Trend Following based on Trend ConfidenceThis is a Trend Following strategy based on the Trend Confidence indicator.
The goal of this strategy is to be a simple Trend Following strategy, but also to be as precise as possible when it comes to the question 'how confident are we that a linear trend is ongoing?'. For this we calculate the 'confidence' of a linear trend in the past number of closing prices. The idea of this strategy is that past a certain confidence, the ongoing linear trend is more likely to continue than not.
Trend Confidence:
The Trend Confidence shows us how strong of a linear trend the price has made in the past number (given by Length parameter) of closing prices. The steepness of the price change makes the Trend Confidence more extreme (more positive for an uptrend or more negative for a downtrend), and the deviation from a straight line makes the Trend Confidence less extreme (brings the confidence closer to 0). This way we can filter out signals by wild/sudden price moves that don't follow a clear linear trend.
Math behind the Trend Confidence:
A linear fit is made on the past number of closing prices, using Ordinary Linear Regression. We have the steepness of the linear fit: b in y=a+bx . And we have the standard deviation of the distances from the closing prices to the linear fit: sd . The Trend Confidence is the ratio b/sd .
Entries and Exits:
For entry and exit points we look at how extreme the Trend Confidence is. The strategy is based on the assumption that past a certain confidence level, the ongoing linear trend is more likely to continue than not.
So when the Trend Confidence passes above the 'Long entry" threshold, we go Long. After that when the Trend Confidence passes under the 'Long exit' threshold, we exit. The Long entry should be a positive value so that we go Long once a linear uptrend with enough confidence has been detected.
When the Trend Confidence passes below the 'Short entry' threshold, we go Short. After that when the Trend Confidence passes above the 'Short exit' threshold, we exit. The Short entry should be a negative value so that we go Short once a linear downtrend with enough confidence has been detected.
Default Parameters:
The strategy is intended for BTC-USD market, 4 hour timeframe. The strategy also works on ETH-USD with similar parameters.
The Length is arbitrarily set at 30, this means we look at the past 30 closing prices to determine a linear trend. Note that changing the length will change the range of Trend Confidence values encountered.
The default entry and exit thresholds for Longs and Shorts do not mirror each other. This is because the BTC-USD market goes up more heavily and more often than it goes down. So the ideal parameters for Longs and Shorts are not the same.
The positive results of the strategy remain when the parameters are slightly changed (robustness check).
The strategy uses 100% equity per trade, but has a 10% stop loss so that a maximum of 10% is risked per trade.
Commission is set at 0.1% as is the highest commission for most crypto exchanges.
Slippage is set at 5 ticks, source for this is theblock.co.
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Ichimoku Cloud with MACD and Trailing Stop Loss (by Coinrule)The Ichimoku Cloud is a collection of technical indicators that show support and resistance levels, as well as momentum and trend direction. It does this by taking multiple averages and plotting them on a chart. It also uses these figures to compute a “cloud” that attempts to forecast where the price may find support or resistance in the future.
The Ichimoku Cloud was developed by Goichi Hosoda, a Japanese journalist, and published in the late 1960s. It provides more data points than the standard candlestick chart. While it seems complicated at first glance, those familiar with how to read the charts often find it easy to understand with well-defined trading signals.
The Ichimoku Cloud is composed of five lines or calculations, two of which comprise a cloud where the difference between the two lines is shaded in.
The lines include a nine-period average, a 26-period average, an average of those two averages, a 52-period average, and a lagging closing price line.
The cloud is a key part of the indicator. When the price is below the cloud, the trend is down. When the price is above the cloud, the trend is up.
The above trend signals are strengthened if the cloud is moving in the same direction as the price. For example, during an uptrend, the top of the cloud is moving up, or during a downtrend, the bottom of the cloud is moving down.
The MACD is a trend following momentum indicator and provides identification of short-term trend direction. In this variation it utilises the 12-period as the fast and 26-period as the slow length EMAs, with signal smoothing set at 9.
This strategy combines the Ichimoku Cloud with the MACD indicator to better enter trades.
Long/Exit orders are placed when three basic signals are triggered.
