4H HOD/LOD Checkpoint Analysis4H HOD/LOD Checkpoint Analysis - Detailed User Guide
OVERVIEW
This indicator is a data-driven probability framework for NQ Futures traders that predicts High-of-Day (HOD) and Low-of-Day (LOD) placement based on statistical analysis of 3,136+ trading days (2013-2025). Unlike traditional indicators that rely on technical signals, this tool uses checkpoint-based state analysis with zero forward-looking bias to provide real-time probabilities of whether the daily range is complete.
⚠️ IMPORTANT: This indicator is specifically designed for NQ FUTURES ONLY. All probabilities, patterns, and statistics were derived from a 10+ year historical dataset of NQ 1-minute bars. Using this on other instruments will produce inaccurate results.
CORE CONCEPT: CHECKPOINT METHODOLOGY
What is a Checkpoint?
A checkpoint occurs when a 4-hour candle closes. At this moment, the indicator "locks" the current market state and calculates probabilities for the remainder of the trading day. The key innovation is that state never changes after locking - probabilities remain constant throughout the session until the next checkpoint.
The Six 4-Hour Candles (EST):
6PM (18:00-22:00) - Evening/Globex open
10PM (22:00-02:00) - Asia session
2AM (02:00-06:00) - Early London
6AM (06:00-10:00) - Late London + NY Open
10AM (10:00-14:00) - NY Morning
2PM (14:00-17:00) - NY Afternoon (3 hours only)
Five Checkpoints:
10PM Checkpoint - After 6PM closes
2AM Checkpoint - After 10PM closes
6AM Checkpoint - After 2AM closes
10AM Checkpoint - After 6AM closes (most critical)
2PM Checkpoint - After 10AM closes (highest conviction fade signals)
HOW IT WORKS: THE THREE-FACTOR STATE SYSTEM
At each checkpoint, the indicator evaluates three critical factors to determine probability:
1. ELIMINATIONS (Quantity)
An "elimination" occurs when a candle trades beyond a previous candle's high or low, effectively removing that candle from contention for HOD/LOD.
Example at 10AM Checkpoint:
6PM high = 18,000
10PM high = 18,050 (eliminates 6PM high)
2AM high = 18,100 (eliminates 10PM high)
6AM high = 18,075 (does NOT eliminate 2AM high)
Result: 2 eliminations
The number of eliminations indicates trend strength:
0 eliminations = Range-bound, high probability extremes already set
1-2 eliminations = Moderate trend
3-4 eliminations = Strong trend day, range likely to extend
2. STRUCTURE (Pattern Type)
The indicator distinguishes between two elimination patterns:
Sequential: Eliminations occur in order (6pm → 10pm → 2am → 6am → 10am)
Indicates smooth, consistent trend
Example: 10pm eliminates 6pm, then 2am eliminates 10pm (sequential)
Skip: Eliminations skip candles
Indicates choppy/reversal behavior
Example: 2am eliminates 6pm but NOT 10pm (skip pattern)
Why it matters: Skip patterns show 2X probability differences compared to sequential patterns. At 10AM checkpoint with 2 eliminations, skip pattern shows 64% participation rate vs 36% for sequential pattern with previous survived.
3. PREVIOUS CANDLE STATUS
Did the immediately prior candle get eliminated?
Eliminated: Previous candle's high/low was taken out
Indicates relentless trend
Higher probability of continuation
Survived: Previous candle's high/low still intact
Indicates trend pause
Higher probability of mean reversion or range completion
Critical insight: High and low are tracked separately. At 2AM checkpoint, 10PM might have eliminated 6PM high (relentless uptrend) but NOT eliminated 6PM low (low survived). This creates different probabilities for HOD vs LOD.
VISUAL ELEMENTS
4-Hour Candle Boxes
Each 4H candle is displayed as a colored box showing its range:
Gray = 6PM (evening)
Blue = 10PM (Asia)
Purple = 2AM (early London)
Orange = 6AM (London + NY Open) - THE CURVE SESSION
Teal = 10AM (NY morning) - THE MONEY SESSION
Red = 2PM (NY afternoon) - THE FADE SESSION
HOD/LOD Lines
Black horizontal lines extend from current HOD/LOD with labels showing:
Which candle set the extreme
Current price level
THE CHECKPOINT TABLE EXPLAINED
Table Header:
Shows current checkpoint (e.g., "🎯 10AM CHECKPOINT") or "⏳ PRE-CHECKPOINT" if between checkpoints.
Main Metrics (Side-by-Side Comparison):
The table displays HOD and LOD separately in two columns because they can have different patterns:
METRIC
HODLOD Eliminations
Number of candles eliminated so far for highs
Number of candles eliminated so far for lows
Structure
Sequential or Skip pattern for highs
Sequential or Skip pattern for lows
Prev Candle
Was previous candle's high eliminated or did it survive?
Was previous candle's low eliminated or did it survive?
Pattern
Combined interpretation: Relentless/Paused/Skip/Early
Combined interpretation: Relentless/Paused/Skip/Early
Color Coding:
Structure Row:
White = Sequential (smooth trend)
Orange = Skip (choppy/reversal)
Previous Candle Row:
Red = Eliminated (relentless trend continuing)
Blue = Survived (trend paused)
Pattern Row:
Red = Relentless (previous eliminated + sequential = strong trend)
Blue = Paused (previous survived + sequential = trend pause)
Orange = Skip/Chop (skip pattern = reversal likely)
Gray = Early (0-1 eliminations, too early to tell)
Probability Section:
Prob Already In: Percentage chance that HOD/LOD has already been set
Color coding:
Green (>75%) = High confidence extreme is in, FADE
Yellow (45-75%) = Moderate confidence
Red (<45%) = Low confidence extreme is in, CONTINUATION likely
Sample Size: Shows how many historical occurrences match this exact state (n=XXX)
Larger samples = higher confidence
Most common states have n=500-2,000+
Current: Which candle currently holds HOD/LOD
Pattern Guide Section:
Appears when you have 2+ eliminations. Provides interpretation:
📈 Paused: Trend has paused, 2pm more likely to set extreme
📈 Relentless: Breaking higher/lower, continuation expected
📈 Skip/Chop: Choppy pattern, next session likely
Same for lows with 📉 symbol.
PRACTICAL TRADING EXAMPLES
Example 1: High Conviction Fade Setup
State at 10AM Checkpoint:
Eliminations: 0 (both HOD/LOD)
Structure: None (no eliminations yet)
Prev Candle: Survived
Table shows:
HOD Prob Already In: 68.9% (n=582)
LOD Prob Already In: 73.6% (n=785)
Interpretation: Range is likely complete. Fade extremes. With 0 eliminations and 70%+ probability, this is a high-conviction mean reversion signal.
Example 2: Strong Continuation Signal
State at 10AM Checkpoint:
Eliminations: 3 (both HOD/LOD)
Structure: Sequential
Prev Candle: Eliminated (relentless)
Table shows:
HOD Prob Already In: 29.8% (n=1,758)
LOD Prob Already In: 34.6% (n=1,451)
Pattern: 📈 Relentless / 📉 Relentless
Interpretation: Strong trend day. Only 30-35% chance range is complete. Look for breakouts in direction of trend. 10AM and 2PM likely to extend range.
Example 3: Pattern Structure Edge
State at 10AM Checkpoint:
Eliminations: 2 (HOD)
Structure: Skip (orange background)
Prev Candle: Eliminated vs Alternative State:
Eliminations: 2 (HOD)
Structure: Sequential
Prev Candle: Survived
Result: Skip pattern shows 64% chance 10AM participates vs 36% for sequential+survived. Skip pattern = 2X more likely to see 10AM high. This structural edge is unique to this indicator.
Example 4: Different HOD vs LOD Patterns
State at 10AM Checkpoint:
HOD: 2 eliminations, Sequential, Previous Eliminated (Relentless) = 46.7% in
LOD: 2 eliminations, Skip, Previous Eliminated (Choppy) = 48.4% in
Interpretation: Highs show relentless uptrend but lows show choppy behavior. This divergence suggests potential for upside continuation but with volatility. Not a clean trend day.
KEY CHECKPOINT STATISTICS (DERIVED FROM 10-YEAR DATASET)
10PM Checkpoint (After 6PM):
Very early in day
13.5% HOD in, 21.3% LOD in
Most likely outcome: Range extends into 6AM/10AM
2AM Checkpoint (After 10PM):
Still early
With 0 elims: 22-31% in (balanced)
With 1 elim: 8-12% in (strong trend signal)
6AM Checkpoint (After 2AM) - Critical Decision Point:
With 0 elims: 40-47% in (balanced, could go either way)
With 2 elims: 18-22% in (strong trend into 6AM/10AM)
Most likely outcome: 10AM sets extremes (~38-40%)
10AM Checkpoint (After 6AM) - Highest Conviction:
With 0 elims: 69-74% in → FADE (high confidence)
With 3 elims: 30-35% in → BUY/SELL continuation
This is THE money checkpoint for high-probability setups
2PM Checkpoint (After 10AM) - Maximum Fade Conviction:
With 0-3 elims: 67-95% in → FADE strongly
With 4 elims: 49-61% in (monster trend, weaker fade)
2PM is primarily a mean reversion session
UNDERSTANDING THE UNDERLYING DATA
All probabilities are derived from analysis of:
Instrument: NQ Futures (E-mini NASDAQ-100)
Timeframe: 1-minute bars
Period: January 2013 - December 2025
Sample: 3,136+ complete trading days
Methodology: Real-time checkpoint analysis with zero forward-looking bias
Why NQ-Specific?
Each futures contract has unique:
Session characteristics (6AM in NQ shows 60-64% curve behavior, other sessions differ)
Timing patterns (NQ's 10AM session has 67-74% immediate takeouts)
Volatility profiles (NQ 2PM shows 56% bullish bias vs ES shows different bias)
Using this indicator on ES, RTY, or other instruments will produce inaccurate results because the probability tables are NQ-specific.
ORIGINALITY & INNOVATION
What Makes This Indicator Unique:
Zero Forward-Looking Bias: State locks at checkpoint moments. Traditional indicators recalculate continuously, introducing bias. This indicator freezes probabilities at the exact moment a 4H candle closes.
Three-Factor State System: Combines elimination count, structure pattern, and previous candle status. Most indicators only track one dimension. This multi-factor approach provides 2X+ probability differentials.
Separate HOD/LOD Tracking: Highs and lows can have different patterns simultaneously (relentless high with choppy low). This indicator tracks them separately for precision.
