Hunt Bitcoin CoT Buy/Sell signalWhy Bother another CoT signal?
Its different & focused on the Insider's.
Performance -
This Indicator provided a
1. Signal 1 = 26th March 2019 = SUPER LONG at $4,500 that saw a near $14,000 run up
2. Signal 2 = 18th & 24th June 2019 = SHORT at the second & final level $11,700 after repeated attempts & failure in the $13K range, the mini Echo Bitcoin Bull of 2019
3. Signal 3 = 17th December 2019 = LONG $6,900, Bitcoin rallied to Mid $10,500's
4. Signal 4 = 18th Feb 2020 = SUPER SHORT from $9,700's to a final extreme Low of $3,000, calling the CV-19 collapse
5. Signal 5 = 17th March 2020 = LONG from $5,400 no closure point yet
6. Signal 6 = 29th June 2020 = SUPER LONG reiterate from $10,700 no closure sell signal yet
7. Signal 7 = 17th May 2020 = LONG another accumulate LONG with no sell signal yet generated at Post H&S's low of $33,000
Note - This indicator only commences March 2019, as Bitcoin futures were a recent introduction and needed to settle for 6 months in both use and data, no signals were meaningful prior & data was light.
What is Provided. - Please note the need to also add the Hunt Bitcoin Historical Volatility Indicator for full understanding.
We provide 3 things with the 3 indicators.
'Insider' indications from Largest players in the futures market.
1. Bitcoin Macro Buy Signals.
a) The Bitcoin Commitment of Traders results see us focus solely on Largest 4 Short Open Interest & Largest 4 Long Open Interest aspects of the CoT Release data.
When the difference - is tight, a kind of pinch, these have been great Buy signals in Bitcoin.
We call this difference the Delta & When Delta is 5% or less Bitcoin is a Buy.
2. Bitcoin Macro Sells.
a) A sell signal is Triggered in Bitcoin at any point the Largest 4 short OI > or = to 70
3. AMPLIFIER Trade signals 'Super' Longs or Shorts -
Extreme low volatility events leads to highly impulsive & volatile subsequent moves, if either of 1 or 2 above occur, combined with extreme low volatility
a 'Super Long' or 'SUPER SELL' is generated. In the case of the short side, given Bitcoins general expansive and MACRO Bull trend since inception, we seek an additional component
that is an extreme differential/Delta reading between 4 biggest Longs & Shorts OI.
Namely CoT Delta also must be > 47.5%
We also have a Cautionary level, where it is not necessarily a good idea to accumulate Bitcon, as a better opportunity lower may avail itself, see conditions below.
So the required logic explicitly stated below for all Signals.
1. Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5
2. SUPER Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5; and 2 Day Historical Bitcoin Volatility = or < 20
3. Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70
4. SUPER Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70; AND..
Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 47.5 AND 2 Day Historical BTC Volatility = or < 20
5. Caution - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 67.5 AND Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 45
WARNING SEE Notes Below
Note 1 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Shorts
Note 2 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Longs
Note 3 - = Hunt Cot Delta = (Largest 4 sellers OI) -( Largest 4 Buyers OI)
Caution = Avoid new Bitcoin Accumulation Right Now, A sell signal might follow Enter on next Long
Note 4 - The Hunt Bitcoin COT Delta signal is a Largest 'Insider' Tracking tool based on a segment of Commitment of Traders data on Bitcoin Futures, released once a week on a Friday.
It is a Macro Timeframe signal , and should not be used for Day trading and Short Timeframe analysis , Entries may be optimised after a Hunt Bitcoin CoT Signal is generated by separate shorter Timeframe analysis.
Note 5 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility is an additional 'Amplifier' component to the 'Hunt Bitcoin Cot Delta' Insider Signal
Note 6 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility criteria varies by timeframe, the above levels are those applying on a Two Day TF Chart, select this custom timeframe in Trading View.
if additional criteria are met for LONG & SHORT insider signals, they may become 'Super Longs/Shorts', see conditions box above.
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Hunt Bitcoin CoT Open Interest DeltaWhy Bother another CoT signal?
Its different & focused on the Insider's.
Performance -
This Indicator provided a
1. Signal 1 = 26th March 2019 = SUPER LONG at $4,500 that saw a near $14,000 run up
2. Signal 2 = 18th & 24th June 2019 = SHORT at the second & final level $11,700 after repeated attempts & failure in the $13K range, the mini Echo Bitcoin Bull of 2019
3. Signal 3 = 17th December 2019 = LONG $6,900, Bitcoin rallied to Mid $10,500's
4. Signal 4 = 18th Feb 2020 = SUPER SHORT from $9,700's to a final extreme Low of $3,000, calling the CV-19 collapse
5. Signal 5 = 17th March 2020 = LONG from $5,400 no closure point yet
6. Signal 6 = 29th June 2020 = SUPER LONG reiterate from $10,700 no closure sell signal yet
7. Signal 7 = 17th May 2020 = LONG another accumulate LONG with no sell signal yet generated at Post H&S's low of $33,000
Note - This indicator only commences March 2019, as Bitcoin futures were a recent introduction and needed to settle for 6 months in both use and data, no signals were meaningful prior & data was light.