Long Position:
Tenkan-Sen is above the Kijun-Sen
Chikou-Span is above the close of 26 bars ago
Close is above the Kumo Cloud
MACD line crosses over the signal line
Exit Position:
Price increases 3% trailing
Price decreases 3% trailing
The script is backtested from 1 June 2022 and provides good returns.
The strategy assumes each order is using 30% of the available coins to make the results more realistic and to simulate you only ran this strategy on 30% of your holdings. A trading fee of 0.1% is also taken into account and is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance.
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Linear EDCA v1.2Strategy Description:
Linear EDCA (Linear Enhanced Dollar Cost Averaging) is an enhanced version of the DCA fixed investment strategy. It has the following features:
1. Take the 1100-day SMA as a reference indicator, enter the buy range below the moving average, and enter the sell range above the moving average
2. The order to buy and sell is carried out at different "speed", which are set with two linear functions, and you can change the slope of the linear function to achieve different trading position control purposes
3. This fixed investment is a low-frequency strategy and only works on a daily level cycle
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Strategy backtest performance:
BTCUSD (September 2014~September 2022): Net profit margin 26378%, maximum floating loss 47.12% (2015-01-14)
ETHUSD (August 2018~September 2022): Net profit margin 1669%, maximum floating loss 49.63% (2018-12-14)
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How the strategy works:
Buying Conditions:
The closing price of the day is below the 1100 SMA, and the ratio of buying positions is determined by the deviation of the closing price from the moving average and the buySlope parameter
Selling Conditions:
The closing price of the day is above the 1100 SMA, and the ratio of the selling position is determined by the deviation of the closing price and the moving average and the sellSlope parameter
special case:
When the sellOffset parameter>0, it will maintain a small buy within a certain range above the 1100 SMA to avoid prematurely starting to sell
The maximum ratio of a single buy position does not exceed defInvestRatio * maxBuyRate
The maximum ratio of a single sell position does not exceed defInvestRatio * maxSellRate
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Version Information:
Current version v1.2 (the first officially released version)
v1.2 version setting parameter description:
defInvestRatio: The default fixed investment ratio, the strategy will calculate the position ratio of a single fixed investment based on this ratio and a linear function. The default 0.025 represents 2.5% of the position
buySlope: the slope of the linear function of the order to buy, used to control the position ratio of a single buy
sellSlope: the slope of the linear function of the order to sell, used to control the position ratio of a single sell
sellOffset: The offset of the order to sell. If it is greater than 0, it will keep a small buy within a certain range to avoid starting to sell too early
maxSellRate: Controls the maximum sell multiple. The maximum ratio of a single sell position does not exceed defInvestRatio * maxSellRate
maxBuyRate: Controls the maximum buy multiple. The maximum ratio of a single buy position does not exceed defInvestRatio * maxBuyRate
maPeriod: the length of the moving average, 1100-day MA is used by default
smoothing: moving average smoothing algorithm, SMA is used by default
useDateFilter: Whether to specify a date range when backtesting
settleOnEnd: If useDateFilter==true, whether to close the position after the end date
startDate: If useDateFilter==true, specify the backtest start date
endDate: If useDateFilter==true, specify the end date of the backtest
investDayofweek: Invest on the day of the week, the default is to close on Monday
intervalDays: The minimum number of days between each invest. Since it is calculated on a weekly basis, this number must be 7 or a multiple of 7
The v1.2 version data window indicator description (only important indicators are listed):
MA: 1100-day SMA
RoR%: floating profit and loss of the current position
maxLoss%: The maximum floating loss of the position. Note that this floating loss represents the floating loss of the position, and does not represent the floating loss of the overall account. For example, the current position is 1%, the floating loss is 50%, the overall account floating loss is 0.5%, but the position floating loss is 50%
maxGain%: The maximum floating profit of the position. Note that this floating profit represents the floating profit of the position, and does not represent the floating profit of the overall account.
