Full Volatility Statistics and Forecast
This is a tool designed to translate the data from the expected volatility of different assets, such as for example VIX, which measures the volatility of SP500 index.
Once get the data from the volatility asset we want to measure(for this test I have used VIX), we are going to translate it the required timeframe expected move by dividing the initial value into :
252 = if we want to use the daily timeframe, since there are ~252 aproximative daily trading days
52 = if we want to use the weekly timeframe, since there 52 trading weeks in a year
12 = if we want to use the monthly timeframe, since there are 12 months in a year
For this example I have used 252 with the daily timeframe.
In this scenario, we can see that we had 5711 total cnadles which we analysed, and in this case, we had 942 crosses, where the daily movement ended up either above or below the channel made from the opening daily candle value + expected movement from the volatility, giving as a total of 16.5% of occurances that volatility was higher than expected, and in 83.5% of the times, we can see that the price stayed within our channel.
At the same time, we can see that we had 6 max losses in a row ( OUT) AND 95 max wins in a row (IN), and at the same time in those moments when the volatility crosses happen we had a 0.51% avg movements when the top crossed happened, and 0.67% avg movements when the bot happened.
Lastly on the second part of the panel, we had E which means the expected movement of today, for example it has 61.056$ , so lets say price opened on 4083, our top is 4083 + 61 and our bot is 4083 - 61 ( giving us the daily channel). At continuation we can see that overall the avg bull candle os 0.714% and avg bear candle was 0.805% .
I hope this tool will help you with your future analysis and trades !
If you have any questions please let me know ! Indicator
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Advance/Decline Line [IQ]Advance/Decline Line is a Market Breath indicator.
A/D line calculates a ratio between total number stocks advancing and total number of stocks in one day, providing another way to grasp the market breath at any moment.
We think the indicator covers the whole market, as we use data from the three main exchanges: NYSE, NASDAQ and AMEX.
The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), nicknamed "The Big Board") is by far the world's largest stock exchange by market capitalization of its listed companies.
The Nasdaq Stock Market (NASDAQ) is ranked second on the list of stock exchanges by market capitalization of shares traded, behind the New York Stock Exchange.
The American Stock Exchange (AMEX) is the third largest stock exchange in the U.S. after the NYSE and the NASDAQ, and handles approximately 10% of all American trades.
How to interpret it:
Green columns mean more than 50% of NASDAQ stocks are advancing, red columns mean more than 50% of NASDAQ stocks are declining.
Green values above the top band mean correlation to the upside, red values bellow the low band mean correlation to the downside.
Correlation means rising probability of capitulation (to the upside or to the downside) and is market by a white bar (as signal).
Important:
For a better interpretation, the Advance/Decline Line indicator should be used in conjunction with other indicators (volatility, volume, etc.). Indicator
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[CP]Pivot Boss Multi Timeframe CPR Inception with MACD and EMAINTRODUCTION:
This indicator combines multi-timeframe CPR bands with MACD Momentum and EMA trend, all projected on the candlestick chart through a novel visualization.
If you have seen my other indicators on PulseWire, you would know that I use floor pivots a lot and “Secrets of a Pivot Boss” is my favorite book. While using floor pivots, time and again I have noticed an interesting price behavior,
Trending moves in price typically start from around the Central Pivot Range (CPR). The CPR could be from ANY timeframe. These moves can easily be caught using simple momentum and trend indicators like MACD and EMA crossovers.
Yes, it is that simple. Follow along to understand how to use this indicator.
INDICATOR SETTINGS:
RANGEBOUND MACD AND EMA MARKINGS:
PulseWire limits the max number of labels that can be shown on a chart to 500. Therefore, if you go far back enough, you won't see any markings for the MACD or EMA setups. If you are looking to test the efficacy of this indicator in the past, change the start and end dates to your desired timeframe and then select the ‘Mark MACD and EMA Setups in Range?’ option.
MULTI TIMEFRAME CENTRAL PIVOT RANGE:
Here you can select CPRs and their bands from which timeframes are shown on the chart. I will share my favorite settings later in this description.
CPR CONFIGURATION:
Show CPR Labels: CPRs markings can carry labels, so that you don’t confuse between which line is what. Use this setting to toggle them On/Off.
