Building Momentum for a Move Above 82.79 Is the Key
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■ SOL Key Support & Resistance Zone
SOL is currently trading near one of its most important support and resistance zones:
▶ 58.38 ~ 68.20
If SOL establishes solid support around this area, the probability of a medium- to long-term trend reversal could increase significantly.
On the other hand, if price breaks below the 58.38 ~ 68.20 zone, SOL may enter a price range that should be approached from a longer-term investment perspective.
Therefore, it is important to prepare a capital management and risk management strategy in advance in case this zone fails to hold.
The HA-Low on the 1W chart is currently located around:
▶ 86.71
For SOL to develop a meaningful bullish structure, the key will be whether price can move above 86.71 and successfully turn this level into support.
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■ How Should We Use HA-Low and HA-High?
The major trading opportunities on this chart are determined by how price reacts around the HA-Low and HA-High levels.
In simple terms:
▶ HA-Low = Key zone for buying and accumulation
▶ HA-High = Key zone for profit-taking and managing positions near potential highs
The HA-Low area is one of the key zones for looking for buying opportunities.
However, a breakdown below HA-Low should not automatically be interpreted as a buy signal.
If HA-Low continues to move lower in a step-down pattern, it indicates that the market is still undergoing additional price correction.
At the same time, this process may eventually develop into an accumulation structure that sets the stage for a future bullish reversal.
Therefore, as HA-Low moves lower, rather than entering a large position all at once, it is more important to monitor whether price establishes support around each newly formed HA-Low and build the position gradually.
HA-High has a completely different role.
Since HA-High represents a potential high-price zone, protecting profits should be the priority when price approaches this area.
Therefore, around HA-High, traders should consider:
▶ Partial profit-taking
▶ Raising stop levels
▶ Protecting unrealized profits
If price falls below HA-High and the level turns into resistance, reducing risk through a stop-loss or additional partial selling may be necessary.
On the other hand, if price breaks above HA-High and successfully converts it into support, a short-term day-trading opportunity may develop.
However, if price subsequently falls back below HA-High and the level becomes resistance again, strict stop-loss management is essential.
In other words:
▶ HA-Low breakdown = Look for accumulation structure and potential re-entry opportunities
▶ HA-High breakdown = Prioritize profit protection and risk management
Although both situations involve price moving lower, their implications are fundamentally different.
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■ A Strong Rally Ultimately Requires a Break Above HA-High
For price to transition into a strong bullish trend, it ultimately needs to break above HA-High and maintain price above that level.
To generate enough momentum for such a move, it is important that sufficient accumulation takes place around HA-Low.
However, individual traders have no reliable way of knowing the actual amount of accumulation taking place in the market.
Therefore, what we can do is gradually increase our holdings in potential accumulation zones while continuing to protect our trading capital.
This is where the following strategy becomes important:
▶ "Buy → Sell → Re-buy"
Instead of continuously buying without taking profits, the idea is to use market volatility to recover capital while gradually increasing the amount of coins you hold.
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■ Increasing Holdings While Recovering Capital
For example, after buying at a certain price, if the market moves higher, you can sell approximately 50% of the amount invested in that entry to recover part of your capital.
By repeating this process, you can maintain liquidity for future buying opportunities.
If available trading capital begins to run low, you can sell enough of a profitable position to recover the original capital allocated to that entry.
This allows you to recover your principal while keeping the remaining coins as profit.
The most conservative version of this strategy is:
▶ Recover 100% of the original capital after price rises
At first, this may appear to leave you with too few coins.
However, the final number of coins accumulated can vary significantly depending on how much market volatility you are able to trade and how many successful trading cycles you complete.
If volatility is low, the amount accumulated will naturally be smaller.
If volatility is high, effective short-term trading may provide more opportunities to increase your remaining holdings.
Therefore, during an accumulation phase, the objective should not simply be to "buy cheap."
The following four elements should be considered together:
▶ Protect trading capital
▶ Recover principal
▶ Maintain capital for re-entry
▶ Gradually increase coin holdings
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■ SOL's Current Short-Term Structure
SOL is currently maintaining bullish momentum after moving above the StochRSI 80 level.
However, the Stochastic RSI indicator itself is currently in the overbought zone.
This means that upside momentum may eventually face some resistance or temporary limitations.
Therefore, as Stochastic RSI resets from the overbought region, it will be important to monitor whether price can maintain support around the StochRSI 80 price level.
If price continues to hold around the StochRSI 80 level while the indicator resets, the current bullish structure is more likely to remain intact.
In that case, the next key zone to watch is:
▶ 82.79 ~ 86.71
If price fails to establish support, the correction could extend toward:
▶ 68.20
During such a decline, price action around the StochRSI 20 level should be monitored closely to determine whether partial selling is necessary.
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■ SOL's Key Upside Breakout Zone
If SOL continues higher, the first major area to watch is:
▶ 1W Key Zone: 82.79 ~ 86.71
The 1W HA-Low is currently located around 86.71.
Therefore, simply breaking above this zone is not enough.
The key is whether SOL can break above the 82.79 ~ 86.71 zone and successfully convert it into support.
Above this area, the 1D HA-High is currently located around:
▶ 92.83
Since HA-High represents a potential high-price zone, traders should prioritize protecting profits around 92.83 rather than simply expecting further upside.
Partial profit-taking should therefore be considered as price approaches this level.
This means SOL's major upside decision zone can currently be defined as:
▶ 82.79 ~ 92.83
If SOL breaks through this entire zone and successfully establishes support above it, selling pressure may be absorbed and bullish momentum could strengthen significantly.
