OIL Short TradFIEntry: 80.45 - market sell
TP: 74,00
SL: 82,75
RR: 1:3
Risk per trade: 0.4% of the total deposit
Position size: 15% of the total deposit
ShortChart Patterns
Short
Nifty strategy for todayNifty may open on flat note around at 24570 levels as per sgx nifty in today session.The major domestic events driving the Indian stock market (NSE/BSE) for the week of August 10–14, 2026, are the highly anticipated July consumer inflation data, the final leg of the Q1 FY27 corporate earnings season, and volatile crude oil movements fueled by global conflicts and also escalated U.S and Iran conflicts so investors and traders keep percieve all these events data and trade with strict stop losses. I am expecting nifty may consolidated between 25000 to 24300 levels in this week if nifty closed either above or below those levels it will touched 26300 at upside and 23700 levels in coming days.
Nifty trading levels :
Sell price :24620
stop loss :24679
1st target :24520
2nd target : 24426
Stock of the day :Icici bank in this stock evening star formation formed at higher levels on daily charts which bearish formation so I am expecting further downside in this stock.
sell price :1434
stop loss :1452
1st target :1405
2nd target :1380
Disclaimer : I am not a SEBI Research Analyst please take advise from your financial advisor before take position based on my recommendation.
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Please drop a comment on whether my recommendation is useful and correct my mistakes
Gold prices are consolidating at high levels. The upward trend Gold prices are consolidating at high levels.
The upward trend remains solid, but a short-term pullback is expected.
Strategy:
1. Aggressively short in the morning session
When gold prices rebound to the $4355-$4365 range in the morning session, a small short position can be established.
Entry point: Short in batches within the $4355-$4365 range
Stop-loss: $4382 (must be strictly controlled to prevent sudden risk aversion)
Target levels: First target $4320 (reduce position to break-even), second target $4305 (close position)
2. Core intraday strategy: The most likely strategy today is to go long when gold prices pull back to support levels.
$4300-$4310 is a key support/resistance level after last Friday's breakout,
and also the lifeline for the bulls.
Entry Point: Place buy orders in batches between 4300-4310
Stop Loss: 4282 (set below the strong support level of 4280)
Target Levels: First target: 4350 (reduce position to break-even)
Second target: 4378-4385
If the price unexpectedly retraces significantly to the 4280-4285 area (Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level),
the stop loss can be extended to 4265, and long positions can be increased,
the target price is 4310. This trade has an extremely high risk-reward ratio.
The bullish fundamentals remain unchanged: July non-farm payrolls unexpectedly decreased by 23,000, and the probability of a Fed rate hike in September has fallen to 44%,
a weaker dollar continues to support gold prices.
Geopolitical risks persist: Iran has raised its demands in negotiations in the Strait of Hormuz;
Houthi attacks on Saudi oil refineries could exacerbate safe-haven demand at any time.
The biggest variable this week: Wednesday's US CPI data will determine whether gold prices surge directly to $4400,
or consolidate first.
In summary: As long as $4300 holds, the upward trend will continue.
Today's core strategy is "buy low, sell high,"
trading within the $4300-$4370 range.
Patiently wait for the right entry point.
Strict stop-loss orders are crucial; maintain small position sizes.
The biggest profit opportunity of the week is yet to come!
AUDNZD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDNZD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.199.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.194 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
EURUSD 15M: Potential Rejection from 1.15592–1.15640 ResistanceEURUSD is showing a short-term recovery after consolidating around the 1.15500 area. Price is approaching the marked 1.15592–1.15640 resistance zone, where a potential bearish rejection is anticipated.
🔹 Resistance: 1.15592 / 1.15640
🔹 Current price: 1.15548
🔹 Potential downside target: 1.15420
🔹 Setup: Sell on rejection from resistance
🔹 Invalidation: Sustained breakout above 1.15640
Scenario: If EURUSD pushes into the resistance zone and prints bearish confirmation, price could retrace toward 1.15420
ALM: Descending Wedge, MACD Indication, Levels to Watch!Hello Community,
welcome to my new analysis about ALM from a daily timeframe perspective. In recent times, I have spotted interesting setups in the stock market that have the potential to be the origin of profitable trading opportunities. One of them is ALM, the stock recently formed an interesting formation with strong potential to increase momentum next.
Looking at my chart, we can see how ALM forms this descending wedge formation. Within this formation, it has already completed the wave count and bounced within the lower boundary of the formation. ALM also has support within the 300-EMA marked in green and the 200-EMA marked in grey.
