XAUUSD POV📊 XAUUSD 4H — Simple Market Analysis
Gold made a strong bullish move and is now approaching our potential selling area around 4,361. Since price is already near resistance, this is not a good area to chase buys.
For now, I’m watching how price reacts around this zone. If we get a clear rejection and bearish confirmation, a pullback toward 4,287 may be possible.
If price continues lower, the 4,060–4,100 area is our potential buying zone — but observe first and wait for confirmation. The major support below remains around 4,001.
The goal is simple: don’t predict, react. Don’t force a trade just because price reached a level.
⚠️ Risk Reminder: Trade only with money you can reasonably afford to risk or lose. CFDs are highly risky, and losses can happen quickly. Always use proper risk management and never risk capital you need for your daily expenses.
Wait for the level. Wait for confirmation. Execute only when your criteria are complete. 📈
Chart Patterns
EURCAD - Trading The Range!EURCAD has been trading within a large range, with price repeatedly rotating between well-defined support and resistance levels. 📊
📌 Price is now retesting the upper bound of the range, where a major resistance zone comes into focus. As long as this resistance continues to hold, we will be looking for sell setups in anticipation of another move back toward the lower boundary of the range.
This area has repeatedly attracted sellers in the past, making it a high-probability zone to monitor. Rather than selling blindly, we will wait for bearish price action confirmation before considering short positions.
Will sellers defend the range resistance once again, or is a bullish breakout finally on the horizon? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
XAUUSD – Gold Holds Strength, But 4,475 Is The Final Test XAUUSD – Gold Holds Strength, But 4,475 Is The Final Test
Gold is starting the new week with strong bullish momentum.
After the breakout from the lower accumulation range, price pushed aggressively through previous liquidity and is now trading around 4,348. The move is clean, strong, and supported by a clear bullish structure on the H2 chart.
However, gold is now approaching a major supply and liquidity area. This means buyers still have control, but the next resistance zones may create stronger reactions.
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Gold remains supported by weaker rate-hike pressure, softer USD sentiment, and continued demand for safe-haven assets.
When expectations for aggressive Fed tightening cool down, gold usually benefits because the opportunity cost of holding gold becomes lower. At the same time, geopolitical risk and central bank demand can continue to support the broader bullish view.
Still, after such a strong rally, short-term profit-taking may appear near major liquidity and supply zones. That is why the reaction around 4,423 and 4,475 will be important.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – SMC + FIBONACCI
From an SMC perspective, gold has created a strong bullish displacement after breaking above previous buyside liquidity zones.
The breakout and retest around 4,200 confirmed that buyers were in control. After that, price continued higher and formed another FVG during the bullish expansion. This shows strong demand and clean continuation.
The nearest important zone is the Final Liquidity / Major Supply area around 4,370 – 4,390. If gold can break and hold above this area, the next upside target is 4,423.
Above 4,423, the final extension target is around 4,475. This is the area where I would watch carefully for either continuation strength or a possible deeper pullback.
If price fails to hold above the major supply area, gold may correct back toward the breakout retest support near 4,200.
KEY PRICE ZONES
Current price: 4,348
Major supply zone: 4,370 – 4,390
Upper liquidity target: 4,423
Final extension target: 4,475
Breakout retest support: 4,200 – 4,220
Short-term FVG support: 4,260 – 4,275
Bullish structure valid: Above 4,200
Invalidation for bullish continuation: Below 4,200
TRADING SCENARIOS
Buy Scenario – Continuation View
Buy Zone: 4,260 – 4,275
Entry: Bullish reaction, FVG retest, liquidity sweep, or lower-timeframe CHoCH
SL: Below the nearest swing low
TP1: 4,370 – 4,390
TP2: 4,423
TP3: 4,475
Breakout Buy Scenario
Condition: Gold breaks and holds above 4,390
Entry: Retest and bullish confirmation
Target: 4,423 first, then 4,475 if momentum continues
Sell Scenario – Reaction From Major Supply
Sell Zone: 4,370 – 4,390 or 4,423 – 4,475
Entry: Bearish rejection, failed breakout, or lower-timeframe bearish CHoCH
TP1: 4,300
TP2: 4,260
TP3: 4,200
Invalidation: If price breaks and holds above 4,475, the sell reaction idea becomes weaker.
