TASC 2024.04 The Ultimate Smoother█ OVERVIEW
This script presents an implementation of the digital smoothing filter introduced by John Ehlers in his article "The Ultimate Smoother" from the April 2024 edition of TASC's Traders' Tips .
█ CONCEPTS
The UltimateSmoother preserves low-frequency swings in the input time series while attenuating high-frequency variations and noise. The defining input parameter of the UltimateSmoother is the critical period , which represents the minimum wavelength (highest frequency) in the filter's pass band. In other words, the filter attenuates or removes the amplitudes of oscillations at shorter periods than the critical period.
According to Ehlers, one primary advantage of the UltimateSmoother is that it maintains zero lag in its pass band and minimal lag in its transition band, distinguishing it from other conventional digital filters (e.g., moving averages ). One can apply this smoother to various input data series, including other indicators.
█ CALCULATIONS
Ehlers derived the UltimateSmoother using inspiration from the design principles he learned from his experience with analog filters , as described in the original publication. On a technical level, the UltimateSmoother's unique response involves subtracting a high-pass response from an all-pass response . At very low frequencies (lengthy periods), where the high-pass filter response has virtually no amplitude, the subtraction yields a frequency and phase response practically equivalent to the input data. At other frequencies, the subtraction achieves filtration through cancellation due to the close similarities in response between the high-pass filter and the input data.
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Kalman Filter by TenozenAnother useful indicator is here! Kalman Filter is a quantitative tool created by Rudolf E. Kalman. In the case of trading, it can help smooth out the price data that traders observe, making it easier to identify underlying trends. The Kalman Filter is particularly useful for handling price data that is noisy and unpredictable. As an adaptive-based algorithm, it can easily adjust to new data, which makes it a handy tool for traders operating in markets that are prone to change quickly.
Many people may assume that the Kalman Filter is the same as a Moving Average, but that is not the case. While both tools aim to smooth data and find trends, they serve different purposes and have their own sets of advantages and disadvantages. The Kalman Filter provides a more dynamic and adaptive approach, making it suitable for real-time analysis and predictive capabilities, but it is also more complex. On the other hand, Moving Averages offer a simpler and more intuitive way to visualize trends, which makes them a popular choice among traders for technical analysis. However, the Moving Average is a lagging indicator and less adaptive to market change, if it's adjusted it may result in overfitting. In this case, the Kalman Filter would be a better choice for smoothing the price up.
I hope you find this indicator useful! It's been an exciting and extensive journey since I began diving into the world of finance and trading. I'll keep you all updated on any new indicators I discover that could benefit the community in the future. Until then, take care, and happy trading! Ciao. Indicator
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ATR Adaptive RSI OscillatorThe " ATR Adaptive RSI Oscillator " is a versatile technical analysis tool designed to help traders make informed decisions in dynamic market conditions. It combines the Relative Strength Index (RSI) with the Average True Range (ATR) to provide adaptive and responsive insights into price trends.
Key Features :
Adaptive RSI Periods : The indicator introduces the concept of adaptive RSI periods based on the ATR (Average True Range) of the market. When enabled, it dynamically adjusts the RSI calculation period, offering longer periods during high volatility and shorter periods during low volatility. This adaptability enhances the accuracy of RSI signals across varying market conditions.
Volume-Based Smoothing : The indicator includes a smoothing feature that computes a time-decayed weighted moving average of RSI values over the last two bars, using volume-based weights. This approach offers a time-sensitive smoothing effect, reducing noise for a clearer view of trend strength compared to the standard RSI.
Divergence Detection : Traders can enable divergence detection to identify potential reversal points in the market. The indicator highlights regular bullish and bearish divergences, providing valuable insights into market sentiment shifts.
Customizable Parameters : Traders have the flexibility to customize various parameters, including RSI length, adaptive mode, ATR length, and divergence settings, to tailor the indicator to their trading strategy.
Overbought and Oversold Levels : The indicator includes overbought (OB) and oversold (OS) boundary lines that can be adjusted to suit individual preferences. These levels help traders identify potential reversal zones.
