Long
EURJPY - BoJ rate decision and inflation dynamicsThe week starts with a relatively light macro calendar, with the main focus on Japanese economic data and the BoJ’s latest policy views. Japan’s current account and trade figures, alongside the Economy Watchers survey, will provide an early read on domestic and external demand. The BoJ Summary of Opinions from the July meeting will be particularly important for clues on the timing of further rate hikes and the Board’s assessment of inflation and growth.
In Europe, Norwegian and Danish CPI and Germany’s wholesale prices will offer some fresh inflation signals, although none are likely to be major market movers unless they surprise significantly.
On the corporate side, earnings are led by Ferguson Enterprises, Alcon, AST SpaceMobile and USA Rare Earth, with investors likely to focus on forward guidance and any indications of demand across construction, healthcare and the strategic space/rare-earth sectors.
Key market focus: BoJ policy expectations, Japanese inflation/rate dynamics and whether European price data reinforces the recent easing trend.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 184.24
Resistance Level 2: 184.80
Resistance Level 3: 185.45
Support Level 1: 181.30
Support Level 2: 180.26
Support Level 3: 170.36
The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. To the extent permitted by law, in no event shall Trade Nation (or any affiliate or employee) have any liability for any loss arising from the use of the information provided. Any person acting on the information does so entirely at their own risk. Any information which could be construed as “investment research” has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication.
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DOGE Teaching the Same Lesson:Patience Pays More Than PredictionThe market rewards the patient far more often than the impatient. The biggest profits usually belong to traders who wait, not those who chase.
Right now, I am not buying DOGE.
The chart is sitting in an important area, but price has not given enough confirmation yet. Instead of trying to predict the next move, I prefer to let the market reveal its intention first.
I want to see one of these before considering a long position:
A clear bullish Price Action setup.
A strong bullish candlestick confirmation.
Or even better, a bullish Market Structure shift with higher highs and higher lows.
Without confirmation, buying here simply means accepting unnecessary risk.
Long-Term Perspective
On the Daily timeframe, BINANCE:DOGEUSDT DOGE is approaching a major dynamic support trendline that has acted as the starting point of previous bullish cycles.
History never guarantees the future, but every previous touch of this rising support has attracted significant buyers.
This makes the current area worth watching carefully—not because it guarantees a reversal, but because it increases the probability that buyers may become active again.
Current Market Conditions
Volume across the crypto market has decreased noticeably.
Low liquidity makes price manipulation much easier.
This is exactly why traders should be careful around the blue Pullback Zone.
Liquidity below this area is extremely attractive because many stop losses are likely resting underneath it.
Markets often move toward liquidity first before making the real move.
Never confuse a liquidity sweep with a confirmed trend reversal.
Bullish Scenario
This is the scenario I personally prefer.
I would like to see price:
Pull back into the support zone.
Hold support.
Create a bullish breakout.
Produce a false breakout (liquidity sweep).
Recover quickly.
Finally break above the descending trendline.
If this sequence appears, I may consider buying DOGE in the Spot market, not because of hope, but because the market has confirmed buyers are in control.
Alternative Bullish Scenario
The market doesn't have to revisit support.
DOGE could simply break above 0.072 with strong momentum.
If that breakout is accompanied by increasing volume and bullish confirmation, continuation toward the next resistance becomes much more likely.
Bearish Scenario
The most important level on the chart remains the Invalidation Level around 0.066.
If this level breaks decisively with bearish confirmation, the bullish thesis becomes invalid.
In that case, lower support levels become the next logical destination, and chasing longs would no longer make sense.
The market always deserves respect.
Final Thoughts
Good trading isn't about predicting the future.
It's about waiting until the probabilities become clearly tilted in your favor.
Sometimes the best trade is simply waiting.
Risk Warning: Low-volume markets can produce violent fake breakouts and stop hunts. Protect your capital first. Opportunities are endless, but capital is limited. 
Long
XAUUSD H1 SMC: Liquidity Swept, Retracement Before Target 4,300+Market Structure & Institutional Order Flow
On the H1 timeframe, XAUUSD initiated a macro bullish reversal after clearing the Major Bearish Trendline and testing the Institutional Demand zone (4,010.000 – 4,020.000). The market confirmed strong bullish order flow via multiple Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) prints, easily liquidating the HTF Buy-Side Liquidity pool (4,110.000 – 4,120.000). Price then surged vertically past the major red resistance line (4,200.000), creating an explosive parabolic leg up toward the 4,300.000 handle.
