XAUUSD Is shady-- Bearish Bias possible GOLD XAUUSD H1-H4 TIMEFRAME OUTLOOK
Gold on BOs Retest Strategy --currently Price-action in Rangbound 4370-4400 multiple Rejection shows Structure is Bearish.
•Expecting the Sell Trades.
XAUUSD has to break below the Bullish H4 Trendline -- once H4 -H1 candle closes below then we'll see Drop.
IntradDay Targets 4345 & 4310 in extension
• if H4 candle closes above 4400-- invalid Setup
Chart Patterns
ATQA: Breakout Confirmed, 15.20 EGP in Focus📊 ATQA: Breakout Confirmed, 15.20 EGP in Focus 🚀
🧱 Fundamentals:
ATQA is not cheap from a financial valuation perspective, with elevated P/E, P/B, and P/S ratios relative to its sector peers. ⚠️
However, the latest news and improving technical structure have put the stock back on my radar. 📈
This is therefore a technical momentum setup rather than a fundamentally driven value trade. 🎯
📊 The Pulse:
The first positive signal came from the breakout of the triangle pattern. 🚀
Today we received further confirmation of the breakout, but the stock is currently testing an important resistance level. ⚠️
I would consider entering if ATQA closes above 11.15 EGP, with an even stronger confirmation above 11.44 EGP. 🔑
A confirmed close above this zone would strengthen the probability of a continuation toward the previous ATH at 12.38 EGP. 🚀
If the ATH is broken with strong buying power, the next target is around 14.00 EGP. 🎯
The final target is around 15.20 EGP based on the broader technical expansion. 🚀
🧱 The Key Structural Boundaries:
Breakout Trigger: Daily close above 11.15 EGP, preferably above 11.44 EGP. 🔑
First Target: ATH at 12.38 EGP. 🎯
Second Target: 14.00 EGP. 🚀
Final Target: 15.20 EGP. 🎯
⚠️ Risk Management:
The key support level to protect the setup is around 10.20 EGP. 🛡️
A break below 10.20 EGP would invalidate the current bullish structure and trigger my stop-loss. ⚠️
Because ATQA remains fundamentally expensive, I would not ignore this level or average down blindly if the breakout fails. 📉
☪️ Sharia Compliance:
Status: Not provided in the supplied analysis. ⚠️
I would not label ATQA as Sharia-compliant without verifying the latest EGX Shariah Index Supervisory Committee screening and the company's current financial ratios. 📋
🎯 Verdict:
ATQA is expensive fundamentally, but the technical setup has improved significantly following the triangle breakout. 🚀
I will consider the trade only after a close above 11.15 EGP, with 11.44 EGP providing stronger confirmation. 🔑
Above that level, the targets are 12.38, 14.00, and 15.20 EGP. 🎯
The bullish setup remains valid as long as the stock respects the 10.20 EGP support. 🛡️
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USDJPY H1 | Bullish Bounce At Pullback SupportBased on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to our buy entry level at 157.08, a pullback support.
Our stop loss is set at 156.12, which is a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 158.52, a pullback resistance.
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Rising toward key resistance?USD/CHF is rising toward the resistance level, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8148
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 0.8206
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.8065
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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SNDK: Bottoming Out or Another Rebound?SNDK has pulled back sharply from its June high near $2,335, but the key question now is not simply whether the stock has “fallen enough.” The real question is whether this is a bottoming process or just another rebound within a larger downtrend.
From the chart, the structure remains bearish. Price is still trading below the descending trendline and most major moving averages, keeping the short-term trend under pressure.
However, the selling momentum is clearly becoming less aggressive around the current levels.
Key Levels
Support : $1,200 / $1,100 / $1,000
Resistance : $1,260 / $1,300 / $1,345 / $1,450
The most important near-term level is $1,260. A sustained break above it, followed by a breakout of the descending trendline, would be the first meaningful reversal signal.
If $1,200 holds, SNDK could attempt a rebound toward $1,300–1,345, with $1,450 as a larger upside target.
