Bitcoin M15 | Rising Support vs 65.4K ResistanceBTC is holding a rising trendline around the 64.8K–65K region. Price is currently near 64,931, keeping the short-term structure supported.
The main resistance area is around 65,350–65,400.
Important Levels
Support: 64,800 / 64,600
Support 2: 64,300
Major Support: 64,100
Resistance: 65,000
Resistance: 65,200
Major Resistance: 65,350–65,400
Chart Patterns
PENGU — BREAKOUT OR BREAKDOWN? CRITICAL SUPPORT UNDER PRESSURE!📊 Technical Analysis — PENGU/USDT
⏳ Time Frame: 3D
💵 Pair: CSECY:PENGU / USDT
📐 Pattern: Descending Triangle 🔻📐
🟡 Key Support Block: 0.00667 – 0.00550
📍 Current Price: around 0.00673
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📐🔻 PATTERN FORMATION — DESCENDING TRIANGLE
🔻 On the 3D chart, CSECY:PENGU appears to be forming a Descending Triangle with a fairly clear structure:
📉 The Descending TrendLine is acting as dynamic resistance, continuing to pressure the price down from the area around 0.04684.
🟡 The Horizontal Support Zone is located at 0.00667 – 0.00550, which has so far acted as an important defensive area for buyers. 🛡️
🔄 This structure shows a series of lower highs, while the price continues to retest a relatively similar support area.
⚠️ As the price moves closer to the apex of the triangle, the trading range becomes increasingly compressed, potentially increasing the probability of a breakout 🚀 / breakdown 🔻.
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🟢🚀 BULLISH SCENARIO — BREAKOUT! 📈🔥
🟢 The bullish scenario becomes more interesting if CSECY:PENGU breaks above the Descending TrendLine and produces a 3D candle close above the trendline. ✅
📈 A breakout accompanied by increasing volume 📊🔥 would provide stronger confirmation that buyers are beginning to take control of the momentum.
🎯 Resistance targets visible on the chart:
🥇 0.00850 — Initial target 🎯
🥈 0.01070 — Next resistance 🚧
🥉 0.01200 — Important resistance area 🔑
🚀 0.01330 — Further target 🎯
🔥 0.01500+ — Extended target if breakout momentum becomes stronger 🚀🚀
💥 If these resistance levels are successfully broken one by one, the medium-term bearish structure could begin transitioning into a bullish reversal. 🟢📈
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🔴⚠️ BEARISH SCENARIO — SUPPORT BREAKDOWN! 📉💥
🔴 The bearish scenario becomes active if the price fails to hold the Yellow Support Block at 0.00667 – 0.00550. 🟡➡️🔴
📉 If there is a clear 3D candle close below 0.00550, the Descending Triangle could experience a bearish breakdown. 💥🔻
⚠️ 0.00550 is a very important level to watch because it represents the lower boundary of the support block. 🛡️
🎯 If the breakdown is confirmed, the next areas to watch could be:
🔻 0.00430 — Potential next support
🔻 0.00370 — Major low visible on the chart 📍
❗ A breakdown accompanied by high volume 📊🔴 would make the bearish scenario increasingly valid.
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🟡🛡️ YELLOW SUPPORT BLOCK — 0.00667 – 0.00550
🟡 0.00667 – 0.00550
💪 This is the main defensive zone on the CSECY:PENGU chart.
🟢 As long as the price remains within or above this zone, buyers still have an opportunity to defend the current structure. 🐂🔥
🔴 On the other hand, losing 0.00550 could signal that the major support has failed, increasing the risk of further selling pressure. 📉⚠️
👀 Therefore, the 0.00667 – 0.00550 area is a very important zone to keep watching. 🔎🟡
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🔑📊 KEY CSECY:PENGU LEVELS
🟡 Support Zone: 0.00667 – 0.00550 🛡️
🔴 Major Breakdown Level: 0.00550 ⚠️
🟢 Breakout Trigger: Descending TrendLine 🚀
🎯 Target 1: 0.00850
🎯 Target 2: 0.01070
🎯 Target 3: 0.01200
🎯 Target 4: 0.01330
🚀 Extended Target: around 0.01500+
🔻 Lower Support: around 0.00430
🔻 Major Low: around 0.00370
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🧠🔥 CONCLUSION — WATCH THE BREAKOUT! 👀🚀
🐧 CSECY:PENGU is currently in an interesting area on the 3D timeframe.
