Williams VIX Fix Elite [MarkitTick]💡 The Williams VIX Fix Elite is a comprehensive, overlay-based technical analysis system designed to bring the powerful volatility-tracking properties of the traditional Williams VIX Fix directly onto the main price chart. By synthesizing statistical volatility extremes with an array of multi-timeframe trend filters, volume confirmation parameters, and dynamic risk management plotting, this tool transcends basic observation. It provides traders with a complete, structured methodology for identifying high-probability exhaustion zones and potential market reversals while strictly managing risk.
✨ Originality and Utility
Standard volatility indicators are almost exclusively relegated to separate oscillator panes at the bottom of the chart. This traditional placement forces the user to constantly shift their visual focus, often leading to a disconnect between volatility metrics and actual price action. This indicator resolves that friction by mapping volatility exhaustion directly onto the candlesticks themselves through an intuitive color-coded heatmap.
Furthermore, the utility of this script lies in its holistic approach to signal generation. Rather than providing isolated volatility alerts, it acts as a confluence engine. It mandates that a volatility spike must be corroborated by higher timeframe trend alignment, adequate localized volume, directional momentum, and specific standard deviation thresholds before generating an actionable signal. This transforms a simple oscillator concept into a robust, chart-integrated trading framework complete with dynamically calculated risk-to-reward parameters, rendering it highly useful for both discretionary analysis and automated alert integrations.
🔬 Methodology and Concepts
● The Volatility Engine
• Williams VIX Fix (WVF)
At its core, the script calculates the Williams VIX Fix. It does this by measuring the percentage drawdown of the current bar's low from the highest closing price over a user-defined lookback period. This mathematical approach creates a synthetic volatility index that mirrors the behavioral characteristics of the CBOE VIX, where high values indicate market fear and potential bottoms.
• Statistical Bounds
To determine when the WVF has reached a statistically significant extreme, the script applies Bollinger Bands to the WVF data. It calculates a Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the WVF and plots standard deviation bands around it. A "Spike" is registered when the WVF value breaches the upper Bollinger Band or a percentile-based historical high threshold.
● Confluence Filtering
• Higher Timeframe (HTF) Alignment
The script extracts moving average data from a user-selected higher timeframe. It assesses whether the higher timeframe's closing price and dual-period EMAs exhibit a bullish or bearish hierarchy, ensuring signals are not taken against the macro-directional flow.
• Volatility and Volume Validation
A signal is only considered valid if the localized volatility, measured by the Average True Range (ATR), exceeds its historical average multiplied by a strict threshold. Additionally, the localized volume must exceed its moving average, confirming that the reversal is backed by market participation.
• Signal Execution and Risk Logic
When all conditions align (a volatility spike followed by a directional reversal candle, validated by all filters), the script locks in the signal upon the bar's close. It immediately calculates a Stop Loss utilizing an ATR multiplier and projects three Take Profit levels mathematically derived from user-defined Risk-to-Reward (R:R) ratios.
🎨 Visual Guide
● Chart Overlay Elements
• Candlestick Heatmap
The indicator repaints the standard chart candles to reflect the immediate signal bias. A confirmed Long signal colors the candlestick body, borders, and wicks in a distinct bullish hue (default teal). Conversely, a confirmed Short signal paints the candle in a bearish hue (default red). Neutral periods retain a standard gray tone.
• Dynamic Trade Levels
Upon signal confirmation, the script automatically plots horizontal lines detailing the trade parameters:
Stop Loss Line: A solid, thick line plotted below (for longs) or above (for shorts) the entry price, acting as the primary risk invalidation level.
Entry Line: A dashed line marking the exact closing price of the signal candle.
Take Profit Lines: Three sequential dashed lines representing TP1, TP2, and TP3, mapping out the reward targets.
The space between the Stop Loss and Entry is highlighted with a semi-transparent risk linefill, while the space extending toward the Take Profit targets is highlighted with a reward linefill, visually contrasting the risk against the potential payout.
● The Interactive Dashboard
A dedicated data panel is rendered on the chart (default top-right) providing real-time telemetry of the script's internal calculations.
WVF Value & Spike Level: Displays the raw volatility index number alongside a visual progress bar indicating how close the current value is to the historical threshold.
HTF & Trend Bias: Textually confirms the current macro and localized trend alignment (Bullish/Bearish).
Volume & ATR: Confirms whether current volume is above or below average and displays the exact ATR value.
R:R Ratio: A visual gauge of the current signal's risk-to-reward structure.
Cooldown Status: Displays the remaining bars before a new signal can be generated, preventing over-signaling during congested price action.
📖 How to Use
● Execution Protocol
• Step 1: Signal Identification
Wait for a colored signal candle to print on the chart. A teal candle signifies a Long opportunity, while a red candle signifies a Short opportunity. Always wait for the candle to fully close, as signals are only validated upon bar confirmation to ensure accuracy.
• Step 2: Dashboard Verification
Consult the on-chart dashboard. Ensure that the "Spike Level" gauge was heavily filled prior to the signal, and visually confirm that the "HTF Bias" and "Trend Bias" align with your intended trade direction. Verify that the "Volume" metric indicates "Above Avg" for optimal setup quality.
• Step 3: Risk Assessment
Observe the plotted trade levels. The visual linefills will immediately show you the required risk (the distance from the dashed Entry line to the solid Stop Loss line). Assess whether this required risk fits within your personal account parameters. If the ATR has expanded too aggressively, the stop loss may be too wide, and the setup should be skipped.
• Step 4: Trade Management
If the trade is entered, utilize the plotted TP1, TP2, and TP3 lines as scaling-out points. The script also includes automated JSON alert outputs designed for third-party execution platforms, allowing users to fully automate the Long, Short, and Take Profit hit actions.
