Liquidity Stress Oscillator Pro2 Liquidity Stress Oscillator Pro2
The Liquidity Stress Oscillator Pro2 is a macro risk-regime indicator designed to visualize broad market liquidity stress using a weighted composite of credit, volatility, dollar strength, funding pressure, and yield-curve conditions.
This oscillator is intended to help traders identify when macro liquidity conditions are improving, neutral, deteriorating, or entering elevated stress. In the BTC comparison shown, the oscillator highlights several major macro regime transitions that have aligned with important Bitcoin cycle shifts.
What It Measures;
LSO Pro2 combines normalized z-scores from multiple macro stress inputs:
- CCC option-adjusted spreads
- High-yield credit spreads
- MOVE bond volatility index
- U.S. Dollar Index
- SOFR / repo stress proxy
- 10Y-2Y yield curve
Each component is converted into a z-score over the selected lookback period, then blended into a weighted composite. The yield curve component is inverted so that deeper curve weakness contributes to higher stress.
Regime Levels;
The oscillator uses adjustable regime thresholds to help dial in trends on different timeframes.
Extreme Risk Off
Risk Off
Neutral
Risk On
The line color, background shading, and regime markers update automatically as the composite moves between regimes.
Features;
- Weighted macro liquidity-stress composite
- Adjustable z-score length and smoothing
- Customizable component symbols
- Optional raw composite display
- Regime background shading
- Risk On, Risk Off, and Extreme Risk Off markers
- Regime table with key component readings
- Works across assets and timeframes, especially useful for macro-sensitive markets like BTC, equities, indexes, and risk assets
How To Use;
Rising LSO values indicate increasing macro stress and tightening liquidity conditions. Falling LSO values indicate easing stress and improving risk appetite.
Risk On regimes may support stronger risk-asset environments, while Risk Off and Extreme Risk Off regimes may warn of elevated caution, deleveraging, or liquidity pressure.
This tool is best used as a macro regime filter alongside price action, trend structure, volume, and risk management. It is not designed to generate standalone buy or sell signals.
Notes;
Some symbols may depend on PulseWire data availability. If a component does not load on your chart, replace it in the indicator settings with an equivalent symbol supported by your data feed.
Default weights emphasize credit stress, especially CCC spreads, because lower-quality credit markets often react strongly during liquidity contractions.
Disclaimer;
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not provide financial advice and should not be used as the sole basis for trading or investment decisions. Always use proper risk management and perform your own analysis. Indicator
Indicator
F54 DividendsF54 Dividends
Overview
F54 Dividends is an informational indicator that visualises cash dividend events for the active symbol and shows event-level plus cumulative dividend context directly on the chart.
The script is designed for analysis and transparency of dividend history. It does not place orders and does not provide trade execution logic.
Why This Indicator Is Useful
Dividend income is a core component of total return for income-oriented investors, yet PulseWire's default chart view gives no direct visibility into it. This indicator bridges that gap.
Yield on cost at a glance. Each label shows the dividend ratio relative to the price at the time of the ex-dividend event, so you can immediately see how yield evolved over time as the share price changed.
Cumulative income picture. The YTD, Fixed 12M, and Rolling 12M accumulation modes let you see how much income a position has generated over a meaningful period without switching to a separate data source or spreadsheet.
Pattern recognition. Seeing dividend events overlaid on price action makes it easy to spot payout consistency, growth trends, or cuts alongside the price history that accompanied them.
Monthly vs quarterly discrimination. The script automatically detects likely monthly payers and suppresses per-event noise, showing only quarter-end summaries to keep the chart readable without losing the cumulative picture.
Period boundary awareness. New accumulation periods (calendar year or 12-month anchor) are highlighted with a distinct label colour, so resets are immediately visible rather than hidden in the data.
Together these features let you assess a symbol's income quality and consistency directly on the price chart, supporting dividend-focused screening, position review, and historical context gathering.
What The Indicator Shows
- Detects ex-dividend events from PulseWire dividend data.
- Displays per-event dividend amount in EUR.
- Displays per-event dividend ratio relative to a reference close.
- Displays cumulative dividend amount and cumulative dividend ratio according to the selected accumulation mode.
- Limits visible labels to the most recent N events to keep the chart readable.
Accumulation Modes
- YTD: Resets cumulative values at the start of each calendar year.
- Fixed 12M: Uses a fixed 12-month period anchored by the current month.
- Rolling 12M: Uses a continuously rolling 365-day window.
Inputs
- Show last N labels: Controls how many recent dividend labels remain visible.
- Accumulation mode: Selects how cumulative values are calculated (YTD, Fixed 12M, Rolling 12M).
How To Read Labels
Each label includes:
- Dividend amount for the current ex-day.
- Event ratio (R) for the current ex-day.
- Cumulative amount for the selected period.
- Cumulative ratio (R) for the selected period.
- In YTD and Fixed 12M modes, the start of a new accumulation period is highlighted with a teal label.
Notes And Limitations
- Output depends on PulseWire dividend data availability and symbol coverage.
- Currency display is EUR in this script configuration.
- Label visibility may vary with chart scaling and timeframe.
- In Rolling 12M mode, accumulated values are window-based and may fall when older ex-dividend events leave the 12-month window, which can be confusing if a steadily increasing total is expected.
- Past data can be revised by data providers; values are informational.
Compliance And Disclaimer
This script is for educational and informational purposes only.
It is not investment advice, not a solicitation, and not a guarantee of future results.