Imbalances & Local Structural Exhaustion
Following the local peak above 4,280.000, momentum shows minor exhaustion as price prints a local bearish BOS/CHoCH on lower timeframes. Current price is trading around 4,269.015, consolidating right above two key Fair Value Gaps (FVGs):
Immediate Upper FVG: Located around 4,250.000 – 4,265.000 (Point A: Retest FVG).
Major Lower FVG: Positioned in the 4,210.000 – 4,235.000 area, directly resting above the key structural support level at 4,200.000.
Pro-SMC Forecast & Execution Strategy
According to the yellow Pro-SMC Forecast Path, a deeper corrective phase is expected before the macro continuation:
Point A (Retest FVG): Price is currently retesting the upper FVG. A minor bounce toward 4,280.000 may offer short-term intraday sell setups.
Point B (Sweep Liquidity): The primary pullback target resides around 4,200.000 – 4,210.000, where price is projected to sweep internal sell-side liquidity ($$$), mitigate the lower FVG, and touch the ascending blue trendline.
Ultimate Target (4,300+): Wait for a bullish CHoCH/BOS confirmation at Point B (4,200.000) to re-enter long positions, targeting the liquidity pool above 4,300.000+. 
Long
Long
Gold Rejected at Resistance — Eyeing a Sell Toward 4,295Hi traders,
Gold just approached the 4,360–4,400 resistance zone but failed to break through, with a fairly clear selling reaction pushing price back down from the recent high. Overall, the uptrend hasn't broken yet since price remains above both the EMA34 and EMA89, so this is more likely a corrective pullback within the uptrend rather than a reversal — but in the short term, sellers are temporarily in control following the rejection at resistance.
I'm eyeing a sell on this pullback, targeting the 4,295 zone — where it converges with the EMA34 and is also an area likely to pull price back to before the market decides its next direction. If selling pressure continues after breaking the nearby 4,318–4,320 support zone, price could slide straight down to 4,295.
Sell zone: Retest/rejection around 4,340–4,350 (the zone just rejected)
Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle or break of the 4,318–4,320 short-term support on the H1 timeframe
Target: 4,295
Invalidation: H1 close above 4,360, breaking the resistance zone
This is not investment advice — wishing you successful trading. Short 
Short
Short
Long
Gold & DXY Market Structure — Complete Educational BreakdownThis chart is designed to explain how Gold (XAUUSD) and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) can be analyzed together using market structure, liquidity, Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), supply/demand zones and trend direction. First, look at the overall structure of XAUUSD on the 1H timeframe. Gold is showing a clear bullish structure, with price creating higher highs and higher lows after the strong upward expansion from the lower demand areas. The blue bullish trend line connects important higher lows and helps visualize the current upward structure. As long as price respects the major demand and Order Block areas below, the broader bullish bias remains valid. The 4,080–4,100 major demand zone represents an important area where buyers previously showed strength, while the 4,160–4,180 and 4,240–4,260 demand/Order Block zones are additional areas where price could potentially react if a deeper pullback occurs. The 4,300–4,320 bullish Order Block is particularly important because it sits close to the current price structure and can act as a near-term area of interest during a retracement. The blue FVG zones represent areas where price moved aggressively and left an imbalance in the market; traders often monitor these areas for potential retracements, reactions or mitigation. Above the current Gold price, the 4,380–4,420 sell-side/liquidity area represents an important resistance and liquidity region. Multiple previous highs are visible around this area, meaning buy-side liquidity can accumulate above those highs. If price breaks and holds above this region, it can indicate further bullish continuation toward new highs. On the other hand, rejection from this area could create a short-term retracement toward the lower Order Blocks or FVGs. The purple markings identify liquidity pools. Liquidity commonly forms around obvious previous highs and lows because traders may place stop-losses and pending orders around these areas. Price can sometimes move toward these pools before continuing in the primary direction, which is why liquidity should be considered before entering a trade. Now look at DXY on the right side. DXY is currently showing a weaker overall structure compared with its previous highs, giving the chart a bearish directional bias. The red descending trend line illustrates this bearish structure. The 101.20–101.40 bearish Order Block is a major supply/resistance area, while the 100.40–100.60 supply/Order Block is another important reaction zone. The blue FVG