⚙️ Inputs and Settings
● Core Settings
• WVF Lookback: Defines the historical period used to find the highest close for the volatility drawdown calculation.
• BB Length & BB Mult: Controls the Simple Moving Average length and the standard deviation multiplier applied to the WVF. Lowering the multiplier increases sensitivity to volatility spikes.
• Percentile HH Lookback & High % Threshold: An alternative absolute-threshold filter based on a percentage of the highest historical WVF values.
● Filters
• HTF Resolution: Select the specific higher timeframe used for the macro trend validation.
• ATR Length & Min Mult: Defines the lookback for the Average True Range and the multiplier required to validate adequate localized volatility.
• Min Spike Above BB %: A Z-score threshold ensuring the volatility spike is mathematically severe before triggering a signal.
• Volume Avg Length & Min Mult: Dictates the volume moving average parameters required for trade confirmation.
• Cooldown Bars: The mandatory resting period (in bars) between valid signals to eliminate redundant alerts.
● Trade Tools & Alerts
• SL ATR Mult: The multiplier applied to the current ATR to calculate the Stop Loss distance from the entry price.
• TP1, TP2, TP3 R-Multiple: Dictates the reward distance for target lines relative to the calculated Stop Loss risk.
• Alert Actions: String inputs allowing the user to customize the JSON payload commands sent to automated webhook services.
🔍 Deconstruction of the Underlying Scientific and Academic Framework
● Behavioral Finance and Volatility Asymmetry
The underlying architecture of this indicator is deeply rooted in the academic principles of behavioral finance, specifically the asymmetry of market participant reactions. Financial markets typically exhibit a "stealth" characteristic during uptrends (low volatility, steady buying) and a "panic" characteristic during downtrends (high volatility, aggressive selling). The Williams VIX Fix capitalizes on this behavioral asymmetry by focusing exclusively on drawdowns from peak closes. By quantifying this localized panic, the script provides a mathematical representation of capitulation—a state where sell-side liquidity is exhausted, and rational market equilibrium is poised to return.
● Gaussian Distribution and Standard Deviation Anomalies
To objectively define an "exhaustion point," the script relies on the statistical concept of normal distribution. By applying a Simple Moving Average to the raw volatility data, it establishes a baseline mean of market stress. The inclusion of Standard Deviation bands (Bollinger Bands) allows the system to measure dispersion from this mean. When the volatility index breaches the upper band, it represents an anomaly—an event occurring outside the expected standard deviation threshold. Statistically, extreme deviations from the mean are unsustainable, implying an imminent reversion. This indicator isolates these rare deviations to time market entries.
● The Role of True Range in Risk Normalization
Risk management within the script is governed by the Average True Range (ATR), a concept introduced by J. Welles Wilder. The True Range accounts for absolute price movement, including gap openings, providing a more comprehensive measure of market kinetic energy than standard percentage changes. By tying the Stop Loss and Take Profit levels dynamically to the ATR, the script automatically normalizes risk across different market environments. In a highly volatile state, the ATR expands, naturally widening the stop loss to avoid premature invalidation from market noise. In a compressed state, the ATR contracts, tightening the risk parameters. This dynamic adaptation ensures that the statistical risk profile of each trade setup remains proportional to the current localized market geometry.
⚠️ Disclaimer
All provided scripts and indicators are strictly for educational exploration and must not be interpreted as financial advice or a recommendation to execute trades. We expressly disclaim all liability for any financial losses or damages that may result, directly or indirectly, from the reliance on or application of these tools. Market participation carries inherent risk where past performance never guarantees future returns, leaving all investment decisions and due diligence solely at your own discretion. Indicator
Volatility Visualizer Percentiles (VIXFix, ATR, VIX)Summary
A volatility regime dashboard for liquid instruments that converts three volatility lenses into 0 to 100 percentile ranks versus the last 252 closed daily bars. It is built to answer one question: is volatility unusually low or unusually high relative to the last year . Use it to adjust position sizing, stop width, and trade selectivity. It is not a directional signal.
Scope and intent
Markets : US indices and index ETFs, index futures, large cap equities, liquid crypto proxies, and other symbols where daily volatility regimes matter
Timeframes : best on Daily. It can be applied on other chart timeframes, but the reference window remains 252 closed daily bars
Default demo : SPX on Daily
Purpose : provide a simple, testable volatility context layer that you can plug into any daily system as a risk filter or risk scaler
What makes it original and useful
Most “volatility tools” show raw ATR or a single volatility index. This script standardizes three distinct sources into the same unit (percentile), so you can compare them and combine them without guessing thresholds.
Unique fusion : internal realized volatility (ATR%), internal stress proxy (VIXFix), and external implied volatility (input VIX symbol) expressed in the same 0 to 100 scale
Practical outcome : the table gives a regime read and an action posture, so the output is directly usable for risk decisions
Testable : all components are visible and thresholdable; you can backtest rules like “only trade when composite is between 30 and 75”
Portable : percentiles remove the need to hardcode market specific “ATR is high” numbers across different symbols
Method overview in plain language
Base measures
VIXFix : a price based fear proxy derived from the instrument’s own daily behavior (using the relationship between recent high closes and current lows)
ATR% : daily ATR normalized by daily close, expressed as a percentage for cross symbol comparability
External VIX : a user selected volatility index or proxy pulled via input symbol (default CBOE:VIX)
Normalization to percentiles
For each metric, the script stores the last 252 closed daily values
It then computes where the most recent closed daily value sits inside that history as a percentile from 0 to 100
Tie handling is configurable (Midrank, StrictLess, LessOrEqual) to define how repeated values are ranked
Fusion rule
Composite percentile is the simple average of the available percentiles (VIXFix, ATR%, VIX)
If one component is missing (for example the external symbol is unavailable), the composite averages the remaining components
How to use it on Daily
This tool is most effective as a risk regime layer on top of an existing strategy. Use the Composite row as the primary dial, and the individual components as confirmation.