Always perform your own research and risk assessment before making investment decisions. Indicator
Yield Curve MonitorWhat you see in the preview image
The chart displays the complete US Treasury yield curve as a smooth log-scaled polyline drawn to the right of the last bar, with all eleven maturities from 1-month T-bills to 30-year bonds plotted at their actual yield values. The solid line shows today's curve; the dashed line shows the curve from 21 trading days ago for direct visual comparison. Each tenor is labeled with its name and yield in percent. To the right, a comprehensive dashboard table lists every maturity with current yield, the change in basis points versus the historical reference date, and a relative magnitude bar. Below the maturity rows the four most-watched yield-curve spreads are shown (2s10s, 3m10y, 2s30s, 5s30s) with their current value, change versus history, and inversion status. The footer classifies both the current and historical curves into one of five regimes — Steep, Normal, Flat, Inverted, or Humped — using a user-selectable slope metric.
What this indicator does
This is a complete US Treasury yield-curve workstation built into a single PulseWire pane. It solves a problem that ordinary time-series indicators cannot: the yield curve is fundamentally a cross-sectional object — yield as a function of maturity at a single moment — but standard charts plot variables against time. By rendering the curve as a polyline anchored to the right of the last bar, with maturity on a logarithmic x-axis and yield on the price axis, the indicator gives you a real, geometrically faithful view of curve shape, alongside a complete data table and historical comparison.
Eleven maturities are pulled from PulseWire's TVC feed at daily resolution: US01MY, US03MY, US06MY, US01Y, US02Y, US03Y, US05Y, US07Y, US10Y, US20Y, US30Y. Each tenor is requested twice — once for the current bar and once for a user-defined lookback offset — giving the indicator a paired snapshot that drives every visualization and metric. If a specific tenor is unavailable on your data plan (US20Y is the most common gap), that point silently drops from the curve and shows an em dash in the table — no errors are raised.
Settings explained
Display group
Curves geplottet (Curves to plot) — choose which yield curves are drawn to the right of the last bar: , , or . The dashboard table always shows both datasets regardless of this setting; this toggle controls only the visual polyline. The tenor labels next to the points always reflect the curve being plotted (or the current curve when both are shown).Current onlyHistoric onlyBoth
Slope-Metrik (Shape-Klassifikation) — selects which spread drives the Steep / Normal / Flat / Inverted / Humped classification shown in the dashboard footer. Six options are available: (the default, broadest possible measure), (classic NBER recession lead-indicator), (the Federal Reserve's preferred recession signal), (long-end steepness), (pure long-end term-premium proxy), and (full-spectrum slope excluding T-bills). Each metric has its own empirically calibrated thresholds (see the Methodology section), so the classification remains meaningful regardless of which spread you choose. Alerts also fire on the selected spread.30y - 3m10y - 2y (2s10s)10y - 3m (3m10y)30y - 5y (5s30s)30y - 10y (10s30s)30y - 2y (2s30s)
Dashboard anzeigen — show or hide the data table.
Tabellen-Position — five anchor points for the dashboard: top-left, top-right, middle-right, bottom-right, bottom-left.
Historic Lookback (Daily Bars) — the number of trading days back used for the historical comparison. Default is 21, which approximates one trading month. Useful presets: 21 ≈ 1 month, 63 ≈ 1 quarter, 126 ≈ 6 months, 252 ≈ 1 year. Maximum 504 bars (≈ 2 years).
Style group
Five customizable colors mapped to semantic roles (Bull/Steep/Current, Bear/Inversion, Neutral/Normal, Warning/Flat/Hump, Historic). One additional input controls the polyline line width (1 to 5). All defaults match a dark theme; the colors can be repointed to fit any chart style.
Alerts group
Two alert toggles: one fires when the user-selected slope metric crosses below zero (inversion event), the other when it crosses back above zero (re-steepening event). Both alerts trigger on confirmed daily-bar closes only — there is no intrabar repainting.
What the dashboard shows
The table is divided into three blocks.
Maturity block (eleven rows) — one row per tenor showing the current yield to three decimal places, the change in basis points versus the lookback date with directional color (green up, red down), and a magnitude bar built from filled and empty Unicode block characters that visualizes the yield's size relative to the highest yield in the curve. This block lets you read absolute levels and recent moves at a glance.
Key Spreads block (four rows) — the four most-watched curve spreads (2s10s, 3m10y, 2s30s, 5s30s), each with current value, change in basis points versus the lookback date, and an OK / INVERTED status flag. These four are shown unconditionally regardless of which slope metric you selected for shape classification, so you always have the full institutional toolkit visible.
Curve Shape block (one or two rows) — one row per plotted curve (Current and/or Historic, depending on the curve toggle). Each row shows the regime label (STEEP, NORMAL, FLAT, INVERTED, or HUMPED) on a colored background matching the regime, the current slope value of the selected metric, and the metric's name. This lets you compare regime states between today and the lookback date directly: the curve may have shifted from FLAT to STEEP, for example, even if both versions are visible on the chart.