📐 The Descending Triangle 🔻 structure is compressing the price toward the Yellow Support Block at 0.00667 – 0.00550.
🟢 Breakout of Descending TrendLine + 3D Close + Increasing Volume 📊🔥
➡️ Could potentially open the way toward:
🎯 0.00850 → 0.01070 → 0.01200 → 0.01330 → 0.01500+ 🚀📈
🔴 Breakdown below 0.00550 + 3D Close below support 📉💥
➡️ The bearish structure could continue, with attention toward:
🔻 0.00430 → 0.00370
👀🔥 The next major move could come from the breakout or breakdown of this structure.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🟡 0.00667 – 0.00550 🛡️
🚀 Above Descending TrendLine = Bullish Confirmation
🔻 Below 0.00550 = Bearish Confirmation
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#PENGU 🐧 #PudgyPenguins #PENGUUSDT #Crypto #Cryptocurrency #Altcoins #AltcoinSeason #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoAnalysis #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #DescendingTriangle #Breakout #Breakdown #Bullish #Bearish #Support #Resistance #CryptoTA #Trading #AltcoinAnalysis 📊🚀
BTCUSDT: The Retest Before the Next Expansion?
BTC is compressing just below the 65,100–65,300 resistance area, while maintaining a bullish higher-high/higher-low structure. The key question now is whether price gets a clean breakout or first retraces into the FVG.
📈 Market Structure
Primary structure: Bullish
Clear HH/HL sequence from the Aug 3 low.
Price remains above the rising Ichimoku structure.
Current price: ~65,044
Ichimoku reference: ~65,126
The recent consolidation looks like a bullish continuation/range structure, but confirmation is still needed.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance
65,100–65,300 → immediate breakout zone
65,600–65,750 → first major upside target
66,000–66,400 → higher resistance/target area
Support
64,800 → near-term support
64,400–64,700 → major FVG / demand zone
64,000 → deeper structural support
🎯 Preferred Long Setup
Entry zone: 🟢 64,400–64,700
Look for price to retrace into the FVG and show a bullish reaction/reclaim before entering.
Stop / invalidation: 🛑 Below 64,300 on a decisive 2H close.
Take Profits:
🎯 TP1: 65,600
🎯 TP2: 66,000
🎯 TP3: 66,300–66,400
Risk should be sized according to the distance to invalidation rather than forcing a fixed position size.
🔥 What I'm Watching
FVG: The blue 64,400–64,700 zone is the clearest technical feature on the chart and could act as a mitigation/retest area.
Breakout: A strong 2H close above 65,300, preferably accompanied by expanding volume, would strengthen the bullish continuation case.
Liquidity: The cluster of recent highs around 65,200–65,300 is an obvious area for buy-side liquidity. A brief sweep above those highs followed by a reclaim could provide additional confirmation.
Pattern: Current price action resembles a bullish consolidation/continuation structure rather than a confirmed breakout.
🟢 Bullish Scenario
BTC holds 64,400–64,700, reclaims 65,100–65,300, and establishes acceptance above the range.
➡️ 65,600 → 66,000 → 66,300/400
🔴 Bearish Scenario
BTC sweeps the local highs but fails to hold above resistance, then loses 64,800.
A decisive 2H close below 64,400 would invalidate the FVG-based bullish setup and increase the probability of a deeper retracement toward 64,000 and potentially lower.
⚠️ Setup Invalidation
The bullish thesis is not valid if BTC decisively breaks and closes below 64,300–64,400 on the 2H timeframe.
Also, don't treat a wick through the FVG as automatic confirmation. The reaction and subsequent structure matter.
🧠 Trader Psychology
The market is currently sitting between nearby resistance and a well-defined demand/FVG zone. This is where traders often get trapped chasing the first breakout.