But if $1,200 breaks decisively, the next downside levels are $1,100 and potentially $1,000.
With the upcoming August 13 Investor Day potentially adding volatility, I would avoid calling a bottom too early.
My bias: Neutral-to-Bearish below $1,260, turning more bullish only after a confirmed breakout.
crude oil aagain ready for big stupchart showing near overbought zone there are 2 possibility here .---
1-- if crude sustain above 83.50$ than will again move 84.25---84.80$++
2- or support find 81$ if sustain below than more down fall 80--81$
key level---- 85.50$ if unable to hold than will sharp slide sell off in oil ---- or if sustain above again 85.50$ than big rally possible. all over depend on gulf news sky rock ya slide .
XAUUSD | Bullish Structure With Key Support At 4340The 15M chart continues to show a constructive structure after the strong advance from the 4240 area. Price has now pulled back from the recent high and is testing an important support region.
Important Map:
🟢 Support: 4340–4345
🔼 Level 1: 4380
🔼 Level 2: 4400
🔼 Level 3: 4420
🔼 Level 4: 4460
⚠️ Structure weakness: Below 4335
The main focus is how price reacts around 4340–4345. Holding this area would keep the higher-level structure intact.
GOLD Rejects Highs — Fade the FVG Bounce Gold rejected at highs, into demand. Bearish FVG caps. Sell retrace 4382-4403, target 4349, invalidation 4426.
🔴 XAUUSD SELL 📍 Entry: 4390.00 🛑 Stop Loss: 4410.00 🎯 Take Profit: 4349.00 📊 Risk:Reward: 1:2+
Always wait for confirmation and manage your risk accordingly.
Analysis recap (why this setup):
Price rejected the daily high ($4,435) and is sliding into the 1H demand zone — a bearish rejection off buy-side liquidity.
The bearish FVG $4382–4403 overhead is the supply to sell into on a retrace.
Targets: support $4,359 / $4,349, then the bullish OB $4,313–4,340.
Invalidation: a close above $4,426 (trendline resistance) flips the thesis bullish.
Risk:Reward is 1:2+ with a tight stop above the FVG.
Educational, not financial advice — size to your own risk tolerance.
XAUUSD – Breakout Retest Continuation Setup Toward 4,425📊 XAUUSD – Breakout Retest Continuation Setup Toward 4,425
🔍 Market Overview
XAUUSD has broken decisively above the descending trendline that had contained price for an extended period. The breakout was followed by a strong bullish expansion, confirming that buyers were able to take control once the previous structure gave way.
After reaching higher levels, price is now beginning to pull back toward the 4,230–4,270 area. This zone sits above the old breakout structure and could become an important support base if buyers step back in.
📈 Market Structure Insight
Primary Bias: Bullish
Momentum: Strong after the breakout, now cooling into a pullback
Current Phase: Bullish expansion followed by a potential support retest
The key structural change is that price has already escaped the previous descending formation. As long as XAUUSD remains above the breakout area, the current decline can still be treated as a healthy retracement rather than a bearish reversal.
🚀 Trading Scenarios
✅ Bullish Scenario — Primary Bias
Conditions:
Price pulls back toward the 4,230–4,270 support zone.
Buyers successfully defend the area.
Bullish confirmation appears through rejection wicks, strong bullish candles, or renewed upside momentum.
Trade Plan:
Look for buying opportunities after a confirmed reaction from support rather than chasing price while it remains extended.
🎯 Target: 4,425
❌ Bullish Invalidation Scenario
Conditions:
Price breaks decisively below the support zone.
Buyers fail to produce a meaningful response.
XAUUSD begins moving back toward the previous breakout structure.
A sustained move below support would weaken the continuation setup and increase the probability of a deeper correction.
