ORB Opening Range I EonMetrics ORB - Opening Range
ORB marks the opening range — the high and low of the first minutes of a session — and tracks what price does with it for the rest of the day: breakouts by closing price, failed breakouts that snap back inside, and extension levels projected from the range height. The last few days stay on the chart so you can judge at a glance how your instrument actually behaves around its open.
🔶 HOW IT WORKS
From the session open (New York 09:30 by default) the script records the high and low of the first X minutes — 5 to 60, you choose. When the window closes, the range is frozen: a box marks the window, and the high/low lines extend forward until the next session begins. The first candle that CLOSES outside the range tags the breakout; a close back inside within your chosen number of bars tags it as FAILED and re-arms the day.
🔶 WHY THE OPENING RANGE MATTERS
The first minutes of a session concentrate the reactions to everything that accumulated while the market was closed or quiet: overnight news, opening auctions, the first institutional orders of the day. The range those minutes carve out is the day's first agreed-upon value area. That is the reasoning behind the concept, and it is why the tool also tags a move that closes back inside the range rather than only tagging the escape — the two outcomes describe different sessions.
Worth stating plainly: this is the rationale for the concept, not evidence that it works. Whether your instrument respects its opening range is an empirical question about that instrument, and the History setting exists so you can answer it with your own eyes before relying on anything here.
🔶 WHAT IT DOES
Opening range — box over the window (5/15/30/45/60 min), frozen high/low lines extended through the session. Session presets: New York 09:30, London 08:00, Tokyo 09:00, or a fully custom open time with its own timezone (DST handled by the timezone database, not by fixed offsets).
Extension levels — optional lines at ±0.5×, ±1×, ±1.5× and ±2× the range height, projected above the high and below the low. These are reference levels for reading how far a move has traveled relative to the range — the script does not call them targets, because they are not.
Breakout status — evaluated on closing prices only, never on wicks. First close above the high tags ORB ▲, first close below the low tags ORB ▼. A close back inside the range within K bars tags FAIL and re-arms the day, so a later genuine breakout can still be tagged.
History — the last D days of ranges stay on the chart (configurable). Scrolling back through a week of your own instrument is the fastest way to see whether its opening range is worth watching at all.
🔶 ALERTS
Four alert conditions: opening range set, breakout above, breakout below, failed breakout.
🔶 HOW TO USE
1. Pick the session that matches your market — NY 09:30 for US indices and metals, London 08:00 for European hours, or a custom time.
2. Pick the window length. 15 and 30 minutes are the classic choices; shorter = earlier levels, noisier range.
3. Watch the first close outside the range — and read a quick close back inside (the FAIL tag) as a description of that session, not as noise to ignore.
4. Set the four alerts and stop watching the open candle by candle.
🔶 SETTINGS
Session (preset / custom time + timezone, range length) · Levels & Breakout (extension multiples, failed-breakout window, days of history) · Style (colors, box fill).
🔶 HONEST LIMITATIONS
The opening-range concept assumes a session with a real open — indices, metals, forex sessions. On 24/7 crypto a "session open" is a convention: the tool works there mechanically, but the premise behind it is weaker, and you should know that before trading around it. The chart timeframe must be at or below the window length (a 30-minute range cannot be built from hourly bars — the indicator stays empty rather than guessing). This tool draws levels and states facts about closes; it does not generate signals or targets.
Part of the EonMetrics toolset.
Indicator
Filter Wave1. Indicator Name
Filter Wave
2. One-line Introduction
A visually enhanced trend strength indicator that uses linear regression scoring to render smoothed, color-shifting waves synced to price action.
3. General Overview
Filter Wave+ is a trend analysis tool designed to provide an intuitive and visually dynamic representation of market momentum.
It uses a pairwise comparison algorithm on linear regression values over a lookback period to determine whether price action is consistently moving upward or downward.
The result is a trend score, which is normalized and translated into a color-coded wave that floats above or below the current price. The wave's opacity increases with trend strength, giving a visual cue for confidence in the trend.
The wave itself is not a raw line—it goes through a three-stage smoothing process, producing a natural, flowing curve that is aesthetically aligned with price movement.
This makes it ideal for traders who need a quick visual context before acting on signals from other tools.
While Filter Wave+ does not generate buy/sell signals directly, its secure and efficient design allows it to serve as a high-confidence trend filter in any trading system.