MY VIEW
Gold is clearly bullish right now.
The breakout from the lower range was strong, and buyers have already taken control of the short-term structure. However, price is now approaching a major supply and liquidity zone, so I do not want to chase blindly at the top.
The cleaner plan is to watch how gold reacts around 4,370 – 4,390. If buyers break through this zone, the path toward 4,423 and 4,475 remains open.
If rejection appears, a pullback toward the FVG or breakout retest support would be healthier before the next move.
For now, buyers still have the advantage — but 4,475 will be the final test for this bullish wave.
Do you think gold can push through 4,423 and reach 4,475, or will sellers defend the major supply zone first?
Gold is set for range-bound trading!
For short-term trading today, significant volatility is not expected. Regarding potential long positions, the primary entry point to consider remains near the 4310 level; one should guard against a drop below the 4290 support zone. For these long positions, taking profit near the 4350–4360 range is advisable.
For short positions, look to the 4360–4370 resistance zone—a critical level determining whether the bullish trend can extend further. Given the current lack of momentum for a sustained rally, entering short positions near this resistance level is a viable strategy; place a stop-loss at 4390 to protect against a continued unilateral rebound, and aim to take profit near the 4320–4310 range.
GBPUSD 30M: Potential Rejection After Strong Bullish SpikeGBPUSD has made a sharp bullish move and is consolidating near the 1.3500 psychological area. The chart suggests a potential push toward 1.3505 before a bearish retracement.
🔹 Current price: 1.34964
🔹 Potential rejection zone: 1.3500–1.3505
🔹 Support / target: 1.34446
🔹 Setup: Potential short after bearish confirmation
🔹 Invalidation: Sustained strength above the projected rejection area
Scenario: If price extends higher toward 1.3505 and shows rejection, sellers could drive GBPUSD lower toward the marked 1.34446 support.
BIOUSDT 12H#BIO has broken above the descending resistance and the 12H SMA100. However, the 12H candle has not yet closed above the SMA100. If the 12H candle closes above this level, the potential upside targets are:
🎯 $0.03071
🎯 $0.03349
🎯 $0.03628
🎯 $0.04025
🎯 $0.04530
⚠️ Always use a tight stop-loss and apply proper risk management.
BTCUSD — Major Supply Zone RejectionBitcoin has recovered strongly from the lower structure and is now approaching a major supply/resistance zone where sellers have repeatedly stepped in. The repeated reactions around this area make it an important decision point for the next major move.
Price is currently pressing into resistance after forming a series of higher lows during the recovery. While this shows improving short-term buying momentum, the upside remains challenged as long as BTC fails to achieve a convincing breakout above the supply zone. The previous rejections suggest that liquidity may be sitting above the recent highs, creating the possibility of a liquidity sweep followed by a bearish reversal.
If price gets rejected from the zone and sellers regain control, the marked support levels below become the key areas to monitor. A sustained move lower would confirm that the current rally was primarily a recovery into resistance rather than the beginning of a larger bullish breakout.
For the bearish setup, confirmation is important rather than entering solely on the first touch of resistance. A strong rejection candle, bearish follow-through, and loss of nearby short-term structure would provide stronger evidence that sellers are taking control.
However, the bearish scenario has a clear invalidation point. Break and hold above the supply zone would invalidate the bearish setup and signal the start of a bullish continuation. If BTC breaks through resistance with strong momentum and successfully retests the zone as support, sellers could be trapped and the market may begin expanding higher.
NZD/USD in Consolidation Range While Determining TrendNZD/USD OANDA:NZDUSD extended its pullback from monthly highs (above the 0.5900 level) and traded lower around the 0.5880 area (down 0.20% for the day) during Monday's Asian session.
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✅ Transatlantic Monetary Dynamics: Fading US NFP Impact vs. RBNZ Hawkish Stance
The exchange rate balance is anchored by diverging central bank expectations ahead of US inflation data:
- Post-NFP Safe-Haven USD Strength: The initial sell-off in the US Dollar following Friday's disappointing Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report has fully reversed. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven a recovery in the US Dollar as a primary safe-haven asset. Markets are now turning their attention to this week's US CPI release to gauge the Federal Reserve's policy path.
