Chart Patterns
Can #XAI still rise?📊Can #XAI still rise?
🧠From a structural perspective, we are currently testing the S/R zone near the support line. We first need to see how it performs as support, so the probability of continued upward movement from here is relatively high.
➡️Market sentiment and trading volume are very good, so the primary outlook is bullish.
🤜Follow me, and I will guide you through market changes. Remember to like💖 and share💬
BYBIT:XAIUSDT.P
#GWEI Rounding Bottom📊#GWEI Rounding Bottom🚀
🧠 From a structural perspective, after a significant drop, there are signs of bottoming out, with the strongest resistance level around 0.099.
➡️ From a chart perspective, we appear to be forming a rounded bottom. If this pattern holds, the upward movement will be very rapid. 💥🚀
🤜Follow me, and I'll guide you through market changes. Remember to like💖 and share💬 BYBIT:GWEIUSDT.P
XAU/USD M15 — ALL TARGETS HITThe previously shared XAU/USD M15 sell setup played out exactly as expected. Price rejected the marked Premium Zone / Bearish Order Block after taking Buy-Side Liquidity, then delivered the projected bearish move toward the downside targets.
✅ TP1 HIT
✅ TP2 HIT
✅ TP3 HIT
✅ TP4 HIT 🎯🔥
The setup was supported by strong SMC confluence: Buy-Side Liquidity Sweep + Bearish Order Block + Premium Zone Rejection, followed by a clean move toward the Discount Zone.
📈 Full Trade Target Achieved — 4/4 TPs Hit! 💯🏆
Strong execution, clean reaction, and complete target delivery. 🚀
XAUUSD: Trendline Holds, Buyers Target 4,400XAUUSD maintains its upward momentum, with the price consistently reacting positively above the rising trendline. Following a brief consolidation phase around 4,330, buying pressure is gradually returning, and the structure of higher highs and higher lows remains intact.
From a fundamental perspective, a weak USD and cooling US yields—following lackluster labor data—continue to support gold. This suggests that current pullbacks are more likely retests rather than reversals.
My preferred scenario is for XAUUSD to hold above 4,330 and subsequently extend its gains toward the 4,375–4,400 zone. A decisive break below the trendline and the 4,330 level would undermine the short-term bullish outlook.
ttd updatesince last update we broke through support and now have a strong support
at 15-20
we are still inside channel and all indicators are bullish
we may have hit the low.
if we dip and don't bounce of the low at 14 and see conformation of a new lower low
then I would say we lost support and would head down to 10.00
target 10 if we get a lower low on the macro monthly time
resistance 40 target macro
Potential bullish rise?EUR/JPY could fall to the pivot and bounce toward the overlap resistance.
Pivot: 182.86
1st Support: 180.88
1st Resistance: 185.72
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
US30 1H — Bearish Market Structure & Supply Retest🔎 Technical Analysis
US30 is showing a bearish shift in short-term market structure after the previous bullish sequence was interrupted by a strong downside displacement and MSS (Market Structure Shift).
Price is currently consolidating below the marked resistance area, while two overhead zones stand out:
🔴 1H FVG: approximately 54,200–54,300
🔴 1H FVG + OB: approximately 54,600–54,720
📍 Liquidity / swing reference: around 54,100
These zones can be monitored for how price behaves on a potential retracement. A rejection and renewed bearish structure would strengthen the bearish continuation narrative, while sustained acceptance above the upper zone would weaken it.
🧭 Scenario-Based Outlook
Bearish scenario:
A retracement into the marked 1H FVG/OB areas followed by bearish rejection and confirmation could indicate continuation toward lower liquidity.
Invalidation / alternative scenario:
If price breaks above the upper supply zone and establishes sustained acceptance there, the bearish thesis would require reassessment.
🧠 Educational Takeaway
The key sequence visible on the chart is:
Bullish BOS → bearish displacement → MSS → retracement toward FVG/OB → monitor reaction
The zones themselves are areas of interest, not guaranteed reversal points. Confirmation from price action and market structure is important.
Disclaimer: This publication is for educational and technical-analysis purposes only. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Always conduct your own research and apply appropriate risk management.
#US30 #DJI #DowJones #PriceAction #MarketStructure #MSS #FVG #OrderBlock #SMC #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingEducation
AUGUST 7 Bitcoin chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
My analysis is optimized for PulseWire.