Methodology — shape classification
The indicator uses the user-selected spread as its primary slope input, with four absolute thresholds calibrated empirically from US Treasury data since 1990:
30y - 3m Steep : +1.5% Normal > +0.3% Flat > -0.3% Inverted ≤ -0.3%
10y - 2y (2s10s) +1.0% +0.2% -0.2% -0.2%
10y - 3m (3m10y) +1.5% +0.3% -0.3% -0.3%
30y - 5y (5s30s) +0.7% +0.15% -0.15% -0.15%
30y - 10y (10s30s) +0.5% +0.1% -0.1% -0.1%
30y - 2y (2s30s) +1.0% +0.2% -0.2% -0.2%
The thresholds reflect each spread's historical distribution: the long-end spreads (5s30s, 10s30s) have far narrower ranges than the broad measures (30y-3m, 3m10y), so applying a single global threshold would over-classify the long-end as STEEP at almost every reading. By calibrating per metric, the classification stays meaningful no matter which spread the user selects.
A separate Hump detection runs alongside: if the maximum yield in the curve falls in the belly (2Y, 3Y, 5Y, or 7Y) and the overall slope is below twice the Normal threshold, the curve is classified as HUMPED. This identifies the canonical inverted-belly shape that often signals a near-term policy-rate peak followed by expected easing.
How to read the curve
A Steep curve typically associates with early-cycle expansions, accommodative monetary policy, or rising inflation expectations — investors demand higher compensation to lend further out. A Normal curve is the long-term default state of healthy bond markets. A Flat curve indicates near-equality of short and long expectations, typically near cyclical turning points. An Inverted curve, where long yields trade below short yields, has preceded every US recession since the 1960s with an average lead time of roughly 12 to 18 months — this is the signal to watch for. A Humped shape, where the belly trades above both ends, typically reflects market pricing of a near-term hiking cycle followed by expected cuts.
The dashed historical curve makes regime transitions visually obvious. If the solid current curve sits below the dashed reference across all tenors, yields have fallen broadly (a bond rally). If the curves cross — for example, the short end is up but the long end is down — the curve has flattened or inverted further during the lookback window. If the spread between them widens at the long end, term premium is expanding.
Repainting and data behavior
All calls use . Alerts trigger only on confirmed daily-bar closes. There is no repainting on confirmed bars.request.securitylookahead = barmerge.lookahead_off
When the chart is on an intraday timeframe, the displayed yields reflect the most recent closed daily bar — during the US trading session this means yesterday's settlement until the new daily close prints. This is correct, non-repainting behavior and is consistent with how all daily-resolution data is served on PulseWire.
The pane scales automatically to the yield range using two invisible anchor plots (min and max across both current and historical curves). This ensures the polyline always uses the full vertical space without manual axis adjustment, regardless of the absolute level of yields.
Limitations
The classification thresholds are static absolutes, not adaptive. In persistent low-rate regimes (such as 2010-2021) the STEEP threshold may register slightly too generously; in high-rate regimes the FLAT threshold may understate compression. The numerical slope value is always shown alongside the label, so you can apply your own judgment when the regime label feels off.
The Hump detection uses a simple argmax check on the belly tenors rather than a full curvature metric (such as the 2 × 5Y minus 2Y minus 10Y butterfly). It is most reliable when the selected slope metric spans the full curve (30y-3m, 3m10y, 2s10s); for narrow long-end metrics (5s30s, 10s30s) the belly lies outside the metric's span and Hump classification can be misleading. When in doubt, switch the slope metric to for the most robust shape reading.30y - 3m
Only US Treasuries are supported in this version. The architecture leaves headroom in the request.security budget (22 of 40 calls used) for adding additional sovereign curves (Bunds, Gilts, JGBs) in future updates.
Two alert conditions are exposed for the user-selected slope metric:
Selected Spread Inversion — fires when the chosen spread crosses below zero (e.g., from positive to negative 2s10s). Useful as an early-warning trigger in macro frameworks.
Selected Spread Re-Steepening — fires when the chosen spread crosses back above zero. The bull-versus-bear-steepener distinction (which end of the curve is moving) requires looking at the individual yields in the dashboard at the moment the alert fires.
Alerts respect the user's slope-metric selection — switching from 2s10s to 3m10y in the settings will redirect the alerts to the new spread automatically.
Recommended use
Place the indicator on a daily chart of a broad US equity index (SPX, ES1!, SPY) to visualize how historical yield-curve regimes have aligned with equity-market phases — the inversion shading and shape labels make prior recession signals immediately visible. For fixed-income traders, place it directly on a Treasury futures chart (ZN1!, ZB1!) to use the live curve view as a directional input alongside the underlying price action. For macro discretionary traders, the configurable slope metric lets you align the shape classification with whichever spread your framework prioritizes — Fed-watchers typically use 3m10y, recession-modelers use 2s10s, term-premium analysts use 5s30s or 10s30s.
Originality
This indicator combines three distinct visualizations of the same dataset — a cross-sectional polyline curve drawn to the right of the last bar, a comprehensive numerical dashboard with eleven tenors and four spreads, and a configurable shape classification with per-metric calibrated thresholds — into a single, self-contained workspace. The log-scaled cross-sectional curve drawing using Pine v6's polyline objects, the historical comparison overlay, and the user-selectable slope metric with empirically calibrated thresholds per spread are not, to my knowledge, available in this combination in other public yield-curve scripts on the platform.
Indicator
Yield Curve Regime Yield Curve Regime – Pro Edition
=== WHAT IT DOES ===
This indicator classifies the U.S. Treasury yield curve into six canonical
regimes by comparing the current behavior of a short-maturity yield
(default 2Y) and a long-maturity yield (default 10Y) against their values
N bars ago. It paints the chart background (or bar color) with the
regime color and renders a modular on-chart dashboard showing the active
regime, a curve-delta trend arrow, live yield snapshots, a quantitative
strength score, multi-horizon confluence, dwell-time, rolling regime
frequencies, and a transition log.