Under those conditions, the probability of SOL developing a much stronger bullish trend would increase.
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■ Key Levels Summary
▶ Major Medium-/Long-Term Support & Resistance:
58.38 ~ 68.20
▶ 1W Key Zone:
82.79 ~ 86.71
▶ 1W HA-Low:
86.71
▶ 1D HA-High:
92.83
▶ Major Upside Decision Zone:
82.79 ~ 92.83
The most important factor for SOL right now is not simply whether price moves higher.
SOL needs to build enough momentum to move above 82.79 and successfully convert the 82.79 ~ 86.71 zone into support.
If price then approaches 92.83, protecting profits should come first while monitoring whether the 1D HA-High can be broken and converted into support.
Ultimately, the core principle remains simple:
"Look for opportunities to accumulate around HA-Low,
and protect profits around HA-High."
Maintaining this principle while taking advantage of market volatility is the key to managing both opportunity and risk.
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Thank you for reading.
Wishing you successful trading.
KEY QUESTION: CAN SPCX BREAK ABOVE 145.30 ~ 154.60?
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▶ SPCX CHART
────────────────────────────────────
■ CURRENT MARKET STRUCTURE
────────────────────────────────────
Since SPCX has only a limited amount of trading history,
the support and resistance levels currently visible on the chart
may not yet have strong reliability.
Therefore, extra caution is required when trading.
It is important to confirm whether key price levels
actually function as support or resistance before making a decision.
────────────────────────────────────
■ KEY LOW-VOLUME NODE : 145.30 ~ 154.60
────────────────────────────────────
SPCX currently has a key Low-Volume Node (LVN) around:
▶ 145.30 ~ 154.60
If the price breaks above this range
and successfully establishes it as support,
▶ the probability of developing a new bullish trend could increase.
────────────────────────────────────
■ BULLISH MOMENTUM CONFIRMATION : 159.20
────────────────────────────────────
The StochRSI 20 reference level is currently around:
▶ 159.20
Therefore, stronger bullish momentum may require:
▶ Break above 159.20
↓
▶ Hold above 159.20
↓
▶ Bullish momentum strengthens
A sustained move above this level would provide stronger confirmation
that the stock is attempting to establish a new upward trend.
────────────────────────────────────
■ STOCHRSI OVERBOUGHT RESET
────────────────────────────────────
The recent advance has increased expectations
for further upside.
However, for SPCX to decisively break through the
▶ 145.30 ~ 154.60 range
and continue moving higher,
StochRSI may first need to cool down
and reset its short-term momentum.
If the current upward momentum continues without a pause,
StochRSI could quickly enter the overbought zone.
This could temporarily limit further upside momentum.
Therefore, the market may need:
▶ A period of consolidation
or
▶ A moderate short-term pullback
to allow StochRSI to cool down
and rebuild room for another upward move.
────────────────────────────────────
■ WHAT IF OBV REMAINS STRONG?
────────────────────────────────────
During this process, watch the OBV closely.
If OBV shows the following structure:
▶ Break above the High Line
↓
▶ Hold above the High Line
↓
▶ Continue trending higher
this would indicate that buying pressure remains strong.
Under these conditions,
the bullish trend could continue
even if StochRSI enters the overbought zone.
If buying pressure remains strong,
the next major upside target could be:
▶ 171.74
────────────────────────────────────
■ KEY SUPPORT DURING A PULLBACK : 138.74
────────────────────────────────────
If a correction develops
while StochRSI works off its overbought condition,
the first important level to monitor is:
▶ 138.74
If the price remains above 138.74
while StochRSI cools down
and subsequently turns higher again,
▶ the probability of another bullish move could increase.
────────────────────────────────────
■ BROADER BULLISH STRUCTURE : 114.92
────────────────────────────────────
Considering the current price structure,
even if the correction becomes deeper,
the StochRSI 80 reference level around:
▶ 114.92
remains an important level to monitor.
As long as the price remains above 114.92,
▶ the broader bullish structure may remain intact.
────────────────────────────────────
■ STRATEGY FOR A NEW ENTRY
────────────────────────────────────
For investors considering a new position,
chasing the current price may carry additional risk.
A more conservative approach would be:
▶ Break above 145.30 ~ 154.60
↓
▶ Confirm support above the breakout zone
↓
▶ Confirm strength in OBV
↓
▶ Confirm bullish momentum
↓
▶ Consider a new entry
The key is not simply whether the price rises,
but whether the breakout level successfully converts into support.
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■ KEY LEVELS SUMMARY
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▶ 145.30 ~ 154.60
Key Low-Volume Node
Breakout & support-conversion zone
▶ 159.20
Bullish momentum confirmation level
▶ 171.74
Major upside target if momentum continues
▶ 138.74
Primary support level during a short-term correction
▶ 114.92
Key level for maintaining the broader bullish structure
▶ OBV High Line
Key indicator for confirming sustained buying pressure
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■ CONCLUSION
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The most important question for SPCX is:
▶ Can the price break above 145.30 ~ 154.60?
And more importantly:
▶ Can this range successfully convert from resistance into support?
If StochRSI cools down
while OBV remains above the High Line
and continues showing strong buying pressure,
the potential bullish sequence would be:
▶ Break above 145.30 ~ 154.60
↓
▶ Establish the range as support
↓
▶ Break above 159.20
↓
▶ Bullish momentum strengthens
↓
▶ Potential move toward 171.74
Therefore, rather than simply chasing the current rally,
the key factor to monitor is:
"BREAKOUT AND SUPPORT CONVERSION OF 145.30 ~ 154.60"
This could become the critical confirmation
for SPCX's next major bullish move.
