Double CCI Confirmed Hull Moving Average Reversal StrategyOverview
The Double CCI Confirmed Hull Moving Average Strategy utilizes hull moving average (HMA) in conjunction with two commodity channel index (CCI) indicators: the slow and fast to increase the probability of entering when the short and mid-term uptrend confirmed. The main idea is to wait until the price breaks the HMA while both CCI are showing that the uptrend has likely been already started. Moreover, strategy uses exponential moving average (EMA) to trail the price when it reaches the specific level. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
Dynamic stop-loss system: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes average true range (ATR) multiplied by user given number subtracted from the position entry price as a dynamic stop loss level.
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Double trade setup confirmation: Strategy utilizes two different period CCI indicators to confirm the breakouts of HMA.
Trailing take profit level: After reaching the trailing profit activation level scrip activate the trailing of long trade using EMA. More information in methodology.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
Short-term period CCI indicator shall be above 0.
Long-term period CCI indicator shall be above 0.
Price shall cross the HMA and candle close above it with the same candle
When long trade is executed, strategy set the stop-loss level at the price ATR multiplied by user-given value below the entry price. This level is recalculated on every next candle close, adjusting to the current market volatility.
At the same time strategy set up the trailing stop validation level. When the price crosses the level equals entry price plus ATR multiplied by user-given value script starts to trail the price with EMA. If price closes below EMA long trade is closed. When the trailing starts, script prints the label “Trailing Activated”.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup the following strategy settings:
ATR Stop Loss (by default = 1.75)
ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level (by default = 2.25)
CCI Fast Length (by default = 25, used for calculation short term period CCI
CCI Slow Length (by default = 50, used for calculation long term period CCI)
Hull MA Length (by default = 34, period of HMA, which shall be broken to open trade)
Trailing EMA Length (by default = 20)
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Before understanding why this particular combination of indicator has been chosen let's briefly explain what is CCI and HMA.
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is a momentum-based technical indicator used in trading to measure a security's price relative to its average price over a given period. Developed by Donald Lambert in 1980, the CCI is primarily used to identify cyclical trends in a security, helping traders to spot potential buying or selling opportunities.
The CCI formula is:
CCI = (Typical Price − SMA) / (0.015 × Mean Deviation)
Typical Price (TP): This is calculated as the average of the high, low, and closing prices for the period.
Simple Moving Average (SMA): This is the average of the Typical Prices over a specific number of periods.
Mean Deviation: This is the average of the absolute differences between the Typical Price and the SMA.
The result is a value that typically fluctuates between +100 and -100, though it is not bounded and can go higher or lower depending on the price movement.
The Hull Moving Average (HMA) is a type of moving average that was developed by Alan Hull to improve upon the traditional moving averages by reducing lag while maintaining smoothness. The goal of the HMA is to create an indicator that is both quick to respond to price changes and less prone to whipsaws (false signals).
How the Hull Moving Average is Calculated?
The Hull Moving Average is calculated using the following steps:
Weighted Moving Average (WMA): The HMA starts by calculating the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) of the price data over a period square root of n (sqrt(n))
Speed Adjustment: A WMA is then calculated for half of the period n/2, and this is multiplied by 2 to give more weight to recent prices.
Lag Reduction: The WMA of the full period n is subtracted from the doubled n/2 WMA.
Final Smoothing: To smooth the result and reduce noise, a WMA is calculated for the square root of the period n.
The formula can be represented as:
HMA(n) = WMA(WMA(n/2) × 2 − WMA(n), sqrt(n))
The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is a type of moving average that gives more weight to recent data points, making it more responsive to recent price changes than a Simple Moving Average (SMA). In a WMA, each data point within the selected period is multiplied by a weight, with the most recent data receiving the highest weight. The sum of these weighted values is then divided by the sum of the weights to produce the WMA.
This strategy leverages HMA of user given period as a critical level which shall be broken to say that probability of trend change to the upside increased. HMA reacts faster than EMA or SMA to the price change, that’s why it increases chances to enter new trade earlier. Long-term period CCI helps to have an approximation of mid-term trend. If it’s above 0 the probability of uptrend increases. Short-period CCI allows to have an approximation of short-term trend reversal from down to uptrend. This approach increases chances to have a long trade setup in the direction of mid-term trend when the short-term trend starts to reverse.