positionPercent%: position percentage
positionAvgPrice: position average holding cost
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策略说明：
Linear EDCA（Linear Enhanced Dollar Cost Averaging）是一个DCA定投策略的增强版本，它具有如下特性：
1. 以1100日SMA均线作为参考指标，在均线以下进入定买区间，在均线以上进入定卖区间
2. 定买和定卖以不同的“速率”进行，它们用两条线性函数设定，并且你可以通过改变线性函数的斜率，以达到不同的买卖仓位控制的目的
3. 本定投作为低频策略，只在日级别周期工作
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策略回测表现：
BTCUSD（2014年09月~2022年09月）：净利润率26378%，最大浮亏47.12%（2015-01-14）
ETHUSD（2018年08~2022年09月）：净利润率1669%，最大浮亏49.63%（2018-12-14）
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策略工作原理：
买入条件：
当日收盘价在 1100 SMA 之下，由收盘价和均线的偏离度，以及buySlope参数决定买入仓位比例
卖出条件：
当日收盘价在 1100 SMA之上，由收盘价和均线的偏离度，以及sellSlope参数决定卖出仓位比例
特例：
当sellOffset参数>0，则在 1100 SMA以上一定范围内还会保持小幅买入，避免过早开始卖出
单次买入仓位比例最大不超过 defInvestRatio * maxBuyRate
单次卖出仓位比例最大不超过 defInvestRatio * maxSellRate
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版本信息：
当前版本v1.2（第一个正式发布的版本）
v1.2版本设置参数说明：
defInvestRatio: 默认定投比例，策略会根据此比例和线性函数计算得出单次定投的仓位比例。默认0.025代表2.5%仓位
buySlope: 定买的线性函数斜率，用来控制单次买入的仓位倍率
sellSlope: 定卖的线性函数斜率，用来控制单次卖出的仓位倍率
sellOffset: 定卖的偏移度，如果大于0，则在一定范围内还会保持小幅买入，避免过早开始卖出
maxSellRate: 控制最大卖出倍率。单次卖出仓位比例最大不超过 defInvestRatio * maxSellRate
maxBuyRate: 控制最大买入倍率。单次买入仓位比例最大不超过 defInvestRatio * maxBuyRate
maPeriod: 均线长度，默认使用1100日MA
smoothing: 均线平滑算法，默认使用SMA
useDateFilter: 回测时是否要指定日期范围
settleOnEnd: 如果useDateFilter==true，在结束日之后是否平仓所持有的仓位平仓
startDate: 如果useDateFilter==true，指定回测开始日期
endDate: 如果useDateFilter==true，指定回测结束日期
investDayofweek: 每次在周几定投，默认在每周一收盘
intervalDays: 每次定投之间的最小间隔天数，由于是按周计算，所以此数字必须是7或7的倍数
v1.2版本数据窗口指标说明（只列出重要指标）：
MA：1100日SMA
RoR%: 当前仓位的浮动盈亏
maxLoss%: 仓位曾经的最大浮动亏损，注意此浮亏代表持仓仓位的浮亏情况，并不代表整体账户浮亏情况。例如当前仓位是1%，浮亏50%，整体账户浮亏是0.5%，但仓位浮亏是50%
maxGain%: 仓位曾经的最大浮动盈利，注意此浮盈代表持仓仓位的浮盈情况，并不代表整体账户浮盈情况。
positionPercent%: 仓位持仓占比
positionAvgPrice: 仓位平均持仓成本 Strategy
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Crypto Map Dashboard v1.0🔰Overview
Charts are an essential part of working with data, as they are a way to condense large amounts of data into an easy to understand format. Visualizations of data can bring out insights to someone looking at the data for the first time, as well as convey findings to others who won’t see the raw data. There are countless chart types out there, each with different use cases. Often, the most difficult part of creating a data visualization is figuring out which chart type is best for the task at hand.
What are the types of metrics, features, or other variables that you plan on plotting? Although it depended on some multiple factors!
But my choices of the chart type for this Crypto datas was Pie chart or Donut char for crypto dominances ,and Colum (Bar) chart for Total MarketCaps .
The audiences that I plan on presenting this for them could be all pulsewirers , especially crypto lovers ,or those who just aim to have an initial exploration for themselves ,like me!
so this indicator mostly could be an educational indicator script for pine coders !
We can use the " Crypto Map Dashboard " indicator to Get an quick overview of the crypto market and monitor where the smart money Flow changing by comparing the dominances and totals Caps .