If you press the Replay button, you can check real-time movements.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
On the left, indicated by the purple finger, I have connected the strategy exactly to the entry point of the long position entered on August 6th, which was $64,445.1.
*Chase buy long position strategy following the red finger's movement path
1) Chase buy at $64,755.9 / Stop loss if broken below the green support line
2) $66,193.7 long position 1st target -> Miracle final target price by the weekend
- If it breaks through the Miracle level, an uptrend will begin starting next week.
- For those maintaining long positions at 64.4K, the green support line stop loss remains the same.
- 65.9K is a zone to utilize for re-entering long positions.
From the point of breaking below the green support line, the price may fall to the Bottom -> Zone 1 indicated at the bottom.
Please use my analysis merely as a reference and for practical purposes.
I hope you operate safely by strictly adhering to trading principles and stop-loss orders.
Thank you.
GBP/JPY (2H) Technical Analysis📊 GBP/JPY (2H) Technical Analysis – Liquidity Sweep Signals Potential Bullish Reversal 🚀💹
The GBP/JPY 2-hour chart presents a strong technical setup following a sharp sell-off that successfully swept liquidity below a major support level. The market has transitioned from a prolonged consolidation phase into a high-volatility move, where smart money appears to have accumulated positions after trapping late sellers. Price action now suggests that the pair is attempting to establish a new bullish structure, with several institutional concepts supporting further upside.
📈 Market Structure Analysis
The chart initially shows an extended consolidation range beneath the major resistance around 219.60. During this phase, buyers and sellers remained balanced, with price repeatedly respecting the upper and lower boundaries of the range.
Eventually, bearish momentum took control, causing price to break below the consolidation and continue following the descending trendline. This confirmed short-term bearish market structure and encouraged additional selling pressure.
However, instead of continuing lower, price performed a deep liquidity sweep below the significant support at 209.55. This move likely triggered retail stop losses and attracted breakout sellers before institutional buyers stepped into the market with aggressive demand.
💧 Liquidity Sweep – Smart Money Activity
One of the strongest bullish signals on this chart is the clear liquidity grab beneath the previous swing low.
This type of movement is commonly associated with Smart Money Concepts (SMC), where large institutions intentionally push price below obvious support levels to collect liquidity before reversing the market.
Following the sweep:
✅ Selling momentum quickly faded.
✅ Strong bullish candles entered immediately.
✅ Buyers reclaimed previous price levels.
✅ Market rejected lower prices aggressively.
This indicates that the downside move may have been a liquidity event rather than the beginning of a new bearish trend.
🟩 Bullish Recovery
After rejecting the lows, GBP/JPY produced an impulsive bullish rally that broke several minor bearish structures.
Price is now attempting to establish:
Higher lows 📈
Higher highs 📈
Strong bullish momentum 📈
This transition suggests that buyers are gradually regaining control.
Although the market remains below major resistance, the current structure favors continuation toward higher institutional levels if bullish momentum persists.
🏦 Order Block (OB) Analysis
The chart highlights two important institutional Order Blocks.
🔹 Lower Bullish Order Block
The lower OB acted as the accumulation zone after the liquidity sweep.
Price reacted strongly from this area, confirming institutional buying interest.
As long as this Order Block remains respected, buyers maintain the technical advantage.
🔹 Upper Bearish Order Block
Around 215.30–215.55, a significant bearish Order Block is waiting.
This area represents:
Previous institutional selling
Potential profit-taking zone
Strong supply region
If buyers successfully reach this level, traders should monitor price action carefully for either:
Breakout continuation 🚀
Temporary rejection 📉
⚡ Fair Value Gap (FVG)
The chart also identifies a Fair Value Gap (FVG) created during the previous bearish impulse.
Fair Value Gaps often act as magnets for price because markets frequently revisit these inefficient areas before continuing the dominant move.
A successful fill of the FVG would strengthen bullish continuation toward the upper Order Block.
📉 Trendline Perspective
The long descending trendline guided the bearish move for several sessions.
Now price has recovered significantly after the liquidity sweep.
Although the trendline still reflects the previous bearish structure, current momentum suggests its influence is weakening.
If buyers continue printing higher highs, the market will confirm a broader bullish reversal.
🎯 Bullish Trading Scenario
The preferred scenario remains bullish while price stays above the recent support.
