Smoothed Heikin Ashi Trend on Chart - TraderHalai BACKTESTSmoothed Heikin Ashi Trend on chart - Backtest
This is a backtest of the Smoothed Heikin Ashi Trend indicator, which computes the reverse candle close price required to flip a Heikin Ashi trend from red to green and vice versa. The original indicator can be found in the scripts section of my profile.
This particular back test uses this indicator with a Trend following paradigm with a percentage-based stop loss.
Note, that backtesting performance is not always indicative of future performance, but it does provide some basis for further development and walk-forward / live testing.
Testing was performed on Bitcoin , as this is a primary target market for me to use this kind of strategy.
Sample Backtesting results as of 10th June 2022:
Backtesting parameters:
Position size: 10% of equity
Long stop: 1% below entry
Short stop: 1% above entry
Repainting: Off
Smoothing: SMA
Period: 10
8 Hour:
Number of Trades: 1046
Gross Return: 249.27 %
CAGR Return: 14.04 %
Max Drawdown: 7.9 %
Win percentage: 28.01 %
Profit Factor (Expectancy): 2.019
Average Loss: 0.33 %
Average Win: 1.69 %
Average Time for Loss: 1 day
Average Time for Win: 5.33 days
1 Day:
Number of Trades: 429
Gross Return: 458.4 %
CAGR Return: 15.76 %
Max Drawdown: 6.37 %
Profit Factor (Expectancy): 2.804
Average Loss: 0.8 %
Average Win: 7.2 %
Average Time for Loss: 3 days
Average Time for Win: 16 days
5 Day:
Number of Trades: 69
Gross Return: 1614.9 %
CAGR Return: 26.7 %
Max Drawdown: 5.7 %
Profit Factor (Expectancy): 10.451
Average Loss: 3.64 %
Average Win: 81.17 %
Average Time for Loss: 15 days
Average Time for Win: 85 days
Analysis:
The strategy is typical amongst trend following strategies with a less regular win rate, but where profits are more significant than losses. Most of the losses are in sideways, low volatility markets. This strategy performs better on higher timeframes, where it shows a positive expectancy of the strategy.
The average win was positively impacted by Bitcoin’s earlier smaller market cap, as the percentage wins earlier were higher.
Overall the strategy shows potential for further development and may be suitable for walk-forward testing and out of sample analysis to be considered for a demo trading account.
Note in an actual trading setup, you may wish to use this with volatility filters, combined with support resistance zones for a better setup.
As always, this post/indicator/strategy is not financial advice, and please do your due diligence before trading this live.
Original indicator links:
On chart version -
Oscillator version -
Update - 27/06/2022
Unfortunately, It appears that the original script had been taken down due to auto-moderation because of concerns with no slippage / commission. I have since adjusted the backtest, and re-uploaded to include the following to address these concerns, and show that I am genuinely trying to give back to the community and not mislead anyone:
1) Include commission of 0.1% - to match Binance's maker fees prior to moving to a fee-less model.
2) Include slippage of 10 ticks (This is a realistic slippage figure from searching online for most crypto exchanges)
3) Adjust account balance to 10,000 - since most of us are not millionaires.
The rest of the backtesting parameters are comparable to previous results:
Backtesting parameters:
Initial capital: 10000 dollars
Position size: 10% of equity
Long stop: 2% below entry
Short stop: 2% above entry
Repainting: Off
Smoothing: SMA
Period: 10
Slippage: 10 ticks
Commission: 0.1%
This script still remains to shows viability / profitablity on higher term timeframes (with slightly higher drawdown), and I have included the backtest report below to document my findings:
8 Hour:
Number of Trades: 1082
Gross Return: 233.02%
CAGR Return: 14.04 %
Max Drawdown: 7.9 %
Win percentage: 25.6%
Profit Factor (Expectancy): 1.627
Average Loss: 0.46 %
Average Win: 2.18 %
Average Time for Loss: 1.33 day
Average Time for Win: 7.33 days
Once again, please do your own research and due dillegence before trading this live. This post is for education and information purposes only, and should not be taken as financial advice.