In general, it consists of 4 parts:
✅1 =>> Table1 : If you like to see and compare and monitor the changes of dominances of (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Usdt , Usdc , etc.) and their market cap in different times you can see the table on The upper-right corner.
✅2 =>> Table2: Also, in the table lower-right corner, you can see the changes of the totals(Total, Total2 , Total3 and TotalDefi) in the same time periods.
✅3 =>> pie chart or donut chart: By viewing this , you understand better about Table1 Datas, that it depicts exactly how Dominance is distributed and specialized.
✅4 =>> column chart (bar chart) : And in the last you can clearly compare the total marketcaps and see how far they are from their ATHs.
You also can even notice the entry and exit of liquidity from the crypto market!
I must also mention that I am definitely still a beginner compared to more experienced pine coders, and there may be some bugs in my codes and calculations, but I am an open person and I welcome your comments ,Also Let me know if you have any questions.
Lots of Love to all pulsewireers and pineCoder ,Cheers!💚❤️💙
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Parabolic SAR with the ADX overlayThe following indicator and chart pattern is based on a twist from Welles Wilder's parabolic stop and reverse . This is a trend following system which is essentially a dynamic trailing stop loss for longs and shorts. The system is often criticized for it's poor performance in choppy rangebound markets so people often combine it with other signals that attempt to identify a "trend" the ADX is a popular indicator with three indicators, the DI+ "Positive Directional Indicator" the DI- "Negative Directional Indicator" and then a combination of the two, the ADX "Average Directional Indicator". Generally speaking, if the DI+ is above the DI- and the ADX is greater than 25 then we are in a positive trending market. If the DI+ is less than the DI- and the ADX is greater than 25 then we are in a negative trending market. If the ADX is less than 25 then there is no trend in place and we are in a range bound "choppy market".
So, I created this chart to show when the ADX is > 25 (or you can enter your own number) and the DI+ is > DI- then the background will be green. Vice versa, when the ADX is >25 and the DI+ is < DI- then we are in a negative trending market and the background color will be red. If the ADX is < 25 (or whatever you choose) then we are in a choppy 'range-bound" market.
Regarding the ParSAR. Pay attention to the "+" marks. they indicate whether we are bullish or bearish. When we cross through a + then we revert to the opposite. "Stop And Reverse". They are a simple calculation of a starting percentage, an incremental increase in that percentage, and a max percentage increase. If you want your system to trade less, decrease the "maximum" If you want it to trade more, increase the maximum.
Tinker around with these and you might find a healthy strategy you can trade on.
If you add Take Profit Targets and Stop Loss Targets, this is an even more productive strategy. Try it out on BINANCE:ETHUSDT with a 2hr time horizon and 0.02, 0.023, 0.2. Indicator
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[DS]Bitcoin BTC ETH and others cryptos==DESCRIPTION - English version
The purpose of this script is to show information on graph that can help your decision to buy and sell cryptos.
The script is indicated for Position Trade (Long Term - Holder) and Swing Trade (Medium term).
Position Trade it is recommended to use the Weekly (W) and Daily (D) charts, Swing trade to use the 4H and 2H charts.
It is not advisable to use this indicator with graphic time frame less than 2 hours because the noise levels of information are very high.
An alert function has been inserted in the indicator and to activate this function you will need configure it in the Tradingview.
This alert will indicate the likely points of entry and exit of the asset.
**DESCRIÇÃO - Versão em Português
A proposta deste script é mostrar no gráfico informações que possam auxiliar a sua decisão de compra e venda de cryptos.
Este script é indicado para negociação Position Trade (Longo Prazo - Holders) e Swing Trade (Médio prazo).
Para Position Trade (Holders) é indicado utilizar os gráficos Semanal (W) e Diário (D), para Swing trade utilizar os gráficos 4H e 2H.
Não é aconselhável utilizar este indicador com tempos gráficos menores que 2hs pois os níveis de ruídos nas informação são muito altos.
Foi inserido no indicador uma função de alerta e para ativar esta função, você precisará configurá-la no seu Tradingview.
Este alerta irá indicar os provaveis pontos de entrada e saída do ativo.