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Thank you for reading.
Wishing you successful trading.
Long
Semis are improving and LRCX is an early watch candidateThis idea is a play on improvement in semis. I'm not going to pretend to understand exactly what Lam Research does, but they provide semiconductor equipment. Their website has all kinds of cool machines that chipmakers (TSMC, Samsung, Intel) use to build chips. It's a pick and shovel play in semis.
Chip stocks have been the story of 2026 and they became overbought and crashed hard in July. Lam fell nearly 42% last month. Right now, my internal dashboard shows that chips are recovering and this relative strength could indicate an early turnaround. And with earnings out of the way, Lam doesn't have major gap risk from that.
But I reiterate: It's early in the turnaround and unconfirmed, and as of today, chips are still lagging with selective improvement.
Stocks always pull back to the 200-day moving average and Lam came within striking distance of it (red line in chart) before recovering. I do like to see overbought conditions wash out and reset, so it has that going.
In its turnaround, LRCX has recovered the short-term moving averages in the 10 day sma and 21 day ema. A necessity for early trend development. it's still under the 50 day though (almost 9% away from it).
The usual stochastic and MACD checks are just so-so right now. Stochastics on the MACD did not reach the full oversold so there's a case to be made for waiting for that to happen though it doesn't need to. For MACD weekly, there's not much to offer as it reflects the recent pullback.
All in all, this is an early watch. Entry points could be on the breakout from the blue line or on breakout and flag. I will update if I see anything.
Long
Short
XAU/USD Rally Faces First Real Reversal TestGold has had an extremely strong run, one that, as covered in a separate note yesterday, is close to unprecedented based on the moves in traditional macro drivers such as the US dollar and US Treasury yields over such a short period. But after such a pronounced surge, there are now some warning signs that the move may be running out of steam.
XAU/USD failed to hold above the 100-day moving average on Tuesday, leaving behind a daily candle resembling a shooting star. Coming after such a strong rally, that raises the risk of a near-term reversal. Depending on how price action develops today, there is also the potential for a three-candle evening star to form.
For now, the price continues to find support around $4,367, a level that has acted as both support and resistance earlier this year. That makes it an obvious level to watch heading into US inflation later in the session.
If the bearish reversal signal is confirmed, one potential setup would be to wait for a break beneath $4,367. If the price can break below and hold there, shorts could be considered with a tight stop above for protection, targeting $4,300 initially before $4,200, part of the breakout zone smashed through last week.
However, this is not a slam dunk case for shorts. RSI (14) and MACD continue to point to the bulls having the ascendancy, while XAU/USD has already bounced from $4,367 during Asian trade on Wednesday.
Therefore, if the price continues to hold above the level, pullbacks towards $4,367 could be bought with a tight stop beneath for protection. The first target would be Tuesday’s high around $4,435, with the 200-day simple moving average near the psychologically important $4,500 level beyond that.
Good luck,
DS 
Long
Long
Long
EUR/AUD bears eye break beneath 1.6340EUR/AUD looks heavy on the charts, sitting just above support at 1.6340. With headwinds from energy security concerns and a negative terms-of-trade shock strengthening for the euro, the risk of a downside break grows ahead of the RBA decision later today.
If the pair breaks beneath 1.6340 support and holds there, shorts could be set with a tight stop above the level for protection, targeting 1.6260, where the pair bottomed in July. Beyond that, a break of 1.6260 would open the door for a retest of 1.6164, where the price has bottomed and bounced on multiple occasions going back several years.
The message from the oscillators at this point is neutral. RSI (14) has been setting sequentially lower highs and now sits marginally below the neutral 50 level. MACD has also turned negative and is on the cusp of a bearish crossover. But neither indicator is providing a strong steer, placing more emphasis on price action.
On the RBA, while it’s very unlikely we’ll see the cash rate moved today with futures putting the probability at just 3.5%, it’s very likely the Bank will retain a hawkish bias, warning of the need to potentially raise interest rates further to bring inflation back to acceptable levels. Also look out for hawkish upgrades in relation to household spending, which has been very solid in recent months, despite headwinds from higher borrowing costs and declining house prices. The RBA has made it clear that unless Australia sees a sharp pickup in productivity, domestic demand will need to slow to stymie inflationary pressures with current policy settings.
Good luck!
DS 
Long
US 100 rebound gathers pace above 50-dayUS 100 has rebounded sharply from the July lows, breaking the downtrend it had been trading in before reclaiming the important 50-day simple moving average. Following that breakout, the price retested the 50-day and bounced from support at 29,200, a level that formerly acted as resistance.
The last three candles have also formed a morning star. Clearly, it has appeared after a relatively short downturn rather than a major bearish move, so I wouldn’t place too much weight on the pattern alone. But combined with the bounce from 29,200 and the reclaim of the 50-day moving average, it adds to the sense that the near-term path of least resistance may be higher.
Ideally, longs would have been initiated closer to 29,200 or beneath the 50-day moving average, but that opportunity has passed for now. One potential setup would be to initiate longs around current levels with a tight stop beneath Friday’s closing level at 29,725, targeting a move back towards the record high at 30,756.
Levels of note along the way include 29,950, the August 5 high, followed by 30,325, the June 30 high. Above there, the price has failed several times around 30,600, making that an obvious potential target for traders unwilling to wait for a full retest of the record high.
The oscillators are also on board for the bulls. RSI (14) has moved back above the neutral 50 level and is beginning to register slightly higher highs, pointing to improving bullish momentum. MACD has staged a bullish crossover and flipped positive, reinforcing the message.