The higher-probability approach is to let BTC show its hand: either reclaim resistance with acceptance or retrace into demand and prove buyers are defending it.
XAUUSD Bullish Retest Setup — FVG in Focus📊 ANALYSIS:
Market structure: Strong bullish HH/HL sequence following aggressive upside displacement.
Price is consolidating beneath the 4,350–4,375 resistance/supply zone, with buy-side liquidity likely above recent highs.
The marked 4,265–4,290 FVG is the first pullback area; deeper 4,200–4,240 FVG acts as major demand.
Ichimoku: Price remains clearly above the cloud, keeping the broader 2H trend bullish.
The recent displacement supports bullish order flow, while a retracement into the FVG could offer continuation potential.
🎯 BULLISH SCENARIO:
A bullish reaction from 4,265–4,290 followed by a reclaim of 4,360–4,375 could target 4,400 → 4,440. A clean breakout above the marked resistance strengthens the continuation setup.
🔻 BEARISH SCENARIO:
A decisive 2H close below 4,265 could trigger a deeper retracement toward the 4,200–4,240 FVG. Loss of this zone would weaken the bullish structure.
⚠️ INVALIDATION:
2H close below 4,200 would invalidate the current bullish continuation idea.
📌 BIAS:
Bullish — momentum and Ichimoku structure favor continuation, but resistance near 4,360–4,375 must be cleared.
#XAUUSD #Gold #GoldAnalysis #PriceAction #Ichimoku #FVG #SmartMoneyConcepts #PulseWire
XAUUSD H1: Resistance Holds, Corrective Pressure Is ReturningXAUUSD is currently stalling just below the 4,355–4,365 resistance zone after the previous strong rally. Price has tested this area several times but has yet to produce a clear breakout, indicating that selling pressure remains active at higher levels.
The key point is that bullish momentum is gradually weakening while price continues to be capped below resistance. If the 4,355–4,365 zone continues to hold, I expect XAUUSD to enter a clearer corrective move and retest the 4,285–4,295 support area, where price previously showed a notable reaction.
The short-term bearish scenario would weaken if price breaks decisively above the resistance zone and holds firmly above 4,365. In that case, the current structure would need to be reassessed.
This scenario reflects my personal market assessment only. Please make your trading decisions based on your own analysis.
Wishing you successful trading!
JAPAN 225 // High-Probability Trade Setup and Risk FrameworkJAPAN 225 (NIKKEI 225) CFD BULLISH MASTER PLAN 📊📈💹
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🚀 TRADINGVIEW VIRAL IDEA TEMPLATE | COPY & PASTE READY
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📌 ASSET IDENTIFIER
Asset Name: JAPAN 225 / NIKKEI 225 Index CFD Market Trade Opportunity Guide
Ticker Symbols: JPN225 | JP225 | NI225
Trading Style: Intra-day & Multi-Day Swing Trade Setup ⚡
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🎯 TRADE EXECUTION & STRATEGY PLAN
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My Analysis: High-Probability Bullish Expansion Setup 🐂
My Market Bias: Bullish Plan
Market Entry: Flexible range entry across key intraday support zones or immediate market execution based on individual risk profiles.
📍 TAKE PROFIT TARGETS:
• Target 1: 69,000 🎯 (Initial Momentum Target & Liquidity Sweep)
• Target 2: 71,000 🚀 (Major Breakout & Technical Resistance Extension)
• Final Target: 73,000 👑 (Institutional Resistance Zone & Liquidity Trap Area)
📍 STOP LOSS PROTECTION:
• Stop Loss Level: 64,500 🛡️ (Positioned safely below the previous daily candle wick swing low to avoid noise hunting)
⚠️ DISCRETIONARY NOTE FOR THE TRADERS:
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs), setting profit targets and managing stops is completely your own responsibility! I am not recommending sticking strictly to my TP/SL. Calculate your risk-to-reward ratio, execute with discipline, lock in profits as the trade moves into positive territory, and manage your trades at your own risk! 💼💰
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🔗 AREAS I AM WATCHING & RELATED CORRELATED PAIRS
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Keep your eyes on these interconnected global market pairs to validate momentum:
• FX:USDJPY (US Dollar / Japanese Yen):
Strong positive correlation with Nikkei 225. A weaker Yen boosts Japanese export earnings, providing a major tailwind for $JPN225. Watch FX:USDJPY holding support for sustained stock upside.