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** English Version
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█ SETUP applied to Indicator
The setup is based on the average 8, 21 and 56 of the weekly chart (taught on youtube channel: Augusto Backes)
Price above the average 8 on the weekly, indicates that the market is UP trend, below the average 8 on the weekly that the market is DOWN trend
RSI greater than 60% the market is UP trend
RSI greater than 40% and lower 60% the market is in ACCUMULATION
RSI less than 40% the market DOWN trend
The weekly average 8 is represented in GREEN (Upward Trend) and RED (Downward Trend).
The weekly average 21 is represented in LIGHT ORANGE
The weekly average 56 is represented in LIGHT PURPLE
The crossing of weekly averages 8 and 21 is represented with a GREEN (HIGH trend) and RED (LOW trend) cross - this signal is disabled on the graph but you can enable it by clicking on the graph setup
█ FUNCTION USE
(1) Average 8, 21 and 56 on Weekly - show the average 8, 21, 56 weekly on graphic (Average 8 in color red and green, 21 - light orange, 56 light purple)
(2) Crossing of averages 8 and 21 Weekly - is not active but you can activate
(3) Calculation of RSI
(4) barcolor() - mark the candles with the green color (High market) and red color (Dow market)
(5) alertcondition() - you can active this alert on Tadingview
█ BUY AND SELL POINTS - likely points
The indication of the BUY position is shown by a green arrow pointing upwards and the sell position by a red arrow pointing downwards. Buy and sell indications are obtained from the divergence in the market trend.
█ THANK TO
PineCoders for everything they do, all the tools and help they provide, and their involvement in making a better community. All PineCoders, Pine Pros and Pine Wizards, people who share their work and knowledge because of it and helping others, I am so happy and so grateful.
█ NOTE
This indicator is not a buy and sell recommendation, it indicates the most likely buy and sell points. Every purchase and sale decision is your responsibility
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** Versão em Português
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█ SETUP aplicado no Indicador
O setup está baseado na média 8, 21, e 56 do gráfico semanal
Preço acima da média 8 no semanal indica que o mercado esta em tendência de ALTA, abaixo da média 8 no semanal que o mercado está em tendência de BAIXA
RSI maior que 60% o mercado está em ALTA
RSI maior que 40% e menor 60% o mercado está em ACUMULAÇÃO
RSI menor que 40% o mercado está em BAIXA
A média 8 semanal está representadas nas cores VERDE (Tendência de Alta) e VERMELHA (Tendência de Baixa).
A média 21 semanal está representada na cor laranja claro
A média 56 semanal está representada na cor roxa claro
O cruzamento das médias 8 e 21 semanal esta representado com uma cruz VERDE (Tendência de ALTA) e VERMELHA (Tendência de BAIXA) - este sinal esta desativado no gráfico mas você pode ativá-lo clicando no setup do gráfico
█ FUNÇÕES UTILIZADAS
(1) Média 8, 21 e 56 no Semanal - mostra a média 8, 21, e 56 no gráfico
(2) Cruzamento das médias 8 e 21 Semanal - não está ativo mas você pode ativá-lo
(3) Cálculo do RSI
(4) barcolor() - marca a vela (Candle) com a cor verde (Mercado em Alta) e a cor vermelha (Mercado em Baixa)
(5) alertcondition () - você pode ativar o alerta no Tradingview
█ PONTOS DE COMPRA E VENDA - prováveis pontos
A indicação da posição de COMPRA é apresentada por uma seta na cor verde apontada para cima e a posição de VENDA por uma seta na cor vermelha apontada para baixo. As indicações de compra e venda são obtidas a partir da divergência na tendência do mercado.
█ OBRIGADO PARA
PineCoders por tudo o que fazem, todas as ferramentas e ajuda que fornecem, e seu envolvimento em fazer uma comunidade melhor. Todos os PineCoders, Pine Pros e Pine Wizards, pessoas que compartilham seu trabalho e conhecimento por causa dele e ajudando os outros, estou muito feliz e muito grato.
█ NOTA
Este indicador não é uma recomendação de compra e venda ele indica os pontos mais prováveis de compra e venda. Toda decisão de compra e venda é de sua responsabilidade
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