What is Provided. - Please note the need to also add the Hunt Bitcoin Historical Volatility Indicator for full understanding.
We provide 3 things with the 3 indicators.
'Insider' indications from Largest players in the futures market.
1. Bitcoin Macro Buy Signals.
a) The Bitcoin Commitment of Traders results see us focus solely on Largest 4 Short Open Interest & Largest 4 Long Open Interest aspects of the CoT Release data.
When the difference - is tight, a kind of pinch, these have been great Buy signals in Bitcoin.
We call this difference the Delta & When Delta is 5% or less Bitcoin is a Buy.
2. Bitcoin Macro Sells.
a) A sell signal is Triggered in Bitcoin at any point the Largest 4 short OI > or = to 70
3. AMPLIFIER Trade signals 'Super' Longs or Shorts -
Extreme low volatility events leads to highly impulsive & volatile subsequent moves, if either of 1 or 2 above occur, combined with extreme low volatility
a 'Super Long' or 'SUPER SELL' is generated. In the case of the short side, given Bitcoins general expansive and MACRO Bull trend since inception, we seek an additional component
that is an extreme differential/Delta reading between 4 biggest Longs & Shorts OI.
Namely CoT Delta also must be > 47.5%
We also have a Cautionary level, where it is not necessarily a good idea to accumulate Bitcon, as a better opportunity lower may avail itself, see conditions below.
So the required logic explicitly stated below for all Signals.
1. Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5
2. SUPER Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5; and 2 Day Historical Bitcoin Volatility = or < 20
3. Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70
4. SUPER Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70; AND..
Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 47.5 AND 2 Day Historical BTC Volatility = or < 20
5. Caution - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 67.5 AND Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 45
WARNING SEE Notes Below
Note 1 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Shorts
Note 2 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Longs
Note 3 - = Hunt Cot Delta = (Largest 4 sellers OI) -( Largest 4 Buyers OI)
Caution = Avoid new Bitcoin Accumulation Right Now, A sell signal might follow Enter on next Long
Note 4 - The Hunt Bitcoin COT Delta signal is a Largest 'Insider' Tracking tool based on a segment of Commitment of Traders data on Bitcoin Futures, released once a week on a Friday.
It is a Macro Timeframe signal , and should not be used for Day trading and Short Timeframe analysis , Entries may be optimised after a Hunt Bitcoin CoT Signal is generated by separate shorter Timeframe analysis.
Note 5 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility is an additional 'Amplifier' component to the 'Hunt Bitcoin Cot Delta' Insider Signal
Note 6 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility criteria varies by timeframe, the above levels are those applying on a Two Day TF Chart, select this custom timeframe in Trading View.
if additional criteria are met for LONG & SHORT insider signals, they may become 'Super Longs/Shorts', see conditions box above.
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INDICES against BTC & ETHThe idea is the following; you can easily chart the FTX perp indices against (currently) two baselines, ETH & BTC.
I always choose ETH since it is way harder to outperform ETH at the moment. Doing this helps me see certain trends and/or fractal that might happen again in the future.
Since I already made D.A.M (Defi against Majors / Pricing Defi categories against BTC & ETH: ) I came across the idea of doing the same thing but with the perp indices that FTX offer. At first, I wanted to add this to D.A.M but it has no place in this indicator since this will not only look at Defi but the macro market as a whole.
The indicator currently only looks at the following indexes (weighting can be found here: https:// help. ftx. com/hc/en-us/articles/360027668812-Index-Calculation) :
DRGN: THE DRAGON INDEX
ARPA, BTM, IOST, NEO, NULS, ONT, QTUM, TRX, VET
ALT: ALTCOIN INDEX
BCH, BNB, EOS, ETH, LTC, XRP, TRX, DOT, LINK, ADA
MID: THE MID CAP INDEX
ALGO, ATOM, BAT, CRO, DASH, DCR, DOGE, HT, IOTA, LEO, NEO, OKB, ONT, QTUM, VET, XEM, XLM, XMR, XTZ, ZEC, ZRX, OMG, COMP, BSV, FTT, YFI, UNI, SNX, MKR, AAVE
SHIT: THE SHITCOIN INDEX
AE, AION, ARDR, ARPA, BCD, BEAM, BTG, BTM, BTS, BTT, CHZ, CKB, DGB, ELF, ENJ, GNT, GRIN, GT, HBAR, HC, ICX, IOST, KMD, KNC, LAMB, LRC, LSK, MANA, MATIC, MCO, NANO, NULS, OMG, POWR, PUNDIX, REN, REP, RVN, SC, SNT, STEEM, THETA, TOMO, VSYS, WAVES, XVG, XZC, ZEN, ZIL, ZRX
PRIV: THE PRIVACY INDEX
BEAM, DCR, GRIN, KMD, XMR, XVG, XZC, ZEC, ZEN
DEFI: THE DECENTRALIZED FINANCE INDEX
KNC, MKR, ZRX, REN, REP, SNX, COMP, TOMO, RUNE, CRV, DOT, LINK, MTA, SOL, CREAM, BAND, SRM, SUSHI, SWRV, AVAX, YFI, UNI, WNXM, AAVE, BAL
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Jakes Index------------
English
I introduce the community to the Jakes Index. Basically, this is an index containing the top 10 cryptocurrencies, classified according to their Marketcap. The purpose of this index is to show a general market context, without being tied to a single crypto. With an overview of the market, it is easier to identify the market trend, in addition to being an excellent indicator to gauge the performance of your Crypt portfolio. Supply data comes from CoinMarktCap, and price data comes mostly from Binance, however some crypts are not yet available for trading by it, so the prices used come from the first broker indicated by PulseWire in the search.