ATR is used to adjust the strategy risk management to the current market volatility. If volatility is low, we don’t need the large stop loss to understand the there is a high probability that we made a mistake opening the trade. User can setup the settings ATR Stop Loss and ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level to realize his own risk to reward preferences, but the unique feature of a strategy is that after reaching trailing profit activation level strategy is trying to follow the trend until it is likely to be finished instead of using fixed risk management settings. It allows sometimes to be involved in the large movements. It’s also important to make a note, that script uses HMA to enter the trade, but for trailing it leverages EMA. It’s used because EMA has no such fast reaction to price move which increases probability not to be stopped out from any significant uptrend move.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2022.07.01 - 2024.08.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 100%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -4.67%
Maximum Single Profit: +19.66%
Net Profit: +14897.94 USDT (+148.98%)
Total Trades: 104 (36.54% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.312
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 1302.66 USDT (-9.58%)
Average Profit per Trade: 143.25 USDT (+0.96%)
Average Trade Duration: 34 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 2h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Strategy
Moving Average Z-Score Suite [BackQuant]Moving Average Z-Score Suite
1. What is this indicator
The Moving Average Z-Score Suite is a versatile indicator designed to help traders identify and capitalize on market trends by utilizing a variety of moving averages. This indicator transforms selected moving averages into a Z-Score oscillator, providing clear signals for potential buy and sell opportunities. The indicator includes options to choose from eleven different moving average types, each offering unique benefits and characteristics. It also provides additional features such as standard deviation levels, extreme levels, and divergence detection, enhancing its utility in various market conditions.
2. What is a Z-Score
A Z-Score is a statistical measurement that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values. It is measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean. For instance, a Z-Score of 1.0 means the value is one standard deviation above the mean, while a Z-Score of -1.0 indicates it is one standard deviation below the mean. In the context of financial markets, Z-Scores can be used to identify overbought or oversold conditions by determining how far a particular value (such as a moving average) deviates from its historical mean.
3. What moving averages can be used
The Moving Average Z-Score Suite allows users to select from the following eleven moving averages:
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
Hull Moving Average (HMA)
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA)
Running Moving Average (RMA)
Linear Regression Curve (LINREG) (This script can be found standalone )
Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA)
Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA)
Kalman Hull Moving Average (KHMA)
T3 Moving Average
Each of these moving averages has distinct properties and reacts differently to price changes, allowing traders to select the one that best fits their trading style and market conditions.
4. Why Turning a Moving Average into a Z-Score is Innovative and Its Benefits
Transforming a moving average into a Z-Score is an innovative approach because it normalizes the moving average values, making them more comparable across different periods and instruments. This normalization process helps in identifying extreme price movements and mean-reversion opportunities more effectively. By converting the moving average into a Z-Score, traders can better gauge the relative strength or weakness of a trend and detect potential reversals. This method enhances the traditional moving average analysis by adding a statistical perspective, providing clearer and more objective trading signals.
5. How It Can Be Used in the Context of a Trading System
In a trading system, it can be used to generate buy and sell signals based on the Z-Score values. When the Z-Score crosses above zero, it indicates a potential buying opportunity, suggesting that the price is above its mean and possibly trending upward. Conversely, a Z-Score crossing below zero signals a potential selling opportunity, indicating that the price is below its mean and might be trending downward. Additionally, the indicator's ability to show standard deviation levels and extreme levels helps traders set profit targets and stop-loss levels, improving risk management and trade planning.
6. How It Can Be Used for Trend Following
For trend-following strategies, it can be particularly useful. The Z-Score oscillator helps traders identify the strength and direction of a trend. By monitoring the Z-Score and its rate of change, traders can confirm the persistence of a trend and make informed decisions to enter or exit trades. The indicator's divergence detection feature further enhances trend-following by identifying potential reversals before they occur, allowing traders to capitalize on trend shifts. By providing a clear and quantifiable measure of trend strength, this indicator supports disciplined and systematic trend-following strategies.
No backtests for this indicator due to the many options and ways it can be used,
Enjoy Indicator
Dynamic Trailing (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Dynamic Trailing (Zeiierman) indicator enhances the traditional SuperTrend approach by providing a more nuanced, adaptable tool for trend analysis and market volatility assessment. It combines techniques to identify dynamic support and resistance levels, trend directions, and market volatility. By integrating the Average True Range (ATR) with a unique multiplier system and smoothing mechanisms, this indicator offers a nuanced approach to trend-following strategies, making it a valuable asset for traders looking to leverage SuperTrend methodologies with additional insights into market dynamics.