For now, the price action looks like it wants to go higher.
Good luck!
DS 
Long
Long
Long 
Short
Key Volume Profile Level : 1.020
Hello, traders.
Follow me to get the latest market analysis as soon as it is published.
Wishing you successful trading.
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■ ENS - Key Level to Watch
ENS has moved up toward the key Volume Profile level around 1.020.
The most important question now is not simply whether ENS can break above 1.020, but whether it can:
"Flip 1.020 into support and hold above it."
If price confirms support around 1.020, the probability of another upside move could increase.
■ Current Price Position : Short-Term High Zone
On the 1D chart, ENS is currently trading around the following zone:
HA-High ~ DOM(60) : 0.887 ~ 1.016
The HA-High ~ DOM(60) area represents an upper price zone.
Therefore, ENS can currently be considered to be trading in a short-term high zone.
At this level, chasing the price aggressively may carry significant risk.
Instead, the key is to wait and see whether:
"1.020 successfully flips into support."
■ SBOD Conditions for Further Upside
For price to maintain bullish momentum after breaking through an important resistance or Volume Profile level, the following conditions should be monitored.
1. StochRSI
StochRSI should maintain bullish momentum without becoming excessively overbought.
If price continues rising while StochRSI becomes heavily overheated, traders should be prepared for a possible short-term pullback.
2. OBV
OBV should remain above the High Line.
If OBV stays above the High Line while price rises, it suggests that buying pressure continues to support the move.
3. BSSC
BSSC should remain above the zero line.
As long as BSSC holds above zero, the current bullish momentum can be considered intact.
StochRSI rising
+
OBV holding above the High Line
+
BSSC holding above 0
↓
1.020 confirmed as support
↓
Higher probability of further upside
■ Day Trading Strategy
If ENS confirms support around 1.020, a short-term entry may become valid from a day-trading perspective.
However, the current price is already within the 1D HA-High ~ DOM(60) upper zone.
Therefore, this should not be treated as an aggressive swing or long-term accumulation zone.
Any new entry around this area should primarily be approached as a short-term trade.
---
Key Day-Trading Levels
Entry Setup : Confirmation of 1.020 as support
Risk Level : 0.817
1st Target : 1.348
2nd Target : 1.674
3rd Target : 1.926
---
Since 0.817 is relatively far below the current price, using it directly as a day-trading stop-loss would result in an excessively wide risk range.
Therefore, instead of entering a large position at once, position sizing and scaling should be used to manage the average entry price and overall risk.
More importantly, if 1.020 fails to hold and flips back into resistance, reducing the position or exiting quickly should be considered from a short-term trading perspective.
■ Upside Targets
If bullish momentum continues, the following levels should be monitored:
1st Target : 1.348
2nd Target : 1.674
3rd Target : 1.926
Rather than treating these targets simply as levels where the entire position must be sold, traders should monitor:
* Resistance around each target
* Changes in trading volume
* StochRSI direction
* OBV trend
* Whether BSSC remains above 0
Day trading is primarily about generating realized profits.
Therefore, even if price does not reach the final target, partial profit-taking or position reduction may be appropriate once a meaningful profit has been secured.
"Protecting profits is more important than hitting the exact target."
■ What About Long-Term Holders?
If ENS was purchased as a medium- to long-term investment, it may be useful to separate the core position from the trading position.
The main concept is:
"Use short-term trading profits to gradually increase your long-term holdings."
For example, when price rises, instead of selling the entire position, part of the initial capital can be recovered while the remaining tokens are held as a profit position.
If the entire principal is recovered too early, the remaining token position may become too small.
Depending on market conditions, one strategy is to recover approximately 50% of the initial capital and continue holding the remaining position.
■ Managing the Average Entry Price
From a medium- to long-term perspective, the main objective should be to keep the core average entry price:
"Below 1.020"
The core position can be accumulated and managed below 1.020.
Above 1.020, short-term trading can be used to generate realized profits and potentially increase the long-term token holdings.
Below 1.020
→ Manage average entry price
→ Build medium- to long-term holdings
Above 1.020
→ Day trading
→ Scale out
→ Secure realized profits
→ Use profits to increase long-term holdings
Separating the core position from the trading position makes it possible to take advantage of short-term volatility while maintaining a longer-term position.
==================================================
■ Final Summary
The most important level for ENS right now is:
"1.020"
1.020 flips into support
↓
SBOD bullish conditions confirmed
↓
Check for a day-trading entry
↓
1.348
↓
1.674
↓
1.926
On the other hand,
1.020 fails to hold
↓
Flips back into resistance
↓
Avoid chasing the price
↓
Reduce exposure and monitor lower support levels
ENS is currently trading in the upper HA-High ~ DOM(60) zone on the 1D chart.
Therefore, rather than treating this area as an aggressive new swing or long-term buying opportunity, the priority should be:
"Protect profits and focus on short-term trading opportunities."
At this point, the more important question is not:
"How much higher can ENS go?"
but rather:
"Can ENS hold 1.020 as support and maintain its bullish structure?"
==================================================
The way you trade a coin or token should depend on your intended holding period.
Are you trading it as:
* A day trade?
* A swing trade?
* A medium- to long-term investment?
The same price level can represent a buying opportunity for one strategy and a profit-taking zone for another.
Therefore, the first step is to identify where the current price is positioned within the overall market structure.
Identify the price location.
Check support and resistance.
Confirm the indicator structure.
Then build a trading strategy that matches your intended holding period.
---
Thank you for reading.
Wishing you successful trading.