Show Next Time Period Pivots: Check this option if you want to see the CPR of the next time period. This is typically done to figure out the ’Two Day CPR Relationship’ . Read the book, “Secrets of a Pivot Boss”, to understand more.
EMA TREND:
Show EMA on the Chart: EMAs will be plotted on the chart. Standard stuff.
Mark EMA Crossovers on Chart: EMA crossovers will be marked on the chart in diamond shapes. If you are using EMA crossovers, I recommend setting this option to True.
Rest of the EMA settings are fairly obvious.
MACD MOMENTUM:
Projecting MACD parameters directly on the candlesticks is surely going to give you a new perspective about price action and MACD.
Also, in order to better understand the MACD projections on the chart, you can add a standard MACD indicator on the chart with default settings to figure out what my indicator is actually showing you.
Marking MACD Crossovers on Chart: Marks the MACD signal crossovers on the chart. This visualization was a game changer for me.
Show MACD Histogram on Chart: Projects the complete MACD Histogram in a novel fashion (Try it!). You will be able to visually see the ebbs and flow of momentum in the charts.
Mark MACD Histogram Peaks on Chart: Marks only the MACD peaks instead of the complete histogram. Peaks are a great way to enter an ongoing trend and to play an intraday rangebound market.
Rest of the settings are just the standard settings that you will find in a typical MACD indicator.
ALERTS:
Not shown in the settings panel, but I have added alerts for EMA and MACD Crossovers so that you don’t have to sit in front of the charts or constantly check the price all day long.
If you don’t know how to set alerts in PulseWire, then please Google it.
INDICATOR USAGE EXAMPLES:
This indicator can be used in intraday as well as in higher timeframes.
There are quite a few variations possible, I personally prefer to use the EMA crossovers in intraday (5m) and MACD on Daily timeframes.
This is just a matter of personal preference, some people might prefer using EMAs only or MACD only in all timeframes.
Here are my personal settings for the intraday 5-minute timeframe:
Turn on all the CPR pivots starting from Yearly all the way to Daily. You can turn on 6 hourly and 4 hourly as well if you want.
Hourly CPR is mostly used when the price is in a strong trend and you missed the entry and don’t know when to enter. Price will typically experience pullbacks towards the Hourly CPR, before resuming in the direction of the trend. That is your chance to hop onto the bandwagon.
For Intraday, I keep the Bands off. Just a personal preference here.
You can turn ON the Show CPR Labels , if you want.
Turn ON both the options in the EMA TREND section. You would want to see the EMA crossovers marked on the chart as well as the EMAs themselves, as the distance between the two EMAs will give you an idea about the strength of the trend.
Keep rest of the settings in the EMA section as default (you can change the colors if you wish). I keep the same EMAs as the ones kept in the MACD indicator. I like to keep things simple.
In the MACD MOMENTUM section, turn ON Mark MACD Histogram Peaks on Chart and all the other options turned OFF. Leave the other settings as default. By the way, these are the default settings of the standard MACD Indicator.
You can set up EMA Bullcross and Bearcross alarms if you like.
Before checking out the examples, remember one super simple rule:
SOME OF THE BEST TRENDING MOVES IN THE MARKET, BE IT INTRADAY OR OTHERWISE, ORIGINATE IN THE VICINITY OF A LARGER TIMEFRAME PIVOT/CPR.
Look for price settling above/below a pivot, and then a move away from the pivot in any direction is typically a trending move.
You can use hourly pivots or MACD Histogram peaks marked on the chart to enter an existing trend, or add to your positions.
Let’s have a look at a few recent intraday examples from the Crypto, Indian, and US equity markets.
I have added my comments in the charts to make you easily understand what is going on.
Understand that both, moving average crossover and MACD, will give out a lot of signals (chop) every day. But almost 70% of them are going to be fake signals. It is the signals that you get when the price is near a Pivot, that tend to convert into gorgeous trending moves that last.
BTC 5m Charts
NIFTY Futures 5m Charts (good intraday trends are hard to find here, as the market is very efficient)
TSLA 5m Charts
Some important points for using this indicator in higher timeframes:
For higher timeframes, my personal preference is to go with the MACD indicator. I personally find MACD to be lethal on daily and weekly timeframes, if you know how to use it well.
The default settings of the indicator are the settings I use for both, Daily and Weekly, timeframes. Additionally, I turn off the CPR labels.