=== WHY IT IS DIFFERENT ===
Most public yield-curve scripts plot the 10Y-2Y spread or flag a single
inversion event. This script decomposes every curve move into the two
dimensions that actually matter for fixed-income interpretation:
1) Curve direction : did the spread steepen or flatten?
2) Yield direction : did short and long yields rise or fall?
Crossing these dimensions produces six distinct regimes, each with a
different macro meaning. A +10 bp move in the 2s10s spread can be a
"Bull Steepener" (Fed easing – risk-on friendly) or a "Bear Steepener"
(inflation / term-premium driven – risk-off friendly). Flagging only
the spread hides that distinction; the six-regime framework exposes it.
On top of that six-regime base, this indicator adds four analytical
layers that, to the best of our knowledge, are not combined in any
existing public yield-curve script:
• A Z-score-based Strength score (0–100) that quantifies *how
convincing* each regime is instead of treating it as a binary flag.
Calibrated so |Z| = 2.0 (the 95 % confidence band) maps to 100.
• A Multi-Horizon Confluence score (0/3, 1/3, 2/3, 3/3) computed by
running the same regime detection on three independent offsets
(fast / mid / slow) and measuring agreement across horizons.
• A Dwell-Time counter plus a rolling history of the last N regime
transitions, so the viewer can see not just the current regime
but its persistence and transition path.
• A rolling Regime-Frequency statistic showing what percentage of
the last freqLen bars each regime occupied, rendered as an inline
bar and a precise percentage in a dedicated dashboard block.
These are genuine additions to the calculation – not cosmetics.
All of them are visualized in the on-chart dashboard so the reader
can consume the extra information at a glance.
=== THE SIX REGIMES (core logic) ===
Let curve = longRate - shortRate, compared against its value "offset"
bars ago. A regime fires when all three conditions hold simultaneously:
Bull Steepener : curve widens, short falls, long falls
(short falls faster – classic early easing cycle)
Bear Steepener : curve widens, short rises, long rises
(long rises faster – inflation / term premium / supply)
Steepener Twist : curve widens, short falls, long rises
(reflation pivot / policy-vs-inflation divergence)
Bull Flattener : curve narrows, short falls, long falls
(long falls faster – flight to quality / recession bid)
Bear Flattener : curve narrows, short rises, long rises
(short rises faster – aggressive Fed tightening)
Flattener Twist : curve narrows, short rises, long falls
(stagflation signal / tightening into weakness)
Exactly one regime fires per bar (the six conditions are mutually
exclusive by construction). When none triggers, the background stays
clean.
=== HOW TO READ THE DASHBOARD ===
• Header row – ticker + timeframe context.
• Active row – the regime currently firing, tinted in its own
color, with a ▲ / ▼ / ▬ arrow showing the signed
change of the curve over the fast offset window.
• Strength bar – █-fill from 0 to 100 plus the exact score.
• Confluence row – ●●● / ●●○ / ●○○ / ○○○ plus score 0/3 … 3/3.
• Dwell row – bars elapsed inside the current regime.
• Yields block – live short, long, and curve values.
• Legend block – every enabled regime with a colored dot and a
live "● aktiv" / "○ ruhend" status.
• Frequency block – each regime's share of the last freqLen bars,
shown as a 10-step bar plus exact percentage.
• Transitions – a log of the most recent regime changes
(newest first).
• Background/bars – tinted in the active regime's color, optionally
dimmed when Strength is low.
=== HOW TO READ THE ANALYTICAL LAYERS ===
• Strength bar (█████░░░░░ 65 / 100) – the farther right it fills,
the more statistically significant the regime move is relative to
its rolling volatility. Calibrated so a Z-aggregate of 2.0 (roughly
the 95 % band of a normal distribution) maps to a score of 100.
• Confluence (●●○ 2/3) – how many of the three horizons confirm the
fast-horizon regime. 3/3 is a strong multi-timeframe signal; 1/3 is
fast-only; 0/3 means no active regime on any horizon.
• Dwell – bars elapsed inside the current regime. Useful for spotting
exhausted vs. freshly-started regimes.
• Frequency – every regime's rolling share of the freqLen window,
letting you see at a glance which regime has dominated the current
macro cycle.
• Transitions – a compact log of the most recent regime changes.
=== SETTINGS (all inputs are grouped and collapsible) ===
• Symbols & Offset – pick any two yield tickers plus three lookback
windows (fast / mid / slow) for confluence.
• Detection – rolling window for frequency statistics,
maximum stored transitions.
• Display – background vs. bar coloring, transparency,
optional strength-coupled transparency.
• Regime selection– enable/disable any subset of the six regimes.
• Color palette – fully user-overridable regime colors.
• Dashboard – master toggle, compact mode (active regime only),
independent per-section toggles for header,
active+strength, confluence, dwell, yields,
legend, frequency, and transitions, plus
configurable position and text size.
=== HOW TO USE IT ===
• As a macro / risk-regime filter on SPX, NDX, DXY, TLT, HYG, BTC,
gold or any risk-sensitive instrument: the regime in force often
explains why cross-asset correlations are behaving the way they are.
• To disambiguate yield-curve headlines: a "curve is steepening"
print means something very different if it is a Bull Steepener vs.
a Bear Steepener; this indicator answers that question at a glance.