Recommended operating zones
0–20 Very Low : quiet regime. Tight stops often survive, but breakouts can underperform. Favor mean reversion or require stronger breakout confirmation.
20–40 Low : constructive for many systems. Use baseline sizing and baseline stops.
40–60 Mid : neutral. Run your base playbook.
60–80 High : volatility expansion. Reduce size and widen stops, or trade only higher quality setups.
80–100 Very High : stress regime. Smallest size, widest stops, and skip marginal setups. Gap risk and slippage risk are higher.
How to interpret disagreements
If ATR% is high but VIX is mid , realized vol is elevated but the market is not pricing extreme fear. Treat as a caution zone, not panic.
If VIX is high but ATR% is mid , implied vol is elevated ahead of potential events. Expect expansion risk even if realized vol has not moved yet.
If all three are high , treat it as a full stress regime and enforce strict risk limits.
What you will see on the chart
A compact table with one row per metric and optional composite
For each row: last closed daily value, 252D percentile, a progress bar, and an action posture
Optional stats: min, median, max for the 252D window (useful for sanity checks, adds CPU)
Table fields quick guide
Last closed daily : the value used for ranking, taken from the last fully closed daily bar
252D percentile : where the current reading ranks versus the last 252 closed daily readings
Bar : quick visual map of percentile from 0 to 100
Action : risk posture suggestion tied to the percentile bucket
Inputs with guidance
Core
Window (closed daily bars) : default 252. Higher values make the regime slower and more structural. Lower values make it more reactive.
VIX
VIX symbol : default CBOE:VIX. You can replace it with another implied volatility proxy appropriate for your market.
VIXFix
VIXFix lookback : typical range 21/22. Smaller reacts faster, larger smooths regimes.
ATR
ATR length : typical range 10–21 on Daily
ATR as % of close : recommended on for comparability across symbols and long history
UI
Show composite volatility score : recommended on. Best single dial.
Show action guide : recommended on if you want direct posture cues.
Show min, median, max : optional. Useful for diagnostics, higher CPU.
Table position : place it where it does not cover price.
Usage recipes
Daily trend following overlay
Trade your trend system normally when Composite is between 25 and 75
If Composite is above 75, reduce size and widen stops, and require stronger trend confirmation
Daily mean reversion overlay
Focus on Composite below 40
Avoid Composite above 80 where gaps and cascading moves reduce mean reversion reliability
Daily risk parity style scaling
Use Composite percentile as a coarse risk throttle: higher percentile equals lower exposure
Example posture: 0–40 normal exposure, 40–80 reduced exposure, above 80 minimal exposure
Alerts
This script is intentionally a dashboard and does not emit buy or sell signals. If you want alerts, create them from percentile thresholds in your own fork. For conservative workflows, trigger alerts on bar close.
// Example alert conditions (add to your fork if desired)
high_vol = comp_pct > 80
low_vol = comp_pct < 20
Honest limitations and failure modes
This is not a directional predictor. Volatility can rise in both bull and bear markets.
Percentiles are relative to the last 252 closed daily bars. A “high percentile” is high versus recent history, not an absolute guarantee of future movement.
Implied volatility (VIX) can move ahead of realized volatility (ATR%). Treat divergence as information, not a signal.
Very high volatility regimes can include gap risk and slippage risk that are not visible in indicator values alone.
Legal
Education and research only. Not investment advice. You are responsible for your decisions. Test on historical data and in simulation before any live use. Indicator
VixTrixVixTrix - Because markets move in both directions.
VixTrix was born from a fundamental limitation in traditional volatility indicators: they only measure downside panic, completely missing the greed-driven extremes that form market tops.
How It Works:
Dual-Component Analysis:
vixBear = Panic selling intensity (distance from recent highs)
vixBull = FOMO buying intensity (distance from recent lows)
Oscillator = vixBear - vixBull = Net fear/greed imbalance
When the oscillator is positive, fear dominates (potential bottom forming). When negative, greed dominates (potential top forming).
Professional-Grade Filtering:
The magic happens with the symmetric RMS (Root Mean Square) bands. Unlike fixed percentage bands or standard deviation, RMS:
Creates mathematically symmetric positive/negative thresholds
Naturally adapts to changing volatility regimes
Provides statistical significance to extremes
VixTrix also adds selectable MA smoothing for the RMS calculation:
WMA (default): Balanced – middle-ground approach
VWMA: Volume-weighted – filters low-volume noise
EMA: Responsive – catches quick reversals
SMA: Stable – for swing trading
HMA: Fast and smooth – ideal for day trading
Signals require triple confirmation:
Statistical Extreme: Oscillator beyond RMS band
Price Action Confirmation: Correct candle color (bullish for bottoms, bearish for tops)
Momentum Continuation: Oscillator still moving toward extreme (exhaustion)
This multi-filter approach reduces premature entries and false signals while maintaining early positioning at potential reversal points.
Why This Matters for Your Trading:
In bull markets, traditional fear indicators sit near zero, giving no warning of impending tops.
VixTrix identifies when greed becomes excessive – when FOMO buying reaches statistical extremes that often precede corrections.
In range-bound markets, VixTrix excels at identifying overreactions in both directions, providing high-probability mean reversion opportunities.
During crashes, it captures the panic selling with the same precision as VixFix, but with better timing through its momentum confirmation.
VixTrix spots continuations through:
"No Signal" = Healthy Trend – Oscillator stays between RMS bands (no exhaustion)
Failed Extremes – Touches band but no triple confirmation = trend likely continues
Hidden Divergence – Price makes higher low while oscillator makes shallower low = uptrend continues
Controlled Emotions – Oscillator negative but not extreme in uptrends (greed present but not excessive)
Key Insight: When VixTrix doesn't give a signal during a pullback, institutions aren't panicking – they're just pausing before resuming the trend.