TEM: From losing money to making itNASDAQ:TEM
Tempus AI builds the largest platform of clinical and genomic data, combining diagnostics, artificial intelligence, and drug development. The company partners with AstraZeneca, Bristol Myers Squibb, BioNTech, and other major pharmaceutical companies. The stock trades on NASDAQ.
Fundamentals
The Q2 2026 report confirmed a fundamental business turnaround. Revenue grew 22 percent year-over-year to $382.5 million, beating analyst consensus. Diagnostics contributed $289.3 million (+20 percent), while the Data & Applications segment grew to $93.2 million (+28 percent). Adjusted loss per share came in at $0.04, beating expectations by 4 cents.
The main event of the quarter was the company's first-ever GAAP profit of $5.6 million, compared to a $42.8 million loss a year earlier. Adjusted EBITDA turned positive for the first time at $8.0 million. Gross profit rose to $246.5 million, with gross margin reaching 64.4 percent, confirming the scalability of the business model.
Cash and liquid investments on the balance sheet grew to $820.7 million. Operating cash flow remained negative at $7.5 million due to M&A expenses, but management confirmed a path to positive free cash flow by the end of 2026. In July, the company raised $460 million in convertible notes at 0 percent interest, fully refinancing expensive debt from Ares Capital, saving over $30 million in annual interest expenses.
Management raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $1.595–1.605 billion, raised adjusted EBITDA guidance to $65 million, and confirmed positive free cash flow by year-end.
Catalysts
Oncology test volume grew 31 percent year-over-year. MRD testing increased to approximately 9,000 tests per quarter. The medical data licensing segment grew 36 percent, with new long-term contracts signed during the quarter totaling around $200 million. AI attachment to core solid tumor tests reached 45 percent, serving as a powerful client retention driver.
Tempus is acquiring Personalis for $1.6 billion, strengthening its position in the $20 billion MRD diagnostics market. FDA approval for the xT CDx test will add approximately $85 million in annual revenue starting in 2027 through premium ADLT pricing. An FDA decision on the xF liquid biopsy is expected in the second half of 2027, with potential to generate up to $400 million in incremental net revenue by 2028.
Risks
The integration of Personalis remains the main operational risk. Temporary pressure on free cash flow and moderate dilution from the deal are possible. The legacy diagnostics segment shows slower growth rates.
Capital structure
Institutional investors control 61.5 percent of shares. Short interest stands at approximately 6.8 percent of the float with Days to Cover at 2.4 days. Analyst consensus remains Strong Buy with an average price target around $68. The next earnings report is scheduled for early November 2026, with the Personalis deal expected to close around the end of 2026 or early 2027.
Technicals
On the weekly timeframe, the long-term decline from historical highs near $104.32 has concluded, and price has entered a phase of deep medium-term consolidation. The key support level is the strong horizontal zone of $40.00–$41.00, representing a major historical demand area. The recent local low of $40.77 proved to be a false breakdown: the market quickly absorbed all selling, and the weekly close significantly above support with a long lower wick confirmed strong buyer interest and defense of this zone by large participants. The strength of the reversal impulse is confirmed by a significant rise in vertical trading volume on the rebound candles, as well as RSI and MACD beginning to exit extreme weekly oversold territory, signaling seller exhaustion. The upward movement from support breaks down into several sequential phases: the first local target is full closure of the gap in the $48.00–$50.00 range. Since this segment lacks traded volume and horizontal resistance levels, price can move quickly through this vacuum up to the gap's upper boundary at $51.00. Successful gap closure opens the path to the first independent technical target — strong mirror resistance at $63.61, which previously served as a key local high and a profit-taking zone. A confirmed break above this level would signal a full medium-term trend reversal. Above $63.61, the next medium-term target is historical resistance at $73.21.
Tempus is gradually transitioning from a story about AI spending to a story about a profitable healthcare business. The first GAAP profit, raised full-year guidance, nearly $821 million in liquidity, a path to positive FCF, and an expanding product pipeline create a foundation for the next phase of revaluation.
This publication is for informational purposes only and does not constitute individual investment advice. Share your thoughts in the comments and don‘t forget to like this idea if you found it helpful! 
Long
ETH Next Volatility Window: Around August 12 (Aug. 11-13)
Hello, traders.
Follow me to stay updated with the latest market analysis.
Wishing you successful trading.
============================================================
■ ETH VOLATILITY WINDOW: AROUND AUGUST 12
Following the end of BTC's short-term volatility cycle,
the next major volatility window to watch is ETH.
Expected volatility window:
▶ Around August 12
▶ Estimated range: August 11-13
ETH is currently attempting to rebound from its lower price zone.
However, for this move to develop beyond a simple technical rebound
and turn into a meaningful bullish trend reversal, ETH needs to:
▶ Break above 1964.96
▶ Hold above 1964.96
The reason is that ETH has been forming a
"step-down" bearish structure.
To confirm that this step-down structure is ending,
price needs to recover above the previous HA-Low
and successfully hold that level as support.
In other words:
Break above 1964.96
↓
Hold above the level
↓
Recover the previous HA-Low
↓
Step-down structure begins to weaken
↓
Probability of a bullish trend reversal increases
============================================================
■ HA-Low / HA-High: PRIMARY TRADING LEVELS
==========================================
The most important indicators used for actual trade execution
on this chart are:
▶ HA-Low
▶ HA-High
The following indicators are used as confirmation tools:
▶ StochRSI
▶ OBV
▶ BSSC
The basic concept is simple.
HA-Low / HA-High
→ "Where should I trade?"