4. Key Advantages
🌊 Smooth, Dynamic Wave Output
3-stage smoothed curves give clean, flowing visual feedback on market conditions.
🎨 Trend Strength Visualized by Color Intensity
Stronger trends appear with more solid coloring, while weak/neutral trends fade visually.
🔍 Quantitative Trend Detection
Linear regression ordering delivers precise, math-based trend scoring for confidence assessment.
📊 Price-Synced Floating Wave
Wave is dynamically positioned based on ATR and price to align naturally with market structure.
🧩 Compatible with Any Strategy
No conflicting signals—Filter Wave+ serves as a directional overlay that enhances clarity.
🔒 Secure Core Logic
Core algorithm is lightweight and secure, with minimal code exposure and strong encapsulation.
📘 Indicator User Guide
📌 Basic Concept
Filter Wave+ calculates trend direction and intensity using linear regression alignment over time.
The resulting wave is rendered as a smoothed curve, colored based on trend direction (green for up, red for down, gray for neutral), and adjusted in transparency to reflect trend strength.
This allows for fast trend interpretation without overwhelming the chart with signals.
⚙️ Settings Explained
Lookback Period: Number of bars used for pairwise regression comparisons (higher = smoother detection)
Range Tolerance (%): Threshold to qualify as an up/down trend (lower = more sensitive)
Regression Source: The price input used in regression calculation (default: close)
Linear Regression Length: The period used for the core regression line
Bull/Bear Color: Customize the color for bullish and bearish waves
📈 Timing Example
Wave color changes to green and becomes more visible (less transparent)
Wave floats above price and aligns with an uptrend
Use as trend confirmation when other signals are present
📉 Timing Example
Wave shifts to red and darkens, floating below the price
Regression direction down; price continues beneath the wave
Acts as bearish confirmation for short trades or risk-off positioning
🧪 Recommended Use Cases
Use as a trend confidence overlay on your existing strategies
Especially useful in swing trading for detecting and confirming dominant market direction
Combine with RSI, MACD, or price action for high-accuracy setups
🔒 Precautions
This is not a signal generator—intended as a trend filter or directional guide
May respond slightly slower in volatile reversals; pair with responsive indicators
Wave position is influenced by ATR and price but does not represent exact entry/exit levels
Parameter optimization is recommended based on asset class and timeframe Indicator
Options levelsOverview
Options Levels 🎯 plots 13 key institutional and options-based levels directly on your chart — including Call Wall, Put Wall, Gamma Flip, Whales Pivot, five Whale levels, and Sigma deviation bands (σ¹ / σ²).
It’s designed for both intraday and swing traders, offering a clean visual structure with elegant emoji labels, flexible visibility controls, and precise right-edge extensions for each line.
✨ Key Features
Single structured input with 13 ordered levels:
CallWall, PutWall, GammaFlip, Whales Pivot, Whale1..Whale5, Upperσ1, Upperσ2, Lowerσ1, Lowerσ2
Expressive emoji labels (🟢, 🔴, ⚖️, 🌑, 🐋, σ¹/σ²) optimized for dark themes.
Right-edge alignment: each line extends exactly to its label — no infinite lines.
Group visibility toggles:
• Critical Levels → Call Wall, Put Wall, Gamma Flip, Whales Pivot
• Whale Levels → Whale 1–5
• Sigma Bands → Upper/Lower σ¹ and σ²
Dynamic line-length multipliers that emphasize key levels.
Built-in alert conditions:
• Price crossing above the Call Wall
• Price crossing below the Put Wall
⚙️ Inputs & Settings
📋 Level List (string) : comma-separated list of 13 numeric values.
Example:
🎨 Appearance
• Base line length (bars)
• Label visibility toggle
• Line thickness
• Extend line and label to the right
• Distance (bars) between last candle and label
👁️ Visibility Controls
• Toggle Critical, Whale, or Sigma levels independently
🚀 How to Use
Paste your list of 13 ordered levels into the input field.
Adjust base length and thickness according to your timeframe.
Enable “Extend to the right” to position labels neatly beyond the last candle.
Use visibility toggles to focus on specific level groups (e.g., hide Whale Levels for short-term setups).
Optionally enable alerts to track price breakouts above/below Call and Put Walls.
The plotted levels are derived from aggregated options flow data, institutional positioning, and volatility-based deviations (σ). They serve as reference zones rather than predictive signals, helping visualize where liquidity and dealer hedging pressure may cluster.