• To study historical regime transitions: switch background mode on
and scroll back through past cycles to see how regimes clustered
around recessions, pivots, and inflation shocks.
• The offset inputs let you tune sensitivity: 1 bar for intraday
regime nowcasting, 5–20 bars for swing and macro framing.
=== NOTES & LIMITATIONS ===
• Defaults to US02Y and US10Y but accepts any two yield symbols –
not hard-coded to U.S. Treasuries; works on Bund, Gilt, JGB curves
if the data is available on your plan.
• Regimes are evaluated on bar-close comparisons and can flip
intrabar on lower timeframes; use daily or weekly for stable macro
readings.
• The Strength score relies on rolling standard deviations over a
50-bar window. On low-liquidity / low-frequency data the σ estimate
can be unstable for the first 50 bars after loading.
• Multi-Horizon Confluence runs the raw regime detection on mid and
slow offsets, so slower horizons can confirm a faster signal even
when their Δcurve is small – this is by design, not a bug.
• The Steepener Twist and Flattener Twist cases are structurally
rarer than the four main regimes and often mark transitions rather
than trends – treat them as context, not as standalone signals.
• This is an analytical / visual tool, not a buy/sell system. It does
not generate entries, exits, or forecasts.
Indicator
Fair Interest Rate Ladder (Auto + Info)Description:
The Fair Interest Rate Ladder indicator is designed to visualize the "fair value" of interest rate instruments (bond futures, rate swaps, etc.), accounting for accrued interest or carry costs. It plots a step-line that converges toward a target base point as the expiration date approaches.
Key Features:
Auto-Spread Detection: The indicator automatically detects if you are using a spread formula (e.g., ZN1!-100). If detected, the anchor point automatically shifts from 100 to 0.
Adjustable Rate & Direction: Easily set the annual percentage rate and choose the price convergence direction (upward or downward toward expiration).
Leap Year Accuracy: Mathematically precise calculations based on the actual number of days in the current year (365 or 366).
Dashboard: A real-time table in the top-right corner displays the exact Fair Value and the countdown of days remaining until expiration.
Expiration Tracking: A distinct red "zero line" and a visual label marking the contract's end date.
How to use:
Input the start and expiration dates of your contract, set the current interest rate, and the indicator will show where the price should theoretically be trading today.
Russian (Русский)
Описание:
Индикатор Fair Interest Rate Ladder предназначен для визуализации «справедливой стоимости» процентных инструментов (фьючерсов на облигации, ставки) с учетом накопленного купона или процентного дохода. Он строит ступенчатую линию, которая стремится к целевой точке (базе) по мере приближения даты экспирации.
Основные возможности:
Автоматика для спредов: Индикатор автоматически определяет, используете ли вы формулу спреда (например, ZN1!-100). В этом случае точка нуля автоматически смещается со 100 на 0.
Гибкая настройка ставки: Возможность задать годовую процентную ставку и направление движения цены (вверх или вниз к экспирации).
Учет високосных лет: Математически точный расчет на базе количества дней в текущем году (365 или 366).
Инфо-панель: В правом верхнем углу отображается таблица с текущим расчетным значением Fair Value и счетчиком дней до экспирации.
Визуализация экспирации: Четкая красная линия «горизонта» и метка даты окончания контракта.
Как использовать:
Введите дату начала и дату экспирации вашего контракта, укажите актуальную ставку, и индикатор покажет, где должна находиться цена сегодня относительно её теоретического идеала. Indicator
BTC Cycle RSI + LinReg Bands DCA Strategy v2Overview
BTC Cycle RSI DCA Strategy v2 backtests a phase-based dollar-cost averaging system with sequential sell rotations to a simulated yield basket (STRC) and hybrid yield-funded DCA during deep bear markets. Built on smoothed RSI with self-adjusting linear regression bands (adapted from Zeiierman's open-source work).
How It Works
Eight cycle phases drive DCA multipliers from 5x (Deep Bear) down to 0x (Mature Bull), with post-peak taper at 0.5x (Distribution) and 0.25x (Weakening)
Two sequential sells (20% then 40%) rotate BTC holdings into a simulated yield basket when RSI breaks below the midline after an overbought cycle
Plunge guard locks out the second sell if RSI collapses to the lower band after the first sell
Yield basket compounds at a configurable APR and deploys capital back into BTC during deep bear phases via a hybrid model (time ramp + drawdown scaling + pool cap)
Start date filter lets you isolate specific cycles for backtesting
Starting yield basket balance input lets you seed the simulation with an existing position
Default Properties
Initial capital: $100,000 | Commission: 0.05% per side | Slippage: 5 ticks | Base DCA: $100/week | Yield APR: 11% | Hybrid deploy: 25% of pool/week, 4% cap, 25-week ramp, cubic drawdown scaling
Realistic Backtesting Notes
Commission and slippage are enabled by default. The strategy uses fixed USD-denominated DCA orders rather than percentage-of-equity sizing, reflecting real-world DCA behavior. The yield basket is simulated off-chain and is NOT included in Strategy Tester equity — check the Total Wealth plot for the combined view.
Attribution
RSI + self-adjusting linear regression band structure adapted from Zeiierman's open-source indicator. Post-peak phase logic, DCA taper, plunge guard, sell sequencing, yield simulation, and hybrid deployment model are original additions.
Disclaimer
Backtesting results are hypothetical and do not guarantee future performance. This strategy is for educational and informational purposes only. Always do your own research.