• SPCFD:SPX (S&P 500 Index) & SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ (Nasdaq 100 Index):
High global risk-on equity correlation. Overnight momentum in US tech and mega-cap benchmarks directly dictates Asian session opening gaps on $JPN225.
• AMEX:EWJ (iShares MSCI Japan ETF):
Institutional ETF tracking top Japanese equities. High foreign institutional inflows into AMEX:EWJ indicate strong underlying buying pressure for Nikkei 225.
• TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index):
Global liquidity barometer. Dollar index fluctuations influence Asian capital flows and global carry-trade dynamics.
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🌐 REAL-TIME FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC MACRO DRIVERS
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(Data Snapshot Reference Time: 10:37 AM London Time / UK Time)
• Bank of Japan (BoJ) Monetary Stance:
The Bank of Japan maintains its benchmark short-term policy interest rate at 1.0%, with policy minutes revealing active discussion on potential interest rate adjustments amid inflation pressures near the 2% target.
• Index Performance & Sector Movements:
The Nikkei 225 benchmark traded up over 2.0% near the 66,970 level, supported by sharp gains in technology, AI-related semiconductor stocks, and strong corporate earnings from major index heavyweights.
• Currency Dynamics & Trade Support:
The US Dollar strengthening against the Japanese Yen into the mid-158 zone continues to support export-oriented Japanese equities, adding tailwinds to the broader market index.
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🎓 EDUCATIONAL BREAKDOWN & POSSIBLE SCENARIO
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• Educational Breakdown & Possible Scenario:
If FX:JPN225 holds structural momentum above key demand zones, a bullish expansion toward 69,000 and 71,000 remains technically aligned with current market structure. However, any breach below the 64,500 swing low invalidates the immediate bullish setup.
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🎩 THIEF TRADER STYLE WISDOM & MOTIVATION
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"In the financial markets, we don't predict the future — we execute with edge, snatch liquidity from the impatient, and exit before the herd realizes the trap. Plan the trade, trade the plan, and guard your capital like a legendary thief in the night." 🗡️💎✨
"Bulls make money, Bears make money, but disciplined Thief OGs take the bag and leave no trace!" 🧠💰📈
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👍 Like, Share & Follow if this analysis helps you level up your trading game! 📊📈💹
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XAUUSD Major Supply Rejection Could Trigger a PullbackGold has made a strong impulsive move higher and is now entering a major supply zone around 4,360–4,380. This area has previously attracted strong selling pressure, making it an important reaction point for the current structure.
The current move looks extended into resistance, so a rejection from the supply zone could lead to profit-taking and a corrective decline. Rather than chasing the short immediately, confirmation through a bearish candle, lower high, or CHOCH would provide a stronger setup.
If sellers gain control, the first downside targets sit around 4,275 and 4,240, followed by the major 4,196 support / previous-resistance zone. A clean break below 4,196 would strengthen the bearish structure and potentially open the way toward deeper support.
The key factor is how price behaves inside the supply zone. A sweep of the recent high followed by a sharp rejection would add strong confirmation to the bearish scenario.
On the other hand, a decisive 4H close above the supply zone followed by a successful retest would invalidate the short setup and favor bullish continuation.
Key Technical Structure
🔴 Supply: 4,360–4,380
📉 Bearish confirmation: Rejection + lower high / CHOCH
🎯 Downside: 4,275 → 4,240 → 4,196
🧱 Major support: 4,196
⚠️ Invalidation: Sustained breakout and hold above supply
📌 Best approach: Wait for confirmation rather than shorting directly into the zone.
XAUUSD 15M: Resistance Test — Rejection or Breakout?Gold is currently testing a key Resistance / Supply Zone around 4355–4365 after a strong bullish move from the lower support areas.
The current price reaction at this zone is the main point of interest.