In theory large trending moves still have a big probability to start near an important pivot level, however, in larger timeframes, trending moves can start from anywhere. They need not start in the vicinity of any important pivot (but they often do!).
Weekly pivots can act as great pullback levels when the price is in strong momentum, when trading on the daily timeframe.
Quarterly Pivots act as great pullback levels when the price is in strong momentum, when trading on the weekly timeframe.
BTC Weekly Chart
BTC Daily Chart
Nifty Weekly Chart
Nifty Daily Chart
NASDAQ Weekly Chart
NASDAQ Daily Chart
FINAL WORDS:
Please understand that I have Cherry Picked the examples to showcase the capability of the indicator and its usage.
DO NOT conflate the accuracy of examples with the accuracy of this indicator.
Biggest catch is the fact that this indicator, like every other indicator out there, will have whipsaws. Some I have also marked in the example charts.
You need to come up with your own technique to avoid whipsaws, one technique I have shared here…… big moves typically start near pivots.
Work on avoiding whipsaws and finding you own edge in the markets.
If you really want to learn how to use Pivots, read the book ’Secrets of a Pivot Boss’ . This book can change your life.
Indicator
Scalping The Bull IndicatorName: Scalping The Bull Indicator
Category: Scalping, Trend Following, Mean Reversion.
Timeframe: 1M, 5M, 30M, 1D depending on the specific technique.
Technical Analysis: The indicator supports the operations of the trader named "Scalping The Bull" which uses price action and exponential moving averages.
Suggested usage: Altcoin showing strong trends for scalping and intra-day trades. Trigger points are used as entry and exit points and to be used to understand when a signal has more power.
It is possible to identify the following conformations:
Shimano: look at the price records of a consecutive series of closings between the EMA 60 and the EMA 223 when a certain threshold is reached. Use the trigger points as price structures to identify entry and exit zones (e.g. breakout of the yesterday high as for entry point) .
Bomb: look at the price registers a percentage variation in a single candle, greater than a threshold such as 2%, in particular on shorter timeframes and around the trigger points.
Viagra: look at there is a consecutive series of closes below the EMA 10.
Downward fake: look when, after a cross under (Death Cross), the price returns above the EMA 223 using the yesterday high as a trigger point.
Emergence: look at the EMA 60 is about to cross over the EMA 223.
Anti-crossing: look at, after an important price rise and a subsequent retracement, the EMA 60 is about to cross under the EMA 223 but a bullish impulse brings the price back above the EMAs.
For Sales: look at two types of situations: 1) when the price falls by more than 10% from the opening price and around the yesterday’s low or 2) when the price falls and then reaches, in the last 5 days, a bigger percentage and then breaks a trigger point.
Colour change: look at the opening price of the session - indicated as a trigger point.
Third touch of EMA 60: look for 3 touches below the EMA 60, and enter when there is a close above the EMA 60.
Third touch of EMA 223: look for 3 touches when there are 3 touches below the EMA 223, and enter when there is a close above the EMA 60.
Bud: look at price when it crosses upwards the average 10 and subsequently at least 2 "rest" candles are between the maximum and minimum of the breaking candle.
Fake on EMA 10: look for the open of a candle higher than the EMA 10, the minimum of the candle lower and the closing price returns above the EMA 10..
For Stop Loss and Profit Targets consider a proper R/R depending on Risk Management, using price structures such as the low of the entering candle and a quick Position Management moving quickly the Stop-Loss at Break-Even.
Configuration:
Market
EMA: The indicator automatically configure itself on market it knows (Binance, Piazza Affari and NASDAQ) otherwise it can be configured manually fo Crypto market (5/10/60/223) or Stock Market (5/10/50/200).
Additional Average: You can display an additional average, e.g. 20-period average.
Chart elements:
Session Separators: indicates the beginning of the current session (in blue)
Background: signals with the background in green an uptrend situation ( 60 > 223) and in red background a downtrend situation (60 < 223).
Trigger points:
Today's highs and lows: draw on the chart the opening price of the daily candle and the highs and lows of the day (high in purple, low in red and open in green)
Yesterday's highs and lows: draw on the chart the opening price of the daily candle, the highs and lows of the previous day (high in yellow, low in red).