█ How It Works
At its core, this indicator builds on the traditional SuperTrend formula by utilizing a modified ATR calculation to define the deviation for dynamic support and resistance levels. These levels are dynamically adjusted based on market volatility. The innovation lies in the addition of the Hull Moving Average (HMA) and the Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA) for an enhanced smoothing effect, making the indicator's trend signals more reliable and less prone to market noise. The trend direction is determined by comparing the closing price with the dynamic levels, facilitating clear bullish or bearish signals.
The indicator incorporates a 'Supertrend' function, which uses the dynamic levels and the price’s position relative to them to determine the trend direction. This determination is visualized through color-coded lines and a cloud zone, which expands or contracts based on the ATR and a user-defined width setting, illustrating the market's volatility and trend strength.
ATR Calculation: Utilizes the Average True Range (ATR) to measure market volatility. The ATR is a cornerstone of this indicator, helping to dynamically adjust the support and resistance levels according to the market’s changing conditions.
Supertrend Calculation: Implements a supertrend formula that combines the ATR with user-defined multipliers to plot potential trend directions. This feature helps in identifying whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend, offering visual cues for potential reversals.
TEMA Calculation: Employs the Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA) through a Hull Moving Average (HMA) calculation to smooth out price data. This smoothing process helps in reducing market noise and makes the trend direction clearer.
Dynamic Support and Resistance: Calculates dynamic support and resistance levels by applying a deviation (derived from the ATR and user-defined multiplier) to the smoothed price data. These levels adapt to market conditions, providing areas where price might experience support or resistance.
Trend and Cloud Calculation: Determines the overall trend direction and plots a 'Cloud' zone around it, which adjusts in width based on the ATR and a user-defined cloud width setting. This cloud acts as a visual buffer, indicating the strength and stability of the current trend.
█ How to Use
Trend Identification: The primary function of this indicator is to help traders quickly identify the prevailing market trend. A change in the color of the dynamic trailing line or its position relative to the price can signal potential trend reversals.
Dynamic Support and Resistance: Unlike static levels, the dynamic levels adjust with market conditions, providing current areas where the price might experience support or resistance.
Dynamic Support
Dynamic Resistance
█ Settings
Mult (Multiplier): Adjusts the multiplier for the ATR calculation, affecting the deviation distance for support and resistance levels. Higher values decrease sensitivity and vice versa.
Len (Length): Sets the period for the HMA in the TEMA calculation, influencing the indicator's responsiveness to price changes.
Smoothness: Determines the smoothness of the dynamic support and resistance lines by setting the SMA length. Higher values result in smoother lines.
Cloud Width : Modifies the width of the cloud, providing a visual representation of market volatility.
Color Settings (upcol and dncol): Allows users to customize the colors of the indicator's lines and cloud, aiding in visual trend identification.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Indicator
PA-Adaptive Hull Parabolic [Loxx]The PA-Adaptive Hull Parabolic is not your typical trading indicator. It synthesizes the computational brilliance of two famed technicians: John Ehlers and John Hull. Let's demystify its sophistication.
█ Ehlers' Phase Accumulation
John Ehlers is well-known in the trading community for his digital signal processing approach to market data. One of his standout techniques is phase accumulation. This method identifies the dominant cycle in the market by accumulating the phases of individual cycles. By doing so, it "adapts" to real-time market conditions.
Here's the brilliance of phase accumulation in this code
The indicator doesn't merely use a static look-back period. Instead, it dynamically determines the dominant market cycle through phase accumulation.
The calcComp function, rooted in Ehlers' methodology, provides a complex computation using a digital signal processing approach to filter out market noise and pinpoint the current cycle's frequency.
By measuring and adapting to the instantaneous period of the market, it ensures that the indicator remains relevant, especially in non-stationary market conditions.
Hull's Moving Average
John Hull introduced the Hull Moving Average (HMA) aiming to reduce lag and improve smoothing. The HMA's essence lies in its weighted average computation, prioritizing more recent prices.
This code takes an adaptive twist on the HMA
Instead of a fixed period, the HMA uses the dominant cycle length derived from Ehlers' phase accumulation. This makes the HMA not just fast and smooth, but also adaptive to the dominant market rhythm.
The intricate iLwmp function in the script provides this adaptive HMA computation. It's a weighted moving average, but its length isn't static; it's based on the previously determined dominant market cycle.
█ Trading Insights
The indicator paints the bars to represent the immediate trend: green for bullish and red for bearish.
Entry points, both long ("L") and short ("S"), are presented visually. These are derived from crossovers of the adaptive HMA, a clear indication of a potential shift in the trend.