StochRSI / OBV / BSSC
→ "Are the conditions strong enough to actually take the trade?"
Therefore, I do not buy simply because StochRSI is oversold,
nor do I automatically sell because StochRSI is overbought.
The first step is to determine where price is located
relative to HA-Low and HA-High.
---
## ▶ HA-Low
HA-Low represents a potential LOW ZONE.
When price approaches HA-Low and successfully finds support,
the area may become a potential BUY ZONE.
---
## ▶ HA-High
HA-High represents a potential HIGH ZONE.
When price approaches HA-High and gets rejected,
the area may become a potential SELL / PROFIT-TAKING ZONE.
However, because HA-Low and HA-High are displayed as single lines,
it can sometimes be difficult to identify the broader low
and high zones for actual trading.
============================================================
■ DOM(-60) / DOM(60): DEFINING LOW & HIGH ZONES
===============================================
To solve this issue, I developed:
▶ DOM(-60)
▶ DOM(60)
Represents a potential LOW ZONE.
Used together with HA-Low to identify
potential accumulation and buy areas.
Represents a potential HIGH ZONE.
Used together with HA-High to identify
potential profit-taking areas.
Therefore, actual trading decisions can be based on:
HA-Low
DOM(-60)
HA-High
DOM(60)
The overall structure can be summarized as follows:
DOM(-60) / HA-Low
↓
LOW ZONE
↓
Potential accumulation / buy zone
HA-High / DOM(60)
↓
HIGH ZONE
↓
Profit protection / scale-out zone
============================================================
■ STRATEGY WHEN HA-Low FAILS
============================
If price fails to hold HA-Low and moves lower,
a step-down bearish structure may continue.
However, a break below HA-Low does not necessarily mean
that the entire position should immediately be closed.
A prolonged step-down structure will eventually form
a new bottoming area and attempt a bullish reversal.
Therefore, the key response to an HA-Low breakdown is not:
"Sell 100%"
but rather:
"Secure liquidity through partial position management."
---
##
HA-Low support fails
↓
Partially reduce the position
↓
Increase cash reserves
↓
Monitor the next decline
↓
Price approaches a new DOM(-60) / HA-Low
↓
Check for support
↓
Rebuy the amount previously sold
↓
Add to the position after support is confirmed
This strategy allows traders to maintain liquidity
during a declining market while adjusting their average entry price
and gradually increasing the total position size.
============================================================
■ STRATEGY WHEN HA-High BREAKS
==============================
On the other hand,
if price breaks above HA-High and continues higher,
a step-up bullish structure may begin to develop.
However, a step-up structure will eventually form a high
and transition into a corrective phase.
Therefore, positions accumulated around
HA-Low or DOM(-60) should gradually focus on:
▶ Scaling out
▶ Taking profits
▶ Protecting profits
as price approaches HA-High or DOM(60).
---
##
Price approaches HA-High / DOM(60)
↓
Step 1: Scale out part of the core position
↓
Lock in profits
↓
Check whether HA-High converts into support
↓
Support confirmed + bullish momentum continues
↓
Day-trading opportunity
There is one important point.
HA-High fundamentally represents a HIGH ZONE.
Therefore, even if price breaks above HA-High,
holds it as support and continues higher,
a new position opened in this area should not be treated
the same way as a core position accumulated near HA-Low.
Instead, it should be treated as a:
"Short-term / Day-Trading Position"
Any trade entered around HA-High must have:
▶ A clearly defined stop-loss level.
If a reasonable stop-loss level cannot be determined,
▶ The day trade should NOT be taken.
The reason is simple:
HA-High represents a potential high-price zone.
============================================================
■ CURRENT ETH PRICE STRUCTURE
=============================
ETH is currently moving higher from the important range of:
▶ 1597.76 - 1879.61
and is attempting to challenge:
▶ 1964.96
The supporting indicators are currently showing
somewhat different signals.
---
##
StochRSI is approaching the overbought zone.
This increases the possibility of:
▶ Weakening short-term momentum
▶ A short-term pullback
▶ Sideways consolidation to reset the indicator
---
##
On the other hand,
OBV has moved above the High Line,
indicating strong buying pressure.
Therefore, the key question for ETH is:
"Can this buying pressure be sustained?"
If OBV remains above the High Line
while price holds above 1879.61,
ETH may be able to reset its overbought StochRSI
without experiencing a significant price decline.
In other words, we could see:
"Time-based consolidation rather than a deep price correction."
The ideal bullish structure would be:
OBV remains above High Line
+
Price holds above 1879.61
+
StochRSI resets
↓
Another attempt to break 1964.96
↓
Breakout above 1964.96
↓
1964.96 converts into support
↓
Probability of a bullish trend reversal increases
Strong buying pressure could also push ETH directly above 1964.96
without a meaningful correction.
However, if StochRSI enters the overbought zone
and buying pressure begins to weaken at the same time,
upside momentum may become limited
and another short-term pullback could follow.
============================================================
■ AUGUST 12: TWO KEY PRICE LEVELS TO WATCH
==========================================
Considering the current price structure
and the relationship between:
HA-Low / HA-High
DOM(-60) / DOM(60)
StochRSI / OBV / BSSC
the location of ETH during the next volatility window
will be extremely important.
