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Moving Average BandsUse this script to find buy and sell zones for BTC based on momentum of the move relative to the average asset price over a given period. The script plots a series of offset bands above and below the Simple Moving Average. When price crosses another band further from the SMA, the background is rendered brighter. The brighter the background, the stronger the buy and sell signal is, as the expectation is that price wants to return to the SMA. Settings are adjustable to fine tune to various time frames and assets. Good settings for BTC Daily are length 30, layers at 10, 20, 30, and 40.
On 1H BTC/USD I use length 200, layers at 5, 10, 15, 20 to find decent swing trading opportunities.
On BTC/USD 1D chart, combine with Bitcoin Logarithmic Growth Curve from @mabonyi (original by @quantadelic )for confluence of very reliable signals.
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Overlay Indicators (EMAs, SMAs, Ichimoku & Bollinger Bands)This is a combination of popular overlay indicators that are used for dynamic support and resistance, trade targets and trend strength.
Included are:
-> 6 Exponential Moving Averages
-> 6 Simple Moving Averages
-> Ichimoku Cloud
-> Bollinger Bands
-> There is also a weekend background marker ideal for cryptocurrency trading
Using all these indicators in conjunction with each other provide great confluence and confidence in trades and price targets.
An explanation of each indicator is listed below.
What Is an Exponential Moving Average (EMA)?
"An exponential moving average (EMA) is a type of moving average (MA) that places a greater weight and significance on the most recent data points. The exponential moving average is also referred to as the exponentially weighted moving average. An exponentially weighted moving average reacts more significantly to recent price changes than a simple moving average (SMA), which applies an equal weight to all observations in the period.
What Does the Exponential Moving Average Tell You?
The 12- and 26-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) are often the most quoted and analyzed short-term averages. The 12- and 26-day are used to create indicators like the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) and the percentage price oscillator (PPO). In general, the 50- and 200-day EMAs are used as indicators for long-term trends. When a stock price crosses its 200-day moving average, it is a technical signal that a reversal has occurred.
Traders who employ technical analysis find moving averages very useful and insightful when applied correctly. However, they also realize that these signals can create havoc when used improperly or misinterpreted. All the moving averages commonly used in technical analysis are, by their very nature, lagging indicators."
Source: www.investopedia.com
Popular EMA lookback periods include fibonacci numbers and round numbers such as the 100 or 200. The default values of the EMAs in this indicator are the most widely used, specifically for cryptocurrency but they also work very well with traditional.
EMAs are normally used in conjunction with Simple Moving Averages.
" What Is Simple Moving Average (SMA)?
A simple moving average (SMA) calculates the average of a selected range of prices, usually closing prices, by the number of periods in that range.
Simple Moving Average vs. Exponential Moving Average
The major difference between an exponential moving average (EMA) and a simple moving average is the sensitivity each one shows to changes in the data used in its calculation. More specifically, the EMA gives a higher weighting to recent prices, while the SMA assigns an equal weighting to all values."
Source: www.investopedia.com
In this indicator, I've included 6 popular moving averages that are commonly used. Most traders will find specific settings for their own personal trading style.
Along with the EMA and SMA, another indicator that is good for finding confluence between these two is the Ichimoku Cloud.
" What is the Ichimoku Cloud?
The Ichimoku Cloud is a collection of technical indicators that show support and resistance levels, as well as momentum and trend direction. It does this by taking multiple averages and plotting them on the chart. It also uses these figures to compute a "cloud" which attempts to forecast where the price may find support or resistance in the future.
The Ichimoku cloud was developed by Goichi Hosoda, a Japanese journalist, and published in the late 1960s.1 It provides more data points than the standard candlestick chart. While it seems complicated at first glance, those familiar with how to read the charts often find it easy to understand with well-defined trading signals."
More info can be seen here: www.investopedia.com
I have changed the default settings on the Ichimoku to suit cryptocurrency trading (as cryptocurrency is usually fast and thus require slightly longer lookbacks) to 20 60 120 30.
Along with the Ichimoku, I like to use Bollinger Bands to not only find confluence for support and resistance but for price discovery targets and trend strength.
" What Is a Bollinger Band®?
A Bollinger Band® is a technical analysis tool defined by a set of trendlines plotted two standard deviations (positively and negatively) away from a simple moving average (SMA) of a security's price, but which can be adjusted to user preferences.
Bollinger Bands® were developed and copyrighted by famous technical trader John Bollinger, designed to discover opportunities that give investors a higher probability of properly identifying when an asset is oversold or overbought."
This article goes into great detail of the complexities of using the Bollinger band and how to use it.
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This indicator combines all these powerful indicators into one so that it is easier to input different settings, turn specific tools on or off and can be easily customised.
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Welles Wilder MA [MX]The average of 34 periods I observe as a mobile S/R, but I usually observe it more when it is in strong trend, and the average of 72 and 89 as trend dictators, if the asset is above them = Bullish , below = Bearish , and the 144 average as the last moving S/R, and also as an S/R even stronger than all other MAs and when the asset loses that average, I see it as final confirmation of the other previous averages.