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MPF EMA Cross Strategy (8~13~21) by Market Pip FactoryThis script is for a complete strategy to win maximum profit on trades whilst keeping losses at a minimum, using sound risk management at no greater than 1.5%
The 3x EMA Strategy uses the following parameters for trade activation and closure.
1/ Daily Time Frame for trend confirmation
2/ 4 Hourly Time Frame for trend confirmation
3/ 1 Hourly Time Frame for trend confirmation AND trade execution
4/ 3x EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages)
* EMA#1 = 8 EMA (Red Color)
* EMA#2 = 13 EMA (Blue Color)
* EMA#3 = 21 EMA (Orange Color)
5/ Fanning of all 3x EMAs and CrossOver/CrossUnder for Trend Confirmation
6/ Price Action touching an 8 EMA for trade activation
7/ Price Action touching a 21 EMA for trade cancellation BEFORE activation
* For LONG trades: 8 EMA would be ABOVE 21 EMA
* For SHORT trades: 8 EMA would be BELOW 21 EMA
* For trade Cancellation, price action would touch the 21 EMA before trade is activated
* For trade Entry, price action would touch 8 EMA
Once trigger parameter is identified, entry is found by:
a) Price action touches 8 EMA (Candle must Close for confirmed Trade preparation)
b) Trade preparation can be cancelled before trade is activated if price action touches 21 EMA
c) Trailing Stop Loss can be used (optional) by counting back 5 candles from current candle
CLOSURE of a Trade is identified by:
e) 8 EMA crossing the 21 EMA, then close trade, no matter LONG or SHORT
f) Trail Stop Loss
IMPORTANT:
g) No more than ONE activated trade per EMA crossover
h) No more than ONE active trade per pair
NOTE: This strategy is to be used in conjunction with Cipher Twister (my other indicator) to reduce trades on
sideways price action and market trends for super high win ratio.
NOTE: Enabling of LONGs and SHORTs Via Cipher Twister is done by using the previous
green or red dot made. Additionally, when the trend changes, so do the dot's validity based
on being above or below the 0 centerline.
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Strategy and Bot Logic
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.....::: FOR SHORT TRADES ONLY :::.....
The Robot must use the following logic to enable and activate the SHORT trades:
Parameters:
$(crossunder)=8EMA,21EMA=Bearish $(crossover)=8EMA,21EMA=Bullish $entry=SELL STOP ORDER (Short)
$EMA#1 = 8 EMA (Red Color) $EMA#2 = 13 EMA (Blue Color) $EMA#3 = 21 EMA (Orange Color)
Strategy Logic:
1/ Check Daily Time Frame for trend confirmation if:
(look back up to 50 candles - find last cross of EMAs)
$(chart)=daily and trend=$(crossunder) then goto 2/ *Means: crossunder = ema21 > ema8
$(chart)=daily and trend=$(crossover) then stop (No trades) *Means: crossover = ema8 > ema21
NOTE: This function is switchable. 0=off and 1=on(active). Default = 1 (on)
2/ Check 4 Hourly Time Frame for trend confirmation if:
(look back up to 50 candles - find last cross of EMAs)
$(chart)=4H and trend=$(crossunder) then goto 3/ *Means: crossunder = ema21 > ema8
$(chart)=4H and trend=$(crossover) then stop (No trades) *Means: crossover = ema8 > ema21
NOTE: This function is switchable. 0=off and 1=on(active). Default = 1 (on)
3/ 1 Hourly Time Frame for trend confirmation AND trade execution if:
(look back up to 50 candles - find last cross of EMAs)
$(chart)=1H and trend=$(crossunder) then goto 4/ *Means: crossunder = ema21 > ema8
$(chart)=1H and trend=$(crossover) then stop (No trades) *Means: crossover = ema8 > ema21
4/ Trade preparation:
* if Next (subsequent) candle touches 8EMA, then set STOP LOSS and ENTRY
* $stoploss=3 pips ABOVE current candle HIGH
* $entry=3 pips BELOW current candle LOW
5/ Trade waiting (ONLY BEFORE entry is hit and trade activated):
* if price action touches 21 EMA then cancel trade and goto 1/
Note: Once trade is active this function does not apply !