📍 Key Levels to Monitor
🟢 Retest Support Zone: 4,230–4,270
🎯 Bullish Target: 4,425
🔴 Invalidation: Sustained weakness below the support structure
⚠️ Trading Perspective
The breakout has already delivered a strong move, so the cleaner opportunity may come from the pullback rather than buying at elevated prices. A controlled retracement into support followed by renewed demand would offer stronger confirmation that buyers remain in control.
🧠 Professional Insight
This setup is supported by:
A decisive breakout above the descending trendline.
Strong bullish follow-through after the break.
Price remaining well above the previous compression structure.
A clearly defined support area for a potential retest.
A logical continuation objective around 4,425.
The breakout itself has already confirmed strength. The next important signal is whether buyers can defend the pullback and build a higher support base.
🛡️ Risk Management
Wait for bullish confirmation at the support zone.
Avoid chasing price after an extended rally.
Keep invalidation below the confirmed support structure.
Respect a decisive break below the retest area.
Maintain appropriate position sizing and protect capital.
No confirmed support reaction, no trade.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Meta - The final textbook entry!🎲Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) is currently testing clear support:
🔎Analysis summary:
Despite the major corrections on Meta during 2022 and 2025, the underlying trend is clearly bullish. And with a lot of short term volatility lately, Meta retested a significant higher timeframe support area. Meta is currently preparing another bullrun much higher.
📝Levels to watch:
$520
Keep your #LONGTERMVISION🙏
— Phil (@TheTraderPhil)
BTC - Order Blocks in ActionThis post is meant to be brief and educational. Here I wanted to focus on some of the internal order blocks for Bitcoin on the 2H timeframe. I am using the LuxAlgo Smart Money Concepts indicator and have everything turned off except for the internal order blocks.
What Are Internal Order Blocks?
An order block is essentially the last candle of opposing momentum before a strong, decisive move in price. In simple terms, it represents the last area where large institutional or "smart money" orders were likely placed before price aggressively pushed in a new direction. Internal order blocks specifically refer to these zones forming within the smaller, more localized swings on the chart, as opposed to swing order blocks, which form off the larger, more significant price swings.
The theory behind them is that these zones represent areas of genuine supply or demand imbalance, meaning price is statistically more likely to react when it returns to test them, either continuing in the original direction after a brief pause or reversing entirely if the zone fails to hold.
Why This Chart Is Worth Sharing
The reason I wanted to point this out is because of the range these blocks have created since I originally posted this indicator on July 29, 2026:
I highly recommend clicking on that last idea, hitting play on the chart, and watching how price has interacted with the blue lower internal order block and the red upper internal order block since then.
How Price Has Reacted
After FOMC, price rallied up to the red upper order block and was rejected twice on July 30th from that zone. Price then fell to the blue lower order block on July 31st, creating the first local low test. Price fell again on August 1st, retesting the blue order block and forming the next local low. Then once more on August 3rd, price fell back into the blue lower order block, creating a double bottom and the next local low before the move back toward the upper red order block.
Once Bitcoin was able to reach back toward the red order block, price created a local high on August 7th, 8th, 9th, and 10th, which has lead to the present selloff. I have outlined these moves and some of the previous with black boxes.
This is just something I wanted to outline, as I have been watching this price action develop in real time, and figured some of you might find a concept like this useful for your own strategies going forward.
XAU/USD Bearish Breakdown – Target 4,346**Gold (XAU/USD) is showing a **bearish breakdown** after rejecting the rising trendline and losing short-term support around the 4,370–4,380 area. The price is now moving lower, with the chart pointing toward the **4,346 target zone**.
A sustained move below the breakdown area could strengthen bearish momentum toward the target, while a recovery above the trendline may invalidate the setup. The broader **4,230–4,240 support zone** remains an important level to watch.
NETFLIXNETFLIX — CRISP TRADE VIEW
🟢 TREND: STRONGLY BULLISH
Yearly → Half-Yearly → Quarterly → Monthly → Weekly → Daily → Intraday are all UP. Excellent MTF alignment.
🟢 KEY SUPPORT: 66–74
Daily + Weekly + all 60M/180M/240M DMIP zones overlap at 66–74. Strong confluence.
