BTC and ETH Long strategy - version 2I wrote my first article in May 2020. See below
BTC and ETH Long strategy - version1
After 6 months, it is now time to check the result of my script for the last 6 months.
XBTUSD (4H): 14/05/2020 --> 22/11/2020 = +78% in 4 trades
ETHXBT (4H): 14/05/2020 --> 22/11/2020 = +21% in 9 trades
ETHUSD (4H): 14/05/2020 --> 22/11/2020 = +90% in 6 trades
Using the signals from this strategy to trade manually has shown that this was a bit frustrating because of the low rate of winning trades.
If you have to enter 100 trades and see 75% of them failing and 25% winning, this is frustrating. For sure the strategy makes good money but it is difficult to hold this mentality.
So, I have reviewed and modified it to get a higher winning rate.
After few days of work, tests and validation, I managed to get a wining rate close to 60%.
The key element was also to decrease the number of trades by using a higher time frame. (4H candles instead of 2H candles).
- Entry in position is based on
MACD, EMA (20), SMA (100), SMA (200) moving up
AND EMA (20) > SMA (100)
AND SMA (100) > SMA (200)
- Exit the position if: Stoploss is reached OR EMA (20) crossUnder SMA (100)
The goal of this new script is to be able to follow the signals manually and only make few trades per years.
I have also validated it against some other altcoins where some are giving very good results.
Here are some results for 2020 (from 01/01/2020 until now (22/11/2020). Those results are the one I get when using 4H candles.
ETH/USD: +144% in 8 trades.
BTC/USD: +120% in 7 trades.
ETH/BTC: +33% in 9 trades.
ICX/USD: +123% in 10 trades.
LINK/USD: +155% in 11 trades.
MLN/USD: +388% in 8 trades.
ADA/USD: +180% in 7 trades.
LINK/BTC: +97% in 10 trades.
The best is that above results are without considering compound effect. If you re-invest all gains done in each new trade, this will give you the below results :)
ETH/USD: +189% in 8 trades.
BTC/USD: +260% in 7 trades.
ETH/BTC: +29% in 9 trades.
ICX/USD: +112% in 10 trades.
LINK/USD: +222% in 11 trades.
MLN/USD: +793% in 8 trades.
ADA/USD: +319% in 7 trades.
LINK/BTC: +103% in 10 trades.
As you can see, the results are good and the number of trades for 11 months is not big, which allows the trader to place orders manually.
But still, I'm lazy :), so, I have also coded this strategy in HaasScript language which allows you to automate this strategy using the HaasOnline software specialized in automated crypto trading.
I hope that this strategy will give you ideas or will be the starting point for your own strategy.
Let me know if you need more details.
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[blackcat] L1 Bitcoin Guppy Whale Pump Dump OscillatorLevel: 1
Background
The Guppy Multiple Moving Average (GMMA) is a technical indicator that identifies changing trends, breakouts, and trading opportunities in the price of an asset by combining two sets of moving averages (MA) with different time periods. There is a short term group of MAs and a long term group of MAs.
One of the biggest differences between cryptocurrency and traditional financial markets is that cryptocurrency is based on blockchain technology. Individual investors can discover the direction of the flow of large funds through on-chain transfers. These large funds are often referred to as Whale. Whale can have a significant impact on the price movements of cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin . Therefore, how to monitor Whale trends is of great significance both in terms of fundamentals and technical aspects.
Function
L1 Bitcoin Guppy Whale Pump Dump Oscillator is innovative because it was moved from main chart to aux chart and the input source of Guppy moving average was changed in to bias rate of key EMAs. This makes it work as a Guppy oscillator. This Guppy oscillator was designed and optimized to detect whale pump and dump behavior for BTCUSD or BTCUSDT trading pairs. When whale pump is detected, yellow candles appear; when whale dump is detected, fuchsia candles appear.
Key Signal
di,d1~d8 ---> Guppy oscillator lines
pump --> whale pump detector
dump --> whale dump detector
Pros and Cons
Pros:
1. easy observe price trend
2. it detects whale pump and dump
Cons:
1. no explicit entries are disclosed
2. only optimized for Bitcoin usd/usdt trading pairs
Remarks
Courtesy of @LunaOwl " Rainbow Color Gradient" for colorful Guppy oscillator lines in this script
Readme
In real life, I am a prolific inventor. I have successfully applied for more than 60 international and regional patents in the past 12 years. But in the past two years or so, I have tried to transfer my creativity to the development of trading strategies. Tradingview is the ideal platform for me. I am selecting and contributing some of the hundreds of scripts to publish in Tradingview community. Welcome everyone to interact with me to discuss these interesting pine scripts.
The scripts posted are categorized into 5 levels according to my efforts or manhours put into these works.
Level 1 : interesting script snippets or distinctive improvement from classic indicators or strategy. Level 1 scripts can usually appear in more complex indicators as a function module or element.