6/ Trade Activation:
* if price activates/hits ENTRY price, then bot activates trade SHORTs market
7/ Optional Trailing stop:
* if active, then trailing stop 3 pips ABOVE previous HIGH of previous 5th candle
or * Move Stop Loss to Break Even after $X number of pips
NOTE: This means count back and apply accordingly to the 5th previous candle from current candle.
NOTE: This function is switchable. 0=off and 1=on(active). Default = 0 (off)
8/ Trade Close ~ Take Profit:
* Only TP when
$(chart)=1H and trend=$(crossover) then close trade ~ Or obviously if Stop Loss is hit if 7/ is activated.
----------END FOR SHORT TRADES LOGIC----------
.....::: FOR LONG TRADES ONLY :::.....
The Robot must use the following logic to enable and activate the LONG trades:
Parameters:
$(crossunder)=8EMA,21EMA=Bearish $(crossover)=8EMA,21EMA=Bullish $entry=BUY STOP ORDER (Long)
$EMA#1 = 8 EMA (Red Color) $EMA#2 = 13 EMA (Blue Color) $EMA#3 = 21 EMA (Orange Color)
Strategy Logic:
1/ Check Daily Time Frame for trend confirmation if:
(look back up to 50 candles - find last cross of EMAs)
$(chart)=daily and trend=$(crossover) then goto 2/ *Means: crossover = ema8 > ema21
$(chart)=daily and trend=$(crossunder) then stop (No trades) *Means: crossunder = ema21 > ema8
NOTE: This function is switchable. 0=off and 1=on(active). Default = 1 (on)
2/ Check 4 Hourly Time Frame for trend confirmation if:
(look back up to 50 candles - find last cross of EMAs)
$(chart)=4H and trend=$(crossover) then goto 3/ *Means: crossover = ema8 > ema21
$(chart)=4H and trend=$(crossunder) then stop (No trades) *Means: crossunder = ema21 > ema8
NOTE: This function is switchable. 0=off and 1=on(active). Default = 1 (on)
3/ 1 Hourly Time Frame for trend confirmation AND trade execution if:
(look back up to 50 candles - find last cross of EMAs)
$(chart)=1H and trend=$(crossover) then goto 4/ *Means: crossover = ema8 > ema21
$(chart)=1H and trend=$(crossunder) then stop (No trades) *Means: crossunder = ema21 > ema8
4/ Trade preparation:
* if Next (subsequent) candle touches 8EMA, then set STOP LOSS and ENTRY
* $stoploss=3 pips BELOW current candle LOW
* $entry=3 pips ABOVE current candle HIGH
5/ Trade waiting (ONLY BEFORE entry is hit and trade activated):
* if price action touches 21 EMA then cancel trade and goto 1/
Note: Once trade is active this function does not apply !
6/ Trade Activation:
* if price activates/hits ENTRY price, then bot activates trade LONGs market
7/ Optional Trailing stop:
* if active, then trailing stop 3 pips BELOW previous LOW of previous 5th candle
or * Move Stop Loss to Break Even after $X number of pips
NOTE: This means count back and apply accordingly to the 5th previous candle from current candle.
NOTE: This function is switchable. 0=off and 1=on(active). Default = 0 (off)
8/ Trade Close ~ Take Profit:
* Only TP when
$(chart)=1H and trend=$(crossunder) then close trade ~ Or obviously if Stop Loss is hit if 7/ is activated.
----------END FOR LONG TRADES LOGIC----------
IMPORTANT:
* If an existing trade is already open for that same pair, & price action touches 8EMA, do NOT open a new trade..
* bot must continuously check if a trade is currently open on the pair that triggers
* New trades are to be only opened if there is no active trade opened on current pair.
* Only 1 trade per pair rule !
* 5 simultaneous open trades (not same pairs) default = 5 but value can be changed accordingly.