- RBNZ Hawkish Support: The NZD's downside is cushioned against a steep drop by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) firm stance. Expectations that the RBNZ will maintain high benchmark interest rates for longer to curb domestic inflation are providing resilience to the New Zealand Dollar.
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✅ 4-Hour (H4) Chart Technical Analysis
Technically, on the 4-hour (H4) chart, NZD/USD is moving sideways (range-bound) within a one-week consolidation corridor:
- Consolidation Range Pattern: NZD/USD is trapped between a floor at 0.5860 and a ceiling at 0.5920. It is prudent to await a confirmed breakout or breakdown on either side before executing aggressive directional trades.
- Confirmation of 0.5860 Breakdown: A clean break and H4 candle close below 0.5860 would confirm the invalidation of the daily recovery and pave the way for an accelerated decline toward the next macro support base in the 0.5815 range.
ZAHID – Positional Trade SetupZAHID is showing an Inverse Head & Shoulders formation, which can indicate a potential bullish reversal if the pattern confirms with sustained buying above resistance.
🎯 Trade Plan
🟢 Entry: 74.60
🛑 Stop Loss: 67.06
Short-Term Targets
🎯 T1: 79.00
🎯 T2: 82.00
Medium-Term Targets
🎯 T3: 87.00
🎯 T4: 93.00
Swing Targets
🎯 T5: 102.00
🎯 T6: 115.00
🚀 Positional Final Target: 150.00
💰 Potential upside from entry: ~101%
📌 Technical View:
The inverse Head & Shoulders structure provides the bullish setup. A sustained breakout above the pattern's neckline would strengthen the reversal case. Once the breakout is confirmed, the stock can potentially move through the short-, medium- and swing-term targets toward the 150 positional objective.
⚠️ Risk Management: Strictly maintain SL at 67.06. Consider booking partial profits at each target and trail the stop loss as the trade progresses.
XAUUSD: 5M Breakdown SetupThis analysis was performed on the 5M and published on the 15M .
A consolidation box has formed on the 5-minute timeframe.
If price breaks above the upper boundary, an aggressive long position may be considered due to the higher risk.
However, the primary trading scenario is a confirmed breakdown below the lower boundary of the consolidation box.
A break below the channel support would also activate a lower downside target, allowing the position to be held toward the bottom of the 1-hour box while managing risk with a break-even stop.
ZENUSDT — CRITICAL SUPPORT RETEST! Is a Major Reversal?📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
💵 Coin: LSE:ZEN / #ZEN
⌛ Time Frame: 1W
📍 Current Price: ~4.22 USDT
📉 Pattern: Major Horizontal Support / Long-Term Accumulation Zone
🟨 Yellow Support Block: 4.23 – 3.23 USDT
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🟨🛡️ MAJOR SUPPORT ZONE — 4.23–3.23
🟢 ZEN is currently retesting a major support zone that has acted as an important price reaction area several times throughout its history. 📊
🟢 4.23–3.23 is a key area because it sits near several historical lows on the Weekly timeframe. 🕯️📉
🟡 This area should be viewed as a zone, rather than a single support line. Therefore, a temporary wick or dip inside the yellow block does not automatically mean a breakdown. ⚠️
🟢 As long as this zone continues to hold, there is a possibility that sellers may begin losing momentum while buyers could return to accumulate. 🐂🔥
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📉🔻 LONG-TERM STRUCTURE
🔴 After reaching its major peak in 2021, ZEN entered a long-term bearish/downtrend structure, gradually forming lower highs. 📉
🔴 However, price is now returning toward the lower part of this structure, specifically around the major historical support. 🎯
🟡 This makes the 4.23–3.23 area a very interesting zone to watch because it represents a major decision area between buyers and sellers. ⚔️🐂🐻
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🟢🚀 BULLISH SCENARIO — POTENTIAL REVERSAL
🟢 The bullish scenario becomes increasingly interesting if ZEN manages to hold the 4.23–3.23 zone and begins forming bullish rejection on the Weekly timeframe. 🕯️📈
🟢 An early confirmation could come if price reclaims 4.23 and manages to hold above it. 🔄⬆️
🎯 Resistance 1: ~5.10 USDT
🎯 Resistance 2: ~6.85 USDT
🎯 Resistance 3: ~11.55 USDT
🔥 If 5.10 is successfully broken with strong momentum, the recovery toward 6.85 could become more likely. 🚀
🚀 If 6.85 is then broken, the next major area to watch would be around 11.55, which represents a major resistance level on the chart. 📈🔥
📈 From around 4.22 toward 5.10, the potential move is approximately +21%.