From a global perspective, ALM is forming this descending wedge formation, which is essentially a bullish continuation formation in this case. The breakout above the upper boundary will finally complete this formation and activate the upper target zones. The MACD descending wedge also supports this scenario for the upcoming times.
In this manner, thank you a lot for watching!
The support is highly appreciated.
VP
BTC Trade Setup: Breakout Above Range OR Deep Liquidity Sweep?BTC/USD 🌍
The macro narrative heading into this week is dominated by shifting institutional risk appetite and upcoming U.S. macroeconomic liquidity updates 🏦. Interestingly, general online sentiment is heavily leaning bullish as retail chases breakouts near local highs, suggesting a potential liquidity hunt and fakeout before the true institutional move takes shape.
Looking strictly at our technical market structure, we are seeing a balanced auction compressing near the top of the range 📈. Applying Wyckoffian principles, price is testing the upper boundary of the Value Area High (VAH) around $65,100 within an ongoing re-accumulation phase. Widespread community chatter is clamoring for an immediate continuation higher, but the descending channel overlay hints that late buyers could easily get trapped if auction acceptance above $65,400 fails to materialize 📉.
Key Zone: High-volume node confluence resides at the Point of Control (POC) around $64,096, while the upper boundary of the Value Area rests at $65,105 📉.
We are currently trading at the upper boundary of this balanced range, right on the precipice of value discovery. I am watching for a run on liquidity to sweep the late long positions across various social forums 🧹. If price breaks upward, I want to see a clean Break of Structure (BoS) above $65,400, followed by a retest of the range high to confirm acceptance before jumping in. Conversely, if price gets rejected back inside value, I will step aside and let it trade down through the high-volume node at the POC toward the Value Area Low (VAL) near $62,860. Once down at the lower value extreme, I'll be waiting for a bullish BoS and structural change to trigger long positions, avoiding mid-range chop altogether.
My Trade Plan 🎯
Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish (Patience required for structural confirmation).
Entry Protocol: Scenario A) Wait for a clean BoS above $65,400, followed by a pullback/retest of the former range resistance to confirm acceptance before buying. Scenario B) If price rejects back into value, allow price to slide all the way to the VAL near $62,860, entering long only upon a clear H1 bullish BoS. Absolutely no trades near the POC ($64,096).
Long
XAUUSD: The Box DecidesA breakout from the consolidation box in either direction is likely to drive price toward the next key level.
The preferred entry comes after breakout confirmation on both the 15M and 5M timeframes.
If price tests the upper boundary and confirms it as resistance, a short position targeting the lower boundary of the box presents a high-probability setup.
EUR/USD — Can Buyers Break the Final Barrier?
🏆EUR/USD continues to hold a strong bullish structure after the sharp recovery from the lower demand areas. Price has pushed back into a key resistance zone and is now consolidating around it, making the next breakout or rejection especially important.
🔱Previously:
📈 Bullish scenario
If buyers break and hold above the current resistance zone, we could see the bullish move continue toward the next higher area. A clean breakout would confirm that buyers remain in control and could open the door for further upside.
📉 Bearish scenario
If the current zone rejects price and sellers take control, EUR/USD could move back toward the lower demand zone. A breakdown through that support would increase the probability of a deeper correction toward the next downside areas.
Overall, the structure remains bullish, but price is currently at a major decision point. The reaction around this zone should give us the clearest signal for the next move.
Key Gold Trading SignalsOn the 4-hour chart, the upper Bollinger Band is tightening under pressure, and price action has repeatedly faced resistance and pulled back after testing highs; the KDJ indicator has formed a bearish cross at high levels and is trending downward, signaling a technical consolidation on the 4-hour timeframe, while the hourly chart shows a weak, oscillating trend in the short term.
Gold Signal Reference: Buying support zone at $4,312–$4,280; resistance zone at $4,357–$4,377.
Short
XAU/USD (Gold): Seeking Retracement After Strong Resistance RejThe 4-hour chart on XAU/USD (Gold) indicates price running directly into a major Daily & 4-Hour Resistance Zone ($4,340 – $4,375), producing clear, aggressive upper-wick rejections.
After an explosive bullish expansion, the market is overextended. A corrective wave toward lower discount levels is needed to rebalance price action before any potential continuation.
Technical Rationale & Reasons for the Downside Scenario
4H / 1D Major Supply & Rejection Zone ($4,340 – $4,375): Buyers failed to hold above $4,350, leaving multiple long upper wicks. This indicates strong selling pressure and institutional profit-taking at key daily resistance.