Pattern Structure Analysis: Distinguishes between sequential and skip patterns, a concept not found in standard indicators. Skip patterns show mean reversion while sequential shows continuation.
10+ Year Statistical Foundation: Every probability is backed by hundreds to thousands of historical occurrences (sample sizes shown in table). Not based on theories or assumptions.
Checkpoint-Specific Probabilities: Different checkpoints have different probability profiles. 10AM checkpoint with 0 eliminations = 70%+ fade. 6AM checkpoint with same state = 40%+ fade. Context matters.
HOW TO USE THIS INDICATOR
Step 1: Wait for Checkpoint
The table will show "⏳ PRE-CHECKPOINT" until a 4H candle closes. Probabilities are only valid at checkpoint moments.
Step 2: Read the State
Check the three factors:
How many eliminations?
Sequential or skip?
Previous candle eliminated or survived?
Step 3: Check Probability
Look at "Prob Already In" percentage:
>75% (Green) = High confidence extreme is set, fade
45-75% (Yellow) = Moderate confidence, use other confirmation
<45% (Red) = Low confidence extreme is set, continuation likely
Step 4: Check Sample Size
Larger sample (n=1,000+) = higher confidence
Smaller sample (n=50-200) = use caution, edge is real but less robust
Step 5: Consider Pattern
Read the pattern guide:
Relentless = trend continuing
Paused = trend stalled, mean reversion
Skip/Chop = reversal/range likely
Step 6: Compare HOD vs LOD
If both show similar patterns = cleaner signal
If divergent patterns = complex day, be cautious
BEST PRACTICES
Focus on 10AM and 2PM checkpoints - These have the highest conviction signals
Combine with price action - Don't fade blindly at 90% probability if price is breaking out strongly
Larger samples = better edges - Prioritize setups with n=500+
Watch for pattern divergence - When HOD and LOD show different patterns, expect complexity
Remember session characteristics:
6AM = THE CURVE SESSION (60-64% mean reversion when Q2 breaks Q1)
10AM = THE MONEY SESSION (67-74% immediate takeouts, highest conviction)
2PM = THE FADE SESSION (67-95% extremes already in)
SETTINGS
Show 4H Candle Boxes - Display colored boxes for each 4H candle
Show HOD/LOD Lines - Display horizontal lines at current extremes
Show Checkpoint Analysis - Display probability table
Table Position - Choose where to place the checkpoint table
Table Size - Tiny/Small/Normal
Colors - Customize box colors for each session
LIMITATIONS & DISCLAIMERS
NQ FUTURES ONLY - Do not use on other instruments
Not a standalone system - Use as confluence with your strategy
Historical data - Past performance doesn't guarantee future results
Sample size variance - Some states have smaller samples, use judgment
Requires understanding - Read this guide fully before trading with this tool
FINAL NOTES
This indicator represents 10+ years of NQ futures data distilled into actionable, real-time probabilities. The checkpoint methodology ensures zero forward-looking bias, while the three-factor state system provides granular edge that traditional indicators miss.
Remember: This tool provides probabilities, not certainties. Trade with proper risk management, and use this as one input in your decision-making process. Indicator
Session Opening Bar RangeSession Opening Bar Range (OBR) - Advanced Opening Range Indicator with Statistical Analysis
Overview
The Session First Bar Range (FBR) indicator is a comprehensive tool that captures and projects key levels based on the first bar of a user-defined trading session. Unlike traditional daily opening range indicators, this script allows traders to focus on specific session windows (New York RTH, London, Asia, etc.) and analyze price behavior relative to the initial momentum established in that session's opening bar.
What makes this indicator unique is its combination of three distinct projection methodologies: statistical analysis based on historical range data, Fibonacci extensions, and fixed-point rotation levels commonly used by institutional traders. To our knowledge, this is the only opening range indicator that incorporates statistical standard deviation levels calculated from historical first bar ranges, making it both a technical and probabilistic tool.
Core Concept
The opening range concept is based on the principle that the initial price action of a trading session often sets the tone for the remainder of that session.
Professional traders have long observed that:
The first bar's high and low act as key reference points
Price often respects or breaks these levels with significance
Expansion beyond the opening range tends to occur in measurable increments
This indicator takes these observations and enhances them with:
Historical probability analysis - "Based on the last 60 sessions, price typically extends X standard deviations beyond the opening range"
Proportional projections - Fibonacci-based extensions showing where measured moves typically target
Fixed-point rotations - Institutional rotation levels (e.g., 65 points for NQ, 15 points for ES)
How It Works
Session Detection & First Bar Capture
The indicator uses Pine Script's time() function with timezone support to precisely detect when a trading session begins. When the first bar of the selected timeframe occurs within the session window, the script captures:
High (H): The high of the first bar
Low (L): The low of the first bar
Mid (M): The midpoint (hl2) of the first bar
Critical Detail: These levels are fixed from the first bar only - they do not update as the session progresses. This differs from many "opening range" indicators that use a time period (e.g., first 30 minutes). Here, you select the bar timeframe (default 5-minute), and only that single first bar's range is captured.
Statistical Level Calculation
The indicator maintains a rolling array of the last N session's first bar ranges (default: 60 sessions). For each new session, it calculates:
Average Range: Mean of historical first bar ranges
Standard Deviation: Volatility of those ranges
Projection Levels: High/Low ± (Average Range + Std Dev × Multiplier)
This provides probability-based levels. For example, a +2σ level suggests: "Historically, price extending this far beyond the opening range is a 2-standard-deviation event (approximately 95th percentile)."
Fibonacci Extensions
Using the first bar range as the base unit (100%), the indicator projects Fibonacci levels:
100% extension: One full range above the high / below the low
1.618x extension: (Default) Golden ratio projection
2.618x, 3.618x extensions: Additional Fibonacci levels
Calculation: Range = H - L, then Target = H + (Range × Multiplier) for upside projections.
OR Rotation Levels
These are fixed-point increments from the first bar's high and low. Unlike percentage-based methods, rotations use absolute point values:
NQ traders often use 65-point increments
ES traders often use 15-point increments
Gold/bonds use different values
The indicator draws 5 levels above the high (R+1 through R+5) and 5 below the low (R-1 through R-5), each separated by your specified point increment.
Features:
Session Options
Pre-configured Sessions:
New York RTH (9:30am - 4:00pm)
New York Futures (8:00am - 5:00pm)
London (2:00am - 8:00am)
Asia (7:00pm - 2:00am)
Midnight to 5pm
ZB/Gold/Silver OR (8:20am - 4:00pm)
CL OR (9:00am - 4:00pm)
Custom Session: Define your own start/end times in HHMM format
Timezone Support: All sessions respect the selected timezone (default: America/New_York)
Customizable Timeframe
Select any timeframe for the first bar (1min, 5min, 15min, etc.)
Default: 5-minute bars
Important: This is the timeframe for the first bar capture, independent of your chart's timeframe
Display Options
Historical Ranges: Show/hide past session ranges (with configurable limit to manage performance)
Line Styles: Choose between Solid, Dashed, or Dotted for range lines and midline
Label Position: Left or Right side of range
Show Prices: Optionally display actual price values on labels
Custom Colors: Fully customizable colors for all components
Statistical Levels
Lookback Period: Number of historical sessions to analyze (default: 60)
Two Multiplier Levels: Default 1σ and 2σ, fully adjustable
Separate styling: Different line styles (dashed vs dotted) for each sigma level
Optional Labels: Show/hide sigma notation labels
Fibonacci Extensions
Four Extension Levels: 100%, 1.618x, 2.618x, 3.618x (all customizable)
Bidirectional: Projections both above and below the opening range
Optional Labels: Toggle percentage/multiplier labels
OR Rotation Levels
Configurable Increment: Set the point value for your instrument
Five Levels Each Direction: R±1 through R±5
Dynamic Labels: Show both rotation number and point value (e.g., "R+1 (65)")
Three Line Styles: Solid, Dashed, or Dotted
How to Use
Setup
Add the indicator to your chart
Select your trading session from the dropdown
Set the timeframe for first bar capture (typically 5-15 minutes)
Configure which projection methods you want to see (Statistical, Fibonacci, and/or Rotations)
For Day Traders
Scenario: Trading NQ during New York RTH
Session: Select "New York RTH (9:30am - 4:00pm)"
Timeframe: 5-minute (captures 9:30-9:35 bar)
Enable: OR Rotations with 65-point increments
Strategy:
Watch for acceptance/rejection at rotation levels
Use R+1/R-1 as initial profit targets
R+2/R-2 as extended targets
Statistical levels show when price is in "outlier" territory
and rotation levels
Performance Notes
The indicator limits objects to stay within PulseWire's constraints (500 max)
If you enable all features, reduce "Maximum Historical Ranges" to prevent slowdown
Typical configuration: 10-20 historical ranges with all features enabled works well
Settings Guide
Session Settings
Session: Choose from pre-configured sessions or "Custom"
Custom Session Start/End: HHMM format (e.g., "0930" for 9:30am)
Timezone: Critical for accurate session detection
Opening Bar Format
Timeframe: The bar size for capturing the first bar's range
Show Midline: Toggle the mid-point line
Show Historical Ranges: Display previous sessions (recommended: leave ON)
Maximum Historical Ranges: Limit history to manage performance (1-500)
Range Style / MidLine Style: Solid, Dashed, or Dotted
Position: Label placement (Left or Right)
Show Prices: Include actual price values on labels
Statistical Levels
Lookback Periods: How many historical first bar ranges to analyze (default: 60)
Std Dev Multiplier 1/2: The sigma levels to project (default: 1.0 and 2.0)
All visual settings (colors, line width, label size)
Fibonacci Extensions
Show Fib Extensions: Enable/disable Fibonacci projections
Measured Move Extensions 1-4: The multipliers (default: 1.618, 2.618, 3.618, 4.618)
Visual customization options
OR Rotations
Rotation Increment: The point value for your instrument
NQ: 65 points
ES: 15 points
Adjust for other instruments based on their typical rotation behavior
Show Rotation Labels: Display level numbers and point values
Visual customization options
Use Cases
Gap Trading: When price gaps away from previous day's close, the first bar range shows the initial gap acceptance/rejection zone
Breakout Confirmation: Price breaking and holding above the first bar high with volume suggests trend day potential. Rotation levels provide measured targets.
