Indicator

Vertical Horizontal Moving Average [AneoPsy & alexgrover] Moving average adapting to the strength of the trend, this is made possible by using the square of the vertical-horizontal filter as a smoothing factor. Alerts are included with two different types of conditions available to the user.
Settings
Length : Period of the moving average
Src : Input data for the indicator
Alerts : Types of conditions to be used in the alerts, when set to "VHMA Direction Change" alerts are triggered once the VHMA is either rising or declining, else the alerts are based on the crosses between Src and the VHMA
Usage
The VHMA can be used as a fast or slow-moving average in a moving average crossover system, or as input for other indicators.
VHMA of with length = 25 and sma with length = 200.
VHMA with length = 25 used as input for the RSI with length = 14.
Details
The vertical-horizontal filter is a measure of the strength of the trend and lay in a (0,1) range, to calculate it you just need to divide the rolling range over with the rolling sum of the absolute price changes, squaring the result allow to get lower results with higher values of length .
Squared vertical horizontal filter with length = 50, the value is low when the market is ranging and high when trending.
To set the alerts go in the alert panel, click on create alert, and select VHMA in "condition", choose between the buy or sell alert. If Src = closing price or another indicator dependant on the closing price select in options "once per bar close", if the indicator using the opening or lagged closing prices values as input select "One per bar" instead.
Thanks
Thanks to AneoPsy for adding the color change, the idea to use two kinds of conditions for the alert, and for its feedback, you can follow him
www.pulsewire.com
and finally thanks to you for reading and for your support, only one last script left for the month, then we'll start July with some pretty interesting indicators, I hope you'll like them ^^/
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EQma - Adaptive Smoothing Based On Optimal Markets DetectionIntroduction
"You don’t put sunscreen when there is no sun, you don’t use an umbrella when there is no rain, you don’t use a kite when there is no wind, so why would you use a trend following strategy when there is no trend ?"
This is how i start my 4th paper "A New Technical Indicator For Optimal Markets Detection" where i present two new technical indicators. We talked about the first one, running equity, which aim to detect the best moment to enter trades, based on this new metric i made an adaptive moving average.
You can see the full paper here figshare.com
The Indicator
The moving average is based on exponential averaging and use a smoothing variable alpha based on the running equity metric, in order to calculate alpha the running equity is divided by the optimal equity which show the best returns possible for the conditions used. Basically the indicator work as follow :
When the running equity is close to the optimal equity it means that the price need no/little filtering since it does not contain information that need to be filtered, therefore alpha is high, however when the running equity is far from the optimal equity this mean that the price posses malign information that need to be removed.
This is why the indicator will be closer to the price when length is high :
See the full paper for an explanation on how this work.
I added various options for the indicator, one will reduce the lag by squaring alpha, thus giving for length = 14 :
The efficient option will make use of recursion to provide a more efficient indicator :
In green the efficient version, note how this option can allow a better fit with the price.
Conclusion
This is an indicator but at its core its rather a framework, if you have read the paper you'll see that the conditions are just 1 and -1 that changes with time, basically its like making a strategy with :
Condition = if buy then 1 else if sell then -1 else Precedent value of condition.
So those two indicators allow to give useful and usable information about your strategy. I hope it can be of use for anyone here, if so don't hesitate to send me what you made using the proposed indicator (and with all my indicators in general). If you are writing a paper and you think this indicator could fit in your work then let me know so i can be aware of it :)
Thanks for reading !
Acknowledgement
My papers are quite ridiculous but they still manage to get some views, some researchers don't even reach those number in so little time which is quite unfortunate but also really motivating for me, so thanks to those who take time to read them and give me some feedback :)
Indicator

Kaufman Adaptive Correlation OscillatorIntroduction
The correlation oscillator is a technical indicator that measure the linear relationship between the market closing price and a simple increasing line, the indicator is in a (-1,1) range and rise when price is up-trending and fall when price is down-trending. Another characteristic of the indicator is its inherent smoothing which provide a noise free (to some extent) oscillator.
Such indicator use simple moving averages as well as estimates of the standard deviation for its calculation, but we can easily make it adaptive, this is why i propose this new technical indicator that create an adaptive correlation oscillator based on the Kaufman adaptive moving average.
The Indicator
The length parameter control the period window of the moving average, larger periods return smoother results while having a low kurtosis, which mean that values will remain around 1 or -1 a longer period of time. Pre-filtering apply a Kaufman adaptive moving average to the input, which allow for a smoother output.
No pre-filtering in orange, pre-filtering in yellow, period = 100 for both oscillators.
If you are not aware of the Kaufman adaptive moving average, such moving average return more reactive results when price is trending and smoother results when price is ranging, this also apply for the proposed indicator.
Conclusion
Classical correlation coefficients could use this approach, therefore the linear relationships between any variables could be measured. The fact that the indicator is adaptive add a certain potential, however such combination make the indicator have the drawback of kama + the correlation oscillator, which might appear at certain points.
Thanks for reading ! Indicator

Strategy

Dynamically Adjustable Moving AverageIntroduction
The Dynamically Adjustable Moving Average (AMA) is an adaptive moving average proposed by Jacinta Chan Phooi M’ng (1) originally provided to forecast Asian Tiger's futures markets. AMA adjust to market condition in order to avoid whipsaw trades as well as entering the trending market earlier. This moving average showed better results than classical methods (SMA20, EMA20, MAC, MACD, KAMA, OptSMA) using a classical crossover/under strategy in Asian Tiger's futures from 2014 to 2015.
Dynamically Adjustable Moving Average
AMA adjust to market condition using a non-exponential method, which in itself is not common, AMA is described as follow :
1/v * sum(close,v)
where v = σ/√σ
σ is the price standard deviation.
v is defined as the Efficacy Ratio (not be confounded with the Efficiency Ratio) . As you can see v determine the moving average period, you could resume the formula in pine with sma(close,v) but in pine its not possible to use the function sma with variables for length, however you can derive sma using cumulation.
sma ≈ d/length where d = c - c_length and c = cum(close)
So a moving average can be expressed as the difference of the cumulated price by the cumulated price length period back, this difference is then divided by length. The length period of the indicator should be short since rounded version of v tend to become less variables thus providing less adaptive results.
AMA in Forex Market
In 2014/2015 Major Forex currencies where more persistent than Asian Tiger's Futures (2) , also most traded currency pairs tend to have a strong long-term positive autocorrelation so AMA could have in theory provided good results if we only focus on the long term dependency. AMA has been tested with ASEAN-5 Currencies (3) and still showed good results, however forex is still a tricky market, also there is zero proof that switching to a long term moving average during ranging market avoid whipsaw trades (if you have a paper who prove it please pm me) .
Conclusion
An interesting indicator, however the idea behind it is far from being optimal, so far most adaptive methods tend to focus more in adapting themselves to market complexity than volatility. An interesting approach would have been to determine the validity of a signal by checking the efficacy ratio at time t . Backtesting could be a good way to see if the indicator is still performing well.
References
(1) J.C.P. M’ng, Dynamically adjustable moving average (AMA’) technical
analysis indicator to forecast Asian Tigers’ futures markets, Physica A (2018),
doi.org
(2) www.researchgate.net
(3) www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov Indicator

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