* Maximum risk management must not exceed 1.5% on lot size
*** Some features are not yet available autoated, they will be added in due course in subsequent version updates *** Indicator

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Gap Reversion StrategyToday I am releasing to the community an original short-term, high-probability gap trading strategy, backed by a 20 year backtest. This strategy capitalizes on the mean reverting behavior of equity ETFs, which is largely driven by fear in the market. The strategy buys into that fear at a level that has historically mean reverted within ~5 days. Larry Connors has published useful research and variations of strategies based on this behavior that I would recommend any quantitative trader read.
What it does:
This strategy, for 1 day charts on equity ETFs, looks for an overnight gap down when the RSI is also in/near an oversold position. Then, it places a limit order further below the opening of the gapped-down day. It then exits the position based on a higher RSI level. The limit buy order is cancelled if the price doesn't reach your limit price that day. So, the larger you make the gap and limit %, the less signals you will have.
Features:
Inputs to allow the adjustment of the limit order %, the gap %, and the RSI entry/exit levels.
An option to have the limit order be based on a % of ATR instead of a % of asset price.
An optional filter that can turn-off trades when the VIX is unusually high.
A built in stop.
Built in alerts.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Open-source scripts I publish in the community are largely meant to spark ideas that can be used as building blocks for part of a more robust trade management strategy. If you would like to implement a version of any script, I would recommend making significant additions/modifications to the strategy & risk management functions. If you don’t know how to program in Pine, then hire a Pine-coder. We can help! Strategy

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Vix FIX / Stochastic Weights StrategyThis script is based off of Chris Moody's Vix Fix Indicator modified by OskarGallard and BigBitsIO's Stochastic Weights.
This script is a compilation of several different stochastic indicators (and RSI ) where the K value of each indicator is equally weighted. The purpose of the indicator is to combine many indicators together in a fashion that weights them easier. By default, the Stochastic and Stochastic RSI are both enabled - the idea is to speed up the relatively slower Stochastic and to slow down the relatively fast Stochastic RSI . BigBitsIO's Stochastics are also available that can also be added to the weighted calculation. Only the K value is weighted, as the D value is just a moving average of the weighted K.
- Why is this modifed stochastic useful?
- To weight multiple indicators together so that you can attempt to find optimal values shared amongst the indicators. Ex: If Stochastic RSI is 100 and Stochastic is 50, K would be 75 and not particularly high. If you add in a 50 RSI , the K would be 67 in this example. If we weight indicators together that all have a high value they could potentially help find elements that align together to produce a stronger signal.
In this script we have the red "S" triangles which are Exits (overbought stochastic crosses).
Added alerts for stochastic exit signals. Alerts are Pre-Set to only Alert on Bar Close.
The "Williams Vix Fix" is one of the most reliable indicators in history for finding market bottoms. The Vix Fix is simply a code from Larry Williams creating almost identical results for creating the same ability the Vix has to all assets.
The VIX has always been much better at signaling bottoms than tops. Simple reason is when market falls retail traders panic and increase volatility , and professionals come in and capitalize on the situation. At market tops there is no one panicking... just liquidity drying up.
The FE green triangles are "Filtered Entries".
The AE green triangles are "Aggressive Filtered Entries".
Added Alerts to Williams Vix Fix (Aggressive Entry and Filtered Entry). Alerts are Pre-Set to only Alert on Bar Close.
Added "Ehlrers StochCCI" indicator of user @glaz
The Ehlrers StochCCI is a variation of Ehlers Stochastic RSI replaced with CCI.
The John Ehlers' article in August, 2006, "Modeling The Market = Building Trading Strategies," describes a process for extracting trend and cyclic elements from market data, then recombining them for trading purposes. He used the Stochastic RSI denoted the cyclic elements.
Added ability to show Dots when StochCCI Crosses.
Sell: fuchsia dots.
Buy: green dots.
Added alerts for (Buy / Sell) StochCCI. Alerts are Pre-Set to only Alert on Bar Close.
DISCLAIMER: For educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing in this content should be interpreted as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any sort of security or investment including all types of crypto. DYOR, TYOB. Indicator

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