between short-term momentum and a confirmed change in the longer-term trend. The 200-day moving average remains overhead, while the broader descending structure from the February highs is still intact. Gold has improved its position, but it has not yet cleared the levels that would force a more substantial rethink of the wider correction.
A change of character
The four-hour chart shows why the latest move deserves more attention than the previous recovery attempts.
Through July, the market repeatedly failed to build momentum away from support. Rallies stalled, sellers returned and price was pushed back into the same contracting range. That behaviour changed last week. Once the upper boundary gave way, buying became more persistent and pullbacks remained shallow, allowing price to extend without immediately giving back the breakout.
That is the key difference. Gold has moved from a market where rallies were consistently sold into one where buyers are, for now, prepared to defend higher prices. It does not confirm a new trend on its own, but it may indicate a change in short-term market behaviour compared with earlier in the year.”.
XAU/USD Four-Hour Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
If the first retracement remains controlled and buyers continue to defend above the former breakout area, confidence in the short-term shift would continue to build. A deeper move back into the old range would raise a different question, suggesting last week’s rally was driven more by short covering and a rapid adjustment in expectations than by a lasting improvement in demand.
For now, the focus is less on chasing the move and more on how gold behaves once momentum cools. The way buyers respond to the first proper pullback should provide the clearest indication of whether this short-term improvement has enough support to challenge the broader downtrend.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
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My "Monster Trade" Strategy for GOLD Trade Plan XAUUSDXAUUSD 🌍
The macro narrative heading into this week is heavily dominated by safe-haven demand and institutional accumulation 🏦. Interestingly, general online sentiment is leaning overly cautious with retail chatter anticipating an aggressive top, which tells me retail consensus is likely setting up another textbook liquidity trap right into elevated demand zones before the next major expansion.
We are observing a crisp Bullish Market Structure on the 1-Hour chart 📈, fully aligning with classical Wyckoffian Re-Accumulation logic. Price recently expanded out of a value area in a strong markup phase, and the current corrective drift down inside the parallel channel represents a healthy, low-volume pullback rather than true selling pressure. I am introducing my core "monster trade strategy" here: we use these pullbacks inside an established uptrend to continuously stack high-probability long entries. As price breaks market structure to the upside, we trail our stop-losses behind key value nodes, secure partial profits at structural liquidity pools, and leave core runners active while continuing to pyramid into subsequent pullbacks as the macro trend pushes into uncharted territory.
Key Zone: Confluence rests right at the lower boundary of the corrective parallel channel around $4,315.00–$4,325.00 📉, matching the developing Session VWAP support bands and high-volume profile nodes that mark value acceptance from the previous impulse.
We are currently holding above key structural support after a sharp sweep of lower liquidity 🧹. I am watching for price to complete its shallow retracement into our high-volume VWAP cluster before delivering a clear Break of Structure (BoS) above $4,344.00, which will trigger our next scaling position to fuel the trend toward $4,380.00 and beyond.
My Trade Plan 🎯
Bias: Long (Patiently waiting for the re-accumulation confirmation).
Entry Protocol: Wait for price to test and hold the lower VWAP/channel confluence area around $4,320.00–$4,325.00, followed by an aggressive Break of Structure (BoS) past $4,344.00. Enter long on the micro-pullback post-breakout, move stop-loss to breakeven/trail behind newly established market structure, lock in partial profits at local liquidity targets, and keep open runners to continuously add positions as the markup phase progresses. Long
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Gold Next Week: Opening Strategy & Trend OutlookOn July 31, U.S. officials stated that President Trump has ordered a new round of strikes against Iran aimed at forcing Tehran to capitulate. These operations could begin as early as this weekend and last for several days, intended to compel the Iranian government to return to the negotiating table. Given the recurring nature of conflicts in the Middle East, one should not place blind confidence in the bulls; instead, it is crucial to exercise caution and trade in the direction of the prevailing trend.
Looking at the current 4-hour chart, overhead resistance remains significant. In the short term, we are monitoring resistance levels at 4060–4066 and 4090–4100, with a key focus on the 4120–4125 range. On the downside, short-term support lies at 4020–4025, with critical support at 3990–4000. We maintain a firm bearish stance, looking to sell into rallies where resistance holds.
Gold Trading Strategy:
1. Short gold in the 4160–4166 range; add to short positions if it rebounds to the 4090–4100 range; set stop-loss at 4107; target 4020–4026, with a potential move to 3990–4000 if the level breaks. Short 
Gold Hit 4,365, Was That the Top? | XAUUSD 10/08Gold has just delivered the move many traders were waiting for: a strong H1 expansion into the 4,355–4,365 External BSL.
But now comes the interesting part.
Price has started pulling back from that liquidity zone. H1 structure remains bullish, so I’m not treating the reaction as a reversal yet. Instead, I’m watching whether this is simply a healthy retracement before another expansion.
👀 The first test: 4,280–4,300
This area combines the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci zone with the recent bullish structure.
If price reacts strongly here and lower-timeframe structure turns back upward, the bullish continuation thesis remains valid, with 4,355–4,365 becoming the next major liquidity objective.