Credits
Massimo : for refactoring and suggestions.
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NASDAQ Advance/Decline Line 1.0NASDAQ Advance/Decline Line is a Market Breath indicator.
Brought to you by IQ-trading (Andrei Bogdan) via Trading View Pine script. If you find this helpful in anyway, please leave a like!
A/D line calculates a ratio between total number of NASDAQ stocks advancing and total number of NASDAQ stocks in one day, providing another way to grasp the market breath at any moment.A
Green columns mean more than 50% of NASDAQ stocks are advancing, red columns mean more than 50% of NASDAQ stocks are declining.
Green values above the top band mean correlation to the upside, red values bellow the low band mean correlation to the downside.
Correlation means rising probability of capitulation (to the upside or to the downside).
For a better interpretation, NASDAQ Advance/Decline Line should be used in conjunction with other indicators (volatility, volume, etc.).
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NASDAQ here refers to the totality of assets listed on the NASDAQ exchange, not to the Nasdaq Composite index or the Nasdaq100 index.
NASDAQ is the second-largest stock exchange on earth, and operates the two major stock indexes based on companies that trade on its exchange: the Nasdaq Composite and the Nasdaq 100.
The Nasdaq Composite tracks the performance of more than 3,000 stocks listed on the Nasdaq while the Nasdaq 100 captures the performance of the exchange’s largest non-financial companies. Indicator
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DiscordWebhookFunctionLibrary "DiscordWebhookFunction"
discordMarkdown(_str, _italic, _bold, _code, _strike, _under) Convert string to markdown formatting User can combine any function at the same time.
Parameters:
_str : String input
_italic : Italic
_bold : Bold
_code : Code markdown
_strike : Strikethrough
_under : Underline
Returns: string Markdown formatted string.
discordWebhookJSON(_username, _avatarImgUrl, _contentText, _bodyTitle, _descText, _bodyUrl, _embedCol, _timestamp, _authorName, _authorUrl, _authorIconUrl, _footerText, _footerIconUrl, _thumbImgUrl, _imageUrl) Convert data to JSON format for Discord Webhook Integration.
Parameters:
_username : Override bot (webhook) username string / name,
_avatarImgUrl : Override bot (webhook) avatar by image URL,
_contentText : Main content page message,
_bodyTitle : Custom Webhook's embed message body title,
_descText : Webhook's embed message body description,
_bodyUrl : Webhook's embed body direct link URL,
_embedCol : Webhook's embed color,
_timestamp : Timestamp,
_authorName : Webhook's embed author name / title,
_authorUrl : Webhook's embed author direct link URL,
_authorIconUrl : Webhook's embed author icon by image URL,
_footerText : Webhook's embed footer text / title,
_footerIconUrl : Webhook's embed footer icon by image URL,
_thumbImgUrl : Webhook's embed thumbnail image URL,
_imageUrl : Webhook's embed body image URL.
Returns: string Single-line JSON format Library
Swing Stock Market Multi MA Correlation This is a swing strategy adapted to stock market using correlation with either SP500 or Nasdaq, so its best to trade stocks from this region.
Its components are
Correlation Candle
Fast moving average to choose from SMA , EMA , SMMA (RMA), WMA and VWMA
Medium moving Average to choose from SMA , EMA , SMMA (RMA), WMA and VWMA
Slow moving average to choose from SMA , EMA , SMMA (RMA), WMA and VWMA
Rules for entry
Long: fast ma > medium ma and medium ma > slow ma
Short: fast ma< medium ma and medium ma < slow ma.
Rules for exit
We exit when we receive an inverse condition.
Caution:
This strategy use no risk management inside, so be careful with it .
If you have any questions, let me know ! Strategy
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Vwap mtf Swing Stock StrategyThis is a trending strategy designed for stock market, especially long trending assets such as TSLA, NIO, AMAZON and so on.
Its made of volatility bands and weekly VWAP, in this case daily and weekly.
This strategy has been adapted to go long only.
Rules for entry
For long , we want to enter close of a candle is above vwap weekly, and at the same time the close of a candle cross-under the lower volatility band.
For exit , we want to enter close of a candle is below vwap weekly, and at the same time the close of a candle cross-over the upper volatility band.
This strategy does not have a risk management inside, so use it with caution.
If you have any questions, let me know !
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