Setting-Less Trend-Step FilteringIntroduction
Indicators settings have been a major concern in trading strategies, in order to provide the best results each indicators involved in the strategy must have its settings optimized, when using only 1 indicator this task can easily be achieved, but an increasing number of indicators involve more slower computations, lot of softwares will use brute force for indicators settings optimization, this involve testing each indicator settings and see which setting/combination maximize the equity, in order to fasten this process softwares can use a user defined range for the indicator settings. Nonetheless the combination that maximize the equity at time t might be different at time t+1...n .
Therefore i propose an indicator without any numerical setting that aim to filter small price variations using the architecture of the T-step lsma, such indicator can provide robust filtering and can therefore be used as input for other indicators.
Robustness Vs Non Robustness
Robustness is often defined as the ability of certain statistical tools to be less affected by outliers, outliers are defined as huge variations in a data-set, high volatility movements and large gaps might be considered as outliers. However here we define robustness as the ability of an indicator to be non affected by price variations that are not correlated with the main trend, which can be defined in technical analysis as pullbacks.
Some small pullbacks in INTEL, the indicator is not affected by them, which allow the indicator to filter the price in a "smart" way.
This effect is made possible by using exponential averaging in the indicator, exponential averaging is defined as y = sc*x + (1-sc)*y , with 1 > sc > 0 . Here sc is calculated in a similar way as the kalman gain, which is in the form of a/(a + b) , in our case this is done with :
sc = abs(input - nz(b ))/(abs(input - nz(b )) + nz(a ))
Non Robust Version Of The Indicator
The user is allowed to use the non robust version of the indicator by unchecking "robust" in the setting panel, this allow a better fit with the price at the cost of less filtering.
robust checked
robust unchecked
Conclusion
I proposed a technical indicator that aim to filter short frequencies without the use of parameters, the indicator proven to be robust to various pullbacks and therefore was able to follow the main trend, although using the term trend for such small price variations might be wrong. Removing high frequencies is always beneficial in trading, noisy series are harder to manipulate, this is why you'll see a lot of indicators using median price often defined as hl2 instead of the closing price.
Like previous settings-less indicators i published this one can behave differently depending on the time frame selected by the user, lower time frames will make the indicator filter more. I'll try to make more setting-less indicators that will correct this effect.
Acknowledgements
The support and interest of the community is only thing that allowed me to be where i'am today, i'am thankful. Special thanks to the tv staff, LucF, and my family who may not have believed in this project but are still proud of their son.
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Pullback Trading Tool R5-65 by JustUncleLBy request this is an updated version of the "PullBack Trading Tool": removes experimental "OCC" channel, added option to display ribbons or just single moving average lines, added alert arrows for "PB" exits, added alertcondition for TV alarm subsystem, added some extract options for Pivot points and general cleanup of code.
Description:
This project incorporates the majority of the indicators needed to analyse and trade Trends for Pullbacks, swings and reversals.
Incorporated within this tool are the following indicators:
1. Major industry (Banks) recognised important EMAs in an EMA Ribbon:
Lime = EMA5 (Optional Display)
DodgerBlue = EMA12 (Optional Display)
Red = EMA36 (Optional display)
Green = EMA89
Blue = EMA200
Black = EMA633
2. The 5 EMA (default) High/Low/Close Price Action Channel (PAC), the PAC channel display is disabled by default.
3. Optionally display Fractals and optional Fractal levels
4. Optional HH, LH, LL, HL finder.
5. Optional Buy/Sell "PB" exit Alerts with Optional 200EMA filter.
6. Coloured coded Bar high lighting based on the PAC:
blue = bar closed above PAC
red = bar closed below PAC
gray = bar closed inside PAC
7. Alert condition sent to PulseWire's Alarm subsystem for PB exits.
8. Pivot points with optional labels.
9. EMA5-12 Ribbon is displayed by default.
10.EMA12-36 Ribbon is displayed by default
Set up and hints:
I am unable to provide a full description here, as Pullback Trading incorporates a full trading Methodology, there are a number of articles and books written on the subject.
Set the chart to Heikin Ashi Candles (optional).
I also add a "Sweetspot Gold R3" indicator to the chart as well to help with support and resistance finding and shows where the important "00" lines are.
First on a weekly basis say Sunday night or Monday morning, analyse the Daily and Weekly charts to establish overall trends, and support/resistant levels. Draw significant mini trend lines (2/3 TL), vertical trend lines (VTL) and S/R levels. Can use the Pivots points to guide VTL drawing and Fractals to help guide 2/3 TL drawing.
Once the trend direction and any potential major reversals highlighted, drop down to lower timeframe chart and draw appropriate mini Trend line (2/3 TL) matching the established momentum direction. Take note of potential pull backs from and of the EMAs, in particular the EMA5-12 ribbon, EMA12-36 Ribbon and the 200EMA. Can use the Pivots and/or Fractals points to guide your 2/3 TL drawing.
Set a PulseWire alarm on the "PBTOOL alert", with the default settings this normally occurs before or during the Break of the manually drawn TL lines.
Once alerted check to see if the TL is broken and is returning to trend away from the EMA lines, this is indicated by bar colour change to trend directional colour.
You can trade that alert or drop down to even lower time frames and perform the same TL analysis there to find trades at the lower TF. Trading at lower TF you will allow tighter Stop loss settings.
Other than the "SweetSpot Gold R3" indicator, you should not need any other indicator to successfully trade trends for Pullbacks and reversals. If you really want another indicator I suggest a momentum one for example: AO ( Awesome Oscillator ), MACD or Squeeze Momentum.
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UCS_S_Steve Primo - Strategy #8Hello Fellas,
Hope you are trading fantastic and fine. Here is another setup from Steve Primo (Stocks) Setups. He claims this can be applied on any market, and you can. Primarily focused on Stocks and Futures market.
NOTE : I DID CODE THE BOTTOM INDICATOR, NOT PUBLISHING IT, ITS JUST RSI(5)
What did I change, ofcourse I don't publish what I find, There is a bit of me in the codes.....
1. Setup only shows up at meaningful levels, Stringent Filter
Myself and tradearcher will keep this upto date. As he has volenteered to help with the track record of steve primo strategies.
docs.google.com
This is more like catching a freight train after a mini pullback.
AGAIN, This is not a holy grail, but this fits my personality of trading, Buying pullbacks on stronger stocks. Because it is harder to get a UCS_momo_Oscillator to signal a setup, primarily because of the smoothing, you can use this as an alternative to catch the excitement trade.
Do not sit on it for more than T+4 days, Unless another setup triggered in your way.
Rule - Buy/Sell the candle breakout next day after the setup - in the direction it is setting up
- Close the Position @ 100% candle extension or RSI Oversold. Indicator
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