SPX-VIX Intraday DivergenceAs a long-term buyer/short-seller, you will always find different ways to enter the market , moving average crossovers, breakouts , overbought/oversold conditions being some of the classy methods. However, they are decreasingly effective... 😢
Recently I have realized that analysis beyond the technical indicators will bring trading to the next level because I will be able to confirm my trading signals without relying too much on basic price actions and patterns which are easily manipulated by big banks and institutions. 👍
Today I will introduce you to my divergence indicator making use of SPX and VIX. Unlike MacD or RSI divegence , which would involve normative judgement , it will take account of the unusual move by SPX alongwith the VIX , to the exploit chances that options market, where most experienced investors participated in has a preceding insight into the equity market about the upcoming moves.
I have divided signals into two groups.
Bullish divergence - SPX Down , VIX also Down 👇
Bearish divergence - SPX Up , VIX also Up 👆
I hope this script will enable us to take advantage of the options market activities , to provide a REAL divergence signal, and be used coupled with our own chart patterns or other price signals, and more importantly to score more and more winning trades!!!
If you want more useful scripts from me, please like and share my posts. And don't forget to follow my account to grab the latest ideas and tools! 😘 Indicator
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Rate Of Change - Weekly SignalsRate of Change - Weekly Signals
This indicator gives a potential "buy signal" using Rate of Change of SPX and VIX together,
using the following criteria:
SPX Weekly ROC(10) has been BELOW -9 and now rises ABOVE -5
*PLUS*
VIX Weekly ROC(10) has been ABOVE +80 and now falls BELOW +10
The background will turn RED when ROC(SPX) is below -9 and ROC(VIX) is above +80.
The background will turn GREEN when ROC(SPX) is above -5 and ROC(VIX) is below +10.
So the potential "buy signal" is when you start to get GREEN BARS AFTER RED - usually with
some white/empty bars in between...but wait for the green. This indicates that the volatility
has settled down, and the market is starting to turn up.
This indicator gives excellent entry points, but be careful of the occasional false signals.
See Nov. 2001 and Nov. 2008, in both cases the market dropped another 25-30% before the final
bottom was formed. Always have an exit strategy, especially when buying in after a downtrend.
How I use this indicator, pretty much as shown in the preview. Weekly SPX as the main chart with
some medium/long moving averages to identify the trend, VIX added as a "Compare Symbol" in red,
and then the Weekly ROC signals below.
For the ROC graphs, you can show SPX+VIX together, SPX alone, or VIX alone. I prefer to display
them separately because they don't scale well together (VIX crowds out the SPX when it spikes).
Background color is still based on both SPX/VIX together, regardless of which graph is shown.
Note that there is no VIX data available on Trading View prior to 1990, so for those dates the
formula is using only ROC(SPX) and the assigned thresholds (-9 and -5, or whatever you choose).
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(JS)S&P 500 Volatility Oscillator For Options 2.0I am going to start taking requests to open source my indicators and they will also be updated to Version 4 of Pinescript.
I added some features to the original code such the ability to smooth the oscillator and select the look back periods for the historical volatility.
Link to original:
Original post:
"The idea for this started here: www.pulsewire.com with the user @dime
This should only be used on SPX or SPY (though you could use it on other things for correlation I suppose) given that the instrument used to create this calculation is derived from the S&P 500 (thank you VIX ). There's a lot of moving parts here though, so allow me to explain...
First: The main signal is when Implied Volatility (from VIX ) drops beneath Historical Volatility - which is what you want to see so you aren't purchasing a ton of premium on long options. Green and above 0 means that IV% has dropped lower than Historical Volatility . (this signal, for example, would suggest using a Long Call or Put depending on your sentiment)
Second: The green line running underneath zero is the bottom portion of the "Average True Range" derived from the values used to create the oscillator. the closer the bottom histogram is to the green line, the more "normal" IV% is. Obviously, if this gets far away from the line then it could be setting up nicely to short options and sell the IV premium to someone else. (this signal, for example, would suggest using something like a Bull Put Spread)
Third: The red background along with the white line that drops down below zero signals when (and how far) the IV% from 3 months out (from VIX3M ) is less than the current IV%. This would signal the current environment has IV way too high, a signal to short options once again (and don't take any long option positions!).
Tried to make this simple, yet effective. If you trade options on SPX , SPY , even ES1! futures - this is a tool tailored specifically for you! As I said before, if you want you can use it for correlation on other securities. Any other ideas or suggestions surrounding this, please let me know! Enjoy!
Feb 17, 2019
Release Notes: Cosmetic update for a much cleaner look:
-Replaced the "HIGH IV" with a simlple "H"
-Now the white line is constantly showing you the relationship between VIX and VIX3M - when VIX is greater than VIX3M the background still goes red
-However, now when VIX drops below Historical Volatility, the background is bright green
-When both above are true - it's dark green
-The Average True Range on the bottom is now a series of crosses" Indicator
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