Additionally, alert conditions are set, ready to notify a trader when these crossovers occur, ensuring real-time actionable insights.
█ Conclusion
The PA-Adaptive Hull Parabolic is a masterclass in advanced technical indicator design. By marrying John Ehlers' adaptive phase accumulation with John Hull's HMA, it creates a dynamic, responsive, and precise tool for traders. It's not just about capturing the trend; it's about understanding the very rhythm of the market. Indicator
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Multiple Moving Average ToolkitFeatures Overview:
Multiple Moving Averages: The script allows you to plot up to five different Moving Averages (MAs) on your chart at the same time. You can choose the type of MA (EMA, SMA, HMA, WMA, DEMA, VWMA, VWAP) and the length of each one.
Color Ribbon: You can turn the MAs into a color ribbon by selecting the "Turn into Color Ribbon?" option. This will make the area between the MAs colored and can help you identify trends more easily.
MA Value Table: You can draw a table on your chart that displays the current values of each MA, whether the trend is bullish or bearish along with the length of the MAs. The current ATR value is also shown in the last cell of the table. You can choose the location of the table (Top Left, Top Right, Bottom Left, Bottom Right) and the transparency of the background color.
Crosses: The script can detect when two MAs cross over each other (1st MA crosses 5th MA and vice versa), indicating a potential trend reversal. It will plot crosses on the chart at the point of the crossover and give an alert if the "Bullish Cross Detected" or "Bearish Cross Detected" condition is met.
How to use:
Once the script is added to your chart, you can customize the settings to fit your preferences. You can choose the type and length of each MA, whether to turn them into a color ribbon, whether to plot crosses, and whether to draw the MA Value Table.
The MA Value Table can be moved to a different location on the chart by selecting the "Location of Table" option and choosing Top Left, Top Right, Bottom Left, or Bottom Right.
Watch for MA crossovers and alerts to identify potential trend reversals. The script can help you identify bullish and bearish trends by color-coding the area between the MAs and displaying the current values of each MA in the table.
Breakdown of the script:
User Inputs
The first section of the script defines several user inputs that allows you to customize the indicator. These include options for turning the MAs into a color ribbon, plotting crosses when there is a bullish or bearish cross of the MAs, drawing a table of the MA values, and setting the transparency of the ribbon. You can also select the location of the MA value table and customize the settings for each individual MA.
Moving Average Calculation
The script defines a function called "getMA" that calculates the moving average for a given type and length. The function uses a switch statement to determine which type of moving average to use, such as an exponential moving average (EMA), simple moving average (SMA), Hull moving average (HMA), weighted moving average (WMA), double exponential moving average (DEMA), volume-weighted moving average (VWMA), or volume-weighted average price (VWAP).
The script then calls this function to calculate the values of up to five different MAs, depending on the user input. The ATR (average true range) is also calculated using the TA library.
Color Filter and Cross Detection
The script sets a color filter based on the relationship between the MAs. If the shorter-term MAs are above the longer-term MAs, the filter is set to green to indicate a bullish trend, and if the shorter-term MAs are below the longer-term MAs, the filter is set to red to indicate a bearish trend. You can adjust the transparency of the ribbon to make it more or less visible.
The script also detects when there is a bullish or bearish cross of the MAs and can generate alerts to notify you.
MA Plotting
The script plots up to five MAs on the chart, depending on the user input. The MAs are plotted as lines with different colors and thicknesses, and you can choose to turn them into a color ribbon if desired.
Cross Plotting
The script plots crosses on the chart when there is a bullish or bearish cross of the MAs. The crosses are plotted as X shapes at the location of the cross and are color-coded to indicate the direction of the cross.
MA Value Table
Finally, the script draws a table of the MA values on the chart, displaying the values of each MA as well as the current trend and the ATR. You can customize the location of the table, and the table is colored to match the color filter of the MAs.
Feel free to message me or comment on the post with any questions or issues!
Much more to come!
Thanks for reading, enjoy! Indicator
KST con HMA---------- ENGLISH DESCRIPTION ----------
The indicator created is called "KST with HMA" and is used to measure the impulse of an asset's price.
The code begins by defining four variables representing ROC (Rate of Change) period lengths for calculating the KST (Know Sure Thing) and a variable for the length of the HMA (Hull Moving Average).
Next, an HMA function is defined to calculate the Hull Moving Average, a type of weighted moving average that adjusts for price volatility.
ROC values are then calculated for the four periods defined above and KST values are calculated as a weighted sum of the ROC values. These values are then normalized with the HMA and the standard deviation of the HMA is calculated. The normalized value is finally plotted with three different color lines: black for values greater than 1, red for values less than -1, and green for values between -1 and 1.