Bearish scenario:
If price continues to reject the 4355–4365 area, a pullback toward the 4290–4300 support zone becomes a potential scenario. A deeper move could bring the 4230–4240 major support area back into focus.
Bullish scenario:
If price achieves a confirmed 15M close above the resistance zone and then successfully retests it as support, bullish continuation could become more likely toward the 4380–4400 area.
Invalidation:
A sustained 15M close above the marked resistance area would invalidate the rejection scenario.
Key levels:
• Resistance / Supply: 4355–4365
• Support: 4290–4300
• Major Support: 4230–4240
Market view:
I am watching the reaction around resistance rather than assuming a fixed direction. Confirmation through price action is the key factor for the next move.
Market analysis for educational purposes. Scenarios are conditional and not guaranteed.
EURUSD: Price Action & Swing Analysis
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to sell EURUSD.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their PulseWire charts in my analysis.
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Solana’s Next Big Move Could Start With a Break Above $74.8* The SOL price remains trapped between $72.8 support and $74.8 resistance.
* Solana’s Alpenglow competition and August 22 tokenomics vote are key near-term catalysts.
* Active addresses have fallen from 5.4M to 4.5M, pointing to weaker network participation.
The SOL price is getting squeezed into a tighter range, and traders keep coming back to one number: $74.8. Solana is trading around $73, with support near $72.8 and resistance around $74.8, so the market is basically waiting for a breakout.
We took a look at the Solana charts, and the short-term structure still looks constructive. The SOL price is holding above a rising support trendline from the June rebound, but it is still trading below the 4-hour 100-period SMA near $74.35 and the daily 100-day SMA around $77.85.
That means buyers still need to reclaim both levels before the broader trend can start improving. If Solana can break above $74.8 with stronger volume, the next upside targets come into view near $77.85 and then around $84.
The on-chain data is the part that gives me pause. Daily active addresses have fallen from about 5.4 million to 4.5 million, which is a drop of nearly one million users, even though the SOL price has stayed around $72-$73. Transfer activity briefly jumped from roughly 44 million to 52.8 million transactions per day before cooling back toward 46.5 million. That usually points to heavier activity from whales, trading firms, and bots rather than a broad retail return.
For now, the setup is pretty straightforward. A clean break above $74.8 could be the trigger that starts Solana’s next larger rally, especially if the tokenomics vote and institutional activity remain supportive. If support near $72.5 breaks instead, traders will likely start watching $68 and potentially the $60 area.
CoinCodex’s one-month forecast places the SOL price around $96.76, which points to meaningful upside if buyers can finally push through the resistance zone that has capped every recent rally.
NASDAQ — Bearish Rejection from HTF Resistance & Order BlockNASDAQ is currently trading near a major HTF resistance area, where multiple technical confluences are coming together. The chart suggests that price may be preparing for a bearish retracement after reaching the upper liquidity zone.
🔹 Buy-Side Liquidity:
Price has rallied back toward the previous major high around 29,950, where significant Buy-Side Liquidity is resting. This area represents an important liquidity pool above the previous swing high. A sweep of this liquidity followed by rejection could trigger a deeper downside move.
🔹 HTF Order Block:
The upper blue zone around 29,800–29,940 is marked as a major HTF Order Block. Price has now returned directly into this institutional supply area. This is one of the strongest bearish confluences visible on the chart.
🔹 Strong Resistance / Trendline Confluence:
Price is also interacting with the descending HTF Trendline Resistance. The resistance trendline intersects with the upper Order Block, creating a high-probability reaction area. Failure to break this confluence would favor sellers.
🔹 Current Price Action:
NASDAQ has made a strong series of higher highs and higher lows from the 29,350–29,450 region. However, the latest rally has brought price directly into the HTF resistance and Order Block. The candles near 29,860–29,880 are beginning to show hesitation/rejection, indicating that bullish momentum may be losing strength.
🔹 HTF Trendline Support:
The rising trendline underneath price has been acting as dynamic support throughout the recent bullish move. Therefore, the first important confirmation for the bearish setup would be a decisive break below this trendline.