Next volatility window:
▶ Around August 12
▶ August 11-13
The two most important price levels are:
▶ 1782.28
▶ 1964.96
---
## PRICE NEAR OR ABOVE 1964.96
Break above 1964.96
↓
Hold above 1964.96
↓
Previous HA-Low recovered
↓
Step-down bearish structure weakens
↓
Probability of a bullish trend reversal increases
---
## PRICE NEAR 1782.28
Failure to break 1964.96
↓
Price correction
↓
Test support around 1782.28
↓
Determine the next directional move
============================================================
■ FINAL CHECKPOINT
==================
Next volatility window:
▶ Around August 12
▶ August 11-13
Key price levels:
▶ 1782.28
▶ 1879.61
▶ 1964.96
Key factors to monitor:
▶ Breakout and support above 1964.96
▶ Ability to hold above 1879.61
▶ OBV holding above the High Line
▶ StochRSI reset after entering the overbought zone
▶ Support around HA-Low / DOM(-60)
Ultimately, the key question during this volatility window
is not simply:
"Can ETH break above 1964.96?"
The more important question is:
"Can ETH break above 1964.96 and HOLD above it?"
If ETH successfully breaks above 1964.96
and converts the level into support,
the probability of transitioning out of the current
step-down bearish structure will increase significantly.
On the other hand,
if the breakout fails,
the next important factor will be whether ETH
can establish support around 1782.28.
Therefore, August 11-13 may become
an important volatility window for determining
ETH's next major directional move.
============================================================
Thank you for reading.
Wishing you successful trading.
HOW-TO: Trade inside the time windows of the Cyclic Smoothed RSIThe script description explains the mechanics of the csRSI MTF : the cyclically smoothed RSI, its adaptive bands, and the red and green background windows painted by a second csRSI running on a higher timeframe. This HOW-TO covers the part that turns those mechanics into a routine: when the windows tell you to pay attention, what to do inside them, and how to be notified so you can ignore the chart the rest of the time.
The workflow in one sentence. Wait for a colored window, then trade what forms inside it, a band sequence or a divergence, and do nothing between windows.
Reading the chart. Six months of the S&P 500 on the two-hour timeframe, filtered by the daily csRSI. Four episodes cover the whole method:
(1) The green window and its buys. From mid-March into early April the daily csRSI sat below its lower band, so the background turned green: buy territory on the two-hour chart. Note the plural in the heading. The two-hour line completed more than one buy sequence inside this window while the daily decline was still running; the early crosses bought bounces that faded, and the final cross at the turn of the month caught the 6,343 low and the rally of more than 1,200 points that followed. In real time nobody knows which trigger is the final one. Therefore treat entries inside a green window as a series, and size them so that an early trigger costs patience, not substance.
(2) The first sell and the warning it left behind. In mid-May the daily filter turned overbought and painted the first red window. Inside it the two-hour line crossed back down through its upper band around May 14, and the index dropped about 150 points in three sessions, from a close near 7,501 to 7,354, before the advance resumed. A valid sequence with a modest payoff, and something more important: when price pushed on to a new high above 7,600 in early June, the two-hour line answered that higher high with a clearly lower one. The first sequence paid small and left a divergence behind.
(3) The second sell: no band event, just the divergence. Inside the next red window the two-hour line never even reached its upper band again. It stalled at a visibly lower high while price stood at a higher one above 7,600, and that failure is the signal: momentum could not confirm the new high. The turn down from that lower high around June 3 was the divergence-backed trigger the first HOW-TO in this series called the strongest confirmation, and it needed no band cross at all. From the trigger the index returned nearly 300 points in five sessions, from a close at 7,554 down to 7,267. The window said look; the divergence said now.
(4) The two months since. From mid-June to today the daily filter has painted nothing, and the workflow has accordingly demanded nothing. Two months without a window is two months without a mandatory decision. The line currently sits near its lower band with the filter neutral; the next assignment arrives when the background changes color.
Why the windows earn their keep. Chart 2 zooms out to two years of the same setup. The green windows cluster at the major lows, including April 2025 and April 2026, and the red ones gather at the tops, with a few appearing mid-rally in the autumn of 2025 that paid pullbacks of the May variety rather than reversals. The filter does not predict; it concentrates your attention on the handful of weeks where the higher timeframe says the odds are stretched.
CHART 2:
Settings. This chart runs the recommended pairing for two-hour trading: indicator timeframe "Same as chart", MTF resolution one day. The script description lists the pairings for other trading rhythms, from twenty-minute charts up to weekly investors. The optional cycle length inputs sharpen both lines further; the chart above runs the standard settings, unoptimized.
The alert that replaces screen time. The windows exist so you do not have to watch the panel. Set one alert per symbol: choose the csRSI MTF value with the "Out of Channel" condition, and select the MTF high band and MTF low band as the upper and lower limits. The alert fires exactly when a red or green window opens, which is the moment the workflow above begins. Until then, the chart can stay closed.
This is a discretionary tool, and windows guarantee nothing: they mark where signals have historically carried better odds. Size positions so a failed sequence inside a window stays an annoyance, not a problem.
Indicator: Education 
FTSE 100 bull pennant puts record retest in playIt is natural for an index to pause after hitting record highs. It does not automatically have to jackknife higher. Over the course of this week, several old-economy indices like the DAX and ASX have pushed into record territory, with some going on with the move. Given what we are seeing in yield curves, metals and elsewhere, it feels as though markets are preempting a reflationary period ahead, which would generally be expected to help an index such as the FTSE 100.
Right now, the price appears to be coiling in what resembles a bull pennant structure. That points to the potential for an eventual bullish breakout, although the price action should dictate the trade rather than the pattern itself.
The price is currently testing the lower boundary of the structure and has been doing so for around half a day. If it continues to bounce from that area, traders could look to initiate longs, allowing for a tight stop to be placed beneath 10,875 for protection, initially targeting a retest of the upper end of the pennant just below 10,950.