📈 Toward 6.85, approximately +62%.
📈 Toward 11.55, approximately +174%. 🚀🚀
⚠️ These levels represent potential technical resistance/targets, not a guarantee that price will reach them. 🧠📊
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🔴⚠️ BEARISH SCENARIO — SUPPORT FAILS
🔴 The bullish scenario would weaken if ZEN decisively loses the major support block at 4.23–3.23. 📉
🔴 If price breaks below 3.23 and a Weekly candle closes below this zone, the long-term support structure could potentially experience a breakdown. 💥⬇️
⚠️ In that situation, the area around 3.14 becomes an important historical low visible on the chart and a key level to monitor next. 🎯
🔻 A breakdown accompanied by strong volume would be more bearish than simply seeing a temporary wick below the zone. 📊🔴
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🔄📐 PATTERN IDENTIFIED
📌 Major Horizontal Support / Long-Term Support Zone 🟨
📌 The chart shows that ZEN has experienced a major decline from its historical high and is now returning toward a long-term support area. 📉➡️🟨
📌 The 4.23–3.23 zone could become a major DECISION ZONE. ⚔️
📌 🟢 If buyers manage to defend the zone → the potential for a reversal / relief rally increases. 🚀🐂
📌 🔴 If sellers successfully break below the zone → the probability of continuation of the long-term bearish structure increases. 📉🐻
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👀🎯 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
🟨 4.23–3.23 → 🛡️ Major Support Zone
🟡 5.10 → 🚧 First Major Resistance
🟠 6.85 → 🎯 Next Resistance
🔴 11.55 → 🏆 Major Resistance / Long-Term Recovery Level
⚠️ 3.23 → 🚨 Important Lower Boundary of the Support Block
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🧠🔥 CONCLUSION
🔥 ZEN is currently sitting in a very interesting technical area. 👀📊
🟢 Price is retesting the major long-term support zone at 4.23–3.23. 🟨🛡️
🟢 If buyers manage to defend this zone and produce a Weekly bullish rejection, the potential recovery toward 5.10 → 6.85 → 11.55 could begin to open up. 🚀📈
🔴 On the other hand, a Weekly breakdown below 3.23 would be a warning that the major support has failed, potentially allowing the bearish structure to continue. ⚠️📉
👀 The key is simple: watch the 4.23–3.23 zone. 🔑
🔥 HOLD THE ZONE = REVERSAL POTENTIAL. 🐂🚀
⚠️ LOSE THE ZONE = BEARISH CONTINUATION RISK. 🐻📉
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#ZEN #Horizen #ZENUSDT #Crypto #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #Altcoins #AltcoinAnalysis #SupportResistance #Bullish #Bearish #CryptoMarket
ALUM: Third Rejection Signals a Potential Pullback 📊 ALUM: Third Rejection Signals a Potential Pullback 📉
🏛️ The Fundamentals
ALUM's valuation is becoming increasingly expensive after the strong rally. ⚠️
The elevated valuation is now reflected in the technical structure, making a pullback a healthy possibility. 📊
🧠 The Pulse
ALUM has rejected the Order Block below the ATH around 26.42 for the third time. 📉
This increases the probability of a pullback to cool the indicators and build momentum for another breakout attempt. 🔄
The key level to watch is 24.48 for a potential reaction. 👀
For long-term investors, the stronger accumulation area is around 23.51. 🎯
🧱 The Key Structural Boundaries
Key Reaction Level: 24.48. 📊
Long-Term Entry Zone: Around 23.51. 🛡️
Stop Loss: Break below 22.50. 🛑
First Target: ATH around 26.42. 🎯
Second Target: Fair value around 28.50. 📈
Long-Term Target: Around 33.00. 🚀
☪️ Sharia Compliance
Status: Compliant ✅
Reason: ALUM's core business is industrial aluminum manufacturing and processing, which is permissible, subject to the applicable quantitative Shariah financial screening criteria.