Strategy
BTC Cycle Navigator v2 - Phase DCA + Yield Deploy GuidanceOverview
BTC Cycle Navigator v2 is a phase-based guidance indicator built on smoothed RSI with self-adjusting linear regression bands (adapted from Zeiierman's open-source work). It identifies eight distinct cycle phases and provides real-time DCA sizing, sell rotation signals, and yield deployment suggestions — all displayed in an on-chart table.
What It Does
Detects cycle phases: Deep Bear → Bear Recovery → Early Bull → Bull Building → Bull Confirmed → Mature Bull → Distribution → Weakening
Post-peak awareness: after RSI crosses the overbought level, Bull Confirmed becomes Distribution and Bull Building becomes Weakening — with tapered DCA (0.5x and 0.25x)
Two-stage sell rotation: FIRST_SELL (20%) and SECOND_SELL (40%) triggered by confirmed RSI midline breakdowns after an overbought cycle
Plunge guard: if RSI collapses to the lower band after FIRST_SELL, the second sell is locked out to prevent selling into a crash
Hybrid yield deployment model: suggests weekly capital deployment from a yield basket during deep bear phases using time-ramped, drawdown-scaled, pool-capped logic
How To Use
Apply to BTCUSD on the 1W (weekly) timeframe
Set your Start Date to the beginning of the cycle you want to track
Enter your Base DCA amount (the 1x weekly amount in USD)
Enter your Yield Basket size and target keep % for deployment guidance
Read the on-chart table for current phase, DCA amount, sell status, and yield deploy suggestion
Set alerts for phase changes and sell signals
Phase → DCA Multiplier
Deep Bear: 5x | Bear Recovery: 3x | Early Bull: 2x | Bull Building: 1x | Bull Confirmed: 1x | Mature Bull: 0x (paused) | Distribution: 0.5x | Weakening: 0.25x
Attribution
RSI + self-adjusting linear regression band structure adapted from Zeiierman's open-source indicator. Post-peak phase logic, DCA taper model, plunge guard, sell sequencing, and hybrid yield deployment are original additions.
Disclaimer
This indicator provides informational guidance only. It does not constitute financial advice. Past RSI patterns do not guarantee future performance. Always do your own research.
Indicator
Indicator
OverUnder Yield Spread🗺️ OverUnder is a structural regime visualizer , engineered to diagnose the shape, tone, and trajectory of the yield curve. Rather than signaling trades directly, it informs traders of the world they’re operating in. Yield curve steepening or flattening, normalizing or inverting — each regime reflects a macro pressure zone that impacts duration demand, liquidity conditions, and systemic risk appetite. OverUnder abstracts that complexity into a color-coded compression map, helping traders orient themselves before making risk decisions. Whether you’re in bonds, currencies, crypto, or equities, the regime matters — and OverUnder makes it visible.
🧠 Core Logic
Built to show the slope and intent of a selected rate pair, the OverUnder Yield Spread defaults to 🇺🇸US10Y-US2Y, but can just as easily compare global sovereign curves or even dislocated monetary systems. This value is continuously monitored and passed through a debounce filter to determine whether the curve is:
• Inverted, or
• Steepening
If the curve is flattening below zero: the world is bracing for contraction. Policy lags. Risk appetite deteriorates. Duration gets bid, but only as protection. Stocks and speculative assets suffer, regardless of positioning.
📍 Curve Regimes in Bull and Bear Contexts
• Flattening occurs when the short and long ends compress . In a bull regime, flattening may reflect long-end demand or fading growth expectations. In a bear regime, flattening often precedes or confirms central bank tightening.
• Steepening indicates expanding spread . In a bull context, this may signal healthy risk appetite or early expansion. In a bear or crisis context, it may reflect aggressive front-end cuts and dislocation between short- and long-term expectations.
• If the curve is steepening above zero: the world is rotating into early expansion. Risk assets behave constructively. Bond traders position for normalization. Equities and crypto begin trending higher on rising forward expectations.
🖐️ Dynamically Colored Spread Line Reflects 1 of 4 Regime States
• 🟢 Normal / Steepening — early expansion or reflation
• 🔵 Normal / Flattening — late-cycle or neutral slowdown
• 🟠 Inverted / Steepening — policy reversal or soft landing attempt
• 🔴 Inverted / Flattening — hard contraction, credit stress, policy lag
🍋 The Lemon Label
At every bar, an anchored label floats directly on the spread line. It displays the active regime (in plain English) and the precise spread in percent (or basis points, depending on resolution). Colored lemon yellow, neither green nor red, the label is always legible — a design choice to de-emphasize bias and center the data .
🎨 Fill Zones
These bands offer spatial, persistent views of macro compression or inversion depth.
• Blue fill appears above the zero line in normal (non-inverted) conditions
• Red fill appears below the zero line during inversion
🧪 Sample Reading: 1W chart of TLT
OverUnder reveals a multi-year arc of structural inversion and regime transition. From mid-2021 through late 2023, the spread remains decisively inverted, signaling persistent flattening and credit stress as bond prices trended sharply lower. This prolonged inversion aligns with a high-volatility phase in TLT, marked by lower highs and an accelerating downtrend, confirming policy lag and macro tightening conditions.
As of early 2025, the spread has crossed back above the zero baseline into a “Normal / Steepening” regime (annotated at +0.56%), suggesting a macro inflection point. Price action remains subdued, but the shift in yield structure may foreshadow a change in trend context — particularly if follow-through in steepening persists.