Others may be prepared to show some patience and wait to see which side of the structure the price eventually breaks. A move above the descending trendline would provide another potential entry point for longs, allowing for a tight stop to be placed back beneath the breakout zone for protection. The initial target would be the current record high at 10,991.6. If that level gives way, it would point to a further extension of the prevailing bullish trend.
On the downside, a break beneath the lower boundary of the pennant would negate the immediate bullish bias and open the door to a potential retracement towards 10,840, where the price has bounced on several occasions over recent weeks. Beneath that, 10,800 and 10,760 are the levels to watch.
For now, the oscillators are offering little guidance on directional risks. RSI (14) is sitting almost exactly at 50, while MACD remains in positive territory after crossing below its signal line earlier this week. It's a broadly neutral message, placing greater emphasis on the price action in the near term.
Good luck!
DS Bull Run Starting? Well... Not Yet.Hi everyone, I hope you're all doing well.
Last time, when market sentiment was extremely bullish, I said that the bullish cycle was coming to an end. As it turned out, that analysis was accurate.
Today, however, many people are talking about the bearish cycle being over because of the recent price recovery. But from what I see on the chart, Bitcoin is currently facing two major resistance levels.
The first is the weekly descending trendline, and the second is a well-established bearish AVWAP. The area where these two resistance levels converge is marked with a red circle.
In my opinion, the probability of breaking both resistances at this stage is relatively low. A more reasonable scenario is one more bearish leg before the next bull run begins.
My target range for the end of that final bearish leg is approximately $52,000 to $56,000.
I hope you find this analysis useful. As always, I'd be happy to hear your thoughts.
Short
The next volatility period to watch is around August 12th
Hello everyone,
Welcome back, traders.
Follow my profile to receive new market analyses as soon as they are published.
I wish you all successful trading today.
---
At the moment, Bitcoin appears to be approaching the end of its short-term volatility cycle around August 5.
Although Bitcoin's next major volatility window is expected around August 18, Ethereum's volatility window is projected to occur around August 12.
For that reason, it will be important to closely monitor the market beginning on August 11.
There is also a possibility that Ethereum could determine the market's direction before Bitcoin and lead the overall cryptocurrency market.
---
I have always considered Stochastic RSI (StochRSI) to be one of the most effective indicators for identifying market momentum and wave structures.
However, the standard StochRSI alone does not always make it easy to determine exactly where the current price is positioned within the market cycle.
To solve this, I added a custom indicator that projects the StochRSI 20, 50, and 80 levels directly onto the price chart.
Currently, StochRSI has recovered above the 50 level.
However, the actual price is still trading below the previous StochRSI 20 level.
In other words, while momentum is recovering, the overall price structure remains weaker than before.
The most important point right now is whether the StochRSI 20 level can successfully become a new support level.
If price holds above that level and OBV breaks above its High Line, strong buying pressure could enter the market, potentially triggering a rapid rally fueled by short covering.
On the other hand, if StochRSI enters the overbought zone above 80, bullish momentum may begin to weaken, and the StochRSI 80 level could become a significant resistance area.
OBV is also approaching its High Line.
Therefore, whether OBV can break above the High Line is another critical signal that traders should closely monitor.
---
Some traders may wonder,
"If I can already see these levels with my eyes, why bother adding another indicator?"
The answer is simple.
Reducing decision-making time is a competitive advantage in trading.
Our goal is not to create beautiful chart analyses.
Our goal is to make consistent profits in the market.
The longer we spend analyzing charts, the more likely we are to miss optimal entry opportunities, while psychological pressure continues to increase.
Conversely, when objective trading criteria are immediately visible on the chart, we can spend more time planning our trading strategy instead of debating market direction.
Successful trading is not simply about achieving a high win rate.
It is about executing trades according to a well-defined plan without allowing emotions to interfere.
If every trading decision begins with,
"Will the market go up or down?"
then emotional decision-making becomes almost inevitable.
That is why objective trading rules should be established before entering the market.
The StochRSI 20 / 50 / 80 projection introduced today is simply another tool designed to help create those objective trading rules.
---
# BTC Key Levels to Watch
The first important price level is **64,058.15**.
The primary objective is to confirm support at this level while maintaining price above the projected StochRSI 20 level.
If Bitcoin fails to hold above **64,058.15**, the market could decline toward **62,793.20**.
Since Bitcoin previously rebounded from **62,793.20**, this area may once again serve as an important support zone.
However, if this support fails, additional downside toward **61,299.80** becomes increasingly likely.
On the upside, the first major resistance zone is located between **65,776.47 and 66,323.12**.
Because the current wave structure continues to produce lower highs than the previous rally, breaking through this resistance zone on the first attempt may prove difficult.
---
# Trading Strategy
The current short-term accumulation zone is located around **59,981.47**.
However, since the most recent swing low formed near **62,793.20**, maintaining this level is essential for preserving the current short-term bullish trend.
Meanwhile, the **65,776.47–66,323.12** range represents the most important resistance zone for confirming a medium-term trend reversal.
Only after this resistance is broken and successfully converted into support will the probability of a sustained medium-term uptrend significantly increase.
Overall, the **59,981.47–66,323.12** range can be interpreted as a long-term accumulation zone.
However, instead of buying aggressively at any price, a more disciplined approach is recommended.
Wait for the following three conditions:
* Support confirmation
* Trend reversal confirmation
* Successful support retention
Once these conditions are satisfied, scaling into positions gradually offers a more stable and lower-risk trading strategy.
---
Thank you for taking the time to read this analysis.
I wish you all successful and disciplined trading.
