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EMA Slope Trend Follower StrategyThis strategy is based on the slope of the EMA130.
Over that slope, the script calculates two EMAs (9,21) which are used to generate the main entry and exit signal.
In particular, the strategy enters a LONG position when EMA9 > EMA21. On the contrary, it closes the LONG and opens a SHORT when EMA9 < EMA21.
When the slope of the EMA130 is rising, it means that the price is accelerating upwards, fueling an uptrend. Conversely, when the slope is falling, it means that the price is slowing down, falling into a possible downtrend.
Calculating and analyzing two EMAs (fast and slow) over the slope of a medium length EMA instead of the price anticipates a lot the signal. In this way, the strategy never miss a trend.
In order to minimize false positives (entering useless positions), I included two filters, which can be optionally turned on:
- Trend Filter: When the price is above EMA200, the strategy opens ONLY LONG positions. If price < EMA200, only shorts allowed. If the slope gives a long signal and price is below EMA200, for example, the eventual SHORT position is closed, but the LONG entry is postponed to the moment when both conditions (slope uptrending and price > ema200) are met.
I recommend always turning on this filter, as it dramatically decreases drawdown.
- Volatility Filter: When the standard deviation of the last 20 candles is below its 50 samples moving average, no positions are opened, as market is going sideways. The purpose of this filter is to prevent false positives (positions which open and close in a matter of candles due to false signals in sideways market).
I recommend turning on this filter only on low time frames.
This strategy works great on medium time frames (like 4h, 6h, daily), since it spends way less in fees, opening less positions.
It works good on low TFs too (up to 1h, didn't test lower ones), provided Volatility filter is turned on and parameters are set according to the asset.
Commission included in calculations: 0.06% (it's the taker commission on BitMEX with the 10% discount obtainable with any referral link)
Slippage included in calculations: 2 ticks (BitMEX has very liquid order books, and slippage doesn't happen very often unless a huge position size is used). Strategy
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BTC and ETH Long strategy - version 1I will start with a small introduction about myself. I'm now trading cryto currencies manually for almost 2 years. I decided to start after watching a documentary on the TV showing people who made big money during the Bitcoin pump which happened at the end of 2017.
The next day, I asked myself "Why should I not give it a try and learn how to trade".
This was in February 2018 and the price of Bitcoin was around 11500USD.
I didn't know how to trade. In fact, I didn't know the trading industry at all.
So, my first step into trading was to open an account with a broken. Then I directly bought 200$ worst of BTC . At that time, I saw the graph and thought "This can only go back in the upward direction!" :)
I didn't know anything about Stop loss, Take profit and Risk management.
Today, almost 2 years after, I think that I know how to trade and can also confirm that I still hold this bag of 200$ of bitcoin from 2018 :)
I did spend the 2 last years to learn technical analysis , risk management and leverage trading.
Today (14/05/2020), I know what I'm doing and I'm happy to see that the 2 last years have been positive in terms of gains. Of course, I did not make crazy money with my saving but at least I made more than if I would have kept it in my bank account.
Even if I like trading, I have a full time job which requires my full energy and lots of focus, so, the biggest problem I had is that I didn't have enough time to look at the charts.
Also, I realized that sometimes, neither technical analysis , nor fundamentals worked with crypto currency (at least for short time trading). So, as I have a developer background I decided to try to have a look at algo trading.
The goal for me was neither to make complex algos nor to beat the market but just to automate my trading with simple bot catching the big waves.
I then started to take a look at TV pine script and played with it.
I did my first LONG script in February 2020 to Long the BTC Market. It has some limitations but works well enough for me for the time being. Even if the real trades will bring me half of what the back testing shows, this will still be a lot more than what I was used to win during the last 2 years with my manual trading.
So, here we are! Below you will find some details about my first LONG script. I'm happy to share it with you.
Feel free to play with it, give your comments and bring improvements to it.
But please note that it only works fine with the candle size and crypto pair that I have mentioned below. If you use other settings this algo might loose money!