🔹 FVG Zone:
There is a clearly marked Fair Value Gap around 29,620–29,660. This imbalance sits directly below the current price and represents a natural downside draw. If the resistance rejection develops, price could retrace into this FVG to rebalance the inefficiency.
🔹 Internal Liquidity:
Before a larger bearish expansion, price could first sweep nearby internal highs/lows. The projected structure on the chart suggests a possible rejection from the current Order Block, followed by a move toward the 29,620–29,650 FVG.
🔹 Major Lower FVG:
A much larger Fair Value Gap is visible around 29,170–29,290. If sellers gain strong momentum and the current bullish trendline breaks, this lower imbalance becomes a potential larger-term downside target.
🔹 Lower Order Block:
The chart also identifies a significant lower Order Block around 29,060–29,120. This is a major demand/decision area and could become relevant if the bearish move develops into a deeper correction.
📌 Market Scenarios
Bearish Scenario 🔻
Rejection from 29,800–29,940 Order Block + HTF resistance → break of rising trendline → move toward 29,650 FVG → potential continuation toward 29,200 FVG.
Bullish Scenario 🟢
If NASDAQ breaks and sustains above 29,900–29,950, the bearish setup loses strength. A confirmed breakout above the Buy-Side Liquidity could open the way for further upside.
🎯 Key Levels
🔴 HTF Order Block: 29,800–29,940
🔴 Buy-Side Liquidity: ~29,950
⚠️ HTF Resistance: ~29,850–29,900
🔵 FVG: 29,620–29,660
🔵 Major FVG: 29,170–29,290
🟢 Lower Order Block: 29,060–29,120
📉 Overall Bias
Short-term: Bearish rejection setup
Higher-timeframe structure: Still bullish until the rising trendline is decisively broken.
The most important area on this chart is the 29,800–29,940 HTF Order Block. Price is essentially at the top of the current bullish expansion, while Buy-Side Liquidity sits just above. A liquidity sweep followed by rejection would provide strong confirmation for the downside scenario.
BTCUSD | Liquidity Above, Structure Holding BelowDescription
◆ BTCUSD continues to hold a bullish market structure, building on the higher-lows pattern from the 62,000–63,000 zone. Price has now tagged the 65,300 area, pushing into the upper edge of the prior resistance/supply zone. A recent CHoCH confirms the short-term bullish shift, and the zone that once capped price is now acting as a pivot for the next directional move. Liquidity remains stacked below the current range, keeping both breakout and pullback scenarios in play.
◆ If BTCUSD holds acceptance above 65,300, the next target opens toward the 66,200–66,600 liquidity pocket, with continuation potential toward the 66,000 five-week-high region already tested in late July. A failure to hold this zone, however, could send price back into the 63,000–62,500 support/liquidity area for retest. Traders may want confirmation via a clean retest-and-hold of 65,300 before treating this as validated continuation, particularly with ETF flow data still mixed.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
GBPUSD: Rally extends; 1.3580 zone in sightGBPUSD continues to favor the bulls, with the price holding above the EMA34 and EMA89 and maintaining a structure of higher lows. The underlying bullish trendline is acting as a clear source of dynamic support.
In the short term, the 1.3476 level is a key area to watch. A pullback to this level—provided the trendline remains unbroken—could set the stage for the next leg up. A weakening USD further supports this scenario.
I anticipate that GBPUSD could continue its advance toward the 1.3546–1.3580 supply zone. However, if the price breaks below 1.3476 and loses the bullish trendline, the bullish outlook would need to be reassessed.
Gold Rebound: Real Reversal or Trap?Gold: Has the Trend Reversed, or Is the Bull Market Back? Don't Get Too Excited
Has the gold trend reversed? Is the bull market back? Don't get too excited — the engulfing pattern above still exists, and the decline isn't over yet. So the real question becomes: where can the current rebound actually go?
Key Levels:
🔵 Rebound Support: 4200
🔴 Resistance Zone (supply) / Mid-term Objective: 4580
🟢 Conservative Rebound Target: 4600
⚫ 3940 — not confirmed as the low
📉 Bias: Rebound within a larger downtrend, not a confirmed reversal
Analysis:
The rebound support sits around 4200. If price breaks below this range, the rebound ends immediately and the trend reverses, wiping out buyers who mistook this bounce for a reversal. As long as 4200 holds, the rebound has room to continue.