Buyers may look for:
✅ Pullbacks into demand zones
✅ Retests of the lower Order Block
✅ Bullish confirmation candles
Upside targets include:
🎯 First Target: 213.20–213.50 (FVG)
🎯 Second Target: 214.30–214.80
🎯 Final Target: 215.30–215.55 (Major Bearish Order Block)
⚠️ Bearish Risk
Despite the improving bullish outlook, traders should remain cautious.
A confirmed breakdown below 209.55 would invalidate the current bullish structure and indicate that sellers have regained full control.
In that case, additional downside expansion could develop.
📌 Key Technical Levels
🟢 Support
209.55 (Major Liquidity Sweep Zone)
210.20–210.80 (Bullish Order Block)
🔴 Resistance
213.20–213.50 (Fair Value Gap)
215.30–215.55 (Major Bearish Order Block)
219.60 (Higher Timeframe Resistance)
🧠 Market Psychology
The market first convinced traders that the bearish trend would continue by breaking below support. Once enough sell-side liquidity was collected, institutional buyers aggressively entered, driving price sharply higher. This behavior reflects classic smart-money accumulation, where weak hands are forced out before the next potential bullish expansion.
🚀 Final Outlook
GBP/JPY is showing a high-probability bullish recovery after completing a textbook liquidity sweep beneath major support. The strong rejection from the lows, combined with the formation of higher lows, bullish Order Block respect, and the presence of an unfilled Fair Value Gap, suggests that buyers currently have the advantage. As long as price remains above 209.55, the path of least resistance favors continued upside toward 215.30–215.55. Traders should monitor reactions around the FVG and Order Block for confirmation, but the overall technical structure now supports a bullish continuation rather than renewed bearish weakness. 📈🔥
Gold — Bulls Pause After the Big Pump
🏆Gold has made a strong bullish move and is now taking a breather near the highs. After such an aggressive expansion, the formation of an LQ area is a natural part of the market structure, with price consolidating before the next directional move.
📈 Bullish scenario
If buyers break above the current consolidation and reclaim the upper zone, we can expect the bullish momentum to continue toward the next resistance area. The overall structure remains bullish, and a clean breakout could trigger another strong expansion.
📉 Bearish scenario
If price loses the Golden Zone and sellers take control, we could see a deeper pullback toward the lower support zones. A break below those areas would weaken the current bullish structure and increase the probability of further downside.
📚 Educational insight
After a big pump, it is normal for price to take a rest. The market can form an LQ point, which may look similar to a sideways market but is created through a different mechanism. This consolidation can act as a pause before the next major expansion.
Overall, Gold remains bullish while the key demand areas hold. The current LQ is the main structure to watch for the next breakout.
SPX500 – Breakout Retest Setup With 8,000 in Sight📊 SPX500 – Breakout Retest Setup With 8,000 in Sight
🔍 Market Overview
SPX500 has finally broken above a resistance zone that repeatedly capped price throughout the previous range. The move was not subtle either. Buyers pushed through with strong momentum and quickly established price above the old ceiling, which is the first sign that the market may be entering a new expansion phase.
After such a sharp breakout, chasing price at current levels is not my preferred approach. What interests me more is a controlled pullback toward the 7,580–7,630 area. If buyers defend that zone and former resistance turns into support, it could provide a much cleaner base for the next leg higher.
📈 Market Structure Insight
Primary Bias: Bullish
Momentum: Strong after breakout
Current Phase: Expansion followed by a potential retest
The important shift is that SPX500 is no longer trapped below the previous range high. Price has already moved into higher territory, so a pullback into the breakout zone would be viewed as a retest rather than an immediate bearish reversal, as long as support holds.
🚀 Bullish Scenario
I would be watching for:
A controlled pullback into the former resistance zone.
Rejection wicks or bullish candles around support.
Buyers stepping back in before price falls deeply into the old range.
If that happens, I expect SPX500 to resume the move higher, with 8,000 becoming the next major target.
🎯 Target: 8,000
❌ Invalidation
The bullish continuation setup would lose strength if price breaks decisively below the breakout zone and begins trading back inside the previous range. That would suggest the breakout failed to attract enough follow-through.
⚠️ Trading Perspective
The breakout has already shown us where the strength is. Now the question is whether buyers can defend the level they fought so hard to reclaim.
For me, the better opportunity is not buying after an extended push. It is waiting for the market to come back, test the breakout, and prove that the old resistance has truly become support.
🧠 Professional Insight
This setup stands out because of:
A clear breakout from a well-defined resistance zone.
Strong bullish follow-through after the break.