- Crypto pairs : XBTUSD and ETHXBT
- Candle size: 2 Hours
- Indicator used: Volatility , MACD (12, 26, 7), SMA (100), SMA (200), EMA (20)
- Default StopLoss: -1.5%
- Entry in position if: Volatility < 2%
AND MACD moving up
AND AME (20) moving up
AND SMA (100) moving up
AND SMA (200) moving up
AND EMA (20) > SAM (100)
AND SMA (100) > SMA (200)
- Exit the postion if: Stoploss is reached
OR EMA (20) crossUnder SMA (100)
Here is a summary of the results for this script:
XBTUSD : 01/01/2019 --> 14/05/2020 = +107%
ETHXBT : 01/01/2019 --> 14/05/2020 = +39%
ETHUSD : 01/01/2019 --> 14/05/2020 = +112%
It is far away from being perfect. There are still plenty of things which can be done to improve it but I just wanted to share it :) .
Enjoy playing with it....
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Golden Ratio MultiplesI call this "Phi Ribbons." The Golden Ratio, also known as Phi, is fantastic at predicting areas of price reversal.
Every moving average is a fibonacci multiple of the base function 355 SMA .
The rainbow above is an array of fibonacci multiples that are greater than one (1.618, 2, 2.618, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21)
The rainbow below is an array of fibonacci multiples that are less than one (0.786, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382, 0.236, 0.14)
Notice the precision of marking areas of potential price reversals
EASTER EGG: The two moving averages at the top of the script are 355 SMA & 113 SMA . This is one of the lowest ratios that closely approximates Pi (3.14159).
Simply plotting the 133 SMA will add a unique feature:
355/133 = 3.14159
When the 113 crosses below the 355 it tends to mark the end of major bullish impulses, and a crossover is a bullish sign. Indicator
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TimeSync by KingThies TimeSync by Kingthies
Written in Pine v4
Applies one function that was published in the Tradingview Pinescript Manual
The Motivation behind this script - Time is 50% of your chart. Many ignore it entirely. This should help give an idea on how to read it and incorporate it in their analysis.
TimeSync by KingThies takes a simple concept and turns it into a visual tracking system of when timeframes of significant impact, all close at the same time.
By utilizing several high time-frames, we see overlaps in periods and more significant events occurring when multiple periods close at once.
The TFs included are 3D,1W,2W and 1M. When users use the timeframes above intraday, the resolution for these HTF's is shown. When using the LTFs, anything lower than 1D/is intraday, the user sees a similar concept but comprised of the 4H, 6H,8H and 10H charts.
Users can adjust the settings to show the HTFs in sync AND also factor in if the event was on a business quarter or new year, which adds more significance to the occurrence.
By seeing when these periods end in sync, we can assume more volatility is present in a given market, presenting various opportunities for traders to take advantage of a given situation.
Apologies in advance for any questions that come up - I will do my best to reply or respond here on Tradingview.com.
Additional Resources for this topic can be found in my account signature, located at the bottom of this post.
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Hashrate Mining of BiznesFilosofIn addition to technical analysis, you also need to pay attention to fundamental analysis. Bitcoin has one of these indicators, it is the network hashrate. And it’s important to know when mining becomes disadvantageous. Those. when network participants turn off the equipment. And there are critical points that depend on the price and number of miners in the network.
When the blue bars of the indicator grow, then you can stand in long. When stools are reduced, then it is time to close positions or hedge risks in the derivatives market.
The vertical line indicates halving.
A red flag indicates a dangerous moment, and a green flag indicates the time of purchase.
The oscillator is based on fundamental indicators and the intersection of moving averages.
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Кроме теханализа нужно ещё обращать внимание на фундаментальный анализ. У биткоина один из таких показателей, это хэшрейт сети. И важно зать, когда майнинг становится невыгоден. Т.е. когда участники сети отключают оборудование. И есть критические точки, зависящие от цены и количества майнеров в сети.
Когда синие столбики индикатора растут, тогда можно стоять в лонг. Когда столюики уменьшаются, тогда пора закрывать позиции или хеджировать риски на рынке деривативов.
Вертикальной линией обозначен халвинг.
Красный флаг показывает опасный момент, а зелёный флаг указывает на время покупок.
Осцилятор основан на фундаментальных показателях и пересечении скользящих средних. Indicator
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