Reversal Identification: Price reaching +2σ statistical level = rare event, potential exhaustion
Range Bound Days: Price oscillating between first bar high/low suggests range-bound session; trade reversals at extremes
Institutional Level Awareness: OR Rotations at 65 points (NQ) align with levels professional traders watch
Technical Notes
The indicator uses request.security() with lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_on to ensure the first bar levels are captured correctly
All drawing objects (lines, labels, fills) are managed in arrays with automatic cleanup to prevent memory issues
The statistical calculations use array.avg() and array.stdev() for accurate probability estimates
Rotation levels use individual line variables (like Fibonacci) rather than loops for reliability
Summary
This indicator is original in its combination of three distinct methodologies for projecting levels from a session's opening range:
Statistical Analysis - No other opening range indicator (to our knowledge) calculates standard deviation projections from historical first bar ranges
Time-Based Session Flexibility - Most OR indicators use only daily or fixed time periods; this allows any custom session window
Multiple Projection Methods - Traders can use statistical, Fibonacci, AND rotation levels together or separately
Indicator
NQ Hourly Retracements - 12y Stats with LevelsHour Stats with Levels - PulseWire Indicator Description
IMPORTANT: NQ FUTURES ONLY
This indicator is specifically designed for and calibrated to NQ (Nasdaq-100 E-mini) futures only. The statistical data is derived exclusively from 13 years of NQ price action (2013-2025). Do not use this indicator on any other asset, ticker, or market as the statistics will not be applicable and may lead to incorrect trading decisions.
Overview
"Hour Stats with Levels" is a statistical analysis indicator that provides real-time probability-based insights into hourly price behavior patterns. The indicator combines historical pattern recognition with live price action to help traders anticipate potential sweep and reversal scenarios within each trading hour.
Originality and Core Concept
This indicator is based on a comprehensive statistical analysis of 12y years of 1-minute NQ futures data, examining a specific price pattern: when an hourly candle opens inside the previous hour's range. Unlike generic support/resistance indicators, this tool provides hour-specific, context-aware probabilities based on 30,000+ historical occurrences of this pattern.
The originality lies in three key areas:
Pattern-Specific Statistics: Rather than applying generic technical analysis, the indicator only activates when the current hour opens within the previous hour's range, providing relevant statistics for this exact scenario.
Context-Aware Probabilities: Statistics are differentiated based on whether the current hour opened above or below the previous hour's open, recognizing that bullish and bearish opening contexts produce different behavioral patterns.
Comprehensive Retracement Tracking: The indicator tracks four independent retracement levels after a sweep occurs, showing the probability of price returning to: the swept level itself (90+% probability), the 50% level, the current hour's open, and the opposite extreme.
How It Works
The Core Pattern
The indicator monitors a specific price structure:
Setup Condition: The current hourly candle opens inside (between) the previous hour's high and low
Sweep Event: Price then breaks above the previous high (high sweep) or below the previous low (low sweep)
Retracement Analysis: After a sweep, the indicator tracks whether price retraces to key levels
Statistical Foundation
The underlying analysis processed 1-minute bar data from 2013-2025, identifying every instance where an hourly candle opened inside the previous hour's range. For each occurrence, the system tracked:
Whether the high, low, or both were swept during that hour
The distance of the sweep measured as a percentage of the previous hour's range
Whether price retraced to four key levels: the swept level, the 50% point, the current open, and the opposite extreme
These measurements were aggregated for all 24 hours of the trading day, with separate statistics for bullish contexts (opening above previous open) and bearish contexts (opening below previous open), creating 48 unique statistical profiles.
Sweep Distance Percentiles
The "reversal levels" are drawn based on historical sweep distance distributions:
25th Percentile: 75% of historical sweeps were larger than this distance. This represents a conservative reversal zone where smaller, contained sweeps typically reverse.
Median (50th Percentile): The midpoint of all historical sweep distances. Half of all sweeps reversed before reaching this level, half extended beyond it.
75th Percentile: Only 25% of sweeps extended beyond this distance. This represents an extended sweep zone where price has historically shown exhaustion.
For example, if the previous hour's range was 20 points and the median high sweep distance is 40% of range, the median reversal level would be placed 8 points above the previous high.
How to Use the Indicator
Sweeps were calculated using 1m data - as such, it's recommended to use the indicator on a 1min chart
Visual Components
Hour Delimiter (Gray Vertical Line)
Marks the start of each new hour
Helps identify when new statistics become active
Sweep Markers
Green "H" label: High sweep has occurred this hour
Red "L" label: Low sweep has occurred this hour
Markers appear on the exact bar where the sweep happened
Target Levels (Blue Lines)
Prev Open: Previous hour's opening price
Prev High: Previous hour's highest price (sweep target)
Prev Low: Previous hour's lowest price (sweep target)
Prev 50%: Midpoint of previous hour's range
Current Open: Current hour's opening price (key retracement target)
Reversal Levels (Purple Dashed Lines)
Positioned beyond the previous high/low based on historical sweep percentiles
Three levels above previous high (for high sweeps)
Three levels below previous low (for low sweeps)
These represent statistically-derived zones where sweeps typically exhaust
The Statistics Table
The table dynamically updates each hour and displays different statistics based on whether the current hour opened above or below the previous hour's open.
Status Row
Shows current state: waiting for sweep, or which sweep(s) have occurred
If waiting, indicates which sweep is more probable based on historical data
SWEEP PROBABILITIES Section
High Sweep: Historical probability (%) that price will sweep the previous high this hour
Low Sweep: Historical probability (%) that price will sweep the previous low this hour
Both Sweeps: Historical probability (%) that price will sweep both levels this hour
These probabilities are derived from counting how many times each pattern occurred in similar historical contexts. For example, "High Sweep: 73.18%" means that in 73.18% of historical occurrences where the hour opened in this same context (same hour of day, same position relative to previous open), price swept the previous high before the hour closed.
AFTER HIGH SWEEP → Section
These statistics activate only after a high sweep has occurred. They show the probability of price retracing to various levels:
→ Prev High: Probability that price returns to (or below) the level it just swept. This is typically 90%+ because sweeps often act as "false breakouts" or liquidity grabs before reversal.
→ 50% Level: Probability that price retraces at least halfway back into the previous hour's range. This represents a moderate retracement.
→ Current Open: Probability that price retraces all the way back to where the current hour opened. This indicates a complete reversal of the sweep move.
→ Prev Low: Probability that price retraces entirely through the previous range to touch the opposite extreme. This represents a full reversal pattern.
AFTER LOW SWEEP → Section
Mirror of the above, but for low sweeps:
→ Prev Low: Retracement to the swept low level (90%+ probability)
→ 50% Level: Retracement to middle of range
→ Current Open: Full retracement to current hour's open
→ Prev High: Complete reversal to opposite extreme
Important Note on Retracement Statistics: These percentages are tracked independently. A 90% probability of returning to the swept level doesn't mean there's only a 10% chance of deeper retracement. Price can (and often does) retrace through multiple levels sequentially. The percentages show how many times price reached at least that level, not where it stopped.
Trading Applications
Anticipating Sweeps
When an hour opens inside the previous range, check the probabilities. If "High Sweep: 70%" and "Low Sweep: 30%", you know there's a 70% historical likelihood of an upside sweep occurring this hour. This doesn't guarantee it will happen, but provides statistical context for potential setups.
Reversal Trading
The most reliable pattern in the data is the 90%+ retracement probability to swept levels. When a sweep occurs, traders can anticipate a retracement back to at least the swept level in the vast majority of cases. The reversal level percentiles help identify where sweeps may exhaust.
Position Management
The retracement probabilities help manage existing positions. For example, if you're long and a high sweep occurs, you know there's a 90%+ chance of at least some retracement to the swept level, which might inform profit-taking or stop-loss decisions.
Confluence with Current Open
The "Current Open" retracement statistics (typically 60-70%) highlight the magnetic quality of the hour's opening price. After a sweep, price frequently returns to test this level.
Customization Options
The indicator offers extensive visual customization:
Toggle on/off: hour delimiters, sweep markers, target levels, reversal levels, statistics table
Customize colors, line widths, and styles for all visual elements
Adjust label sizes and table position
Show/hide individual target levels and reversal percentiles
Limitations and Considerations
Pattern-Specific: The indicator only provides statistics when the current hour opens inside the previous hour's range. If the hour opens outside this range (gaps up or down), the statistics are not applicable.
Historical Probabilities: The percentages represent historical frequencies, not predictions. A 70% probability means it happened 70% of the time historically, not that it will definitely happen 7 out of 10 times going forward.
NQ-Specific Calibration: All statistics are derived from NQ futures data. Market behavior, volatility, and patterns differ across assets.
Hour-Specific Behavior: Different hours show dramatically different statistics. For example, the 9 AM EST hour (market open) shows much higher sweep probabilities (80%+) than the 5 PM EST hour (30-50%) due to differing liquidity and volatility conditions.
No Guarantee of Execution: While a 90% retracement probability is high, it means 10% of the time, price did NOT retrace. Always use proper risk management.
Technical Notes
The indicator uses hourly timeframe data via request.security() to determine previous hour values
Sweep detection occurs in real-time on the chart's timeframe
Statistics are hardcoded from the comprehensive backtested analysis (not calculated on-the-fly)
The indicator stores static values at the start of each hour to ensure consistency as the hour progresses
All percentage values are rounded to one decimal place for clarity
This indicator provides a statistically-grounded framework for understanding hourly price behavior in NQ futures. By combining real-time pattern detection with comprehensive historical analysis, it offers traders probabilistic insights to inform decision-making process within the specific context of each trading hour. Indicator
Session Relative VolumeSession Relative Volume is an advanced intraday futures volume indicator that analyzes volume separately for Asia, London, and New York sessions - something standard relative volume tools can’t do.
Instead of aggregating the entire day’s volume, the indicator compares current volume to historical averages for the same session and time of day, allowing you to spot true volume strength and meaningful spikes, especially around session opens.
Background
Relative volume helps traders spot unusual activity: high volume often signals institutional participation and trending days, while low volume suggests weak commitment and possible mean reversion. In futures markets, sessions ( Asia, London, New York ) must be analyzed separately, but PulseWire’s Relative Volume in Time aggregates the entire day, masking session-specific behavior - especially during the New York open. Since volume can vary by more than 20× between sessions, standard averages struggle to identify meaningful volume spikes when trader conviction matters most.
Indicator Description
The “Session Relative Volume” indicator solves these problems by calculating historical average volume specific to each session and time of day, and comparing current volume against those benchmarks. It offers four display modes and fully customizable session times
Altogether, it provides traders with a powerful tool for analyzing intraday futures volume, helping to better assess market participation, trader conviction, and overall market conditions - ultimately supporting improved trading decisions.