Green columns = Bullish exhaustion (potential bottoms)
Red columns = Bearish exhaustion (potential tops)
Golden RMS bands = Dynamic thresholds adapting to current volatility
Background highlights = Active signal conditions
The Result: A professional-grade oscillator that works in all market conditions – trending up, trending down, or ranging – by measuring the complete emotional spectrum driving price action. Indicator
Vix_Fix Enhanced MTF [Cometreon]The VIX Fix Enhanced is designed to detect market bottoms and spikes in volatility, helping traders anticipate major reversals with precision. Unlike standard VIX Fix tools, this version allows you to control the standard deviation logic, switch between chart styles, customize visual outputs, and set up advanced alerts — all with no repainting.
🧠 Logic and Calculation
This indicator is based on Larry Williams' VIX Fix and integrates features derived from community requests/advice, such as inverse VIX logic.
It calculates volatility spikes using a customizable standard deviation of the lows and compares it to a moving high to identify potential reversal points.
All moving average logic is based on Cometreon's proprietary library, ensuring accurate and optimized calculations on all 15 moving average types.
🔷 New Features and Improvements
🟩 Custom Visual Styles
Choose how you want your VIX data displayed:
Line
Step Line
Histogram
Area
Column
You can also flip the orientation (bottom-up or top-down), change the source ticker, and tailor the display to match your charting preferences.
🟩 Multi-MA Standard Deviation Calculation
Customize the standard deviation formula by selecting from 15 different moving averages:
SMA (Simple Moving Average)
EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
WMA (Weighted Moving Average)
RMA (Smoothed Moving Average)
HMA (Hull Moving Average)
JMA (Jurik Moving Average)
DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average)
TEMA (Triple Exponential Moving Average)
LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average)
VWMA (Volume-Weighted Moving Average)
SMMA (Smoothed Moving Average)
KAMA (Kaufman’s Adaptive Moving Average)
ALMA (Arnaud Legoux Moving Average)
FRAMA (Fractal Adaptive Moving Average)
VIDYA (Variable Index Dynamic Average)
This gives you fine control over how volatility is measured and allows tuning the sensitivity for different market conditions.
🟩 Full Control Over Percentile and Deviation Conditions
You can enable or disable lines for standard deviation and percentile conditions, and define whether you want to trigger on over or under levels — adapting the indicator to your exact logic and style.
🟩 Chart Type Selection
You're no longer limited to candlestick charts! Now you can use Vix_Fix with different chart formats, including:
Candlestick
Heikin Ashi
Renko
Kagi
Line Break
Point & Figure
🟩 Multi-Timeframe Compatibility Without Repainting
Use a different timeframe from your chart with confidence. Signals remain stable and do not repaint. Perfect for spotting long-term reversal setups on lower timeframes.
🟩 Alert System Ready
Configure alerts directly from the indicator’s panel when conditions for over/under signals are met. Stay informed without needing to monitor the chart constantly.
🔷 Technical Details and Customizable Inputs
This indicator includes full control over the logic and appearance:
1️⃣ Length Deviation High - Adjusts the lookback period used to calculate the high deviation level of the VIX logic. Shorter values make it more reactive; longer values smooth out the signal.
2️⃣ Ticker - Choose a different chart type for the calculation, including Heikin Ashi, Renko, Kagi, Line Break, and Point & Figure.
3️⃣ Style VIX - Change the visual style (Line, Histogram, Column, etc.), adjust line width, and optionally invert the display (bottom-to-top).
📌 Fill zones for deviation and percentile are active only in Line and Step Line modes
4️⃣ Use Standard Deviation Up / Down - Enable the overbought and oversold zone logic based on upper and lower standard deviation bands.
5️⃣ Different Type MA (for StdDev) - Choose from 15 different moving averages to define the calculation method for standard deviation (SMA, EMA, HMA, JMA, etc.), with dedicated parameters like Phase, Sigma, and Offset for optimized responsiveness.
6️⃣ BB Length & Multiplier - Adjust the period and multiplier for the standard deviation bands, similar to how Bollinger Bands work.
7️⃣ Show StdDev Up / Down Line - Enable or disable the visibility of upper and lower standard deviation boundaries.
8️⃣ Use Percentile & Length High - Activate the percentile-based logic to detect extreme values in historical volatility using a customizable lookback length.
9️⃣ Highest % / Lowest % - Set the high and low percentile thresholds (e.g., 85 for high, 99 for low) that will be used to trigger over/under signals.
🔟 Show High / Low Percentile Line - Toggle the visual display of the percentile boundaries directly on the chart for clearer signal reference.
1️⃣1️⃣ Ticker Settings – Customize parameters for special chart types such as Renko, Heikin Ashi, Kagi, Line Break, and Point & Figure, adjusting reversal, number of lines, ATR length, etc.
1️⃣2️⃣ Timeframe – Enables using SuperTrend on a higher timeframe.
1️⃣3️⃣ Wait for Timeframe Closes -
✅ Enabled – Displays Vix_Fix smoothly with interruptions.
❌ Disabled – Displays Vix_Fix smoothly without interruptions.
☄️ If you find this indicator useful, leave a Boost to support its development!
Every feedback helps to continuously improve the tool, offering an even more effective trading experience. Share your thoughts in the comments! 🚀🔥 Indicator
Indicator
Indicator
Stochastic Vix Fix SVIX (Tartigradia)The Stochastic Vix or Stochastic VixFix (SVIX), just like the Williams VixFix, is a realized volatility indicator, and can help in finding market bottoms as well as tops without requiring bollinger bands or any other construct, as the SVIX is bounded between 0-100 which allows for an objective thresholding regardless of the past.