Conservatively, the rebound height is around 4600 — this is where a large number of short sellers are expected to be lying in wait, aligning with the broader resistance/supply zone and mid-term objective near 4580.
Looking at the structure, the bottom hasn't been fully formed yet, so 3940 should not be treated as the low point. Until a proper base is confirmed, this move is being read as a rebound inside a larger downtrend rather than a genuine trend reversal.
GBP/USD: Buyers control the price action; 1.3550 is being testedGBPUSD continues to trade within a bullish structure, with the price holding above the Ichimoku cloud and remaining supported by an upward trendline. The current pullback has not been deep enough to undermine the buyers' advantage, while the 1.3480 level is acting as a clear area of short-term support.
From a fundamental perspective, the USD remains under pressure following weak US labor data and expectations of a less hawkish Federal Reserve, providing continued short-term support for GBPUSD.
My primary scenario is for the price to hold the 1.3480 level, then rebound and head toward the 1.3550 zone. A decisive break below this support level would significantly weaken the current bullish structure.
Bitcoin Weekly and Daily Charts Price Analysis For the last two months Bitcoin’s price has been consolidating between 57k-67k, in the last month the range is even smaller and moving between 61k-67k.
This kind of tight-range consolidation, accompanied by low trading volume, is classic price action before the next major move. The key question for BTC is whether that next leg will be to the upside or downside.
This time, I’m using the weekly chart because I wanted to showcase the trendline that has held the price multiple times since December 2018 (even though we can see that the wicks fell below it twice during the COVID meltdown, the weekly candles managed to stay close above it).
For my analysis, this trendline is the key for us to know whether BTC found bottom or we will have another leg down.
Technical Analysis-
When a major trendline breaks to the downside, a reclaim attempt often follows. That’s why I expect the current consolidation to be followed by a move back toward the trendline. If Bitcoin reclaims it, I believe the bottom is in. If the reclaim fails, I expect a strong move lower toward $45K.
Looking at other technical indicators, there’s a clear reason why price found support around $57,700. This area represents a strong confluence between the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the entire move that started in November 2022 and the 200-week moving average, making it a significant demand zone.
Zooming in to the daily chart:
Before even attempting to reclaim the long-term trendline, Bitcoin will face another major resistance level, the 200-day moving average. BTC has remained below this moving average since November 2025, making a successful claim an important bullish signal. If price breaks above the 200-day MA, the long-term trendline becomes the next major hurdle. A successful breakout and hold above that trendline would significantly strengthen the case that Bitcoin has found its bottom and is entering a new bullish cycle.
Meanwhile, the price on the daily chart is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle. We’re still some distance away from a breakout, but if we assume the pattern eventually breaks to the upside, the classic triangle targets give us $71,770 for Target 1 and $77,749 for Target 2.
BTCUSDT| Expected bounce before the last drop in the cycle ? Hey everyone! 👋
BTC/USDT update — Bitcoin had a healthy correction and dropped as expected to the support around 62,500 and there is a room to visit 61,200 key level.
Expecting a bounce toward 68,650 level. however, Waiting for the price to break above 64,000 level will be a good confirmation about reaching our target.
Please note that this analysis is for short-term and I still expect that we will see another leg down and make a new bottom around 52,000 - 48,000.
Stay Safe and prepare to ride the new cycle together.
BULLISH GOLD: BUY THE PULLBACK, SCALP THE RESISTANCEGold continues to maintain a strong bullish structure after the breakout and expansion from the 4300 area. Price is currently consolidating near the highs, so the priority remains BUY on pullbacks.
At the same time, the upper resistance zones are strong enough to consider a short-term counter-trend scalp (CCS) if price shows clear rejection.
🟢 PRIMARY — BUY WITH THE TREND
Buy Zone 1: 4300–4305
→ First key support after breakout.
Buy Zone 2: 4260–4265
→ Deeper pullback zone, still favorable for trend continuation.