Price holding above the previous range.
A logical retest area below current price.
A clean psychological target at 8,000.
Breakout confirmed. Now the retest could decide whether 8,000 comes next.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Do you think SPX500 retests first, or goes straight for 8,000? Share your view below.
XAG/USD — SILVER TECHNICAL OUTLOOK 🥈 XAG/USD — SILVER TECHNICAL OUTLOOK 📊🔥
📈 Market Structure
Silver remains inside a well-defined bullish channel, with higher highs and higher lows. Price is currently approaching the marked resistance zone around 65.15.
🔴 Resistance Zone
65.15 – 65.99
A rejection from this area could trigger a corrective move lower. 📉
🟢 Key Order Block
61.60 – 62.00
This is the main demand/order-block area to watch if sellers take control.
🎯 Expected Scenario
➡️ Price may push toward 65.15 resistance
➡️ Possible rejection from resistance
➡️ Pullback toward 61.60–62.00 order block
➡️ If the order block holds, bullish structure remains intact 🚀
⚠️ Invalidation
A strong breakout and close above 65.15–65.99 would weaken the bearish pullback setup and could signal further upside.
🧠 Bias: Bullish structure | Short-term bearish reaction possible at resistance.
Trade only after confirmation & manage risk properly. 🎯🛡️
MSFT BULL TRAP?I'm observing something quite awkward here.
On the technical side, price broke both weekly equilibrium levels, which theoretically signals a bias shift. However, there's no volume behind the move, which leads me to believe this is pure earnings‑driven manipulation. There are inverted algo targets in play, so let's see whether price respects the theory.
Long‑term, on a macro scale, if price holds and we get a weekly candle close above the market imbalances, then the bias shift will be confirmed.
Not financial advice.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis (2H)📊 GBP/USD Technical Analysis (2H) 🚀📉
🧠 Market Overview
GBP/USD is showing a bullish market structure after printing a strong impulsive rally from the major support around 1.3274. The recent Change of Character (CHoCH) confirms that buyers have regained control, shifting momentum from bearish to bullish.
Price is currently consolidating below the recent highs, suggesting that the market may be preparing for another expansion after a healthy retracement.
🔍 Smart Money Perspective
✅ CHoCH confirms the transition to a bullish trend.
✅ Price has created a Fair Value Gap (FVG) below the current market, which could attract price for mitigation.
✅ The highlighted Order Block near 1.3520–1.3535 remains the primary upside target.
✅ Major Resistance stands around 1.3558, where profit-taking is expected.
📉 Expected Scenario
A short-term pullback into the FVG (1.3370–1.3400) would provide a higher-probability buying opportunity. If buyers defend this imbalance, GBP/USD is likely to continue its bullish leg toward the order block and eventually challenge the major resistance.
🎯 Key Levels
🟢 Support: 1.3370–1.3400 (FVG)
🔵 Current Price: 1.3449
🎯 Target 1: 1.3525
🎯 Target 2: 1.3558 (Major Resistance)
❌ Invalidation: Sustained close below 1.3370 would weaken the bullish outlook and could trigger a deeper correction.
💡 Trading Bias
📈 Bullish Bias
As long as price respects the FVG support and maintains higher lows, buyers remain in control. A successful retracement into the imbalance could offer an attractive long setup with favorable risk-to-reward toward the highlighted order block and resistance zone.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always wait for confirmation and apply proper risk management before entering any trade.
SOLUSDT – Bullish Breakout & Continuation Setup Toward 83.00SOLUSDT – Bullish Breakout & Continuation Setup Toward 83.00
🔍 Market Overview
SOLUSDT is showing a clear bullish shift after breaking above the descending channel that had controlled price for several weeks. The breakout came with strong momentum, suggesting that selling pressure is fading while buyers are beginning to regain control.
Price is now holding above the broken channel structure. If this area continues to act as support, the breakout could develop into a broader bullish continuation toward the next major resistance zone.
⸻
📈 Market Structure Insight
Market Bias: Bullish
Momentum: Improving after breakout
Current Phase: Trend reversal into bullish continuation
The key structural change is that price has moved outside the previous descending channel. As long as SOLUSDT remains above the breakout area, the current structure continues to favor buyers.
⸻
🚀 Trading Scenarios
✅ Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias)
Conditions:
Price remains above the broken channel resistance.
A controlled pullback holds as new support.
Buyers return with bullish candles, rejection wicks, or renewed momentum.