🟢 ENTRY: 70–77
Average entry 74 is within the MTF/ITF support structure. Entry quality is good, but 70 is the better risk-reward entry.
🔴 SL: 66
Below 66, the immediate bullish structure is weakened/invalidated.
🎯 TARGETS:
108 → Recent high
117 → Primary target
134 → Trend high
203 → Extended positional target
⚖️ RISK–REWARD:
Risk = 8 points
Reward = 43 points
Gross R:R = 5.7:1
Net R:R = 5.42:1
💰 Trade Economics:
Qty = 100
Average Entry = 74
Target Profit ≈ 4,300
Net Profit after brokerage ≈ 4,264
Net Profit after financing ≈ 4,030
🔥 FINAL VIEW: 🟢 BUY / HOLD
Best zone: 70–74
Confirmation: Above 77
SL: 66
Primary Target: 117
Next: 134
Extended: 203
ECAP:Retail Euphoria Has Pushed Valuation Far Beyond Fundamental📊 ECAP: Retail Euphoria Has Pushed Valuation Far Beyond Fundamentals ⚠️
⚡ The Pulse:
ECAP is currently a loss-making company with very weak fundamentals, making the current price difficult to justify from an investment perspective. ⚠️
The financial ratios are extremely expensive relative to the company's current earnings quality and profitability profile. 💰
The recent price action appears to be driven primarily by strong retail liquidity and speculative momentum rather than a fundamental improvement in earnings. 📈
With the stock trading close to its 52-week high, I would not recommend entering at these levels. 🛑
For me, the current setup represents a retail-euphoria situation where price has moved significantly ahead of fundamental value. ⚠️
My estimated fair-value area is around 32.80 EGP, where I expect the highest liquidity concentration to provide a strong defensive demand zone. 🎯
🧱 The Key Structural Boundaries
• Current Position:
I would avoid fresh entries at the current elevated levels because the risk-reward does not justify chasing the momentum. ⚠️
• Fair Value:
Around 32.80 EGP, which I consider the key valuation and liquidity area. 🎯
• Support:
The 32.80 EGP area should be closely monitored because strong liquidity around this level could provide significant support. 🛡️
• Risk:
A failure to hold the major liquidity zone would indicate that the current speculative momentum is losing its underlying support. ⚠️
📌 Verdict:
I do not recommend entering ECAP at the current levels. ⚠️
The company remains loss-making, fundamentals are weak, and the financial ratios are extremely expensive relative to its current profitability. 📉
The current rally looks much more like retail-driven speculation than a fundamental re-rating. 📊
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JUFO: Double Top at the Channel High, Key 25.80 EGP Level Ahead 📊 JUFO: Double Top at the Channel High, Key 25.80 EGP Level Ahead ⚠️
⚡ The Pulse:
I don't need to explain how strong JUFO is fundamentally, as the company's quality and defensive position are already well established. 💎
Technically, the stock is currently trading near the upper band of its uptrend channel, where price action is becoming more sensitive to profit-taking. 📈
A potential double-top pattern has formed, and a confirmed break below 25.80 EGP would validate the pattern and increase the probability of a deeper correction. ⚠️
If 25.80 EGP holds, the stock may instead continue moving sideways, which would be healthy because it allows the indicators to cool down after the previous bullish wave. 🧊
This consolidation is particularly important because JUFO's valuation ratios are becoming relatively expensive compared with the broader sector. 💰
For existing holders, I would not sell simply because of the current weakness. 📊
My stop-loss remains a confirmed break below the strong 24.00 EGP support level. 🛑
For a new position, I would look to catch the stock between 25.80 and 26.51 EGP rather than chase it near the upper channel band. 🎯
I would treat this entry as a medium-term investment rather than a short-term trade because the fundamental quality of JUFO supports a longer holding horizon. 💎
🧱 The Key Structural Boundaries
• Breakout / Confirmation:
A confirmed break below 25.80 EGP would validate the double-top pattern and increase downside risk. ⚠️
• Entry Zone:
25.80–26.51 EGP is the zone I would watch for a controlled entry if the stock stabilizes. 🎯
• First Target:
28.75 EGP, around the previous ATH / major resistance area. 🚀
• Second Target:
31.50 EGP, my calculated fair-value target. 🎯
• Trend Exit:
Alternatively, the position can be maintained as long as JUFO remains above the middle band of the uptrend channel marked in red. 📈
• Stop Loss:
A confirmed break below the 24.00 EGP strong support level would invalidate the current setup. 🛑
📌 Verdict:
JUFO remains a medium-term investment candidate, but I would not chase the stock at the upper band of the uptrend channel. 📊
The current double-top structure makes 25.80 EGP the key level to watch. 👀
A confirmed break below 25.80 EGP would favor further consolidation, while holding above it could allow the stock to cool its indicators through sideways movement. 🧊
For existing holders, I would stay invested while the stock respects the 24.00 EGP support or the red middle band of the uptrend channel. 🛡️
For new investors, 25.80–26.51 EGP is the area I would monitor for a medium-term entry. 🎯
The upside targets remain 28.75 EGP first and 31.50 EGP as my calculated fair-value target. 🚀
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CRVUSDT Forming Bullish PennantCRVUSDT is forming a clear bullish pennant pattern, a classic bullish wave signal that often indicates an upcoming breakout. The price has been consolidating within a narrowing range, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening while buyers are beginning to regain control. With consistent volume confirming accumulation at lower levels, the setup hints at a potential bullish breakout soon. The projected move could lead to an impressive gain of around 30% to 40% once the price breaks above the pennant resistance.
This bullish pennant pattern is typically seen after a strong move or during a corrective phase, and it can represent a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Traders closely watching CRVUSDT are noting the strengthening momentum as it nears a breakout zone. The healthy trading volume adds confidence to this pattern, showing that market participants are positioning early in anticipation of a continuation move.
Investors’ growing interest in CRVUSDT reflects rising confidence in the project's long-term fundamentals and current technical strength. If the breakout confirms with sustained buying volume, this could mark the start of a fresh bullish leg. Traders might find this a valuable setup for medium-term gains, especially as the pennant pattern completes and buying momentum accelerates.
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Silver Edges Higher - Bearish Targets Remain!Primary Scenario
We continue to view silver as being in a downward move within a broader correction. The price is expected to break below support at $48.05 before extending its decline into our blue Long-Term Entry Range ($39.41–$25.75) and establishing a final low there. Once a bottom is reached, we anticipate a renewed uptrend.
Alternative Scenario
In our alternative scenario, silver would soon break above resistance at $90.11, setting a new interim high before also turning sharply lower from there (probability: 25%).
Long-Term Outlook
The weekly chart suggests the current downward move still has room to run. Alternatively, there is a chance of an imminent rally that could push silver above resistance at $121.79 and to a new all-time high (probability: 30%).
Bitcoin: Selling Pressure Builds as Key Fib Support Is TestedBroken Structure Continues to Reject Price
Bitcoin has continued lower after failing to reclaim the previously broken $64,166 structure. That area is now acting as resistance, keeping the immediate price action firmly tilted towards the bears.
Bearish Engulfing Candle Adds Pressure
The latest recovery attempt was rejected at $64,515, producing a bearish engulfing candle before price moved sharply lower. Increased selling volume on the decline adds further weight to the rejection.
0.618 Fibonacci Support Now Being Tested
Price has now tapped the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $63,497, giving bulls another important area to defend. A sustained break below this level would leave the recent $62,275 low increasingly vulnerable.
Momentum Remains Bearish
RSI has fallen towards oversold territory following slight bearish divergence into the recent highs, while StochRSI is already oversold. The 100/50-Period EMAs remain bullishly crossed but have started turning lower and are now acting as resistance.