Parameters
Mode – display mode:
R-VOL: Relative cumulative session-specific volume at time
VOL CUM: Cumulative session volume at time compared to historical average cumulative session-specific volume
VOL AVG: Average session intrabar volume at time compared to historical average session-specific intrabar volume
VOL: Individual bars volume, highlighting (solid color) unusual spikes
Lookback period – number of days used for calculating historical average session volume at time
MA Len – length of the moving average, representing average bar volume within a session based on previous periods (different from historical cumulative volume!). Used only in VOL and VOL AVG modes
MA Thresh – deviation from moving average, used to detect bar volume spikes (bar volume > K × moving average)
Start Time – End Time and Time Zone parameters for each session. The time zone must be set using PulseWire’s format (e.g., GMT+1).
Indicator
First presented FVG (w/stats) w/statistical hourly ranges & biasOverview
This indicator identifies the first Fair Value Gap (FVG) that forms during each hourly session and provides comprehensive statistical analysis based on 12 years of historical NASDAQ (NQ) data. It combines price action analysis with probability-based statistics to help traders make informed decisions.
⚠️ IMPORTANT - Compatibility
Market: This indicator is designed exclusively for NASDAQ futures (NQ/MNQ)
Timeframe: Statistical data is based on FVGs formed on the 5-minute timeframe
FVG Detection: Works on any timeframe, but use 5-minute for accuracy matching the statistical analysis
All hardcoded statistics are derived from 12 years of NQ historical data
What It Does
1. FVG Detection & Visualization
Automatically detects the first FVG (bullish or bearish) that forms each hour
Draws colored boxes around FVGs:
Blue boxes = Bullish FVG (gap up)
Red boxes = Bearish FVG (gap down)
FVG boxes extend to the end of the hour
Optional midpoint lines show the center of each FVG
Uses volume imbalance logic (outside prints) to refine FVG boundaries
2. Hourly Reference Lines
Vertical Delimiter: Marks the start of each hour
Hourly Open Line: Shows where the current hour opened
Expected Range Lines: Projects the anticipated high/low based on historical data
Choose between Mean (average) or Median (middle value) statistics
Upper range line (teal/green)
Lower range line (red)
All lines span exactly one hour from the moment it opens
Optional labels show price values at line ends
3. Real-Time Statistics Table
The table displays live data for the current hour only:
Hour: Current hour in 12-hour format (AM/PM)
FVG Status: Shows if a Bull FVG, Bear FVG, or no FVG has formed yet
Green background = Bullish FVG detected
Red background = Bearish FVG detected
1st 15min: Direction of the first 15 minutes (Bullish/Bearish/Neutral/Pending)
Continuation %: Historical probability that the hour continues in the first 15-minute direction
Color-coded: Green for bullish, red for bearish
Avg Range %: Expected percentage range for the current hour (based on 12-year mean)
FVG Effect %: Historical probability that FVG direction predicts hourly close direction
Shows BISI→Bull % for bullish FVGs
Shows SIBI→Bear % for bearish FVGs
Blank if no FVG has formed yet
Time Left: Countdown timer showing MM:SS remaining in the hour (updates in real-time)
Hourly Bias: Historical directional tendency (bullish % or bearish %)
H Open: Current hour's opening price
Exp Range: Projected price range (Low - High) based on historical average
Customization Options
Detection Settings:
Lower Timeframe Selection (15S, 1min, 5min) - controls FVG detection granularity
Display Settings:
FVG box colors (bullish/bearish)
Midpoint lines (show/hide, color, style)
Table Settings:
Position (9 locations: corners, edges, center)
Text size (Tiny, Small, Normal, Large)
Hourly Lines:
Toggle each line type on/off
Hour delimiter (color, width)
Open line (color, width, style)
Range lines (color, width, style)
Choose Mean or Median statistics for range calculation
Show/hide labels with customizable text size
How to Use
Apply to NQ futures chart (NQ1! or MNQ1!)
Set chart to 5-minute timeframe for optimal FVG detection matching the statistical data
Watch for the first FVG to form each hour
Reference the table for probability-based decision support:
High continuation % = strong directional bias
FVG Effect % shows reliability of the FVG signal
Time Left helps manage entries/exits within the hour
Use range lines as potential targets or reversal zones
Statistical Foundation
All statistics are derived from:
12 years of NASDAQ (NQ) historical data
Hourly analysis of FVG formation patterns
First 15-minute directional analysis
Mean and Median calculations for range expectations
Data encompasses 2,400+ samples per hour
Best Practices
✅ Use on NQ/MNQ futures only
✅ Best on 5-minute charts (matches statistical data)
✅ Combine FVG signals with continuation probabilities
✅ Use range lines as potential profit targets
✅ Watch the countdown timer for hour-end setups
❌ Do not use on other markets (statistics won't apply)
❌ Avoid using during low-liquidity hours (5PM ET has minimal data)
Technical Notes
Timezone: America/New_York (EST/EDT)
Weekend filtering: Automatically hides data during market closure
Updates in real-time on live bars
Maximum 500 boxes/lines for performance
FVG detection includes volume imbalance (body gap) refinement
Credits
Statistical analysis based on 12 years of NASDAQ historical data. FVG detection methodology follows ICT concepts with volume imbalance refinement.
Disclaimer: This indicator provides statistical analysis based on historical data. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management.
Would you like me to adjust any section or add/remove anything?6-9 Session & Levels - Customizable Range Analysis Indicator
Description:
This indicator provides comprehensive session-based range analysis designed for intraday traders. It calculates and displays key levels based on a customizable session period (default 6:00-9:00 AM ET).
Core Features:
Sespastedthis is a summary for another indicator- i was hoping for something more like this in terms of content etc22:23Architected comprehensive indicator summary matching professional documentation style.The user wants me to rewrite the summary for their FVG indicator in a similar style to the example provided. The example is more structured, detailed, and professional. Let me create a comprehensive summary that follows that format:
Clear title
Description/Overview
Core Features (broken down into sections)
Input Settings Explained (detailed breakdown of all customization options)
How It Works section
Use Case
Note/Disclaimer
Let me make it thorough and match the style while being accurate to their indicator's functionality.Here's a detailed summary in that format:
Every Hour 1st FVG with Statistical Analysis - NASDAQ Hourly Trading Intelligence
Description:
This indicator identifies the first Fair Value Gap (FVG) that forms during each hourly session and provides comprehensive probability-based statistical analysis derived from 12 years of NASDAQ (NQ) historical data. It combines real-time FVG detection with hardcoded statistical probabilities to help intraday traders make informed decisions based on historical patterns and hourly price action dynamics.
IMPORTANT: This indicator is specifically calibrated for NASDAQ futures (NQ/MNQ) only. All statistical data is derived from 12 years of NQ historical analysis with FVGs detected on the 5-minute timeframe. Using this indicator on other markets will produce invalid statistical results.
Core Features:
FVG Detection & Visualization
Automatically detects and displays the first Fair Value Gap (bullish or bearish) that forms within each hourly session
Color-coded boxes mark FVG zones: Blue for bullish FVGs (gap up), Red for bearish FVGs (gap down)
FVG boxes extend precisely to the end of the hour boundary
Optional midpoint lines show the center point of each FVG
Uses volume imbalance logic (outside prints) to refine FVG boundaries beyond simple wick-to-wick gaps
Supports both chart timeframe detection and lower timeframe detection via request.security_lower_tf
Hourly Reference Lines
Vertical Hour Delimiter: Marks the exact start of each new hour with an extendable vertical line
Hourly Open Line: Displays the opening price of the current hour
Expected Range Lines: Projects anticipated high and low levels based on 12 years of statistical data
Choose between Mean (average) or Median (middle value) calculations
Upper range line shows expected high
Lower range line shows expected low
All lines span exactly one hour from open to close
Optional labels display exact price values at the end of each line
Real-Time Statistics Table
Displays comprehensive live data for the current hour only:
Hour: Current hour in 12-hour format (e.g., "9AM", "2PM")
FVG Status: Shows detection state with color coding
"None Yet" (white background) - No FVG detected
"Bull FVG" (green background) - Bullish FVG identified
"Bear FVG" (red background) - Bearish FVG identified
1st 15min: Direction of first 15 minutes (Bullish/Bearish/Neutral/Pending)
Continuation %: Historical probability that the hour closes in the direction of the first 15 minutes
Green background with up arrow (↑) for bullish continuation probability
Red background with down arrow (↓) for bearish continuation probability
Avg Range %: Expected percentage range for the current hour based on 12-year mean
FVG Effect %: Historical effectiveness of FVG directional prediction
Shows "BISI→Bull %" for bullish FVGs (gap up predicting bullish hourly close)
Shows "SIBI→Bear %" for bearish FVGs (gap down predicting bearish hourly close)
Displays blank if no FVG has formed yet
Time Left: Real-time countdown timer showing minutes and seconds remaining in the hour (MM:SS format)
Hourly Bias: Historical directional tendency showing bullish or bearish percentage bias
H Open: Current hour's opening price
Exp Range: Projected price range showing "Low - High" based on selected statistic (mean or median)
Input Settings Explained:
Detection Settings
Lower Timeframe: Select the base timeframe for FVG detection
Options: 15S (15 seconds), 1 (1 minute), 5 (5 minutes)
Recommendation: Use 5-minute to match the statistical data sample
The indicator uses this timeframe to scan for FVG patterns even when viewing higher timeframes
Display Settings
Bullish FVG Color: Set the color and transparency for bullish (upward) FVG boxes
Bearish FVG Color: Set the color and transparency for bearish (downward) FVG boxes
Show Midpoint Lines: Toggle horizontal lines at the center of each FVG box
Midpoint Line Color: Customize the midpoint line color
Midpoint Line Style: Choose between Solid, Dotted, or Dashed line styles
Table Settings
Table Position: Choose from 9 locations:
Top: Left, Center, Right
Middle: Left, Center, Right
Bottom: Left, Center, Right
Table Text Size: Select from Tiny, Small, Normal, or Large for readability on different screen sizes
Hourly Lines Settings
Show Hourly Lines: Master toggle for all hourly reference lines
Show Hour Delimiter: Toggle the vertical line marking each hour's start
Delimiter Color: Customize color and transparency
Delimiter Width: Set line thickness (1-5)
Show Hourly Open: Toggle the horizontal line at the hour's opening price
Open Line Color: Customize color
Open Line Width: Set thickness (1-5)
Open Line Style: Choose Solid, Dashed, or Dotted
Show Range Lines: Toggle the expected high/low projection lines
Range Statistic: Choose "Mean" (12-year average) or "Median" (12-year middle value)
Range High Color: Customize upper range line color and transparency
Range Low Color: Customize lower range line color and transparency
Range Line Width: Set thickness (1-5)
Range Line Style: Choose Solid, Dashed, or Dotted
Show Line Labels: Toggle price labels at the end of all horizontal lines
Label Text Size: Choose Tiny, Small, or Normal
How It Works:
FVG Detection Logic:
The indicator scans price action on the selected lower timeframe (default: 1-minute) looking for Fair Value Gaps using a 3-candle pattern:
Bullish FVG: Formed when candle 's high is below candle 's low, creating an upward gap
Bearish FVG: Formed when candle 's low is above candle 's high, creating a downward gap
The detection is refined using volume imbalance logic by checking for body gaps (outside prints) on both sides of the middle candle. This narrows the FVG zone to areas where bodies don't touch, indicating stronger imbalances.