areas on DXY represent previous price imbalances that may become relevant if price retraces upward. Around 100.00, we also have a psychological level where price has repeatedly reacted, making it an important area to monitor. Below current DXY price, the 99.40–99.60 demand/support zone is important because buyers previously defended this region. Beneath that, the marked 99.20–99.30 liquidity area represents potential sell-side liquidity around previous lows. If DXY loses the 99.40–99.60 support and continues lower, that weakness can potentially provide additional support for Gold's bullish movement. This is where the relationship between Gold and DXY becomes important. In general, Gold and DXY often have an inverse relationship because Gold is priced in U.S. dollars. When the dollar weakens, Gold can become relatively more attractive to holders of other currencies, which can support Gold prices. Conversely, when the dollar strengthens, it can create pressure on Gold. However, this relationship is not a guaranteed one-to-one inverse correlation, so DXY should never be used as the only reason for a Gold trade. The strongest approach is to combine DXY direction with Gold's own market structure. In this chart, the combination is currently interesting because Gold is holding a bullish structure while DXY is showing bearish pressure. Traders can therefore monitor whether DXY continues making lower highs/lower lows while Gold maintains higher highs/higher lows. The next important confirmation on Gold would be a sustained break above the 4,380 area, while on DXY, a breakdown below the 99.40 support area could strengthen the bearish dollar narrative. If DXY instead recovers strongly from support and starts breaking its bearish structure, Gold may face additional selling pressure and should be reassessed. The key lesson is to start with higher-timeframe direction, identify market structure, mark liquidity, locate Order Blocks and FVGs, identify major supply/demand zones, then compare Gold's structure with DXY before forming a directional bias. Never assume that every FVG, Order Block or liquidity level will produce a reaction; wait for price action and confirmation at the level. This chart is therefore not simply showing buy or sell signals—it demonstrates a complete educational framework for understanding how liquidity, market structure, institutional zones, trend direction and DXY strength/weakness can work together when analyzing Gold. ⚠️ Educational purpose only. Market conditions can change quickly. Always wait for confirmation and use proper risk management before taking any trading decision. Education 
[XAUUSD H1] Retest 4,270 Demand Floor Intraday Pullback Before Expansion to 4,375 Peak
1. FUNDAMENTAL SNAPSHOT
Gold (XAUUSD) maintains a strong medium-term bullish trajectory near $4,342/oz as cooling labor market indicators and subtle softening in U.S. Treasury yields continue to underwrite non-yielding asset demand. However, following a powerful markup expansion that tapped a fresh Higher High (HH) peak at 4,375.871, institutional participants are engineering a necessary structural pullback. This controlled sell-off serves to rebalance liquidity, clear out over-leveraged breakout buyers, and mitigate unmitigated H1 demand blocks before accumulating volume for the next macro impulse wave.
2. TECHNICAL & SMC STRUCTURE ANALYSIS
- Trend Indicator & Structural Target: The H1 trend bias remains decidedly Positive (Upper Band: 4,402.16 | Mid Band: 4,281.335 | Lower Band: 4,160.51), driven by an established chain of bullish market structure breaks culminating at the 4,375.871 HH ceiling.
- Primary Demand Floor 1 (Upper Blue Box: 4,260.0 - 4,275.0 Area): Price is executing a corrective wave from 4,342.920 toward this immediate H1 demand block. The primary zigzag projection anticipates a technical bounce off this ~4,270 support floor to test and potentially sweep the 4,375.871 liquidity peak.
- Secondary Discount Demand Floor 2 (Middle Blue Box: 4,190.0 - 4,205.0 Area): Should selling volume break below 4,260, price is projected to flush deeper into this high-confluence discount demand zone (~4,200 level) to absorb Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL).
- Ultimate HTF Defense Base (Lower Blue Box: 4,120.0 - 4,135.0 Area): Represents the major structural floor (~4,130 level) safeguarding the macro bullish trend.
3. IF-THEN PLAYBOOK
- Primary Long Scenario (Immediate Retest Play):
+ IF price completes the pullback into the 4,260.0 - 4,275.0 Demand Box AND prints lower-timeframe reversal confirmation (M5/M15 CHoCH) -> THEN execute long entries targeting 4,320.0 and 4,375.871 (HH Peak Sweep).
- Secondary Long Scenario (Deep Liquidity Flush Play):
+ IF price breaks below 4,260.0 and flushes down to the 4,190.0 - 4,205.0 Demand Box -> THEN look for heavy long accumulation setups targeting 4,270.0 and a macro recovery toward 4,375.0.
- Structural Invalidation: Decisive H1 candle close below 4,115.0.