Mathematically, SVIX is the complement of the original Stochastic Oscillator, with such a simple transform reproducing Williams' VixFix and the VIX index signals of high volatility and hence of market bottoms quite accurately but within a bounded 0-100 range. Having a predefined range allows to find markets bottoms without needing to compare to past prices using a bollinger band (Chris Moody on PulseWire) nor a moving average (Hesta 2015), as a simple threshold condition (by default above 80) is sufficient to reliably signal interesting entry points at bottoming prices.
Having a predefined range allows to find markets bottoms without needing to compare to past prices using a bollinger band (Chris Moody on PulseWire) nor a moving average (Hesta 2015), as a simple threshold condition (by default above 80) is sufficient to reliably signal interesting entry points at bottoming prices.
Indeed, as Williams describes in his paper, markets tend to find the lowest prices during times of highest volatility, which usually accompany times of highest fear.
Although the VixFix originally only indicates market bottoms, the Stochastic VixFix can also indicate good times to exit, when SVIX is at a low value (default: below 20), but just like the original VixFix and VIX index, exit signals are as usual much less reliable than long entries signals, because: 1) mature markets such as SP500 tend to increase over the long term, 2) when market fall, retail traders panic and hence volatility skyrockets and bottom is more reliably signalled, but at market tops, no one is panicking, price action only loses momentum because of liquidity drying up.
Compared to Hesta 2015 strategy of using a moving average over Williams' VixFix to generate entry signals, SVIX generates much fewer false positives during ranging markets, which drastically reduce Hesta 2015 strategy profitability as this incurs quite a lot of losses.
This indicator goes further than the original SVIX, by restoring the smoothed D and second-level smoothed D2 oscillators from the original Stochastic Oscillator, and use a 14-period ZLMA instead of the original 20-period SMA, to generate smoother yet responsive signals compared to using just the raw SVIX (by default, this is disabled, as the original raw SVIX is used to produce more entry signals).
Usage:
Set the timescale to daily or weekly preferably, to reduce false positives.
When the background is highlighted in green or when the highlight disappears, it is usually a good time to enter a long position.
Red background highlighting can be enabled to signal good exit zones, but these generate a lot of false positives.
To further reduce false positives, the SVIX_MA can be used to generate signals instead of the raw SVIX.
For more information on Williams' Vix Fix, which is a strategy published under public domain:
The VIX Fix, Larry Williams, Active Trader magazine, December 2007, web.archive.org
Fixing the VIX: An Indicator to Beat Fear, Amber Hestla-Barnhart, Journal of Technical Analysis, March 13, 2015, ssrn.com
For more information on the Stochastic Vix Fix (SVIX), published under Creative Commons:
Replicating the CBOE VIX using a synthetic volatility index trading algorithm, Dayne Cary and Gary van Vuuren, Cogent Economics & Finance, Volume 7, 2019, Issue 1, doi.org
Note: strangely, in the paper, the authors failed to mention that the SVIX is the complement of the original Stochastic Oscillator, instead reproducing just the original equation. The correct equation for the SVIX was retroengineered by comparing charts they published in the paper with charts generated by this pinescript indicator.
For a more complete indicator, see: Indicator
Williams Vix Fix OHLC candles plot indicator (Tartigradia)OHLC candles plot of the Williams VixFix indicator, which allows to draw trend lines.
Williams VixFix is a realized volatility indicator developed by Larry Williams, and can help in finding market bottoms.
Indeed, as Williams describe in his paper, markets tend to find the lowest prices during times of highest volatility, which usually accompany times of highest fear. The VixFix is calculated as how much the current low price statistically deviates from the maximum within a given look-back period.
The Williams VixFix indicator is usually presented as a curve or histogram. The novelty of this indicator is to present the data as a OHLC candles plot: whereas the original Williams VixFix calculation only involves the close value, we here use the open, high and low values as well. This led to some mathematical challenges because some of these calculations led to absurd values, so workarounds had to be found, but in the end I think the result was worth it, it reproduces the VIX chart quite well.
A great additional value of the OHLC chart is that it shows not just the close value, but all the values during the session: open, high and low in addition to close. This allows to draw trend lines and can provide additional information on momentum and sentiment. In addition, other indicators can be used on it, as if it was a price chart, such as RSI indicators (see RSI+ (alt) indicator for example).
For more information on the Vix Fix, which is a strategy published under public domain:
The VIX Fix, Larry Williams, Active Trader magazine, December 2007, web.archive.org
Fixing the VIX: An Indicator to Beat Fear, Amber Hestla-Barnhart, Journal of Technical Analysis, March 13, 2015, ssrn.com
Replicating the CBOE VIX using a synthetic volatility index trading algorithm, Dayne Cary and Gary van Vuuren, Cogent Economics & Finance, Volume 7, 2019, Issue 1, doi.org
This indicator includes only the Williams VixFix as an OHLC candles or bars plot, and price / vixfix candles plot, as well as the typical vixfix histogram. Indeed, it is much more practical for unbounded range indicators to be plotted in their own separate panel, hence why this indicator is released separately, so that it can work and be scaled adequately out of the box.
Note that the there are however no bottom buy signals. For a more complete indicator, which also includes the OHLC candles plots present here, but also bottom signals and Inverse VixFix (top signals), see:
Set Index symbol to SPX, and index_current = false, and timeframe Weekly, to reproduce the original VIX as close as possible by the VIXFIX (use the Add Symbol option, because you want to plot CBOE:VIX on the same timeframe as the current chart, which may include extended session / weekends). With the Weekly timeframe, off days / extended session days should not change much, but with lower timeframes this is important, because nights and weekends can change how the graph appears and seemingly make them different because of timing misalignment when in reality they are not when properly aligned.
