Luxy UT God Mode - UT-Bot Forecast, Signals, Zones and RiskLuxy UT God Mode turns the classic UT Bot ATR trailing-stop into a complete, self-contained trading cockpit: momentum-adaptive buy/sell signals, a forward-looking Trend Duration Forecast, auto support/resistance zones, a 0-100 Confidence Score, a built-in multi-currency Risk Calculator, and automatic Stop Loss / Take Profit levels - all on one overlay, all non-repainting.
Note: Every forecast, probability, and statistic in this tool is a calculation based on the chart's own historical behavior. They describe past patterns, not guaranteed future results.
WHAT MAKES THIS DIFFERENT
A normal UT Bot only tells you the trend flipped. Luxy UT God Mode answers the three questions a trader actually asks at the moment of a signal:
1. Should I trust this flip? - a Confidence Score (0-100) blends seven engines into one number.
2. How long might this trend run? - a Trend Duration Forecast projects the expected remaining life of the current trend, drawn as a fading strip with survival-probability milestones.
3. What do I risk and how big do I trade? - automatic Stop Loss, R-based Take Profits, and a position-size calculator in your own account currency.
Everything is layered so you can run it bare-bones (just clean signals) or switch on the full "God Mode" stack.
METHODOLOGY AND CREDITS
This indicator implements proven concepts using entirely original code.
- UT Bot ATR trailing logic - original concept by @QuantNomad . This implementation is a significant rework: it adds volume weighting, momentum-adaptive sensitivity, a composite multi-method stop loss, a full multi-filter confirmation stack, multi-timeframe confluence, and the statistical trend-duration engine described below.
Important: this is an educational analysis tool. It does not guarantee any trading result. Always do your own analysis and manage risk.
THE SEVEN ENGINES (and the Confidence Score that fuses them)
Each bar, the script scores how well the current setup aligns and sums it into a single 0-100 Confidence Score with a visual progress bar:
UT Bot direction - is price above/below the momentum-adaptive trailing stop
SuperTrend - direction plus a distance-from-line strength bonus
Market Structure - position inside the recent swing range and structure breaks
ADX Regime - is the market trending (signals allowed) or choppy (blocked)
Multi-Timeframe - does a higher timeframe agree with the signal direction
Volume - is conviction backed by above-average volume
RSI Divergence - is a recent divergence supporting or opposing the signal
Read it at a glance: 80+ = strong, 60+ = good, 40+ = weak, under 40 = very weak. Hover the Confidence cell for the full per-engine breakdown.
1. TREND DURATION FORECAST - the headline feature
When the trend flips, the script projects how many more bars the new trend may last, based on the chart's own past trends.
How it works:
Every completed trend's duration is recorded, kept separately for bullish and bearish trends.
On each new flip the script estimates the expected duration using an exponentially-weighted average and standard deviation (recent trends weighted more heavily).
The estimate is drawn as a fading gradient strip that projects forward from the flip, with a "Trend Analysis" label and survival-probability milestones at 25% / 50% / 75% / 90% / 100% of the projection.
The percentages are empirical - they show the share of past same-direction trends on THIS chart that actually lasted at least that long. Not a fixed textbook curve.
Three forecast modes:
Simple - median duration only. Clean and fast.
Standard - exponentially-weighted average plus spread (recommended default).
Advanced - Standard plus five adaptive multipliers: Structure (proximity to S/R), Asset Type (volatility profile), Flip Strength (volume + filters passed), Error Learning (self-correction from its own past misses), and Regime (trending vs choppy).
When history is thin, the forecast honestly falls back to a combined estimate and flags it, rather than showing false precision.
2. MOMENTUM-ADAPTIVE UT BOT CORE
The trailing stop is not a fixed ATR multiple. The effective sensitivity adapts each bar to:
Momentum - faster momentum widens the trail to stay in strong moves
Relative volume - conviction adjusts the distance
Asset type - auto-detected (crypto, forex, futures, index, fund, CFD, bond, stock) with a per-class multiplier, or set it manually
Volatility mode - Fixed, Dynamic, or Aggressive auto-adjustment to the current volatility regime
The result is a trailing engine that behaves differently on a calm blue-chip than on a volatile small-cap or crypto pair - without you re-tuning it.