Only the first FVG that forms during each hour is displayed. If a bullish FVG forms first, it takes priority. The FVG box is drawn from the formation time through to the end of the hour.
Statistical Analysis:
All probability statistics are hardcoded from 12 years (2,400+ samples per hour) of NASDAQ futures analysis:
First 15-Minute Direction: At 15 minutes into each hour, the indicator determines if price closed above, below, or equal to the hour's opening price
Continuation Probability: Historical analysis shows the likelihood that the hour closes in the same direction as the first 15 minutes
Example: If 9AM's first 15 minutes are bullish, there's a 60.1% chance the entire 9AM hour closes bullish (lowest continuation hour)
4PM shows the highest continuation at 86.1% for bullish first 15 minutes
FVG Effectiveness: Tracks how often the first FVG's direction correctly predicts the hourly close direction
BISI (Bullish Imbalance/Sell-side Inefficiency) → Bullish close probability
SIBI (Bearish Imbalance/Buy-side Inefficiency) → Bearish close probability
Range Expectations: Mean and median values represent typical price movement percentage for each hour
9AM and 10AM show the largest ranges (~0.6%)
5PM shows minimal range (~0.06%) due to low liquidity
Hourly Reference Lines:
When each new hour begins:
Vertical delimiter marks the hour's start
Hourly open line plots at the first bar's opening price
Range projection lines calculate expected high/low:
Upper Range = Hourly Open + (Range% / 100 × Hourly Open)
Lower Range = Hourly Open - (Range% / 100 × Hourly Open)
Lines extend exactly to the hour's end time
Labels appear at line endpoints showing exact prices
Real-Time Updates:
FVG Status: Updates immediately when the first FVG forms
First 15min Direction: Locked in at the 15-minute mark
Countdown Timer: Uses timenow to update every second
Table Statistics: Refresh on every bar close
Timezone Handling:
All times are in America/New_York (Eastern Time)
Automatically filters weekend periods (Saturday and Sunday before 6PM)
Hour detection accounts for daylight saving time changes
Use Cases:
Intraday Trading Strategy Development:
FVG Entry Signals: Use the first hourly FVG as a directional bias
Bullish FVG + High continuation % = Strong long setup
Bearish FVG + High continuation % = Strong short setup
First 15-Minute Breakout: Combine first 15-min direction with continuation probabilities
Wait for first 15 minutes to complete
If continuation % is above 70%, trade in that direction
Example: 4PM bullish first 15 min = 86.1% chance hour closes bullish
Range Targeting: Use expected high/low lines as profit targets or reversal zones
Price approaching mean high = potential resistance
Price approaching mean low = potential support
Compare mean vs median for different risk tolerance (median is more conservative)
Hour Selection: Focus trading on hours with:
High FVG effectiveness (11AM: 81.5% BISI→Bull)
High continuation rates (4PM: 86.1% bull continuation)
Avoid low-continuation hours like 9AM (60.1%)
Time Management: Use the countdown timer to:
Enter early in the hour when FVG forms
Exit before hour-end if no follow-through
Avoid late-hour entries with <15 minutes remaining
Statistical Edge Identification:
Compare current hour's FVG against historical effectiveness
Identify when first 15-min direction contradicts FVG direction (conflict = caution)
Use hourly bias to confirm or contradict FVG signals
Monitor if price stays within expected range or breaks out (outlier moves)
Risk Management:
Expected range lines provide logical stop-loss placement
FVG Effect % helps size positions (higher % = larger position)
Time Left countdown aids in time-based stop management
Avoid trading hours with neutral bias or low continuation rates
Statistical Foundation:
All embedded statistics are derived from:
12 years of NASDAQ futures (NQ) continuous contract data
5-minute timeframe FVG detection methodology
24 hours per day analysis (excluding weekends)
2,400+ samples per hour for robust statistical validity
America/New_York timezone for session alignment
Data includes:
Hourly range analysis (mean, median, standard deviation)
First 15-minute directional analysis
FVG formation frequency and effectiveness
Continuation probability matrices
Bullish/bearish bias percentages
Best Practices:
✅ Do:
Use exclusively on NASDAQ futures (NQ1! or MNQ1!)
Apply on 5-minute charts for optimal FVG detection matching statistical samples
Wait for first 15 minutes to complete before acting on continuation probabilities
Combine FVG signals with continuation % and FVG Effect % for confluence
Use expected range lines as initial profit targets
Monitor the countdown timer for time-based trade management
Focus on hours with high statistical edges (4PM, 11AM, 10AM)
❌ Don't:
Use on other markets (ES, RTY, YM, stocks, forex, crypto) - statistics will be invalid
Rely solely on FVG without confirming with continuation probabilities
Trade during low-liquidity hours (5PM shows only 0.06% average range)
Ignore the first 15-minute direction when it conflicts with FVG direction
Apply to timeframes significantly different from 5-minute for FVG detection
Use median range expectations aggressively (they're conservative)
Technical Implementation Notes:
Timezone: Fixed to America/New_York with automatic DST adjustment
Weekend Filtering: Automatically hides data Saturday and Sunday before 6PM ET
Performance: Maximum 500 boxes and 500 lines for optimal chart rendering
Update Frequency: Table updates on every bar close; timer updates every second using timenow
FVG Priority: Bullish FVGs take precedence when both form simultaneously
Lower Timeframe Detection: Uses request.security_lower_tf for accurate sub-chart-timeframe FVG detection
Precision: All price labels use format.mintick for appropriate decimal precision
Big thanks to @Trades-Dont-Lie for the FPFVG code in his excellent indicator that I've used here Indicator
6-9 session & levels6-9 Session & Levels - Customizable Range Analysis Indicator
Description:
This indicator provides comprehensive session-based range analysis designed for intraday traders. It calculates and displays key levels based on a customizable session period (default 6:00-9:00 AM ET).
Core Features:
Session Tracking
Monitors user-defined session times with timezone support
Displays session open, high, and low levels
Highlights session range with optional box visualization
Shows previous day RTH (Regular Trading Hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM) levels
Range Levels
25%, 50%, and 75% range levels within the session
Range deviations at 0.5x, 1.0x, and 2.0x multiples
Fibonacci extension levels (customizable, default 1.33x and 1.66x)
Optional fill zones between Fibonacci levels
Time Zone Highlighting
Marks the 9:40-9:50 AM period as a potential reversal zone
Vertical lines with shading to identify key time windows
Statistical Analysis
Calculates mean and median extension levels based on historical sessions
Displays statistics table showing current range, average range, range difference, and z-score
Customizable sample size (1-100 sessions) for statistical calculations
Option to anchor extensions from either session open or high/low points
Input Settings Explained:
Session Settings
Levels Session Time: Define your session window in HHMM-HHMM format (default: 0600-0900)
Time Zone: Choose from UTC, America/New_York, America/Chicago, America/Los_Angeles, Europe/London, or Asia/Tokyo
Anchor Settings
Show Session Anchor: Toggle the session anchor line (marks session open price at 6:00 AM)
Anchor Style/Color/Width: Customize appearance (Solid/Dashed/Dotted, color, 1-4 width)
Show Anchor Label: Display price label for the anchor
Session Open Line: Similar options for the session open reference line
Range Box Settings
Show Range Box: Display a shaded rectangle highlighting the session high-to-low range
Range Box Color: Set the box background color and transparency
Range Levels (25%/50%/75%)
Show Range Levels: Toggle all three intermediate levels on/off
Individual Level Styling: Each level (25%, 50%, 75%) has its own color, style, and width settings
Show Range Level Labels: Display price labels for each level
Range Deviations
Show Range Deviations: Toggle deviation levels on/off
0.5x/1.0x/2.0x Settings: Each deviation multiplier can be customized with its own color, line style (Solid/Dashed/Dotted), and width
Show Range Deviation Labels: Display labels showing the deviation price levels
Previous Day RTH Levels
Show Previous RTH Levels: Display yesterday's regular trading hours high and low
RTH High/Low Styling: Separate color, style, and width settings for each level
Show Previous RTH Labels: Toggle price labels for RTH levels
Time Zones
Show 9:40-9:50 AM Zone: Highlight this specific time period with vertical lines and shading
Zone Color: Set the background fill color for the time zone
Zone Label Color/Text: Customize the label appearance and text
Fibonacci Extension Settings
Show Fibonacci Extensions: Toggle Fib levels on/off
Fib Extension Color/Style/Width: Customize line appearance
Show Fib Extension Labels: Display price labels
Fib Ext Level 1/2: Set custom multipliers (default 1.33 and 1.66, range 0-5 in 0.1 increments)
Show Fibonacci Fills: Display shaded zones between Fib levels
Fib Fill Color: Customize the fill color and transparency
Session High/Low Settings
Show Session High/Low Lines: Display the actual session extremes
Style/Color/Width: Customize line appearance
Show Labels: Toggle price labels for high/low levels
Extension Stats Settings
Show Statistical Levels on Chart: Display mean and median extension levels based on historical data
Extension Anchor Point: Choose whether to anchor from "Open" or "High/Low" of the session
Number of Sessions for Statistics: Set sample size (1-100, default 60) for calculating averages
Mean/Median High Extension: Separate styling for each statistical level (color, style, width)
Mean/Median Low Extension: Separate styling for downside statistical levels
Tables
Show Statistics Table: Display a summary table with current range, average range, difference, z-score, and sample size
Table Position: Choose from 9 positions (Bottom/Middle/Top + Center/Left/Right)
Table Text Size: Select from Auto, Tiny, Small, Normal, Large, or Huge
Display Settings
Projection Offset: Number of bars to extend lines forward (default 24)
Label Size: Choose from Tiny, Small, Normal, or Large
Price Decimal Precision: Set decimal places for price labels (0-6)
How It Works:
The indicator tracks the specified session period and calculates the session's open, high, low, and range. At the end of the session (9:00 AM by default), it projects all configured levels forward for the trading day. The statistical features analyze the last N sessions (you choose the number) to calculate typical extension behavior from either the session open or the session high/low points.