The "ATR Adaptive RSI Oscillator" is a powerful tool for traders seeking to adapt their trading strategies to changing market dynamics. Whether you're a trend follower or a contrarian trader, this indicator provides valuable insights to support your decision-making process. Indicator
Discrete Fourier Transformed Money Flow IndexThe Discrete Fourier Transform Money Flow Index indicator integrates the Money Flow Index (MFI) with Discrete Fourier Transform (credit to author wbburgin - May 26 2023 ) smoothing to offer a refined and smoothed depiction of the MFI's underlying trend. The MFI is calculated using the formula: MFI = 100 - (100 / (1 + MR)), where a high MFI value indicates robust buying pressure (signaling an overbought condition), and a low MFI value indicates substantial selling pressure (signaling an oversold condition).
Why is the DFT and MFI combined?
The aim of this combination between DFT and MFI is to effectively filter out short-term fluctuations and noise, enabling a clearer assessment of the overall trend. This smoothing process enhances the reliability of the MFI by emphasizing dominant and sustained buying or selling pressures. This script executes a full DFT but only uses filtering from one frequency component. The choice to focus on the magnitude at index 0 is significant as it captures the dominant or fundamental frequency in the data. By analyzing this primary cyclic behavior, we can identify recurring patterns and potential turning points more easily. This streamlined approach simplifies interpretation and enhances efficiency by reducing complexity associated with multiple frequency components. Overall, focusing on the dominant frequency and applying it to the MFI provides a concise and actionable assessment of the underlying data.
Note: The FMFI indicator provides both smoothed and non-smoothed versions of the MFI, with the option to toggle the original non-smoothed MFI on or off in the settings.
Application
FMFI functions as a trend-following indicator. Bullish trends are denoted by the color white, while bearish trends are represented by the color purple. Circles plotted on the FMFI indicate regular bull and bear signals. Additionally, red arrows indicate a strong negative trend, while green arrows indicate a strong positive trend. These arrows are calculated based on the presence of regular bull and bear signals within overbought and oversold zones. To enhance its effectiveness, it is recommended to combine this indicator with other complementary technical analysis tools and integrate it into a comprehensive trading strategy. Traders are encouraged to explore a wide range of settings and timeframes to align the indicator with their unique trading preferences and adapt it to the current market conditions. By doing so, traders can optimize the indicator's performance and increase their potential for successful trading outcomes.
Utility
Traders and investors can employ this indicator to enhance their trend-following strategies. The white-colored components of the FMFI can help identify potential buying zones, while the purple-colored components can assist in identifying potential selling points. The red and green arrows can be used to pinpoint moments of strong bull or bear momentum, allowing traders to position themselves advantageously in their trading activities. Please note that future performance of any trading strategy is fundamentally unknowable, and past results do not guarantee future performance. Indicator
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Library_SmoothersLibrary "Library_Smoothers"
CorrectedMA(Src, Len)
CorrectedMA The strengths of the corrected Average (CA) is that the current value of the time series must exceed a the current volatility-dependent threshold, so that the filter increases or falls, avoiding false signals when the trend is in a weak phase.
Parameters:
Src
Len
Returns: The Corrected source.
EHMA(src, len)
EMA Exponential Moving Average.
Parameters:
src : Source to act upon
len
Returns: EMA of source
FRAMA(src, len, FC, SC)
FRAMA Fractal Adaptive Moving Average
Parameters:
src : Source to act upon
len : Length of moving average
FC : Fast moving average
SC : Slow moving average
Returns: FRAMA of source
Jurik(src, length, phase, power)
Jurik A low lag filter
Parameters:
src : Source
length : Length for smoothing
phase : Phase range is ±100
power : Mathematical power to use. Doesn't need to be whole numbers
Returns: Jurik of source
SMMA(src, len)
SMMA Smoothed moving average. Think of the SMMA as a hybrid of its better-known siblings — the simple moving average (SMA) and the exponential moving average (EMA).
Parameters:
src : Source
len
Returns: SMMA of source
SuperSmoother(src, len)
SuperSmoother
Parameters:
src : Source to smooth
len
Returns: SuperSmoother of the source
TMA(src, len)
TMA Triangular Moving Average
Parameters:
src : Source
len
Returns: TMA of source
TSF(src, len)
TSF Time Series Forecast. Uses linear regression.
Parameters:
src : Source
len
Returns: TSF of source
VIDYA(src, len)
VIDYA Chande's Variable Index Dynamic Average. See www.fxcorporate.com
Parameters:
src : Source
len
Returns: VIDYA of source
VAWMA(src, len, startingWeight, volumeDefault)
VAWMA = VWMA and WMA combined. Simply put, this attempts to determine the average price per share over time weighted heavier for recent values. Uses a triangular algorithm to taper off values in the past (same as WMA does).