I give more importance to the average of 89 periods than to 72, because I see it as an extension to the average of 72, as if it were a trend range.
for those who prefer to observe the crossing of short and long averages as a way to see the trend, I also left this option, although I do not use
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A média de 34 periodos eu observo como um S/R móvel, mas eu costumo observar ela mais quando está em forte tendência, estando bem bearish ou jeffish, e a média de 72 e 89 como ditadoras de tendência, se o ativo está acima delas = Bullish , abaixo = Bearish , e a média de 144 como o último S/R móvel, e também como um S/R ainda mais forte que todas as outras MA's e quando o ativo perde essa média, eu vejo como confirmação final das outras médias anteriores.
Eu dou mais importância a média de 89 períodos do que a de 72, porque eu vejo ela como uma extensão a média de 72, como se fosse um range de tendência.
para quem prefere observar o cruzamento das médias curtas com as longas como forma de ver a tendência, eu deixei também essa opção, embora eu não use Indicator
Tilson T3 and MavilimW Triple Combined StrategyInspired by truly greatful Kivanç Ozbilgic (www.pulsewire.com).
The strategy tries to combined three different moving average strategies into one.
Strategies covered are:
1. Tillson T3 Moving Average Strategy
Developed by Tim Tillson, the T3 Moving Average is considered superior to traditional moving averages as it is smoother, more responsive and thus performs better in ranging market conditions as well. However, it bears the disadvantage of overshooting the price as it attempts to realign itself to current market conditions.
It incorporates a smoothing technique which allows it to plot curves more gradual than ordinary moving averages and with a smaller lag. Its smoothness is derived from the fact that it is a weighted sum of a single EMA, double EMA, triple EMA and so on. When a trend is formed, the price action will stay above or below the trend during most of its progression and will hardly be touched by any swings. Thus, a confirmed penetration of the T3 MA and the lack of a following reversal often indicates the end of a trend. Here is what the calculation looks like:
T3 = c1*e6 + c2*e5 + c3*e4 + c4*e3, where:
– e1 = EMA (Close, Period)
– e2 = EMA (e1, Period)
– e3 = EMA (e2, Period)
– e4 = EMA (e3, Period)
– e5 = EMA (e4, Period)
– e6 = EMA (e5, Period)
– a is the volume factor, default value is 0.7 but 0.618 can also be used
– c1 = – a^3
– c2 = 3*a^2 + 3*a^3
– c3 = – 6*a^2 – 3*a – 3*a^3
– c4 = 1 + 3*a + a^3 + 3*a^2
T3 MovingThe T3 Moving Average generally produces entry signals similar to other moving averages and thus is traded largely in the same manner.
Strategy for Tillson T3 is if the close crossovers T3 line and for at least five bars the close was under the T3
2. Tillson T3 Fibonacci Cross
Kivanc Ozbilgic added a second T3 line with a volume factor of 0.618 (Fibonacci Ratio) and length of 3 (fibonacci number) which can be added by selecting the T3 Fibonacci Strategy input box.
Strategy for Tillson T3 Fibo is when the Fibo Line crossover the T3 it gives long signal vice versa.
3. MavilimW
MavilimW is originally a support and resistance indicator based on fibonacci injected weighted moving averages.
Strategy for MavilimW is is if the close crossovers T3 line and for at least five bars the close was under the T3
Hope you enjoy
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TA Basics: Creating a Fibonacci Weighted Moving AverageIn the previous 2 posts in this series, we played around with simple math concepts to create a zero-lag moving average that can deliver fast response and less lag - that we can use to enable better trend following, or as filter / signal.
here we take a step further - instead of using equal weight for the moving average (as in the Simple moving average) or linear weights (as in the weighted moving average), we get to pick THE MAGIC SEQUENCE, Fibonacci.
we will use the Fibonacci Sequence as weights to produce our moving average - so practically, we create a "Fibonacci Weighted Moving Average" (let's call it FiMA) - and compare the result with other commonly-used moving averages of the same length
in a Fibonacci moving average, the data will be weighted based on the Fibonacci Series starting from 1 (for the furthest data point)
so for example, if we use a length of 10, the weights will be 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55 with the 55 being the weight applied to the most recent / current bar's selected value (close, hl2, hc3..etc) and moving backward
before i posted this script, i searched around to see if someone else has already wrote this - i found a couple, but the approach we use here in this code is different - i can't claim it to be more efficient - i honestly don't know - but the resulting code here, IMHO, is more compact and easier to integrate in other studies that you may like to put together to leverage this idea, to create your own indicators and strategies.
the reason the code here is more compact, is that it utilizes a shorter formula to calculate the FIb(n) - i included the source where i found that formula, and i tested it before using it in the code.
i also added an optional "extra smoothing" for the resulting MA, by simply calling the fima() function a second time (so like doing a 2-pass filter), with a smaller length on the result of the 1st pass. keep this smoothing small not to produce too much lag.
i like the outcome when compared to other moving averages - it has a fast response to data/trend change and less overshoot - but honesty i didn't see any real "Fibonacci Magic" :) .. but i'll leave the final judgement to those who use it - this is more of an experimental code in all cases - please feel free to use, change and share feedback.
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