If 4,280 fails, the correction could extend toward the 4,225–4,245 H1 OB.
That zone becomes much more important.
A sustained break below 4,225 would weaken the current bullish continuation idea and suggest that the pullback may be developing into a deeper structural correction.
🧠 My Bias
Bullish on H1 — but not chasing the current price.
The liquidity has already been swept. Now I want to see where price finds demand and how structure reacts there.
4,280–4,300 → First reaction zone
4,225–4,245 → Deeper POI
4,355–4,365 → External BSL / upside objective
Below 4,225 → Bullish continuation thesis weakens
So here is the question:
Did 4,365 mark the destination of the previous move, or is Gold simply taking a breath before another expansion?
I’m watching the reaction, not predicting the next candle. Short 
COFFEE: Energy Building Up | Waiting for the BreakoutHello PulseWire family! 👋🌎
I hope you are all doing great and having a successful trading journey. 🙏📊
Today, let's take a look at Coffee on the 4-hour timeframe and explore the possible scenarios for the next move. ☕📈
☕🌎 Fundamental Overview
Coffee is one of the world's most important agricultural commodities and one of the most actively traded soft commodities globally. Its importance comes from its massive role in the food and beverage industry and its strong global consumer demand. 🌎☕
Coffee prices can be influenced by several fundamental factors, including global demand, weather conditions in major producing countries, crop yields, inventories, transportation costs, currency movements, and supply disruptions. 🌦️📦💵
Therefore, besides technical analysis, keeping an eye on global coffee production and supply-related developments is important. 🔎
📊🔍 Technical Analysis | 4H Timeframe
On the 4-hour chart, after a strong bullish move, Coffee entered a corrective phase and is now forming a compression structure. 📈➡️📉➡️⏳
At the moment, the upper side of this structure is being capped by a descending dynamic resistance, while the formation of higher lows suggests that buyers are still defending the lower part of the structure. 🟢⚔️
This compression could eventually develop into a range or triangle-like structure, meaning that the market may be building energy for its next significant move. ⚡📦
🚀 Bullish Scenario
If price manages to break above the dynamic resistance and successfully holds above it, the bullish scenario becomes more attractive. 📈🔥
A confirmed breakout could provide a potential trigger to start looking for Long positions. 🟢🎯
However, I would not consider a simple intraday spike above resistance enough for an entry. Ideally, we want to see a confirmed breakout and price acceptance above the resistance before taking action. ⏳✅
⚠️ Bearish Scenario
On the other hand, if Coffee fails to break the dynamic resistance and eventually loses the lower support of the structure, the bullish setup would weaken significantly. 🔻
In that case, the probability of a deeper correction toward lower support levels could increase. 📉
For now, the better approach in my view is to wait for confirmation rather than entering prematurely inside the compression zone. 🧘♂️🎯
🧠 Final Thoughts
☕ Coffee remains an important global commodity.
📊 The 4H chart is currently showing a compression phase following a strong bullish move.
🟢 Breakout + confirmation above dynamic resistance → stronger bullish/Long scenario.
🔴 Breakdown below structural support → higher probability of further downside.
⏳ For now, patience and confirmation are key.
📊 What Do You Think?
What do you think will happen next with Coffee? ☕👇
🟢 Breakout & Long 📈
🔴 Breakdown & Short 📉
🟡 More Range & Compression ⏳
⚪ Too Early to Decide 👀
Share your opinion in the comments! 💬❤️
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis represents my personal technical view and potential market scenarios and should not be considered financial or investment advice. ❌
Financial markets involve significant risk, and price may move differently from any of the scenarios discussed above. Always consider proper risk management, position sizing, and stop-loss planning before entering a trade. 💰🛡️
Trade safe & trade with a plan. 🤝📊
🏷️ Tags
#Coffee #CoffeeTrading #CoffeeFutures #Commodities #CommodityTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Forex #PulseWire #Breakout #Long #Short #MarketAnalysis #Trading #CoffeeMarket #SupplyDemand #RiskManagement Gold on relief rallyAs discussed throughout my Friday's session commentary: 'Technical analysis: No surprises so far as Gold invalidated the last barrier of #4,302.80 on Spot prices, confirming the upside wave towards the #2-Month old Resistance zone. Daily and Hourly charts turned Bullish again but based on the Weekly chart’s (#1W) candle regression since end of September, it is safer to Buy after every red engulfing candles (translated that it is optimal to re-Buy each hard Support zone rather than Buying blindly in attempt to find the reversal point to the upside). Bond Yields are on critical crossroads and should stay above their first Support, as their spiral downtrend had Bullish after-effect on Gold. Gold is now Technically and Fundamentally equipped for Buying sequence in continuation, but it is still early to speculate on exact timing since this is last session of Trading week. Technically, both on Oscillators and Candlesticks, Gold should gain value with every Hourly 4 chart’s candle minimum towards #4,352.80 benchmark (Higher High’s local peak extension). Gold is holding it’s ground on the Hourly 4 chart, preserving the Bullish underlying Short-term trend. As long as Gold keep #4,202.80 benchmark / Support intact, I give more probabilities to the upside.