Given that one of the crypts was launched very recently, Internet Computer to be more exact, I decided to leave it out of the index, adding "//" to the code in all references to it. If you want to see the performance of the index with the included cryptography, just delete the bars that follow in front of your code, such parts: "ASSET8; SUPPLY8; PESO8; QOC8; FINM8" after that add "//" in "PESO11" and remove the bars from "PESSO11F", in addition to also removing the F. Do the same with "JAKESINDEX" at the end of the code, and you will have the result with the Internet Computer included.
The calculation of the index takes into account the Marketcap of the crypto, which is divided by the sum of the Marketcap of all the others, and then the result is multiplied by the market value of the Cryptocurrency. Thus, we have an index weighted by Marketcap with the 10 most important cryptocurrencies in the market AT THE TIME. It is important to remember that this index must be updated, both in terms of the currencies that change their place in the ranking with certain frequency, as the Supply that each one has, since coins with active mining, as is the case of Bitcoin, change their Supply frequently.
To keep the index up to date, I will do ONE Monthly update, always posting the code with the new changes.
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Português
Apresento a comunidade o Jakes Index. Basicamente, este é um índice contendo as 10 principais criptomoedas, classificadas de acordo com seu Marketcap. O objetivo deste índice é mostrar um contexto geral do mercado, sem ficar preso a uma única cripto. Com um apanhado geral sobre o mercado, fica mais fácil identificar a tendência do mercado, além de ser um excelente indicador para balizar o desempenho da sua carteira de Criptos. Os dados referentes a Supply são advindos do CoinMarktCap, e os dados dos preços vem em sua maioria da Binance, porém algumas criptos ainda não estão disponíveis para negociação pela mesma, portanto os preços utilizados vem da primeira corretora indicada pelo PulseWire na busca.
Tendo em vista que uma das criptos foi lançada muito recentemente, a Internet Computer para ser mais exato, decidi deixa-la de fora do índice, adicionando "//" no código em todas as referencias a mesma. Caso queira ver o desempenho do índice com a cripto incluída, basta apagar as barras que seguem na frente de seu código, sendo tais partes: "ASSET8; SUPPLY8; PESO8; QOC8; FINM8" após isso adicione "//" em "PESO11" e remova as barras de "PESSO11F", além de remover também o F. Faça o mesmo com "JAKESINDEX" no fim do código, e terá o resultado com a Internet Computer incluída.
O calculo do índice leva em conta o Marketcap da cripto, que é dividio pela soma do Marketcap de todas as outras, e então o resultado é multiplicado pelo valor a mercado da Criptomoeda. Dessa forma, temos um índice ponderado pelo Marketcap com as 10 Criptomoedas mais importantes do mercado NO MOMENTO. É importante lembrar que este índice deve ser atualizado, tanto em questão das moedas que mudam com certa frequência seu lugar no ranking, como o Supply que cada uma tem, visto que moedas com mineração ativa, como é o caso do Bitcoin, mudam seu Supply com frequência.
Para manter o índice atualizado, farei UMA atualização Mensal, postando sempre o código com as novas alterações. Indicator
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Moving Average BandsUse this script to find buy and sell zones for BTC based on momentum of the move relative to the average asset price over a given period. The script plots a series of offset bands above and below the Simple Moving Average. When price crosses another band further from the SMA, the background is rendered brighter. The brighter the background, the stronger the buy and sell signal is, as the expectation is that price wants to return to the SMA. Settings are adjustable to fine tune to various time frames and assets. Good settings for BTC Daily are length 30, layers at 10, 20, 30, and 40.
On 1H BTC/USD I use length 200, layers at 5, 10, 15, 20 to find decent swing trading opportunities.
On BTC/USD 1D chart, combine with Bitcoin Logarithmic Growth Curve from @mabonyi (original by @quantadelic )for confluence of very reliable signals.
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