Finally, a black dashed line is plotted to represent the zero line. The green line indicates a phase of market uncertainty or lateralization, while the indicator can be used to identify buy points above zero and sell points below zero.
---------- ITALIAN DESCRIPTION ----------
L'indicatore creato è chiamato "KST con HMA" e viene utilizzato per misurare l'impulso del prezzo di un asset.
Il codice inizia definendo quattro variabili che rappresentano le lunghezze dei periodi di ROC (Rate of Change) per il calcolo del KST (Know Sure Thing) e una variabile per la lunghezza dell'HMA (Hull Moving Average).
Successivamente viene definita una funzione HMA per il calcolo della Hull Moving Average, un tipo di media mobile ponderata che si adatta alla volatilità del prezzo.
Vengono poi calcolati i valori ROC per i quattro periodi definiti in precedenza e calcolati i valori KST come somma ponderata dei valori ROC. Questi valori vengono poi normalizzati con l'HMA e viene calcolata la deviazione standard dell'HMA. Il valore normalizzato viene infine plottato con tre diverse linee di colore: nero per valori superiori a 1, rosso per valori inferiori a -1 e verde per valori tra -1 e 1.
Infine, viene plottata una linea tratteggiata nera per rappresentare la linea zero. La linea verde indica una fase di incertezza o lateralizzazione del mercato, mentre l'indicatore può essere utilizzato per individuare punti di acquisto sopra lo zero e di vendita al di sotto dello zero. Indicator
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Combined Moving Averages + Squeeze & Volume Spike SignalsThis is a set of 4 combined moving averages. Each moving average is a combination of an EMA, SMA, HMA, RMA, WMA and VWMA with the same length as set in your input settings. All 6 of them are added together and then divided by 6 for an average of all of them. This is based on the theory that most traders use their own preference of moving averages, so combining them all should give us a better idea of where price should actually react since we are using the average of what most traders are using on their charts. It also smooths the moving averages out as well so you get a much easier to read moving average than any of them on their own which should help you hold positions longer and time your entries better.
The default lengths used for this indicator are as follows: 10, 50, 100 and 500. These lengths can be updated in the settings. The 10 and 500 will change colors when the individual moving average is less than or greater than its previous value. Price above or below the moving average does not affect the colors. The 50 and 100 are colored based on whether the 50 is greater/less than the 100.
The two middle length moving averages by default are the 50 and 100. This has been turned into a cloud because it is the area where price typically bounces, since tons of traders use the 50 and 100 moving averages. This should be your long/short zone when price is trending.
Each moving average can be set to use a different source such as close, open, high, low, ohlc4, etc. You can also adjust the length of each moving average. Default settings work well, but feel free to customize them to your liking. You can also change the colors of the lines in the settings.
Beware that changing the lengths of MA #2 and MA #3 will change the signals, squeezes and the cloud.
VOLUME SPIKES
The cloud will change to a brighter color when a volume spike is detected. When a major volume spike is detected, it will turn very bright colored green/red according to the direction of the cloud. This notifies you of volume spikes so you have a better idea of how strong the trend is. If the cloud is a dark green/red then that means that volume is less than or equal to the recent median volume.
SIGNALS
There are also signals that will be given when the current candle is in the cloud, the candle is going in the same direction as the cloud, the MA #2 and MA #3 is going in the same direction and a volume spike is detected. These help you identify good entries when markets are trending. Be cautious of these signals when the trend is sideways and not clearly moving in one direction. The signals can be turned on or off in the settings.
SQUEEZE
Many times when moving averages squeeze together, a big move happens shortly after. Because of this I added a yellow background color when a squeeze is detected. It looks at the median value difference of the MA #2 and MA #3 and if the current value difference is less than the median multiplied by the multiplier in the settings then it will change the background color to notify you. The default value of the multiplier is .6, meaning the squeeze signal will only show if the current value difference of the cloud is less than .6 of the median difference. The multiplier can be adjusted in the settings to suit your preferences. Lower values will only show tighter squeezes.
MARKETS
This indicator can be used on all markets including stocks, crypto, futures and forex.
TIMEFRAMES
This indicator can be used on all timeframes.
PAIRINGS
We recommend pairing this combined moving average with Trend Friend Swing Trade And Scalp Signals for extra confluence. Look for price to bounce in the cloud with good volume and a confirming signal from Trend Friend for highly probable moves. Indicator
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