⚖️ The Verdict
The third rejection at 26.42 suggests ALUM may need a healthy pullback before attempting another breakout. 📉
I would avoid chasing the stock at current levels and instead watch 24.48 and 23.51 for potential entries. ⏳
A break below 22.50 would invalidate the current setup. 🛑
If you like my insights, follow and boost! 🙌💙🚀 🎁 $15 PulseWire Discount: www.pulsewire.com ✨💸🤑
Sideways After the Rally, 4,315–4,365 Range Is Holding PriceAfter the strong rally, XAUUSD has shifted into a short-term sideways phase, with price repeatedly trading within the 4,315–4,365 range. The upper boundary has triggered selling reactions twice, while the lower area continues to hold relatively well, showing that neither buyers nor sellers currently have enough control to break the structure.
In the current context, I expect XAUUSD to remain range-bound for a while longer, with price likely rotating between resistance around 4,360–4,365 and support around 4,315–4,320. As long as neither boundary is broken decisively, the sideways structure remains the main scenario.
The ranging phase would end if price closes clearly outside the 4,315–4,365 zone and manages to hold beyond the range. Only then would the market have a stronger basis for developing a clearer directional move.
This scenario reflects my personal market assessment only. Please make your trading decisions based on your own analysis.
Wishing you successful trading!
BTC: Best Short‑Selling OpportunityBTC has risen above 65K in the short term. The downtrend has weakened but is not over. In the long run, BTC remains in a downtrend; breaking below 60K is only a matter of time.
Therefore we should go short on rallies during BTC’s upward moves. It will be difficult for BTC to climb back above 70K this year. The low may fall below 40K or even lower, so long‑term short positions can bring significantly larger profits. The market is currently trading within the 65K‑66K zone, which presents a suitable short‑selling chance. I will guide you to gain substantial profits!
Trading carries great risks. Trade under professional guidance to avoid account losses. I will keep providing accurate strategies.
Gold Short‑Term Market Analysis & StrategFollowing last week’s much‑weaker‑than‑expected Non‑Farm Payrolls data, gold prices surged sharply. The medium‑term overall bullish trend is firmly established. However, the short‑term market is clearly overbought, and large volumes of short‑term profit‑taking positions may exit for realization at any time. No high‑impact economic data is due for release today, and price action is expected to remain in a choppy consolidation pattern.
Near‑term overhead resistance lies at 4345‑4365, with stronger resistance further up at the 4380‑4400 highs. Near‑term downside support is at 4315‑4300, which serves as the intraday bullish defense level. The critical pivot support zone stands at 4290‑4275.
Short‑term Trading Strategy
On rebound: Sell if price faces resistance within 4340‑4360 and fails to break higher.
Targets: 4315‑4300
On pullback: Go long if price stabilizes within 4300‑4310.
GBP/USD 1H — Bullish Breakout & Continuation SetupGBP/USD is showing a strong bullish breakout structure on the 1H chart. Price has pushed above the descending resistance trendline and is currently consolidating just below the 1.3506–1.3508 resistance zone.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Current price: ~1.3492
Major resistance: 1.3506–1.3508
Near-term support: 1.3480
Pullback zone: 1.3469–1.3474
Trendline support: around 1.3450–1.3460
Bullish target: 1.3508+
Next upside area: 1.3520–1.3530
The breakout candle came with a clear volume expansion, suggesting increased buyer participation. Price is also trading above the Ichimoku cloud, keeping the short-term structure bullish.
📈 Possible Next Move
Bullish scenario:
A controlled pullback toward 1.3480–1.3470, followed by bullish confirmation, could provide a continuation setup toward 1.3508. A clean 1H close above 1.3508 could open the way toward 1.3520–1.3530.
Bearish invalidation:
If price loses 1.3469 and breaks the rising trendline, the breakout could weaken and a deeper retracement may develop.