The z-score calculation helps identify whether the current session's range is normal, expanded, or contracted compared to recent history, allowing traders to adjust expectations for the rest of the day.
Use Case:
This indicator helps traders identify key support and resistance levels based on early session price action, understand current range context relative to historical averages, and spot potential reversal zones during specific time periods.
Note: This indicator is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always perform your own analysis before making trading decisions. Indicator
Robrechtian Long-Medium Breakout Trend SystemRobrechtian Long–Medium-Term Breakout Trend System
A professional, rule-based trend-following strategy designed to capture large, sustained price movements using pure price action and breakouts.
This system follows long-established trend-following philosophy: no prediction, no volatility targeting, and no profit targets. Only disciplined entries, position additions, and exits driven entirely by trend structure.
Core Principles
Breakout-driven entries: Initial positions are taken only when price breaks above/below the 80-day Donchian channel, confirming a long–medium-term trend shift.
Short-term confirmation: Breakouts must also exceed the 20-day channel, reducing false positives.
Trend-direction filter: A 50-day moving average slope filter ensures alignment with the broader trend.
Explosive bar filter: Entries avoid excessively large, single-candle expansions (>2.5× ATR(20)) to prevent chasing exhaustion spikes.
Pyramiding into strength: Additional units are added only when price makes fresh 20-day breakouts in the direction of the trend. No scaling out. No adding on dips.
Exit only on trend violation: Positions are closed exclusively when price breaks the opposite 80-day channel. This preserves unlimited upside while enforcing disciplined exits.
Pure trend philosophy: No volatility targeting, no smoothing, no discretionary overrides, no optimization for short-term performance.
Intended Use
This system is designed primarily for diversified futures portfolios, where diversification across dozens of globally liquid markets creates robustness and stability. However, it may also be used on individual assets for educational and analytical purposes.
The system embraces the core trend-following logic:
Small losses, big winners, and unlimited upside when trends persist.
⚠️ WARNINGS / DISCLAIMERS
⚠️ Warning 1 — This strategy is not optimized for single stocks
The Robrechtian Trend System is designed for multi-asset futures portfolios, not single equities.
Performance on individual tickers may vary greatly due to lack of diversification.
⚠️ Warning 2 — Trend following includes substantial drawdowns
Deep drawdowns are a normal and expected feature of all long-term trend-following systems.
The strategy does not attempt to smooth returns or manage volatility.
If you seek steady, low-volatility equity curves, this system is not suitable.
⚠️ Warning 3 — No volatility targeting or risk smoothing
This system intentionally avoids volatility-based position sizing.
Trades may experience larger fluctuations than systems using risk parity or vol targeting.
⚠️ Warning 4 — Not financial advice
This script is for educational and research purposes only.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Use at your own risk.
⚠️ Warning 5 — PulseWire backtests have known limitations
PulseWire does not simulate:
futures contract roll logic
slippage
real bid/ask spreads
liquidity conditions
limit-up/limit-down behavior
Results may vary from live market execution. Strategy
Micro/Mini P&L [LDT]Overview
Micro/Mini P&L is a risk and P&L visualization tool built primarily for futures traders.
It provides accurate dollar-based calculations for either micros or minis, regardless of which contract type you are currently charting.
The indicator automatically detects your instrument (NQ, MNQ, ES, MES, YM, RTY, CL, GC, etc.) and adjusts point-value data accordingly, allowing you to chart one contract while evaluating risk for another.
This removes the need for manual conversions and keeps your position data consistent at all times.
Although optimized for futures, the tool also works on any other asset for general trade-level visualization.
Features
• Automatic instrument detection for major futures markets including NQ/MNQ, ES/MES, YM/MYM, RTY/M2K, CL/MCL, GC/MGC and others.
Point-value logic adjusts instantly based on the detected symbol ensuring accurate calculations without manual configuration.
• Micro/Mini display toggle, allowing you to calculate dollar values for either contract type regardless of which contract is on your chart.
Useful for traders who prefer charting minis whilst trading micros or the opposite.
• Trade-level visualization, including Entry, Take Profit and Stop Loss levels with automatically drawn lines and optional TP/SL zone shading for clear and structured display on the chart.
• Dynamic P/L calculations, showing both point-based and dollar-based metrics in real time.
This includes TP/SL dollar values, points to target/stop, real-time P/L and an optional risk-reward ratio.
• Adaptive risk table, displaying contract counts from 1 up to your selected maximum, total dollar risk for each row and highlighting your chosen contract size.
This provides a straightforward method for evaluating risk, scaling and position sizing.
• Customizable display options, including color settings, label visibility, extension length, bar offsets and table positioning.
This allows the tool to remain clean, unobtrusive and easy to integrate into any chart layout.
Purpose
This tool is designed to give futures traders a clear, consistent and reliable way to view dollar-accurate risk per contract without performing manual conversions.
Whether you trade micros or minis, the displayed values always align with your selected contract type, even when charting the opposite market. Indicator
Risk-On / Risk-Off Toolkit [SB1] (NQ, RTY, YM) VIXDescription:
The Risk-On / Risk-Off Toolkit is a professional-grade market context indicator designed to help traders quickly identify broad market sentiment shifts and gauge risk appetite. By combining major US equity futures (NQ, RTY, YM) with VIX dynamics, this toolkit provides clear visual signals of “Risk-On” (bullish, lower volatility environment) and “Risk-Off” (bearish, higher volatility environment) conditions. This is ideal for traders using discretionary analysis, swing strategies, intraday scalping, or portfolio positioning decisions.
My Personal Thoughts: Utilize all 3 charts to Identify which is Leading and who is lagging between the 3 (NQ, RTY, YM) Key Features:
Futures Trend Analysis:
Monitors the Nasdaq 100 (NQ), Russell 2000 (RTY), and Dow Jones (YM) futures in real-time.
Determines bullish/bearish bias based on each futures contract’s current close relative to its open.
Identifies when all three indices are moving in sync, highlighting broad market directional alignment.
VIX Confirmation:
Integrates the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) to gauge market risk sentiment.
Confirms Risk-On conditions when VIX is falling while all three futures are bullish.
Confirms Risk-Off conditions when VIX is rising while all three futures are bearish.
Optional background shading visually highlights Risk-On (green) and Risk-Off (red) conditions for quick, intuitive assessment.
Strong Body Candle Signals:
Detects high conviction candlestick moves where the body represents at least 85% of the total range.
Confirms whether the candle closes near its extreme (top for bullish, bottom for bearish) within 15% of the range.
Plots arrows for strong bullish or bearish candles:
Green triangle-up for bullish strong candles
Red triangle-down for bearish strong candles
Provides a visual cue for intraday or swing traders to confirm trend momentum without cluttering the chart with labels.
Alert System:
Alerts can be set for Risk-On alignment: all monitored futures are bullish and VIX is falling.
Alerts can also be set for Risk-Off alignment: all monitored futures are bearish and VIX is rising.
Ensures traders never miss shifts in broad market sentiment, suitable for both intraday and end-of-day review.
Table Summary:
Provides a top-right summary table of each monitored market and VIX:
Displays Index Name and Current Bias (Bullish/Bearish/Neutral).
Highlights bullish conditions in green and bearish conditions in red.
Includes VIX status as “↓ Falling”, “↑ Rising”, or “Flat”, providing a quick visual reference of volatility trends.
Customizable Visuals:
Control the visibility of strong candle arrows.
Maintains dynamic bar coloring for strong candle moves (green for bullish, red for bearish).
How to Use the Risk-On / Risk-Off Toolkit:
Trend Confirmation: Use the alignment of NQ, RTY, and YM to determine whether the overall market environment is bullish or bearish.
Risk Sentiment Filter: Use VIX confirmation to identify if traders are in a risk-on or risk-off sentiment. This is especially useful for adjusting position sizing, hedging, or timing entries.
Momentum Validation: Strong candle arrows indicate decisive moves, providing additional confirmation for trade entries, breakouts, or trend continuation.
Alerts & Visual Cues: Set alerts to be notified whenever Risk-On or Risk-Off conditions are met, helping you act in real-time.
Quick Reference: Use the summary table for a bird’s-eye view of market alignment across indices and VIX, avoiding the need to track multiple charts simultaneously.
Why This Indicator is Unique:
Combines three major US indices with volatility confirmation to identify true macro market sentiment shifts.
Provides both visual and alert-based signals for actionable insights.
The inclusion of strong candle arrows gives intraday and swing traders a clear, low-latency cue for high-probability moves.
Perfect for multi-timeframe analysis and adaptable to both short-term and long-term strategies.
Indicator Name Justification:
The name “Risk-On / Risk-Off Toolkit ” accurately reflects the core function: identifying broad market risk appetite and sentiment alignment across key indices with volatility confirmation. It communicates instantly that the tool helps traders understand when the market is favoring risk-taking (Risk-On) versus risk-aversion (Risk-Off). Indicator
Indicator
NY VIX Channel Trend US Futures Day Trade StrategyNY VIX Channel Trend Strategy
Summary in one paragraph
Session anchored intraday strategy for index futures such as ES and NQ on one to fifteen minute charts. It acts only after the first configurable window of New York Regular Trading Hours and uses a VIX derived daily implied move to form a realistic channel from the session open. Originality comes from using a pure implied volatility yardstick as portable support and resistance, then committing in the direction of the first window close relative to the open. Add it to a clean chart and trade the simple visuals. For conservative alerts use on bar close.
Scope and intent
• Markets. Index futures ES and NQ
• Timeframes. One to thirty minutes
• Default demo. ES1 on five minutes
• Purpose. Provide a portable intraday yardstick for entries and exits without curve fitting
• Limits. This is a strategy. Orders are simulated on standard candles
Originality and usefulness
• Unique concept. A VIX only channel anchored at 09:30 New York plus a single window trend test
• Addresses. False urgency at session open and unrealistic bands from arbitrary multipliers
• Testability. Every input is visible and the channel is plotted so users can audit behavior
• Portable yardstick. Daily implied move equals VIX percent divided by square root of two hundred fifty two
• Protected status. None. Method and use are fully disclosed
Method overview in plain language
Take the daily VIX or VIX9D value, convert it to a daily fraction by dividing by square root of two hundred fifty two, then anchor a symmetric channel at the New York session open. Observe the first N minutes. If that window closes above the open the bias is long. If it closes below the open the bias is short. One trade per session. Exits occur at the channel boundary or at a bracket based on a user selected VIX factor. Positions are closed a set number of minutes before the session ends.