Trade Plan:
Look for buying opportunities on a healthy pullback into the breakout area or after clear bullish confirmation above the current consolidation.
🎯 Target: 83.00
⸻
❌ Bearish Invalidation Scenario
Conditions:
Price falls decisively back inside the descending channel.
The breakout area fails to hold as support.
Selling pressure increases without a meaningful bullish response.
A confirmed move back inside the previous structure would weaken the bullish outlook and increase the probability of a deeper correction.
⸻
📍 Key Levels to Monitor
🟢 Breakout Support: Former upper boundary of the descending channel
🟢 Major Resistance / Target: 83.00
🔴 Invalidation: Sustained trading back inside the channel
⸻
⚠️ Trading Perspective
The breakout itself is already an important bullish signal, but the next reaction matters even more. A successful retest would show that former resistance has turned into support and that buyers are willing to defend higher prices.
Rather than chasing the initial move, the cleaner setup would come from a controlled pullback followed by renewed buying pressure.
⸻
🧠 Professional Insight
This setup is supported by:
A decisive breakout from a prolonged descending channel.
Strong bullish momentum during the breakout.
Price holding above the previous structure.
Weakening bearish control.
A clearly defined upside objective around 83.00.
The highest-quality long setup would come from a successful retest of the breakout zone, confirming that buyers have fully taken control.
⸻
🛡️ Risk Management
Risk only 1–2% of trading capital per position.
Wait for bullish confirmation before entering.
Keep the invalidation level below the confirmed breakout structure.
Avoid chasing extended bullish candles.
Respect the breakdown level and protect capital.
No confirmed support, no trade.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice.
XAGUSD 15M — Market Structure & Rebalancing AnalysisAnalysis:
Silver is showing a potential bullish market-structure shift after sweeping lower liquidity and forming a CHOCH around the 64.00 area.
Price has since moved above the marked support zone, suggesting that the previous resistance area may now act as support on a retest.
🔎 Key Levels
Support / Retest Zone: ~64.00
Liquidity: ~63.65
15M FVG + OB: ~63.30–63.55
Upside Reference Zone: ~65.10–65.15
📊 Market Structure
The key area to watch is the 64.00 support zone. If price revisits this area and demonstrates bullish acceptance—such as rejection, displacement, or a lower-timeframe structure shift—it could support the continuation thesis.
A deeper retracement toward the 15M FVG + Order Block would represent a more significant rebalancing area rather than automatically invalidating the bullish structure.
⚠️ Invalidation / Risk
A sustained move back below the relevant demand structure would weaken the bullish continuation thesis and require reassessment of the setup.
This is a technical/educational market-structure analysis, not financial advice or a trade recommendation. Always conduct your own research and manage risk appropriately.
#XAGUSD #Silver #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure #CHOCH #Liquidity #FVG #OrderBlock #PriceAction #TradingEducation
Meta (META) — Bearish Setup Toward $455Meta is showing a potential bearish setup, with the current market structure suggesting that downside pressure could strengthen if sellers maintain control.
From a fundamental perspective, Meta remains a highly profitable technology company with strong advertising revenues and a powerful ecosystem across Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp. However, elevated expectations around future growth, continued investment in AI infrastructure and rising capital expenditure can create pressure on valuation and investor sentiment when the market becomes less optimistic about near-term returns.
Meta’s heavy investment in artificial intelligence and data-center infrastructure represents an important long-term growth strategy, but these investments also require substantial capital. Any moderation in advertising growth, weaker-than-expected forward guidance or concerns around rising costs could increase selling pressure.
Technically, the current price action supports a bearish bias, with the possibility of the market moving lower toward the $455 target if downside momentum continues. The setup remains valid while sellers maintain control and the broader structure continues to favor lower prices.
Market Bias: Bearish
Direction: Sell
Target: $455
Outlook: Downside continuation potential 📉
Gold on relief rallyAs discussed throughout my Friday's session commentary: 'Technical analysis: No surprises so far as Gold invalidated the last barrier of #4,302.80 on Spot prices, confirming the upside wave towards the #2-Month old Resistance zone. Daily and Hourly charts turned Bullish again but based on the Weekly chart’s (#1W) candle regression since end of September, it is safer to Buy after every red engulfing candles (translated that it is optimal to re-Buy each hard Support zone rather than Buying blindly in attempt to find the reversal point to the upside). Bond Yields are on critical crossroads and should stay above their first Support, as their spiral downtrend had Bullish after-effect on Gold. Gold is now Technically and Fundamentally equipped for Buying sequence in continuation, but it is still early to speculate on exact timing since this is last session of Trading week. Technically, both on Oscillators and Candlesticks, Gold should gain value with every Hourly 4 chart’s candle minimum towards #4,352.80 benchmark (Higher High’s local peak extension). Gold is holding it’s ground on the Hourly 4 chart, preserving the Bullish underlying Short-term trend. As long as Gold keep #4,202.80 benchmark / Support intact, I give more probabilities to the upside.