Overextended Momentum & Need for Healthy Retracement: The rapid upward move left liquidity imbalances and fair value gaps below. A pull-back will clean up sell-side liquidity and rebalance the chart.
Dynamic Support Alignment: Target 3 coincides with key historical breakout structure and the rising 100 EMA (~$4,141), providing strong confluence for a complete corrective cycle.
Downside Targets
First Target Zone ($4,230 – $4,250): Initial structural support and local swing low consolidation area.
Second Target Zone ($4,160 – $4,175): Mid-range reaction zone and intermediate demand block.
Third Target Zone ($4,100 – $4,110): Key high-timeframe structural support level, aligned near the 100 EMA.
Disclaimer: This trade analysis is for educational and idea-sharing purposes only and is not financial advice. Always manage your risk carefully using strict position sizing and stop losses.
Short
AUD/CAD BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CAD pair is trading in a local downtrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going down too. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 0.991 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their PulseWire charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
DJIA Futures: Ascending Trend-Channel, Next Formation to Watch!Hello Community,
welcome to my new analysis of DJIA Futures from a daily timeframe perspective. The DJIA recently showed strong bullish momentum, surging higher. Investors' need to hedge against major crises increased substantially, boosting demand for stocks and reflected in overall stock prices. Now, I consider the underlying dynamics which are important to watch out for in the upcoming times.
When looking at my chart now, we can see how the DJIA is trading within this continued uptrend channel. Within the lower boundary, it has major support as it has bounced within the boundary already several times in the past. Now, in the recent weeks, it completed this local wedge formation with the breakout above the boundary increasing substantial bullish momentum.
The next formation the DJIA is forming now is this continuation triangle formation. Currently, the DJIA builds up support above the 54000 level with the potential to break out further. If the DJIA should drop below this level, then a possible revisiting of the lower ascending boundary could be possible. Nonetheless, the trend remains upward. A breakout above the upper boundary could accelerate the trend massively.
In this manner, thank you a lot for watching!
The support is highly appreciated.
VP
DXYDXY BULLISH BIAS
DXY is currently sitting at and retesting a strong demand zone. This area has previously attracted strong buying pressure, and the successful retest indicates that buyers may be defending the zone.
The reaction from this demand area is showing signs of bullish momentum, suggesting potential further upside for the US Dollar.
Positioning data also supports the bullish view, with position traders currently holding long positions, adding further confidence to the bullish DXY outlook.
Overall Bias: BULLISH 📈
I will look for continued bullish momentum and confirmation that DXY is holding above the demand zone.
Long
MESU Aug 10: 7796 Breakout or 7742 Breakdown?MESU starts CPI week trading between important liquidity levels.
On the upside, 7,820 remains the main higher-time-frame liquidity target.
On the downside, the first important levels are 7,723 and 7,681.
For intraday confirmation, I’m watching 7,796 and 7,742 closely.
A confirmed 15-minute close above 7,796 could support continuation toward 7,820.
A confirmed 1-hour close below 7,742 could open the door toward 7,723 first, with 7,681 as the deeper downside target.
Key levels
7,796 — bullish trigger
7,820 — upside liquidity target
7,742 — downside trigger
7,723 — first downside target
7,681 — deeper downside target
With CPI later this week, I’m avoiding chasing price and waiting for confirmation at the key levels.
Not financial advice. No confirmation, no trade. CME_MINI:MESU2026
Short
BTC/SPX – A Repeating Cycle Structure?I have been looking at Bitcoin relative to the S&P 500 rather than only looking at BTC/USD, and there is an interesting pattern developing on the BTC/SPX weekly chart.
This is not meant as a prediction. There are only two completed cycles to compare, so the sample size is obviously very small. But the similarities in price, timing and drawdown structure are worth watching.
The repeating structure:
In the previous two major cycles, BTC/SPX formed an initial bottom during Q2, around June, before eventually making its final cycle low later in the year.
What caught my attention is the timing.
From that first June/Q2 bottom, it took approximately:
26–29 weeks → final BTC/SPX bottom
Both previous cycles therefore followed a broadly similar sequence:
Cycle Top → Q2/June first bottom → relief/retest → continued weakness → final bottom ~26–29 weeks later
The current cycle appears to be developing along a very similar path.
We have already seen the first Q2 bottom around June 2026, and BTC/SPX is now trading back near the lower part of the range.