Strategic Metrics Summary:
- Current Floating Price: 4,342.920
- Primary Buy Zone (Demand 1): 4,260.0 - 4,275.0
- Secondary Buy Zone (Demand 2): 4,190.0 - 4,130.0
- Major Upside Target (HH Peak): 4,395
Will Gold bounce cleanly at the 4,270 demand floor, or are you waiting for a deeper sweep at 4,200? Share your trade plan below! Long 
Short
EPICUSDT: First Target Reached, Then Reality HitA while ago, the thesis on EPIC was simple:
"If it gets attention, it can move hard."
The approach was never to go all-in. The idea was to accumulate during weakness, take profits into strength, and treat EPIC as a high-risk speculative position rather than a core holding.
The market rewarded that approach.
• Accumulation opportunities appeared around $0.20-$0.30
• The inverse Head & Shoulders structure developed successfully
• The neckline breakout triggered
• Price surged above $1.00
• The first major target zone was reached
• Heavy distribution followed immediately afterward
Today, EPIC sits more than 60% below the local high, and the chart is entering an important decision zone.
What Happened?
The daily chart formed a large inverse Head & Shoulders reversal pattern over several months.
• Left Shoulder near $0.45
• Head near $0.24
• Right Shoulder near $0.30
• Neckline around $0.65-$0.70
Once the neckline was broken, buyers stepped in aggressively and pushed price toward the first projected objective around the $1.10-$1.20 region.
That target zone was ultimately achieved.
From a technical standpoint, this is where many successful trades naturally come to an end. A pattern reaches its objective, early investors lock in gains, momentum traders begin taking profits, and fresh demand struggles to absorb supply.
That appears to be exactly what happened here.
The Market Delivered the Reward... Then Took Back the Euphoria
After reaching the target zone above $1.00, EPIC experienced an aggressive selloff.
In just a short period, more than 60% of the advance was erased.
While painful for late buyers, this behavior is not uncommon after explosive rallies.
Markets often reward patience during accumulation phases and punish emotional buying after a move becomes obvious.
Those who followed risk management plans had opportunities to realize substantial gains near target levels.
Those who entered after the breakout excitement are now facing the other side of volatility.
Current Technical Picture
Support Zone: $0.45-$0.50
This is currently the most important area on the chart.
There are several reasons why this region matters:
• Previous Left Shoulder formed here
• Historical buying activity is concentrated here
• Current market price is testing this area after the correction
As long as this zone remains intact, the larger bullish structure remains technically alive.
Secondary Support: $0.30-$0.35
If sellers break the current support area decisively, attention may shift toward the former Right Shoulder region.
This area would likely become the next major demand zone where buyers attempt to defend the broader recovery trend.
Resistance Zone: $0.75-$0.80
Any bounce from current levels will likely face resistance here.
This area previously acted as a breakout region and may now serve as the first significant obstacle for recovering bulls.
Major Resistance: $1.00-$1.20
The market has already identified this zone as a major supply area.
A future break above this region would signal that buyers have regained control and that the current correction may have merely been a pause within a larger trend.
Bullish Scenario
• Support around $0.45-$0.50 holds
• Selling pressure gradually weakens
• A higher low develops
• Buyers build a new accumulation range
• Price attempts a recovery toward $0.80 and eventually $1.00+
Bearish Scenario
• Current support fails
• Price loses the former Left Shoulder area
• Momentum shifts back to sellers
• EPIC revisits the $0.30-$0.35 region
• Extended consolidation becomes necessary before another meaningful advance
Final Thoughts
The original idea achieved its objective.
Accumulating during weakness and reducing exposure into strength proved far more effective than chasing momentum after the breakout.
The first chapter of this reversal story is now complete.
The target was reached.
The market celebrated.
Then the market corrected.
Now all eyes are on the $0.45-$0.50 region.
If bulls successfully defend this battlefield, EPIC may begin building the foundation for a second leg higher.
If not, a deeper reset may be required before the next major opportunity emerges.
As always, manage risk accordingly. Volatility works both ways. BTC’s Next Move Depends on This Resistance ZoneBTC/USDT is pushing into a key resistance zone between 64,065–64,237, where Monday’s High (64065) aligns with the descending trendline resistance. This is a critical area that should determine the next move.
As long as price stays below this zone, I’m still leaning bearish, with 63,019 (0.618 Fib) as the first downside target, followed by 62,263 (Monday’s Low).
A 4H close above 64,237 would invalidate the bearish outlook and shift the bias back to the upside, opening the door for a move into the 1D bearish order block at 65300–67251. 
Short
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Long 
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