My position: As I mentioned, this is aggressive Bullish trend and total Buying domination (without any Technical Top's so far), so stay away from Selling Gold and turn to Buying. My #4,002.80 benchmark projection was spot on as it was used as an 'floor' many times in last couple of Months. If #4,327.80 gives away, expect #4,352.80 to be filled easily.'
My position : After Weekly (#1W) close above #4,302.80 benchmark (ideal for my Buying model) for the fractal, Naturally Gold is approaching #4,352.80 - #4,362.80 Short-term Resistance cluster (Weekly High’s) and the Daily chart’s Ascending Channel is now aiming at the critical #4,402.80 psychological benchmark. Attention is needed as even if small correction occurs ahead it may simply be an Technical attempt on the Daily chart to Price an Lower High’s after Trading on Higher High’s territory since #8-session fractal. Price-action has reversed following the #4,372.80 session High’s making Daily chart an aggressive Ascending Channel which aligns with my Bullish Short and Medium-term expectations. However I am still expecting in regards of the Short-term the Hourly 4 chart to be limited just below the #4,202.80 - #4,227.80 retracement level which Daily chart has formed the previous two Lower High’s Lower zones, however this is the configuration where I will add the last piercing Buying order followed with a runner as Gold remains 'Buy the dip' strategy. As long as Gold is Trading above #4,152.80 benchmark, Bullish bias is here to stay. Buy Gold from each strong Support point.
Mid-Term Bitcoin Update: Bearish Momentum, Key Supports, and RevYou are looking at the historical weekly chart of Bitcoin .
After touching the ceiling of the historical channel (green), Bitcoin entered a correction and price decline. Its most important support was the floor of the ascending channel (yellow), which it lost. For this reason, its price decline gained more momentum.
Currently, it is declining inside the pink descending channel until one of these two scenarios happens:
It reaches the midline of the historical channel (around $38k to $40k) within this pink channel.
It will only attack the ceiling of the historical channel again when the ceiling of the current descending channel (pink) breaks upwards, and of course, it also faces the tough resistance of the weekly Ichimoku cloud ahead.
Therefore, in the first step, smart money will only enter with a breakout of the pink channel ceiling, with the initial target being the floor of the weekly Ichimoku cloud.
So for now, it is moving inside the pink channel towards the midline of the historical channel in the medium term.
XAUUSD — 15M Market Structure & Demand Retest🔎 Technical Analysis
Gold is showing a bullish short-term structure after recovering from the lower range and breaking above the marked MS (Market Structure) level.
Two important areas of interest are visible:
🔵 15M FVG + OB: approximately 4,330–4,340
🔵 15M OB: approximately 4,318–4,322
🎯 Liquidity reference: around 4,370
Price is currently pulling back from the recent swing high toward the first marked zone. The reaction from these areas can help determine whether bullish momentum is likely to continue.
🧭 Scenario-Based Outlook
Bullish continuation:
If price retraces into the marked 15M FVG + OB or deeper 15M OB and produces a clear bullish reaction, the next upside reference would be the recent high and potentially the 4,370 liquidity area.
Alternative scenario:
A decisive breakdown through the lower 15M OB, followed by sustained acceptance below it, would weaken the bullish structure and invalidate the continuation thesis shown on the chart.
🧠 Educational Takeaway
The setup demonstrates:
Market Structure Shift → bullish displacement → FVG/OB formation → retracement → confirmation → potential continuation
The highlighted zones should be treated as areas of interest rather than guaranteed reversal levels. Confirmation from subsequent price action is important.
Disclaimer: This publication is for educational and technical-analysis purposes only. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Market conditions can change rapidly; conduct your own research and use appropriate risk management.
#XAUUSD #Gold #PriceAction #MarketStructure #FVG #OrderBlock #SMC #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingEducation
