BUY on bullish confirmation: 1.3470–1.3480
TP1: 1.3508
TP2: 1.3520
TP3: 1.3530
Invalidation: Below 1.3469
GBP/USD 1H: Bullish Breakout — Can 1.3508 Fall? 🚀
#GBPUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Ichimoku #Breakout #PulseWire #ForexTrading
EUR/USD 1H — Bullish Breakout & Retest SetupEUR/USD is showing a bullish structure on the 1H chart after breaking above the recent consolidation and pushing toward 1.1580. The breakout came with a noticeable volume expansion, which adds strength to the move.
Technical view:
🔹 Current price: ~1.15580
🔹 Key support: 1.1536–1.1540
🔹 Major invalidation: 1.1519–1.1527
🔹 Resistance / target 1: 1.1585–1.1590
🔹 Target 2: 1.1613
🔹 Price is holding above the Ichimoku structure, keeping the short-term bias bullish.
🔹 The rising trendline continues to support higher lows.
Possible next move
The preferred scenario is a pullback/retest toward 1.1536–1.1540, followed by a bullish continuation. If buyers defend this zone, EUR/USD could retest 1.1585–1.1590 and potentially extend toward 1.1613.
A sustained 1H close below 1.1527 would weaken the bullish setup and increase the risk of a deeper correction.
Trading idea:
🟢 Buy the pullback after bullish confirmation
🎯 TP1: 1.1585
🎯 TP2: 1.1613
🛑 Invalidation: below 1.1527
Short title:
EUR/USD: Bullish Breakout — Retest Before 1.1613?
This is technical analysis, not a guaranteed price prediction. Manage risk and wait for confirmation.
The broader backdrop also currently favors caution around USD strength: recent weak U.S. payroll data has weighed on the dollar and helped EUR/USD reach a seven-week high around 1.1580. citeturn0news22
XAUUSD H1 SMC: Ascending Channel Breakout Signals Path to 4,400+Market Structure & Trend Dynamics
Following a major liquidity sweep at the 4,000.000 Structural Low, XAUUSD initiated a strong bullish cycle marked by a primary Change of Character (CHoCH) near 4,120.000. Price action is currently respecting an ascending bullish channel (bounded by the red upper boundary and blue lower support line). Institutional momentum remains dominant as price continues to print higher highs and higher lows, validating a strong macro expansion phase.
Key SMC Zones & Order Flow
The chart highlights several critical Smart Money Concepts (SMC) elements shaping the current market structure:
Current Consolidation: Price is consolidating near 4,339.675 after printing a recent Break of Structure (BOS) above 4,320.000.
Support Confluence: The ascending blue trendline aligns perfectly with the lower demand regions, offering dynamic structural support.
FVG & Mitigation Zones: The highlighted orange FVG Supply Zone (around 4,230.000–4,250.000) and the lower gray FVG (4,080.000–4,120.000) act as major institutional interest zones where unfilled buy orders remain.
Pro-SMC Forecast & Outlook
The projected yellow path suggests a classic continuation pattern within the channel framework:
Short-Term Retracement: A brief pullback toward the dynamic blue trendline support near 4,300.000–4,320.000 is expected to sweep minor internal sell-side liquidity and rebalance local market inefficiencies.
Bullish Breakout: Upon mitigating dynamic support, institutional buying is projected to trigger a sharp expansion phase. A clean breakout above the upper red resistance line will clear liquidity above the recent 4,360.000+ peak, opening the path toward 4,400.000 and higher.
GBPUSD: Pullback remains within the bullish structureGBPUSD is holding its ground well following the previous strong rally. Although short-term volatility is possible, the 1.3483 level remains a key support area, situated near Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and the equilibrium zone of the current structure.
On the positive side, buyers are maintaining higher lows, while the 1.3520 level serves as the immediate upside target. If the price holds above 1.3483 and buying interest returns, I expect GBPUSD to resume its upward momentum and test the resistance zone above.
The backdrop of a weakening USD—following lackluster US labor data—continues to favor the GBP in the short term.
Outlook: Prioritize buying on pullbacks as long as the 1.3483 level holds; a break below this level would weaken the bullish structure.
