If the previous timing repeats, counting approximately 26–29 weeks from the June bottom would point toward a potential final relative-strength low around November 2026 / early December 2026.
The drawdowns are interesting too
There is another pattern I'm watching.
The first major BTC/SPX cycle declined approximately −83%
The following cycle declined approximately −74%
That's roughly a 9–10 percentage-point reduction in drawdown severity from one cycle to the next.
So, I am exploring the possibility of another ~10 percentage-point improvement:
−83% → −74% → ~−64%?
Importantly, −64% is not the current completed drawdown and I'm not claiming that it has to happen. It is my projection based on the previous progression.
Interestingly, that scenario would fit reasonably well with the price structure shown on the chart.
My ideal scenario would be for BTC/SPX to move below the 0.25 level, briefly deviate underneath it, and then reclaim 0.25.
That would potentially give us three pieces of confluence:
1. Time: approximately 26–29 weeks after the first Q2/June bottom
2. Drawdown: approximately −64%, continuing the ~10 percentage-point improvement between cycles
3. Structure: deviation below the 0.25 level followed by a reclaim
That combination would be much more interesting to me than simply buying because the ratio touched 0.25.
The potential bottom I'm looking for would therefore represent a possible turning point in Bitcoin's relative performance against equities, rather than necessarily the exact BTC/USD bottom.
What I'd really like to see is:
BTC/SPX trades below 0.25 → reaches roughly the projected −64% drawdown region → reclaims 0.25 → weekly structure begins turning bullish.
If that happens around the 26–29-week window from the June Q2 bottom, the similarities with the previous two cycles become considerably more compelling.
Until then, this is just a historical pattern I'm tracking.
Two historical examples are not enough to establish a statistically reliable cycle, and there is no reason the third occurrence has to behave exactly like the previous two.
But the combination of Q2 timing, 26–29 weeks to the final low, progressively shallower drawdowns and similar relative-price structure makes BTC/SPX one of the more interesting charts I'm watching into the end of 2026.
History doesn't have to repeat, but let's see if it rhymes one more time.
XAUUSD Bullish Setup: Long Opportunity Near Key Support ZoneGold (XAUUSD) is showing strong bullish momentum on the 1-hour chart, currently holding above key EMA dynamic support levels.
Trade Details:
- Entry Zone: 4330
- Take Profit (TP): 4385
- Stop Loss (SL): 4305
Analysis & Logic:
1. Price has reacted strongly off the lower demand level and structure.
2. EMA alignment supports a continued upward expansion toward the liquidity high at 4385.
3. Favorable risk-to-reward ratio for this long setup.
Manage your risk according to your trading plan!
Long
EURUSD H1: Sellers Are Starting to Regain ControlAfter a strong breakout from the previous consolidation zone, EURUSD made a quick move higher but failed to sustain momentum at elevated levels. Price is now showing increasingly weaker rebounds and continues to face downside pressure, suggesting that buyers are beginning to lose their post-breakout advantage.
EURUSD is currently trading close to EMA34, while the EMA89 area below is becoming an important support level to watch. If price continues to weaken and breaks below the 1.1535–1.1540 area, I expect selling pressure to extend and push EURUSD back toward the 1.1520–1.1525 support zone.
The bearish scenario would weaken if price regains momentum, breaks clearly above the nearest short-term high, and holds back above the 1.1565–1.1570 area.
This scenario reflects my personal market assessment only. Please make your trading decisions based on your own analysis.
Wishing you successful trading!
Short
USDJPY - BEARISH BIAS USDJPY - BEARISH BIAS
~ WEEKLY - Price is at all time high and we can see market is trying to change direction after clearing a big bearish engulfing candle.
~ DAILY - We wait for price to pull back to the AOI which is a strong fib level, within psychological levels and multiple rejections making it a valid zone to react from.
Overall, I have a bearish bias as seen across multiple timeframes such as Weekly, Daily and 4HR.
As price moves up to my AOI, I will wait for my confirmations across multiple timeframes to see how it reacts!
#swingtrader #tradingeducation #mjswings #forextrading #tradingstrategy
Short
Gold: Major Supply Opens a Short-Term Pullback SetupGold has rallied aggressively into the 4,350–4,370 supply zone, but buyers are now struggling to extend above the recent highs. The latest reaction suggests that upside momentum is beginning to fade exactly where sellers previously became active.
This creates a tactical short setup rather than a broad bearish call on gold.