Parameters:
src : Source
len : Length
startingWeight
volumeDefault : The default value to use when a chart has no volume.
Returns: The VAWMA of the source.
WWMA(src, len)
WWMA Welles Wilder Moving Average
Parameters:
src : Source
len
Returns: The WWMA of the source
ZLEMA(src, len)
ZLEMA Zero Lag Expotential Moving Average
Parameters:
src : Source
len
Returns: The ZLEMA of the source
SmootherType(mode, src, len, fastMA, slowMA, offset, phase, power, startingWeight, volumeDefault, Corrected)
Performs the specified moving average
Parameters:
mode : Name of moving average
src : the source to apply the MA type
len
fastMA : FRAMA fast moving average
slowMA : FRAMA slow moving average
offset : Linear regression offset
phase : Jurik phase
power : Jurik power
startingWeight : VAWMA starting weight
volumeDefault : VAWMA default volume
Corrected
Returns: The MA smoothed source Library
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Nadaraya-Watson: Rational Quadratic Kernel (Non-Repainting)What is Nadaraya–Watson Regression?
Nadaraya–Watson Regression is a type of Kernel Regression, which is a non-parametric method for estimating the curve of best fit for a dataset. Unlike Linear Regression or Polynomial Regression, Kernel Regression does not assume any underlying distribution of the data. For estimation, it uses a kernel function, which is a weighting function that assigns a weight to each data point based on how close it is to the current point. The computed weights are then used to calculate the weighted average of the data points.
How is this different from using a Moving Average?
A Simple Moving Average is actually a special type of Kernel Regression that uses a Uniform (Retangular) Kernel function. This means that all data points in the specified lookback window are weighted equally. In contrast, the Rational Quadratic Kernel function used in this indicator assigns a higher weight to data points that are closer to the current point. This means that the indicator will react more quickly to changes in the data.
Why use the Rational Quadratic Kernel over the Gaussian Kernel?
The Gaussian Kernel is one of the most commonly used Kernel functions and is used extensively in many Machine Learning algorithms due to its general applicability across a wide variety of datasets. The Rational Quadratic Kernel can be thought of as a Gaussian Kernel on steroids; it is equivalent to adding together many Gaussian Kernels of differing length scales. This allows the user even more freedom to tune the indicator to their specific needs.
The formula for the Rational Quadratic function is:
K(x, x') = (1 + ||x - x'||^2 / (2 * alpha * h^2))^(-alpha)
where x and x' data are points, alpha is a hyperparameter that controls the smoothness (i.e. overall "wiggle") of the curve, and h is the band length of the kernel.
Does this Indicator Repaint?
No, this indicator has been intentionally designed to NOT repaint. This means that once a bar has closed, the indicator will never change the values in its plot. This is useful for backtesting and for trading strategies that require a non-repainting indicator.
Settings:
Bandwidth. This is the number of bars that the indicator will use as a lookback window.
Relative Weighting Parameter. The alpha parameter for the Rational Quadratic Kernel function. This is a hyperparameter that controls the smoothness of the curve. A lower value of alpha will result in a smoother, more stretched-out curve, while a lower value will result in a more wiggly curve with a tighter fit to the data. As this parameter approaches 0, the longer time frames will exert more influence on the estimation, and as it approaches infinity, the curve will become identical to the one produced by the Gaussian Kernel.
Color Smoothing. Toggles the mechanism for coloring the estimation plot between rate of change and cross over modes.
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Adaptive, Double Jurik Filter Moving Average (AJFMA) [Loxx]Adaptive, Double Jurik Filter Moving Average (AJFMA) is moving average like Jurik Moving Average but with the addition of double smoothing and adaptive length (Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm) and power/volatility {Juirk Volty) inputs to further reduce noise and identify trends.
What is Jurik Volty?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is the Jurik Moving Average?
Have you noticed how moving averages add some lag (delay) to your signals? ... especially when price gaps up or down in a big move, and you are waiting for your moving average to catch up? Wait no more! JMA eliminates this problem forever and gives you the best of both worlds: low lag and smooth lines.