Base measures
Return basis. The daily implied move unit equals VIX percent divided by square root of two hundred fifty two and serves as the distance unit for targets and stops.
Components
• VIX Channel. Top, mid, bottom lines anchored at 09:30 New York. No extra multipliers
• Window Trend. Close of the first N minutes relative to the session open sets direction
• Risk Bracket. Take profit and stop loss equal to VIX unit times user factor
• Session Window. Uses the exchange time of the chart
Fusion rule
Minimum gates count equals one. The trade only arms after the window has elapsed and a direction exists. One entry per session.
Signal rule
• Long when the window close is above the session open and the window has completed
• Short when the window close is below the session open and the window has completed
• Exit on channel touch. Long exits at the top. Short exits at the bottom
• Flat thirty minutes before the session close or at the user setting
Inputs with guidance
Setup
• Use VIX9D. Width source. Typical true for fast tone or false for baseline
• Use daily OPEN. Toggle for sensitivity to overnight changes
Logic
• Window minutes. Five to one hundred twenty. Larger values delay entries and reduce whipsaw
• VIX factor for TP. Zero point five to two. Raising it widens the profit target
• VIX factor for SL. Zero point five to two. Raising it widens the stop
• Exit minutes before close. Fifteen to ninety. Raising it exits earlier
Properties visible in this publication
• Initial capital one hundred thousand USD
• Base currency USD
• request.security uses lookahead off
• Commission cash per contract two point five $ per each contract. Slippage one tick
• Default order size method FIXED with value one contract. Pyramiding zero. Process orders on close ON. Bar magnifier OFF. Recalculate after order is filled OFF. Calc on every tick ON
Realism and responsible publication
No performance claims. Past results never guarantee future outcomes. Fills and slippage vary by venue. Shapes can move while a bar forms and settle on close. Strategy uses standard candles.
Honest limitations and failure modes
Economic releases and thin liquidity can break the channel. Very quiet regimes can reduce signal contrast. Session windows follow the exchange time of the chart. If both stop and target can be hit within one bar, assume stop first for conservative reading without bar magnifier.
Works best in liquid hours of New York RTH. Very large gaps and surprise news may exceed the implied channel. Always validate on the symbols you trade.
Entries and exits
• Entry logic. After the first window, go long if the window close is above the session open, go short if below
• Exit logic. Long exits at the channel top or at the take profit or stop. Short exits at the channel bottom or at the take profit or stop. Flat before session close by the configured minutes
• Risk model. Initial stop and target based on the VIX unit times user factors. No trail and no break even. No cooldown
• Tie handling. Treat as stop first for conservative interpretation
Position sizing
Fixed size one contract per trade. Target risk per trade should generally remain near one percent of account equity. Risk is based on the daily volatility value, the max loss from the tests for one year duration with 5min chart was 4%, while the avg loss was below <1% of the total capital.
If you have any questions please let me know. Thank you for coming by ! Strategy
Crypto Futures Basis Tracker (Annualized)🧩 What is Basis Arbitrage
Basis arbitrage is a market-neutral trading strategy that exploits the price difference between a cryptocurrency’s spot and its futures markets.
When futures trade above spot (called contango), traders can buy spot and short futures, locking in a potential yield.
When futures trade below spot (backwardation), the reverse applies — short spot and go long futures.
The yield earned (or cost paid) by holding this position until expiry is called the basis. Expressing it as an annualized percentage allows comparison across different contract maturities.
⚙️ How the Indicator Works
This tool calculates the annualized basis for up to 10 cryptocurrency futures against a chosen spot price.
You select one spot symbol (e.g., BITSTAMP:BTCUSD) and up to 10 futures symbols (e.g., DERIBIT:BTCUSD07X2025, DERIBIT:BTCUSD14X2025, etc.).
The script automatically computes the days-to-expiry (DTE) and the annualized basis for each future.
A table displays for each contract: symbol, expiry date, DTE, last price, and annualized basis (%) — making it easy to compare the forward curve across maturities.
⚠️ Risks and Limitations
While basis arbitrage is often considered low-risk, it’s not risk-free:
Funding and financing costs can erode returns, especially when borrowing or using leverage.
Exchange or counterparty risk — if one leg of the trade fails (e.g., exchange default, margin liquidation), the hedge breaks.
Execution and timing risk — the basis can tighten or invert before both legs are opened.
Liquidity differences — thin futures may have large bid-ask spreads or slippage.
Use this indicator for analysis and monitoring, not as an automated trading signal.
Disclaimer: Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results. Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as well as in historical backtesting. This post and the script don't provide any financial advice.
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Indicator
Opening-Range BreakoutNote: Default trading date range looks mediocre. Set date range to "Entire History" to see full effect of the strategy. 50.91% profitable trades, 1.178 profit factor, steady profits and limited drawdown. Total P&L: $154,141.18, Max Drawdown: $18,624.36. High R^2
█ Overview
The Opening-Range Breakout strategy is a mechanical, session‑based day‑trading system designed to capture the initial burst of directional momentum immediately following the market open. It defines a user‑configurable “opening range” window, measures its high and low boundaries, then places breakout stop orders at those levels once the range closes. Built‑in filters on minimum range width, reward‑to‑risk ratios, and optional reversal logic help refine entries and manage risk dynamically.
█ How It Works
Opening‑Range Formation
Between 9:30–10:15 AM ET (configurable), the script tracks the highest high and lowest low to form the day’s opening range box.
On the first bar after the range window closes, the range high (OR_high) and low (OR_low) are “locked in.”
Range‑Width Filter
To avoid false breakouts in low‑volatility mornings, the range must be at least X% of the current price (default 0.35%).
If the measured opening-range width < minimum threshold, no orders are placed that day.
Entry & Order Placement
Long: a stop‑buy order at the opening‑range high.
Short: a stop‑sell order at the opening‑range low.
Only one side can trigger (or both if reverse logic is enabled after a losing trade).
Risk Management
Once triggered, each trade uses an ATR‑style stop-loss defined as a percentage retracement of the range (default 50% of range width).
Profit target is set at a configurable Reward/Risk Ratio (default 1.1×).
Optional: Reverse on Stop‑Loss – if the initial breakout loses, immediately reverse into the opposite side on the same day.
Session Exit
Any open positions are closed at the end of the regular trading day (default 3:45 PM ET window end, with hard flat at session close).
Visual cues are provided via green (range high) and red (range low) step‑line plots directly on the chart, allowing you to see the range box and breakout triggers in real time.
█ Why It Works
Early Momentum Capture: The first 15 – 60 minutes of trading encapsulate overnight news digestion and institutional order flow, creating a well‑defined volatility “range.”
Mechanical Discipline: Clear, rule‑based entries and exits remove emotional guesswork, ensuring consistency.
Volatility Filtering: By requiring a minimum range width, the system avoids choppy, low‑range days where false breakouts are common.
Dynamic Sizing: Stops and targets scale with the opening range, adapting automatically to each day’s volatility environment.
█ How to Use
Set Your Instruments & Timeframe
-Apply to any futures contract on a 1‑ to 5‑minute chart.
-Ensure chart timezone is set to America/New_York.
Configure Inputs
-Opening‑Range Window: e.g. “0930-1015” for a 45‑minute range.
-Min. OR Width (%): e.g. 0.35 for 0.35% of current price.
-Reward/Risk Ratio: e.g. 1.1 for a modest profit target above your stop.
-Max OR Retracement %: e.g. 50 to set stop at 50% of range width.
-One Trade Per Day: toggle to limit to a single breakout.
-Reverse on Stop Loss: toggle to flip direction after a losing breakout.
Monitor the Chart
-Watch the green and red range boundaries form during the session open.
-Orders will automatically submit on the first bar after the range window closes, conditioned on your filters.
Review & Adjust
-Backtest across multiple months to validate performance on your preferred contract.
-Tweak range duration, minimum width, and R/R multiple to fit your risk tolerance and desired win‑rate vs. expectancy balance.
█ Settings Reference
Input Defaults
Opening‑Range Window - Time window to form OR (HHMM-HHMM) - 0930–1015
Regular Trading Day - Full session for EOD flat (HHMM-HHMM) - 0930–1545
Min. OR Width (%) - Minimum OR size as % of close to trigger orders - 0.35
Reward/Risk Ratio - Profit target multiple of stop‑loss distance - 1.1
Max OR Retracement (%) - % of OR width to use as stop‑loss distance - 50
One Trade Per Day - Limit to a single breakout order per day - false
Reverse on Stop Loss - Reverse direction immediately after a losing trade - true
Disclaimer
This strategy description and any accompanying code are provided for educational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to trade. Futures trading involves substantial risk, including possible loss of capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Traders should assess their own risk tolerance and conduct thorough backtesting and forward-testing before committing real capital. Strategy
Cumulative Intraday Volume with Long/Short LabelsThis indicator calculates a running total of volume for each trading day, then shows on the price chart when that total crosses levels you choose. Every day at 6:00 PM Eastern Time, the total goes back to zero so it always reflects only the current day’s activity. From that moment on, each time a new candle appears the indicator looks at whether the candle closed higher than it opened or lower. If it closed higher, the candle’s volume is added to the running total; if it closed lower, the same volume amount is subtracted. As a result, the total becomes positive when buyers have dominated so far today and negative when sellers have dominated.
Because futures markets close at 6 PM ET, the running total resets exactly then, mirroring the way most intraday traders think in terms of a single session. Throughout the day, you will see this running total move up or down according to whether more volume is happening on green or red candles. Once the total goes above a number you specify (for example, one hundred thousand contracts), the indicator will place a small “Long” label at that candle on the main price chart to let you know buying pressure has reached that level. Similarly, once the total goes below a negative number you choose (for example, minus one hundred thousand), a “Short” label will appear at that candle to signal that selling pressure has reached your chosen threshold. You can set these threshold numbers to whatever makes sense for your trading style or the market you follow.