🎭 Different Traders Respond Differently:
• Bond traders monitor slope change to anticipate policy pivots or recession signals.
• Equity traders use regime shifts to time rotations, from growth into defense, or from contraction into reflation.
• Currency traders interpret curve steepening as yield compression or divergence depending on region.
• Crypto traders treat inversion as a liquidity vacuum — and steepening as an early-phase risk unlock.
🛡️ Can It Compare Different Bond Markets?
Yes — with caveats. The indicator can be used to compare distinct sovereign yield instruments, for example:
• 🇫🇷FR10Y vs 🇩🇪DE10Y - France vs Germany
• 🇯🇵JP10Y vs 🇺🇸US10Y - BoJ vs Fed policy curves
However:
🙈 This no longer visualizes the domestic yield curve, but rather the differential between rate expectations across regions
🙉 The interpretation of “inversion” changes — it reflects spread compression across nations , not within a domestic yield structure
🙊 Color regimes should then be viewed as relative rate positioning , not absolute curve health
🙋🏻 Example: OverUnder compares French vs German 10Y yields
1. 🇫🇷 Change the long-duration ticker to FR10Y
2. 🇩🇪 Set the short-duration ticker to DE10Y
3. 🤔 Interpret the result as: “How much higher is France’s long-term borrowing cost vs Germany’s?”
You’ll see steepening when the spread rises (France decoupling), flattening when the spread compresses (convergence), and inversions when Germany yields rise above France’s — historically rare and meaningful.
🧐 Suggested Use
OverUnder is not a signal engine — it’s a context map. Its value comes from situating any trade idea within the prevailing yield regime. Use it before entries, not after them.
• On the 1W timeframe, OverUnder excels as a macro overlay. Yield regime shifts unfold over quarters, not days. Weekly structure smooths out rate volatility and reveals the true curvature of policy response and liquidity pressure. Use this view to orient your portfolio, define directional bias, or confirm long-duration trend turns in assets like TLT, SPX, or BTC.
• On the 1D timeframe, the indicator becomes tactically useful — especially when aligning breakout setups or trend continuations with steepening or flattening transitions. Daily views can also identify early-stage regime cracks that may not yet be visible on the weekly.
• Avoid sub-daily use unless you’re anchoring a thesis already built on higher timeframe structure. The yield curve is a macro construct — it doesn’t oscillate cleanly at intraday speeds. Shorter views may offer clarity during event-driven spikes (like FOMC reactions), but they do not replace weekly context.
Ultimately, OverUnder helps you decide: What kind of world am I trading in? Use it to confirm macro context, avoid fighting the curve, and lean into trades aligned with the broader pressure regime.
Indicator
Indicator
Indicator
Indicator
Indicator
Indicator
Equity Bond Currency DashboardDepicts demand-flow between Equities, Bonds and Currencies of 6 countries. Useful in tracking the flow of smart money and checking the dynamics of inter-connected markets.
Principle:
DXY lies at the heart of the diagram with usd-currency pairs of 5 countries connected to it. When demand for a currency increases it strengthens against Dollar. This is depicted by a line from DXY to the currency indicating demand flow from Dollar to the currency (DXY is only an indicative symbol for Dollar, the currency may not be part of the dollar index). Similarly when Dollar strengthens against the currency, demand flow is depicted by a line from the currency to DXY. Currency blocks are connected to Equity and Bond Yields of the respective countries. Equities and Bonds, when bought, takes the demand from the respective currencies and vice versa.
Overall, the demand flows in the direction of arrows. The flow is incomplete without commodities, import/export, interest/inflation rates of countries, however, the diagram most of the times explains why an asset class is performing the way it is.
Left side bar of each block is very similar to OHLC candles except for the following -
Instead of wicks, top and bottom of the bar represents high and low for the selected time-frame
Open and close are normalised for high and low
Bar border is red if close < prev.close, green if close >= prev.close
Other notes:
The diagram requires at least 200 bars in the chart to render. Please select the symbol and time-frame that contain at least 200 bars.
The diagram requires a live market to render the flow. To check flows on historical bars, set the option from settings.
Desired indices could be selected for countries of choice. Default settings point to futures wherever possible to have the markets live simultaneously across the countries.
Indicator
Indicator
Indicator
10-Year Bond Yields (Interest Rate Differential)With this little script, I have attempted to incorporate fundamental data (in this case, 10-year bond yields) into technical analysis . When pairing two currencies, the one with a higher bond interest rate usually appreciates when the interest rate differential widens, or, to use a simple example: in a currency pair A vs. B, with A showing a higher bond yield than B, a widening interest rate gap is likely to help A and create a buying opportunity (shown as a blue square at the bottom of the chart), while the opposite is true when the gap tightens (sell signal, red square).
While long-term investors know about and make use of the importance of bond yield fluctuations, most short-term traders tend to dismiss the idea of using fundamental data, mostly for lack of quantifiability and limited impact in an intraday environment. After extensive backtesting on daily and intraday charts (6-12 hours), however, I realized this indicator still managed to produce useful results (less useful than on monthly and yearly charts, to be fair, but still useful enough), especially when paired with simple price-driven indicators, such as Heikin Ashi or linear regression .