Ideally, you would like a filtered signal to be both smooth and lag-free. Lag causes delays in your trades, and increasing lag in your indicators typically result in lower profits. In other words, late comers get what's left on the table after the feast has already begun.
That's why investors, banks and institutions worldwide ask for the Jurik Research Moving Average ( JMA ). You may apply it just as you would any other popular moving average. However, JMA's improved timing and smoothness will astound you.
What is adaptive Jurik volatility?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is an adaptive cycle, and what is Ehlers Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm?
From his Ehlers' book Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts by John F. Ehlers , 2013, page 135:
"Adaptive filters can have several different meanings. For example, Perry Kaufman’s adaptive moving average ( KAMA ) and Tushar Chande’s variable index dynamic average ( VIDYA ) adapt to changes in volatility . By definition, these filters are reactive to price changes, and therefore they close the barn door after the horse is gone.The adaptive filters discussed in this chapter are the familiar Stochastic , relative strength index ( RSI ), commodity channel index ( CCI ), and band-pass filter.The key parameter in each case is the look-back period used to calculate the indicator. This look-back period is commonly a fixed value. However, since the measured cycle period is changing, it makes sense to adapt these indicators to the measured cycle period. When tradable market cycles are observed, they tend to persist for a short while.Therefore, by tuning the indicators to the measure cycle period they are optimized for current conditions and can even have predictive characteristics.
The dominant cycle period is measured using the Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm. That dominant cycle dynamically sets the look-back period for the indicators. I employ my own streamlined computation for the indicators that provide smoother and easier to interpret outputs than traditional methods. Further, the indicator codes have been modified to remove the effects of spectral dilation.This basically creates a whole new set of indicators for your trading arsenal."
Included
- Double calculation of AJFMA for even smoother results Indicator
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Nadaraya-Watson Smoothers [LuxAlgo]The following tool smoothes the price data using various methods derived from the Nadaraya-Watson estimator, a simple Kernel regression method. This method makes use of the Gaussian kernel as a weighting function.
Users have the option to use a non-repainting as well as a repainting method, see the USAGE section for more information.
🔶 USAGE
🔹 Non Repainting
When Repainting Smoothing is disabled the returned indicator acts similarly to a regular causal moving average. This result could be described as an "endpoint Nadaraya-Watson estimator".
Unlike a regular moving average whose degree of smoothness is commonly determined by the length of its calculation window, the degree of smoothness of the proposed indicator is determined by the bandwidth setting, with a higher value returning smoother results.
In the above chart, a bandwidth value of 50 is used. An increasing value of the smoother is indicative of an uptrend, while a decreasing value is indicative of a downtrend.
🔹 Repainting
Non-causal smoothing methods have found low support from technical analysts because they tend to repaint. Yet, they can provide powerful insights such as estimating underlying trends in the price as well as seeing how far prices deviate from them. They can also make drawing certain patterns easier and can help see underlying structures in the price more clearly.
Using higher bandwidth values allows for estimating longer-term trends in the price.
Triangular labels highlight points where the direction of the estimator change. This allows for the identification of tops and bottoms in the underlying trend which can be compared to the actual price tops and bottoms.
Note that multiple labels can appear in real time, highlighting real-time changes in the estimator's direction. The most recent label on a series of labels is the first to appear. This can eventually be useful for the real-time predictive application of the estimator. However, it is not a usage we particularly recommend.
🔶 DETAILS
The Nadaraya-Watson estimator can be described as a series of weighted averages using a specific normalized kernel as a weighting function. For each point of the estimator at time t , the peak of the kernel is located at time t , as such the highest weights are attributed to values neighboring the price located at time t .
A lower bandwidth value would contribute toward a more important weighting of the price at a precise point and would as such less smooth results. In the case where our bandwidth is so small that the resulting kernel is just an impulse, we would get the raw price back.
However, when the bandwidth is sufficiently large, prices would be weighted similarly, thus resulting in a result closer to the price mean.
It can be interesting to note that due to the nature of the estimator and its weighting procedure, real-time results would not deviate drastically for points in the estimator near the center of the calculation window.
🔶 SETTINGS
Bandwidth : controls the bandwidth of the Gaussian kernel, with higher values returning smoother results.
Src : Input source of the kernel regression.
Repainting Smoothing : Determine if the smoothing method should repaint or not. If disabled the "endpoint Nadaraya-Watson estimator" is returned. Indicator
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