3. ANTI-WHIPSAW AND SIGNAL FILTER STACK
Signals only fire when they survive the filters you enable, so you control the trade-off between frequency and quality:
ADX Regime - block signals in choppy, non-trending conditions
Cooldown and Confirmation - minimum bars between signals and N-bar direction confirmation
Swing - only trade aligned with recent swing structure
Full Candle - require the whole candle beyond the trailing line (no straddles)
Volume, RSI, Hull MA, SuperTrend - optional confirmation layers
High-Volatility and % Change - only trade meaningful moves
2-Bar Confirm - extra confirmation for volatile markets
Every active filter appears as a row in the table with a live pass/fail state, so you always know why a flip did or did not become a signal.
4. SUPPORT / RESISTANCE ZONES
The script clusters significant swing pivots into persistent price zones and draws only the two that matter right now: the nearest resistance above price and the nearest support below price. Each zone shows its price and touch count (e.g. "S 4.19 (3x)" = a support tested three times). A level that price has broken through drops off automatically, and an optional Zone Filter can block buys into resistance and sells into support. Pivot strength is adjustable so you can show only major levels.
5. AUTOMATIC STOP LOSS, TAKE PROFIT AND RISK CALCULATOR
On every signal the script draws a complete trade plan:
Stop Loss - choose from seven methods: ATR, % based, tick based, swing, scaled ATR, Smart Adaptive (auto-scales to volatility), or Safer (widest of several).
Take Profit - TP1 / TP1.5 / TP2 / TP3 as R multiples of the stop distance, with optional price and % labels, and a freeze-on-touch check mark for journaling.
Entry line - marks the signal price; all lines can auto-limit to 10 bars for a clean chart.
Risk Calculator - enter account size and risk (% or fixed amount) and it returns the position size in shares/contracts, in your own currency, with live FX conversion (USD, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD, AUD, CHF) or a manual rate.
6. MULTI-TIMEFRAME CONFLUENCE AND RSI DIVERGENCE
The table shows the trend of up to seven higher timeframes (5m, 15m, 30m, 1H, 4H, D, W) via an EMA 9/21 cross, so you can see whether the bigger picture agrees before you act. An optional MTF filter blocks counter-trend signals. Separately, RSI divergence (regular bullish and bearish) is detected, labeled on the chart, and fed into the Confidence Score.
7. LIVE STATUS TABLE
A configurable dashboard (position and size adjustable) summarizes everything: asset type, Confidence Score, adaptive mode, current signal, win-rate / average-bars statistics, multi-timeframe row, divergence, forecast, position size, and one row per active filter - each with a detailed tooltip.
HOW TO USE IT - QUICK START
Step 1 - Add it and pick your sensitivity. Defaults suit intraday (5-15m). For scalping lower the Sensitivity/ATR; for swing raise them (see the Sensitivity tooltip for presets).
Step 2 - Read a signal. A Buy (aqua, below bar) or Sell (orange, above bar) appears only after the bar closes and all enabled filters pass. Check the Confidence Score and the Multi-TF row for context.
Step 3 - Use the trade plan. The Entry, Stop Loss and Take Profit lines draw automatically. Read the Position row for size. Use the Trend Duration Forecast strip as a realistic hold-time expectation - scale out near the median, reassess if price runs past the projection.
Step 4 - Set alerts. Use "Any alert() function call" to receive BUY/SELL and trend-flip alerts on bar close, or pick the specific "Momentum Buy/Sell Signal" conditions. All alerts fire on confirmed bars only.
TUNING FOR MORE OR FEWER SIGNALS
Too few signals: turn off MTF, then Full Candle, then lower the ADX threshold or the Anti-Whipsaw filter. Too many / choppy: raise the ADX threshold, enable Volume and Full Candle, increase Cooldown, or add 2-Bar Confirm. Every filter is independent and shown live in the table.
TECHNICAL NOTES
Pine Script v6, overlay, max bars back 5000.
No repaint: signals, lines, forecast and alerts are committed on bar close (barstate.isconfirmed); all higher-timeframe data uses lookahead_off.
Works on stocks, crypto, forex, futures and indices, on any timeframe.
Higher timeframes and longer history produce more reliable forecasts; a new symbol needs a number of completed trends before the duration model is meaningful.
LIMITATIONS
Trend-following by nature: signals arrive after a trend establishes, not at exact tops/bottoms.
Best in trending conditions; use the ADX regime and filters to avoid chop.
The duration forecast needs history to become meaningful and is a statistical estimate, never a guarantee.
DISCLAIMER
This script is an educational analysis tool, not financial advice. Trading stocks, crypto, forex and futures involves substantial risk of loss - you can lose all invested capital. Forecasts, probabilities and win-rate statistics are calculated from historical chart data and do not guarantee future performance. Test on paper first, and you are solely responsible for your own trading decisions.
Feedback and suggestions are welcome in the comments. Happy trading.
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