Indicator
Williams Vix Fix ultra complete indicator (Tartigradia)Williams VixFix is a realized volatility indicator developed by Larry Williams, and can help in finding market bottoms.
Indeed, as Williams describe in his paper, markets tend to find the lowest prices during times of highest volatility, which usually accompany times of highest fear. The VixFix is calculated as how much the current low price statistically deviates from the maximum within a given look-back period.
Although the VixFix originally only indicates market bottoms, its inverse may indicate market tops. As masa_crypto writes : "The inverse can be formulated by considering "how much the current high value statistically deviates from the minimum within a given look-back period." This transformation equates Vix_Fix_inverse. This indicator can be used for finding market tops, and therefore, is a good signal for a timing for taking a short position." However, in practice, the Inverse VixFix is much less reliable than the classical VixFix, but is nevertheless a good addition to get some additional context.
For more information on the Vix Fix, which is a strategy published under public domain:
* The VIX Fix, Larry Williams, Active Trader magazine, December 2007, web.archive.org
* Fixing the VIX: An Indicator to Beat Fear, Amber Hestla-Barnhart, Journal of Technical Analysis, March 13, 2015, ssrn.com
* Replicating the CBOE VIX using a synthetic volatility index trading algorithm, Dayne Cary and Gary van Vuuren, Cogent Economics & Finance, Volume 7, 2019, Issue 1, doi.org
Created By ChrisMoody on 12-26-2014...
V3 MAJOR Update on 1-05-2014
tista merged LazyBear's Black Dots filter in 2020:
Extended by Tartigradia in 10-2022:
* Can select a symbol different from current to calculate vixfix, allows to select SP:SPX to mimic the original VIX index.
* Inverse VixFix (from masa_crypto and web.archive.org)
* VixFix OHLC Bars plot
* Price / VixFix Candles plot (Pro Tip: draw trend lines to find good entry/exit points)
* Add ADX filtering, Minimaxis signals, Minimaxis filtering (from samgozman )
* Convert to pinescript v5
* Allow timeframe selection (MTF)
* Skip off days (more accurate reproduction of original VIX)
* Reorganized, cleaned up code, commented out parts, commented out or removed unused code (eg, some of the KC calculations)
* Changed default Bollinger Band settings to reduce false positives in crypto markets.
Set Index symbol to SPX, and index_current = false, and timeframe Weekly, to reproduce the original VIX as close as possible by the VIXFIX (use the Add Symbol option, because you want to plot CBOE:VIX on the same timeframe as the current chart, which may include extended session / weekends). With the Weekly timeframe, off days / extended session days should not change much, but with lower timeframes this is important, because nights and weekends can change how the graph appears and seemingly make them different because of timing misalignment when in reality they are not when properly aligned.
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Vix FIX / Stochastic Weights StrategyThis script is based off of Chris Moody's Vix Fix Indicator modified by OskarGallard and BigBitsIO's Stochastic Weights.
This script is a compilation of several different stochastic indicators (and RSI ) where the K value of each indicator is equally weighted. The purpose of the indicator is to combine many indicators together in a fashion that weights them easier. By default, the Stochastic and Stochastic RSI are both enabled - the idea is to speed up the relatively slower Stochastic and to slow down the relatively fast Stochastic RSI . BigBitsIO's Stochastics are also available that can also be added to the weighted calculation. Only the K value is weighted, as the D value is just a moving average of the weighted K.
- Why is this modifed stochastic useful?
- To weight multiple indicators together so that you can attempt to find optimal values shared amongst the indicators. Ex: If Stochastic RSI is 100 and Stochastic is 50, K would be 75 and not particularly high. If you add in a 50 RSI , the K would be 67 in this example. If we weight indicators together that all have a high value they could potentially help find elements that align together to produce a stronger signal.
In this script we have the red "S" triangles which are Exits (overbought stochastic crosses).
Added alerts for stochastic exit signals. Alerts are Pre-Set to only Alert on Bar Close.
The "Williams Vix Fix" is one of the most reliable indicators in history for finding market bottoms. The Vix Fix is simply a code from Larry Williams creating almost identical results for creating the same ability the Vix has to all assets.
The VIX has always been much better at signaling bottoms than tops. Simple reason is when market falls retail traders panic and increase volatility , and professionals come in and capitalize on the situation. At market tops there is no one panicking... just liquidity drying up.
The FE green triangles are "Filtered Entries".
The AE green triangles are "Aggressive Filtered Entries".
Added Alerts to Williams Vix Fix (Aggressive Entry and Filtered Entry). Alerts are Pre-Set to only Alert on Bar Close.
Added "Ehlrers StochCCI" indicator of user @glaz
The Ehlrers StochCCI is a variation of Ehlers Stochastic RSI replaced with CCI.
The John Ehlers' article in August, 2006, "Modeling The Market = Building Trading Strategies," describes a process for extracting trend and cyclic elements from market data, then recombining them for trading purposes. He used the Stochastic RSI denoted the cyclic elements.
Added ability to show Dots when StochCCI Crosses.
Sell: fuchsia dots.
Buy: green dots.
Added alerts for (Buy / Sell) StochCCI. Alerts are Pre-Set to only Alert on Bar Close.
DISCLAIMER: For educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing in this content should be interpreted as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any sort of security or investment including all types of crypto. DYOR, TYOB. Indicator
VIX Cheat SheetHello!