Because raw volume alone never turns negative, this design uses candle direction as a sign. Green candles (where the close is higher than the open) add volume, and red candles (where the close is lower than the open) subtract volume. Summing those signed volume values tells you in a single number whether buying or selling has been stronger so far today. That number resets every evening, so it does not carry over any buying or selling from previous sessions.
Once you have this indicator on your chart, you simply watch the “summed volume” line as it moves throughout the day. If it climbs past your long threshold, you know buyers are firmly in control and a long entry might make sense. If it falls past your short threshold, you know sellers are firmly in control and a short entry might make sense. In quieter markets or times of low volume, you might use a smaller threshold so that even modest buying or selling pressure will trigger a label. During very active periods, a larger threshold will prevent too many signals when volume spikes frequently.
This approach is straightforward but can be surprisingly powerful. It does not rely on complex formulas or hidden statistical measures. Instead, it simply adds and subtracts daily volume based on candle color, then alerts you when that total reaches levels you care about. Over several years of historical testing, this formula has shown an ability to highlight moments when intraday sentiment shifts decisively from buyers to sellers or vice versa. Because the indicator resets every day at 6 PM, it always reflects only today’s sentiment and remains easy to interpret without carrying over past data. You can use it on any intraday timeframe, but it works especially well on five-minute or fifteen-minute charts for futures contracts.
If you want a clear gauge of whether buyers or sellers are dominating in real time, and you prefer a rule-based method rather than a complex model, this indicator gives you exactly that. It shows net buying or selling pressure at a glance, resets each session like most intraday traders do, and marks the moments when that pressure crosses the levels you decide are important. By combining a daily reset with signed volume, you get a single number that tells you precisely what the crowd is doing at any given moment, without any of the guesswork or hidden calculations that more complicated indicators often carry.
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Indicator
True Seasonal Pattern [tradeviZion]True Seasonal Pattern: Uncover Hidden Market Cycles
Markets have rhythms and patterns that repeat with surprising regularity. The True Seasonal Pattern indicator reveals these hidden cycles across different timeframes, helping you anticipate potential market movements based on historical seasonal tendencies.
What This Indicator Does
The True Seasonal Pattern analyzes years of historical price data to identify recurring seasonal trends. It then plots these patterns on your chart, showing you both the historical pattern and future projection based on past seasonal behavior.
Automatic Timeframe Detection: Works with Monthly, Weekly, and Daily charts
Historical Pattern Analysis: Analyzes up to 100 years of data (customizable)
Future Projection: Projects the seasonal pattern ahead on your chart
Smart Smoothing: Applies appropriate smoothing based on your timeframe
How to Use This Indicator
Add the indicator to a Daily, Weekly, or Monthly chart (not designed for intraday timeframes)
The indicator automatically detects your chart's timeframe
The blue line shows the historical seasonal pattern
Watch for potential turning points in the pattern that align with other technical signals
Seasonal patterns work best as a supporting factor in your analysis, not as standalone trading signals. They are particularly effective in markets with well-established seasonal influences.
Best Applications
Futures Markets: Commodities and futures often show strong seasonal tendencies due to production cycles, weather patterns, and economic factors
Stock Indices: Many stock markets demonstrate regular seasonal patterns (like the "Sell in May" phenomenon)
Individual Stocks: Companies with seasonal business cycles often show predictable price patterns
Practical Applications
Identify potential turning points based on historical seasonal patterns
Plan entries and exits around seasonal tendencies
Add seasonal context to your existing technical analysis
Understand why certain months or periods might show consistent behavior
Pro Tip: For best results, use this tool on instruments with at least 5+ years of historical data. Longer timeframes often reveal more reliable seasonal patterns.
Important Notes
This indicator works best on Daily, Weekly, and Monthly timeframes - not intraday charts
Seasonal patterns are tendencies, not guarantees
Always combine seasonal analysis with other technical tools
Past patterns may not repeat exactly in the future
// Sample of the seasonal calculation approach
float yearHigh = array.max(currentYearHighs)
float yearLow = array.min(currentYearLows)
// Calculate seasonality for each period
for i = 0 to array.size(currentYearCloses) - 1
float periodClose = array.get(currentYearCloses, i)
if not na(periodClose) and yearHigh != yearLow
float seasonality = (periodClose - yearLow) / (yearHigh - yearLow) * 100
I developed this indicator to help traders incorporate seasonal analysis into their trading approach without the complexity of traditional seasonal tools. Whether you're analyzing agricultural commodities, energy futures, or stock indices, understanding the seasonal context can provide valuable insights for your trading decisions.
Remember: Markets don't always follow seasonal patterns, but when they do, being aware of these tendencies can give you a meaningful edge in your analysis. Indicator
MACD & Bollinger Bands Overbought OversoldMACD & Bollinger Bands Reversal Detector
This indicator combines the power of MACD divergence analysis with Bollinger Bands to help traders identify potential reversal points in the market.
Key Features:
MACD Calculation & Divergence:
The script calculates the standard MACD components (MACD line, Signal line, and Histogram) using configurable fast, slow, and signal lengths. It includes a simplified divergence detection mechanism that flags potential bearish divergence—when the price makes a new swing high but the MACD fails to confirm the move. This divergence can serve as an early warning that the bullish momentum is waning.
Bollinger Bands:
A 20-period simple moving average (SMA) is used as the basis, with upper and lower bands drawn at 2 standard deviations. These bands help visualize overbought and oversold conditions. For example, a close at or above the upper band suggests the market may be overextended (overbought), while a close at or below the lower band may indicate oversold conditions.
Visual Alerts:
The indicator plots the Bollinger Bands on the chart along with labels marking overbought and oversold conditions. Additionally, it marks potential bearish divergence with a downward triangle, providing a quick visual cue to traders.
Usage Suggestions:
Confluence with Other Signals:
Use the divergence signals and Bollinger Band conditions as filters. For example, even if another indicator suggests a long entry, you might avoid it if the price is overbought or if MACD divergence warns of weakening momentum.
Customization:
All key parameters, such as the MACD lengths, Bollinger Band period, and multiplier, are fully configurable. This flexibility allows you to adjust the indicator to suit different markets or trading styles.
Disclaimer:
This script is provided for educational purposes only. Always perform your own analysis and backtesting before trading with live capital. Indicator
Indicator
DNSE VN301!, SMA & EMA Cross StrategyDiscover the tailored Pinescript to trade VN30F1M Future Contracts intraday, the strategy focuses on SMA & EMA crosses to identify potential entry/exit points. The script closes all positions by 14:25 to avoid holding any contracts overnight.
HNX:VN301!
www.pulsewire.com
Setting & Backtest result:
1-minute chart, initial capital of VND 100 million, entering 4 contracts per time, backtest result from Jan-2024 to Nov-2024 yielded a return over 40%, executed over 1,000 trades (average of 4 trades/day), winning trades rate ~ 30% with a profit factor of 1.10.
The default setting of the script:
A decent optimization is reached when SMA and EMA periods are set to 60 and 15 respectively while the Long/Short stop-loss level is set to 20 ticks (2 points) from the entry price.
Entry & Exit conditions:
Long signals are generated when ema(15) crosses over sma(60) while Short signals happen when ema(15) crosses under sma(60). Long orders are closed when ema(15) crosses under sma(60) while Short orders are closed when ema(15) crosses over sma(60).
Exit conditions happen when (whichever came first):
Another Long/Short signal is generated
The Stop-loss level is reached
The Cut-off time is reached (14:25 every day)
*Disclaimers:
Futures Contracts Trading are subjected to a high degree of risk and price movements can fluctuate significantly. This script functions as a reference source and should be used after users have clearly understood how futures trading works, accessed their risk tolerance level, and are knowledgeable of the functioning logic behind the script.
Users are solely responsible for their investment decisions, and DNSE is not responsible for any potential losses from applying such a strategy to real-life trading activities. Past performance is not indicative/guarantee of future results, kindly reach out to us should you have specific questions about this script.
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Khám phá Pinescript được thiết kế riêng để giao dịch Hợp đồng tương lai VN30F1M trong ngày, chiến lược tập trung vào các đường SMA & EMA cắt nhau để xác định các điểm vào/ra tiềm năng. Chiến lược sẽ đóng tất cả các vị thế trước 14:25 để tránh giữ bất kỳ hợp đồng nào qua đêm.
Thiết lập & Kết quả backtest:
Chart 1 phút, vốn ban đầu là 100 triệu đồng, vào 4 hợp đồng mỗi lần, kết quả backtest từ tháng 1/2024 tới tháng 11/2024 mang lại lợi nhuận trên 40%, thực hiện hơn 1.000 giao dịch (trung bình 4 giao dịch/ngày), tỷ lệ giao dịch thắng ~ 30% với hệ số lợi nhuận là 1,10.
Thiết lập mặc định của chiến lược:
Đạt được một mức tối ưu ổn khi SMA và EMA periods được đặt lần lượt là 60 và 15 trong khi mức cắt lỗ được đặt thành 20 tick (2 điểm) từ giá vào.
Điều kiện Mở và Đóng vị thế:
Tín hiệu Long được tạo ra khi ema(15) cắt trên sma(60) trong khi tín hiệu Short xảy ra khi ema(15) cắt dưới sma(60). Lệnh Long được đóng khi ema(15) cắt dưới sma(60) trong khi lệnh Short được đóng khi ema(15) cắt lên sma(60).
Điều kiện đóng vị thể xảy ra khi (tùy điều kiện nào đến trước):
Một tín hiệu Long/Short khác được tạo ra
Giá chạm mức cắt lỗ
Lệnh chưa đóng nhưng tới giờ cut-off (14:25 hàng ngày)
*Tuyên bố miễn trừ trách nhiệm:
Giao dịch hợp đồng tương lai có mức rủi ro cao và giá có thể dao động đáng kể. Chiến lược này hoạt động như một nguồn tham khảo và nên được sử dụng sau khi người dùng đã hiểu rõ cách thức giao dịch hợp đồng tương lai, đã đánh giá mức độ chấp nhận rủi ro của bản thân và hiểu rõ về logic vận hành của chiến lược này.
Người dùng hoàn toàn chịu trách nhiệm về các quyết định đầu tư của mình và DNSE không chịu trách nhiệm về bất kỳ khoản lỗ tiềm ẩn nào khi áp dụng chiến lược này vào các hoạt động giao dịch thực tế. Hiệu suất trong quá khứ không chỉ ra/cam kết kết quả trong tương lai, vui lòng liên hệ với chúng tôi nếu bạn có thắc mắc cụ thể về chiến lược giao dịch này. Strategy
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