In Summary
Bitcoin continues to weaken after failing to reclaim the broken $64,166 structure, with a bearish engulfing candle and increased selling volume adding to the pressure. Price has now reached the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $63,497, giving bulls another important area to defend. A failure to hold this level would strengthen the bearish case and shift attention back towards the recent $62,275 low, while reclaiming $64,166 would begin to ease the immediate pressure.
OCPH: ATH 342 Reached, But Valuation Is Getting Extreme 📊 OCPH: ATH 342 Reached, But Valuation Is Getting Extreme 🚀
🧱 Fundamentals:
OCPH, like many pharmaceutical stocks in the EGX medical sector, has become extremely expensive after the massive rally. ⚠️
The current valuation leaves very little margin of safety for new investors at these levels. 📉
From a fundamental perspective, my fair value entry is around 233 EGP, while the more conservative entry zone is around 180 EGP. 🎯
I believe sooner or later the price will retest these valuation levels and create a much healthier risk/reward opportunity. 📊
📊 The Pulse:
OCPH has already reached the previous target around 322 EGP and pushed further to a new ATH at 342 EGP. 🚀
The momentum remains extremely strong, and there is currently no technical reason to call the uptrend finished. 📈
As long as both major trend lines remain intact, the stock remains inside its bullish wave. 🔥
However, the distance between the current price and fundamental fair value is becoming increasingly large. ⚠️
This makes chasing the stock at current levels increasingly risky, even while the technical structure remains bullish. 📉
A future pullback toward 233 EGP would bring the valuation closer to a reasonable entry level, while 180 EGP would represent a much more conservative opportunity. 🎯
🧱 The Key Structural Boundaries:
Breakout Trigger: Holding both major uptrend lines keeps the bullish wave active. 🚀
First Target: ATH at 342 EGP. 🎯
Second Target: Further upside will depend on continuation of the current momentum wave. 📈
Final Target: New targets will be updated if the stock establishes a confirmed breakout above the current ATH. 🚀
⚠️ Risk Management:
The main risk is not the current technical trend, but the extremely stretched valuation. ⚠️
A break below the major trend lines would be the first serious warning that the bullish wave is losing momentum. 📉
I would avoid chasing the stock and instead wait for a meaningful correction toward the fundamental valuation zones. 🎯
☪️ Sharia Compliance:
Status: Eligible according to the provided screening information. ✅
The latest financial statements should continue to be checked against the applicable EGX Shariah Index Supervisory Committee criteria before making a final compliance decision. 📋
🎯 Verdict:
OCPH remains technically bullish after reaching 322 EGP and printing a new ATH at 342 EGP. 🚀
But fundamentally, the stock has become extremely expensive and the risk/reward for fresh entries is no longer attractive. ⚠️
My preferred fair value entry is around 233 EGP, while the conservative level is around 180 EGP. 🎯
Until a meaningful pullback happens, I would rather watch the bullish trend than chase the price at extreme valuations. 📊
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EURUSD M30 | Bearish Reversal in PlayThe price has rejected our sell entry level at 1.1529, an overlap resistance.
Our stop loss is set at 1.1558, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.1500, a pullback support.
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GBP/USD⚡ GBPUSD — 4H UPDATE
🎯 Key Levels
* Demand: 1.3485–1.3500
* Target 1: 1.3550–1.3560
* Target 2: 1.3640–1.3660
📊 Setup:
Price is holding above the near-term demand zone. A pullback/retest that holds could support continuation toward 1.3550–1.3560, followed by 1.3640–1.3660.
⚠️ **Weekly News**
🇺🇸 **CPI — Wed** 🔴
🇬🇧 **UK GDP — Thu** 🔴
🇺🇸 **PPI — Thu** 🔴
🇺🇸 **Retail Sales — Fri** 🔴 Exchange Rates UK
🧠 Lightning Wave:
Bullish structure remains intact. Let price come to the level — don't chase.
