My personal (and thus subjective) thoughts: worth a try. Buy and sell signals frequently contradicted both more popular indicators and my gut feeling and managed to take out losing trades that I had considered trades with a high winning probability. In other words, when the market lures traders into seemingly promising trading decisions, this indicator might give you an early warning, especially when you manage to adjust period and continuity parameters to your trading strategy.
Currency pairs used in this script are all possible combinations of the eight majors. Each security has been assigned a name ("inst01" to "inst08" in the code) and a broker; if you make changes to the code, be sure not to mess with currency and broker names as this would render the entire script useless. Good luck trading, and feel free to suggest improvements! Indicator
Historical US Bond Yield CurvePreface: I'm just the bartender serving today's freshly blended concoction; I'd like to send a massive THANK YOU to all the coders and PineWizards for the locally-sourced ingredients. I am simply a code editor, not a code author. Many thanks to these original authors!
Source 1 (Aug 8, 2019):
Source 2 (Aug 11, 2019):
About the Indicator: The term yield curve refers to the yields of U.S. treasury bills, notes, and bonds in order from shortest to longest maturity date. The yield curve describes the shapes of the term structures of interest rates and their respective terms to maturity in years. The slope of the yield curve tells us how the bond market expects short-term interest rates to move in the future based on bond traders' expectations about economic activity and inflation. The best use of the yield curve is to get a sense of the economy's direction rather than to try to make an exact prediction. This indicator plots the U.S. yield curve as maturity (x-axis/time) vs yield (y-axis/price) in addition to historical yield curves and advanced data tickers . The visual array of historical yield curves helps investors visualize shifts in the yield curve that are useful when identifying & forecasting economic conditions. The bond market can help predict the direction of the economy which can be useful in crafting your investment strategy. An inverted 10y/2y yield curve for durations longer than 5 consecutive trading days signals an almost certain recession on the horizon. An inversion happens when short-term bonds pay better than longer-term bonds. There is Federal Reserve Board data that suggests the 10y3m may be a better predictor of recessions.
Features: Advanced dual data ticker that performs curve & important spread analysis, plus additional hover info. Advanced yield curve data labels with additional hover info. Customizable historical curves and color theme.
‼ IMPORTANT: Hover over labels/tables for advanced information. Chart asset and timeframe may affect the yield curve results; I have found consistently accurate results using BINANCE:BTCUSDT on 1d timeframe. Historical curve lookbacks will have an effect on whether the curve analysis says the curve is bull/bear steepening/flattening, so please use appropriate lookbacks.
⚠ DISCLAIMER: Not financial advice. Not a trading system. DYOR. I am not affiliated with the original authors, PulseWire, Binance, or the Federal Reserve Board.
About the Editor: I am a former FINRA Registered Representative, inventor/patent holder, futures trader, and hobby PineScripter.
Indicator
vix_roll_yieldShows the roll yield of the VX futures, which is the ratio of a continuously weighted average of the front two months to the VIX. The VX (VIX futures) contract expires on the third Tuesday of each month. On the next trading day, the front month will have full weighting, and the second month will have no weight. On the expiration day, the back month will have full weighting and the front month will have no weight. In between, the weight gradually shifts.
This weighted average is similar to the SPVIXSTR index that UVXY and several other funds track. When the average is below the VIX, the indicator is negative, and the front month contract will tend to gain value relatively more rapidly than the back month as it converges upward to the VIX spot price. Because funds whose NAV is tied up in VX contracts continuously roll from the (typically cheaper) front month to the back, in situations where the front month is more expensive than usual--or even more expensive than the back month--these products may have a "tailwind". In this case, they are selling expensive front month contracts to purchase cheap back month contracts.
Ordinarily, VIX funds have a "headwind." The roll yield is positive, the front month is cheap, and the back month is expensive. Day by day the funds sell cheap front month contracts and buy expensive back month contracts, which, in turn and over time, become the front month and converge with the VIX, losing value rapidly. This is a brief explanation about the decay of these products. Indicator
SPX Excess CAPE YieldHere we are looking at the Excess CAPE yield for the SPX500 over the last 100+ years
"A higher CAPE meant a lower subsequent 10-year return, and vice versa. The R-squared was a phenomenally high 0.9 — the CAPE on its own was enough to explain 90% of stocks’ subsequent performance over a decade. The standard deviation was 1.37% — in other words, two-thirds of the time the prediction was within 1.37 percentage points of the eventual outcome: this over a quarter-century that included an equity bubble, a credit bubble, two epic bear markets, and a decade-long bull market."
assets.bwbx.io
In December of 2020 Dr. Robert Shiller the Yale Nobel Laurate suggested that an improvement on CAPE could be made by taking its inverse (the CAPE earnings yield) and subtracting the us10 year treasury yield.
"His model plainly suggests that stocks will do badly over the next 10 years, and that bonds will do even worse. This was the way Shiller put it in a research piece for Barclays Plc in October, (which can be found on SSRN Below):
In summary, investors expect a certain return in equities as compensation for investing in a riskier asset class, and as interest rates have declined, the relative expected return for equities has increased dramatically. We believe this may quantitatively help to explain investors current preference for equities over bonds, and as such the quick recoveries we are observing (with the exception of the UK), whilst still in the midst of a pandemic. In the US in particular, we are once again observing stretched valuations and high CAPE ratios compared to history."
Sources:
papers.ssrn.com
www.bloomberg.com
The standard trading view disclaimer applies to this post -- please consult your own investment advisor before making investment decisions. This post is for observation only and has no warranty etc. www.pulsewire.com
Best,
JM Indicator
Indicator