Buy Zone 3: 4225–4230
→ Major support; deeper correction zone.
Targets:
→ 4367
→ 4428 if bullish momentum continues.
🔴 CCS — SELL AT KEY RESISTANCE
CCS Sell Zone: 4360–4370
→ Price is approaching a major resistance area. If M30/H1 shows rejection, CHoCH or bearish confirmation, a short scalp can be considered.
Higher resistance: 4420–4430
→ Stronger CCS area if price extends higher.
⚠️ These are counter-trend scalps, therefore the expectation is a reaction/pullback rather than a full trend reversal. Do not hold the sell aggressively if buyers break and sustain above the key resistance.
📌 KEY LEVELS
4428 → Major resistance / extended target
4367 → Immediate resistance / CCS area
4303 → First major support
4264 → Secondary buy zone
4228 → Major trend support
📊 BIAS
BULLISH — BUY THE PULLBACK
The structure remains firmly bullish. The best setup is to wait for price to return to support and confirm BUY. At resistance, CCS can be used for a quick scalp when price gives a clear rejection.
Follow the trend for the main trade. Counter-trend only at the key levels.
XAU/USD H1 — Bullish Structure with Liquidity Sweep SetupGold is currently trading within a clear bullish market structure on the H1 timeframe, with price forming higher highs and higher lows after the Market Structure Shift (MSS) around the 4300 area.
🔹 Market Structure Shift (MSS):
The break above the previous structure around 4300–4305 confirmed a bullish shift in market structure. After this breakout, price continued to print higher highs, supporting the overall bullish bias.
🔹 Bullish Trendline:
The ascending trendline is providing dynamic support. Price has respected this trendline multiple times, particularly around the 4315–4320 region. As long as this trendline remains intact, the broader H1 structure remains bullish.
🔹 Buy-Side Liquidity:
Significant Buy-Side Liquidity is resting above the previous high around 4370–4373. This is an important upside liquidity pool and can act as a potential draw for price.
🔹 Strong Resistance:
The 4360–4363 region is marked as strong resistance. Price has already reacted from this area, showing that sellers are defending this level. A clean H1 break and close above this resistance would strengthen the bullish continuation scenario.
🔹 Current Price Reaction:
Price recently rallied from approximately 4315–4320 toward the 4360 resistance area. After touching the resistance, the latest candles are showing a bearish reaction, suggesting a short-term retracement may occur before the next directional move.
🔹 Sell-Side Liquidity:
There is visible Sell-Side Liquidity around 4315–4317. If price fails to break the 4360 resistance, the market could first move lower to sweep this liquidity before attempting another bullish expansion.
🔹 Fair Value Gap:
A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) is marked between approximately 4210–4230. This represents an important imbalance created during the previous bullish displacement. Although it is considerably lower than current price, it remains a major H1 imbalance/support zone.
🔹 Bullish Continuation Scenario:
If price holds above the ascending trendline and successfully breaks the 4360–4363 resistance, the next major objective is the 4370+ Buy-Side Liquidity. A successful liquidity sweep could then potentially open the way toward the 4400 psychological level.
🔹 Bearish Retracement Scenario:
If 4360–4363 continues to reject price, a retracement toward the 4315–4317 Sell-Side Liquidity is technically possible. This would be a liquidity sweep rather than an immediate confirmation of a full bearish reversal.
📌 Overall Outlook
H1 Bias: Bullish 📈
The bigger structure remains bullish due to the MSS + ascending trendline + higher-high/higher-low formation. However, price is currently sitting beneath a major resistance zone, so a short-term liquidity sweep toward 4315–4317 is possible before the next bullish expansion.
Key levels:
🟢 Support / SSL: 4315–4317
🔴 Strong Resistance: 4360–4363
🎯 Buy-Side Liquidity: 4370–4373
🚀 Major Upside Target: 4400
🔵 Major H1 FVG: 4210–4230
The key confirmation is 4360–4363: a clean breakout favors continuation toward 4370+ and potentially 4400, while rejection can send price back toward the 4315–4317 liquidity zone.
