Trade Plan
Entry: 4,337
Stop Loss: 4,384
Take Profit 1: 4,311
Take Profit 2: 4,244
The stop is placed above the current supply zone and recent liquidity highs. A sustained move above 4,384 would invalidate the setup and confirm that buyers have absorbed the remaining supply.
Why This Level Matters
The 4,350–4,370 region is the first meaningful resistance area after the latest vertical rally. Price has already reacted from this zone, while the latest candles show weaker follow-through on subsequent attempts higher.
The first target at 4,311 sits inside the nearest demand area. This is where I would expect the first meaningful buyer response if the pullback develops.
TP2 at 4,244 aligns with the broader demand structure and the origin of the latest impulsive move.
Market Context
Gold remains fundamentally supported, which is why this setup should be treated as a correction rather than a trend reversal. Bullion is holding near a seven-week high after weak U.S. employment data reduced expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hike in September. Spot gold was around $4,345 on Monday, while the dollar remained near a two-month low.
The next major catalyst is U.S. inflation data. CPI is due Wednesday, followed by PPI on Thursday, and a softer inflation print could further reduce Fed tightening expectations and quickly restore upside pressure in gold.
That creates an important contrast: technicals favor a short-term pullback, while the macro backdrop remains supportive for gold overall.
Trading Scenarios
Bearish: Continued rejection below 4,360 keeps the correction scenario active toward 4,311, followed by 4,244 if the first demand zone fails.
Bullish: A clean break above 4,384 invalidates the short and would suggest that momentum remains strong enough to push through supply.
For now, I prefer treating this as a mean-reversion setup from resistance rather than betting against gold’s broader trend.
Short
SPY Is Coiling Under 776 With Conviction Fading.SPY Is Coiling Under 776 With Conviction Fading.
The trend is intact but a warning is building. SPY has held near its high, trading 774, still just under the 776.81 level - but the 4H conviction surface has cooled to bottom-quartile even as price holds the highs. That divergence, price at the highs while conviction fades, is the same pattern that preceded earlier turns. An NR7 is compressing here too. The trend line at 765 still holds, so this is not a reversal - but it is the first caution flag since the breakout. Neutral.
Resistance: 776.81 - the high
Key resistance: 778.00 - open air above
Current price: 773.94
Support: 769.04 - first support
Key support: 765.71 - the trend line
Structural floor: 759.67 - the prior high
Two paths from here:
It breaks 776.81 and the divergence resolves up. If SPY pushes through 776.81 and the surface rotates back up, the fade was just a pause and the trend continues to 778. Price can pull conviction back up when it breaks.
The fading conviction caps it. Bottom-quartile conviction at the highs plus an NR7 is exactly the setup that has capped SPY before. A rejection at 776.81 and a loss of 765 would signal the rest the whole board looks due for. The divergence is the tell.
SPY is coiling under 776.81 with conviction fading at the highs - the first real caution since the breakout. Above 776.81 the trend resumes; a break of 765 with this divergence would be the start of the pullback. Watching the surface.
Built with SYNTHESIS v3.3 | SOM / ACE / IMP / SYNTHESIS
Study, not financial advice.
BTC Held The Breakout Over The Weekend.BTC Held The Breakout Over The Weekend.
The retest held. BTC spent the weekend holding above the 65,033 breakout level - it did not fall back into the range, and it even nudged a higher high at 65,426. Price is now consolidating right at 65,033, trading 65,021, with the level flipping from ceiling to support as a breakout should. The caveat is that it is stretched: ATR is at the 100th percentile and an NR7 is compressing, so a move is loading. The breakout is holding but has not yet extended. Neutral.
Resistance: 65,426 - the weekend high
Key resistance: 65,890 - next shelf up
Current price: 65,021
Support: 65,033.53 - the breakout level, now support
Key support: 64,759.19 - first shelf below
Structural floor: 64,400.89 - the old range top
Two paths from here:
It holds 65,033 and the NR7 resolves up. A breakout that holds its level and consolidates without giving it back usually resolves higher. A push through 65,426 opens 65,890 and confirms the breakout. Holding above the reclaimed level is constructive.
The NR7 resolves down and it fails back. Compression cuts both ways, and BTC is stretched at the 100th-percentile ATR. A loss of 65,033, then 64,759, would put the false-break risk back in play. The level has to keep holding.
BTC held its breakout over the weekend - the retest passed its first test. 65,033 holding keeps it constructive; the NR7 says the next move is close. Above the level the breakout builds; losing it reopens the range.
Built with SYNTHESIS v3.3 | SOM / ACE / IMP / SYNTHESIS
Study, not financial advice.