This indicator - "VIX Cheat Sheet" - performs several calculations for $VIX against the asset on your chart. However, using $VIX as a risk proxy or volatility metric often fails beyond large-cap U.S equities. To remedy this, the VixFix indicator is included in the script; you can select whether the script performs calculations for an asset against $VIX or against VixFix (i.e. Forex, Crypto)
Measured are: $VIX correlation to an asset's price fluctuations, the average close-to-close gain/loss subsequent a $VIX/VixFix close above the upper Bollinger Band, the average 5-session gain/loss following the same occurrence in addition to the average 10-session gain/loss, all close-to-close, 5 session, and 10-session gains/losses are stored as tooltips for labels on the chart. The current close-to-close percentage gain/loss for $VIX and VixFix are displayed on the chart.
Displayed in the example image is a box incorporating $VIX price data alongside an upper Bollinger Band and lower Bollinger Band. The data isn't cast to its own price scale but is helpful for quick interpretation of $VIX fluctuations. You can select to plot VixFix data in the box in the user inputs table.
Displayed in the second example image is a semi-transparent blue box encompassing all price moves that occurred when $VIX measured above $40 for at least ten consecutive sessions. The largest percentage close-to-close loss is displayed below the box.
Also illustrated is a red label that appears when $VIX or VixFix closes above the upper Bollinger Band. The indicator will calculate and display the performance of the asset for the subsequent 10 sessions, to which the red label will disappear and all data stored as a tooltip in the blue labels stating "VIX Closed Above Upper Band" or "VixFix Closed Above Upper Band".
To reduce chart clutter, a label and line combination marking all $VIX closes above the upper Bollinger Band was not included. Instead, bar color changes were added. When "$VIX" is selected in the user inputs table the indicator will mark all sessions in which $VIX closed above the upper band as blue, in addition to plotting $VIX price data in the dynamic black box. When "VixFix" is selected, the indicator will mark all sessions where VixFix closed above the upper band as purple; the VixFix indicator will be plotted in the black box.
Be sure to hover over labels to access tooltip information; try the indicator with bar replay!
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MACD PlusMoving Average Convergence Divergence – MACD
The MACD is an extremely popular indicator used in technical analysis. It can be used to identify aspects of a security's overall trend. Most notably these aspects are momentum, as well as trend direction and duration. What makes the MACD so informative is that it is actually the combination of two different types of indicators. First, the MACD employs two Moving Averages of varying lengths (which are lagging indicators) to identify trend direction and duration. Then, it takes the difference in values between those two Moving Averages (MACD Line) and an EMA of those Moving Averages (Signal Line) and plots that difference between the two lines as a histogram which oscillates above and below a center Zero Line. The histogram is used as a good indication of a security's momentum.
Added Color Plots to Settings Pane.
Switched MTF Logic to turn ON/OFF automatically w/ PulseWire's Built in Feature.
Added Ability to Turn ON/OFF Show MacD & Signal Line.
Added Ability to Turn ON/OFF Show Histogram.
Added Ability to Change MACD Line Colors Based on Trend.
Added Ability to Highlight Price Bars Based on Trend.
Added Alerts to Settings Pane.
Customized Alerts to Show Symbol, TimeFrame, Closing Price, MACD Crosses Up & MACD Crosses Down Signals in Alert.
Alerts are Pre-Set to only Alert on Bar Close.
Added ability to show Dots when MACD Crosses.
Added Ability to Change Plot Widths in Settings Pane.
Added in Alert Feature where Cross Up if above 0 or cross down if below 0 (OFF By Default).
Squeeze Pro
Traditionally, John Carter's version uses 20 period SMAs as the basis lines on both the BB and the KC.
In this version, I've given the freedom to change this and try out different types of moving averages.
The original squeeze indicator had only one Squeeze setting, though this new one has three.
The gray dot Squeeze, call it a "low squeeze" or an "early squeeze" - this is the easiest Squeeze to form based on its settings.
The orange dot Squeeze is the original from the first Squeeze indicator.
And finally, the yellow dot squeeze, call it a "high squeeze" or "power squeeze" - is the most difficult to form and suggests price is under extreme levels of compression.
Colored Directional Movement Index (CDMI) , a custom interpretation of J. Welles Wilder’s Directional Movement Index (DMI), where :
DMI is a collection of three separate indicators ( ADX , +DI , -DI ) combined into one and measures the trend’s strength as well as its direction
CDMI is a custom interpretation of DMI which presents ( ADX , +DI , -DI ) with a color scale - representing the trend’s strength, color density - representing momentum/slope of the trend’s strength, and triangle up/down shapes - representing the trend’s direction. CDMI provides all the information in a single line with colored triangle shapes plotted on the bottom. DMI can provide quality information and even trading signals but it is not an easy indicator to master, whereus CDMI simplifies its usage. The CDMI adds additional insight of verifying/confirming the trend as well as its strength
Label :
Displaying the trend strength and direction
Displaying adx and di+/di- values
Displaying adx's momentum (growing or falling)
Where tooltip label describes "howto read colored dmi line"
Ability to display historical values of DMI readings displayed in the label.
Added "Expert Trend Locator - XTL"
The XTL was developed by Tom Joseph (in his book Applying Technical Analysis ) to identify major trends, similar to Elliott Wave 3 type swings.
Blue bars are bullish and indicate a potential upwards impulse.
Red bars are bearish and indicate a potential downwards impulse.
White bars indicate no trend is detected at the moment.
Added "Williams Vix Fix" signal. The Vix is one of the most reliable indicators in history for finding market bottoms. The Williams Vix Fix is simply a code from Larry Williams creating almost identical results for creating the same ability the Vix has to all assets.
The VIX has always been much better at signaling bottoms than tops. Simple reason is when market falls retail traders panic and increase volatility , and professionals come in and capitalize on the situation. At market tops there is no one panicking... just liquidity drying up.
The FE green triangles are "Filtered Entries"
The AE green triangles are "Aggressive Filtered Entries" Indicator
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Squeeze Momentum [Plus]The "Momentum" in this indicator is smoothed out using linear regression. The Momentum is what is displayed on the indicator as a histogram, its purpose is obvious (to show momentum).