My position: As I mentioned, this is aggressive Bullish trend and total Buying domination (without any Technical Top's so far), so stay away from Selling Gold and turn to Buying. My #4,002.80 benchmark projection was spot on as it was used as an 'floor' many times in last couple of Months. If #4,327.80 gives away, expect #4,352.80 to be filled easily.'
My position : After Weekly (#1W) close above #4,302.80 benchmark (ideal for my Buying model) for the fractal, Naturally Gold is approaching #4,352.80 - #4,362.80 Short-term Resistance cluster (Weekly High’s) and the Daily chart’s Ascending Channel is now aiming at the critical #4,402.80 psychological benchmark. Attention is needed as even if small correction occurs ahead it may simply be an Technical attempt on the Daily chart to Price an Lower High’s after Trading on Higher High’s territory since #8-session fractal. Price-action has reversed following the #4,372.80 session High’s making Daily chart an aggressive Ascending Channel which aligns with my Bullish Short and Medium-term expectations. However I am still expecting in regards of the Short-term the Hourly 4 chart to be limited just below the #4,202.80 - #4,227.80 retracement level which Daily chart has formed the previous two Lower High’s Lower zones, however this is the configuration where I will add the last piercing Buying order followed with a runner as Gold remains 'Buy the dip' strategy. As long as Gold is Trading above #4,152.80 benchmark, Bullish bias is here to stay. Buy Gold from each strong Support point. Long 
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BTCUSD M15 | Higher-Low Structure With 65.4K Supply ResistanceBitcoin has maintained a short-term ascending structure, with the rising trendline acting as dynamic support. Current price is around 64,931, placing BTC close to the trendline and the psychological 65K level.
The key technical challenge is the 65,350–65,400 zone. A sustained move through this area could change the current range structure and expose higher levels.
Price Roadmap
Current: ~64,931
Support Map
S1: 64,800
S2: 64,600
S3: 64,300
S4: 64,100
Resistance Map
R1: 65,000
R2: 65,200
R3: 65,350–65,400
R4: 65,600 Short 
BTC Yellow Wave X Extended Slightly / Waiting for 4H Signal !# Bitcoin Market Analysis (BTCUSDT)
## Quick Summary
**Bias:** Bearish (Waiting for Confirmation)
**Current Structure:** Extended Yellow Wave X — waiting for decisive 4H confirmation
**Confidence:** ★★★★☆ (4/5)
**Status:** BTC remains trapped in the same range while I wait for a valid 4H signal to determine the next major move.
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# Previous Result
⏳ The expected 3H confirmation did not appear.
📌 After Bitcoin moved slightly higher and broke **65.3K**, I extended the Yellow Wave X correction.
⚠️ However, the market is still moving inside the same overall range, without producing the confirmation required to end the correction.
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# Market Bias
**Bearish (Waiting for Confirmation)**
The larger bearish structure remains valid, but I am still waiting for a reliable signal before expecting the next major bearish move.
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# Current Scenario
After monitoring the **3H timeframe** for a new bearish signal, the expected confirmation failed to appear.
My next focus was a move lower through approximately **64.7K** and to keep below, where I expected the possibility of receiving additional signals across multiple timeframes.
However, Bitcoin has not broken this level yet.
Therefore, I am still waiting for a **real confirmation signal**, with the **4H timeframe being the most important confirmation** for me.
The reason is that I already have a signal on the **3H timeframe that can extend the Yellow Wave X**, meaning the correction may continue if the 4H signal does not confirm the beginning of the next major bearish move.
Bitcoin also moved slightly higher and broke **65.3K**, which forced me to extend the Yellow Wave X once again.
For now, price remains within the same range, so I will continue monitoring until a decisive signal appears.
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# Why This Scenario?
• The expected **3H bearish confirmation failed to appear**.
• Bitcoin has not broken the important **64.7K** level and keep below.
• The **3H signal can still extend Yellow Wave X**.
• A confirmed **4H signal** is the most important confirmation for ending the correction.
• Price remains inside the same overall range.
• The larger bearish Wave structure remains valid.
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# Key Levels
🔴 **Main Resistance**
• **64.6K**
• **66.2K**
🟢 Bearish Targets
• Primary Target: 61.1K
• Extended Target: 59.5K
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# Market Confidence
★★★★☆ (4/5)
The larger Wave count remains valid, but the market is still in a confirmation phase.
The **4H timeframe is currently the key timeframe** I am watching to determine whether Yellow Wave X finally ends or extends further.
---
# Next Update
I'll publish another update after either:
• A confirmed **4H bearish signal**.
or
• A decisive break through the important confirmation levels.
---
💬 **What do you think? **
Will Bitcoin finally give the **4H signal** needed to end Yellow Wave X, or will the correction extend further inside the current range?
👍 If you find this analysis useful, don't forget to follow **MAS Crypto Analysis** for future Bitcoin updates.
*This publication is intended for educational and market analysis purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.*
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #BTCUSD #Crypto #PriceAction #ElliottWave #WaveAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #TrendAnalysis 
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