Level 2 : composite indicator/strategy. By selecting or combining several independent or dependent functions or sub indicators in proper way, the composite script exhibits a resonance phenomenon which can filter out noise or fake trading signal to enhance trading confidence level.
Level 3 : comprehensive indicator/strategy. They are simple trading systems based on my strategies. They are commonly containing several or all of entry signal, close signal, stop loss, take profit, re-entry, risk management, and position sizing techniques. Even some interesting fundamental and mass psychological aspects are incorporated.
Level 4 : script snippets or functions that do not disclose source code. Interesting element that can reveal market laws and work as raw material for indicators and strategies. If you find Level 1~2 scripts are helpful, Level 4 is a private version that took me far more efforts to develop.
Level 5 : indicator/strategy that do not disclose source code. private version of Level 3 script with my accumulated script processing skills or a large number of custom functions. I had a private function library built in past two years. Level 5 scripts use many of them to achieve private trading strategy. Indicator
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Crypto USD VolumeOften times I need to check the volume in cryptocurrency exchanges and I find myself checking which type of volume I am looking at, I need to manually make sense what the data is and converting it into USD volume which I end up going to CoinMarketCap website to verify whether my calculation is right.
Today I thought it was about time I created an automatic way to find the volume in USD Dollars. This is what this script does.
1 - It removes the base currency from the symbol (e.g., "BTCUSD", it would remove "BTC", leaving us with the "USD" part.). This is important because it helps us identify the currency the pair uses.
2 - It has different pair's variables, each is given a specific currency that the final volume is calculated from. (BTC, ETH, BNB and USD are the default currencies, for other ones, it must be added manually).
This works with all crypto symbols that include BTC, ETH, BNB and USD as currencies. If you modify it, please make sure to compare data with the exchange's one. Indicator
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ETS MA Deviation ExtremesWhile trading, I noticed that emphasis is often placed on how far price has moved from the moving average (whichever a trader prefers). In these cases I also found that Bollinger Bands only sometimes played a factor in determining whether price had moved "too far" from the moving average to potentially result in a sharp move back to the average.
Because I wanted something more objective than a "gut feeling" that price has moved away from the average enough to make it move back, I decided to see what I could do to determine the standard deviation of how price action moved away from the average , in order to determine when it could potentially have a "rubber band effect" to jump back to the "norm". The result of that is the ETS MA Deviation Extremes indicator, and I hope that it will help you in your trading.
The indicator also has bar coloring included, which can be turned off, which gives a good on-chart visual to warn you that the price action might reverse. This has often helped me to be a bit more cautious before just jumping into a trade that might be on the brink of reversing and taking my position out, and it actually turned out to be a good indicator for a reversal trade strategy.
The histogram bars give an indication of how far the price has moved away from the average, and I look for a potential reversal as soon as the histograms move back inside the deviation lines after having been outside it. The bar coloration actually depend on more than one set of deviation lines, but putting all of that on the chart just makes it confusing, so I removed the ones that I felt were not essential to make it clearer.
I hope it helps you in your trading and makes it easier for you to trade successfully! Indicator
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Channel Break [for free bot]I present to you a script for testing the channel breakout strategy for the Bitmex exchange.
Cryptocurrency itself is a trending tool, which is why breakout strategies generate the largest profits, and the channel breakout strategy is one of the most effective trend strategies.
The optimization result shows the result of trading on a volume of 20% of the deposit. But since Bitmex trades in futures contracts, you can use 50%, 100% and even much more, depending on your attitude to risk.
At the time of publication on the Bitmex exchange there are 12 different contracts, i.e. You can diversify your trading well (by pre-optimizing the settings for each contract).
In the script, you can set up many trading options - timeframe, periods for buying and selling, method of exiting a trade, stop loss, take profit, risk management, etc.
Thus, you create a strategy "for yourself".
Представляю Вам скрипт для тестирования стратегии пробоя канала для биржи Битмекс.
Криптовалюта, сама по себе является трендовым инструментом, именно поэтому, пробойные стратегии генерируют самую большую прибыль, а стратегия пробоя канала – является одной из самых эффективных трендовых стратегий.
На результате оптимизации показан результат торговли на объеме в 20% от депозита. Но так как на Битмекс торговля идет фьючерсными контрактами, Вы можете использовать 50%, 100% и даже намного больше, в зависимости от Вашего отношения к риску.
На момент публикации на бирже Битмекс есть 12 разных контрактов, т.е. Вы можете хороши диверсифицировать свою торговлю (предварительно оптимизируя настройки по каждый контракт).
В скрипте Вы можете настроить множество вариантов торговли - таймфрейм, периоды для покупки и продажи, метод выхода из сделки, стоп-лосс, тейк-профит, рискменеджмент и т.п.
Таким образом Вы создаете стратегию "под себя". Strategy
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