What is a Squeeze? A squeeze occurs when Bollinger Bands tighten up enough to slip inside of Keltner Channels .
This is interpreted as price is compressing and building up energy before releasing it and making a big move.
Traditionally, John Carter's version uses 20 period SMAs as the basis lines on both the BB and the KC.
In this version, I've given the freedom to change this and try out different types of moving averages.
The original squeeze indicator had only one Squeeze setting, though this new one has three.
The gray dot Squeeze, call it a "low squeeze" or an "early squeeze" - this is the easiest Squeeze to form based on its settings.
The orange dot Squeeze is the original from the first Squeeze indicator.
And finally, the yellow dot squeeze, call it a "high squeeze" or "power squeeze" - is the most difficult to form and suggests price is under extreme levels of compression.
Now to explain the parameters:
Squeeze Input - This is just the source for the Squeeze to use, default value is closing price.
Length - This is the length of time used to calculate the Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels .
Bollinger Bands Calculation Type - Selects the type of moving average used to create the Bollinger Bands .
Keltner Channel Calculation Type - Selects the type of moving average used to create the Keltner Channel.
Color Format - you to choose one of 5 different color schemes.
Draw Divergence - Self explanatory here, this will auto-draw divergence on the indicator.
Gray Background for Dark Mode - to make them more visually appealing.
Added ADX (Average Directional Index) that measure a trend’s strength. The higher the ADX value, the stronger the trend. The ADX line is white when it has a positive slope, otherwise it is gray. When the ADX has a very large dispersion with respect to the momentum histogram, increase the scale number.
Added "H (Hull Moving Average) Signal". Hull is a extremely responsive and smooth moving average created by Alan Hull in 2005. Have option to chose between 3 Hull variations.
Added "Williams Vix Fix" signal. The Vix is one of the most reliable indicators in history for finding market bottoms. The Williams Vix Fix is simply a code from Larry Williams creating almost identical results for creating the same ability the Vix has to all assets.
The VIX has always been much better at signaling bottoms than tops. Simple reason is when market falls retail traders panic and increase volatility, and professionals come in and capitalize on the situation. At market tops there is no one panicking... just liquidity drying up.
The FE green triangles are "Filtered Entries"
The AE green triangles are "Aggressive Filtered Entries" Indicator
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Implied Volatility SuiteThis is an updated, more robust, and open source version of my 2 previous scripts : "Implied Volatility Rank & Model-Free IVR" and "IV Rank & IV Percentile".
This specific script provides you with 4 different types of volatility data: 1)Implied volatility, 2) Implied Volatility Rank, 3)Implied Volatility Percentile, 4)Skew Index.
1) Implied Volatility is the market's forecast of a likely movement, usually 1 standard deviation, in a securities price.
2) Implied Volatility Rank, ranks IV in relation to its high and low over a certain period of time. For example if over the past year IV had a high of 20% and a low of 10% and is currently 15%; the IV rank would be 50%, as 15 is 50% of the way between 10 & 20. IV Rank is mean reverting, meaning when IV Rank is high (green) it is assumed that future volatility will decrease; while if IV rank is low (red) it is assumed that future volatility will increase.
3) Implied Volatility Percentile ranks IV in relation to how many previous IV data points are less than the current value. For example if over the last 5 periods Implied volatility was 10%,12%,13%,14%,20%; and the current implied volatility is 15%, the IV percentile would be 80% as 4 out of the 5 previous IV values are below the current IV of 15%. IV Percentile is mean reverting, meaning when IV Percentile is high (green) it is assumed that future volatility will decrease; while if IV percentile is low (red) it is assumed that future volatility will increase. IV Percentile is more robust than IV Rank because, unlike IV Rank which only looks at the previous highs and lows, IV Percentile looks at all data points over the specified time period.
4)The skew index is an index I made that looks at volatility skew. Volatility Skew compares implied volatility of options with downside strikes versus upside strikes. If downside strikes have higher IV than upside strikes there is negative volatility skew. If upside strikes have higher IV than downside strikes then there is positive volatility skew. Typically, markets have a negative volatility skew, this has been the case since Black Monday in 1987. All negative skew means is that projected option contract prices tend to go down over time regardless of market conditions.
Additionally, this script provides two ways to calculate the 4 data types above: a)Model-Based and b)VixFix.
a) The Model-Based version calculates the four data types based on a model that projects future volatility. The reason that you would use this version is because it is what is most commonly used to calculate IV, IV Rank, IV Percentile, and Skew; and is closest to real world IV values. This version is what is referred to when people normally refer to IV. Additionally, the model version of IV, Rank, Percentile, and Skew are directionless.
b) The VixFix version calculates the four data types based on the VixFix calculation. The reason that you would use this version is because it is based on past price data as opposed to a model, and as such is more sensitive to price action. Additionally, because the VixFix is meant to replicate the VIX Index (except it can be applied to any asset) it, just like the real VIX, does have a directional element to it. Because of this, VixFix IV, Rank, and Percentile tend to increase as markets move down, and decrease as markets move up. VixFix skew, on the other hand, is directionless.
How to use this suite of tools:
1st. Pick the way you want your data calculated: either Model-Based or VixFix.
2nd. Input the various length parameters according to their labels:
If you're using the model-based version and are trading options input your time til expiry, including weekends and holidays. You can do so in terms of days, hours, and minutes. If you're using the model-based version but aren't trading options you can just use the default input of 365 days.
If you're using the VixFix version, input how many periods of data you want included in the calculation, this is labeled as "VixFix length". The default value used in this script is 252.
3rd. Finally, pick which data you want displayed from the dropdown menu: Implied Volatility, IV Rank, IV Percentile, or Volatility Skew Index. Indicator
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