📖 Level Definitions
Call Wall 🟢 — The strike with the highest call open interest; potential resistance area.
Put Wall 🔴 — The strike with the highest put open interest; potential support area.
Gamma Flip ⚖️ — Level where total gamma exposure changes sign; may reflect a shift in dealer hedging behavior.
Whales Pivot 🌑 — Represents the average institutional positioning from the previous trading day, reflecting where large option flows were most concentrated.
Whale Levels 🐋 — High-premium or large-volume strikes typically linked to institutional activity.
Upper σ¹ / σ² 📈 — One and two standard deviations above spot; potential overextension zones.
Lower σ¹ / σ² 📉 — One and two standard deviations below spot; potential mean-reversion zones.
Levels are manually input by the user. This script is a visual reference, not a predictive model.
⚠️ Notes
Levels are user-provided (not calculated by this script).
The indicator does not issue buy/sell signals or provide performance guarantees.
Designed purely as a visual aid for contextual market reference.
Optimized with barstate.islast for performance (draws only at the latest bar).
Disclaimer:
This indicator is for educational and visual purposes only. It does not generate buy/sell signals or guarantee future results. User-provided levels are meant for contextual reference only.
Developed for traders who rely on market structure and options flow context. Feedback and suggestions are welcome.
Indicator
TwinPulse Q Lead SPY x QQQ Intermarket Pulse 1HTwinPulse Q Lead is a concise one hour indicator for SPY and QQQ that converts three sources of market information into a single pulse line, a mode readout with BUY SELL WAIT, and compact alerts. It blends intermarket leadership between QQQ and SPY, intraday flow from the slope of session VWAP, and where the current price sits inside the regular trading hours range. The three components are normalized, fused, compressed to a stable range, and smoothed for clear thresholds. The aim is a readable intraday regime signal that helps you decide when to participate and when to stand aside.
The script is built with Pine v6, uses request security with lookahead off, and does not repaint. It is an indicator, not a strategy. It does not contain any solicitation, links, or outside references. The description is self contained and explains both logic and use so that any trader can understand the design without reading code.
What makes this original and useful
Intermarket leadership is measured directly from QQQ and SPY on your working timeframe using a Z score of the return spread. When growth is leading value heavy large caps, leadership turns positive. When it lags, leadership turns negative. This gives a real time read of the Nasdaq versus S and P tug of war that most day traders watch informally.
Intraday flow is taken from the slope of the session VWAP. A linear regression of VWAP over a short window captures whether value is rising or falling inside the day. Dividing by ATR normalizes slope by typical movement so that the signal is comparable across weeks.
Session position places price inside the current regular hours high to low. It answers whether the day is trading in the top half, the bottom half, or the middle. This is a simple but powerful context filter for breakouts and fades.
The three components are fused into one pulse, compressed with either hyperbolic tangent or softsign to keep values bounded, and then smoothed by a short EMA. This yields a stable range with a zero line so the eye can read shifts quickly.
The panel shows a human readable mode with reasons and a strength score. Traders who do not want to read lines can rely on a simple state and a compact justification that explains why the state is set.
This is not a mashup that simply overlays unrelated indicators. Each component was chosen to answer a distinct question that is common to SPY and QQQ intraday decision making. Leadership answers who is in charge, flow answers whether value inside the session is building or leaking, and position answers if price is pressing the extremes or circling the middle. The pulse ties the three together and prevents any single component from dominating.
How the calculations work
Leadership. Compute a short rate of change for SPY and QQQ. Subtract SPY from QQQ to get spread returns, then compute a rolling Z score over a longer window. Positive values mean QQQ is leading. Negative values mean SPY is leading.
Flow. Compute session VWAP on the active symbol. Regress VWAP over a short window to obtain a slope estimate. Divide by ATR to scale slope by current volatility so that a small rise on a quiet day is not treated the same as a small rise on a wild day.
Position. Track the highest high and lowest low since the start of regular hours. Place the current close inside that range on a zero to one scale, then recenter to a minus one to plus one scale. Positive means the top half of the day, negative means the bottom half.
Fusion. Multiply each component by a weight so users can emphasize or de emphasize leadership, flow, or position. Sum to a raw pulse.
Compression. Pass the raw pulse through a bounded function. Hyperbolic tangent is smooth and has natural saturation near the extremes. Softsign is faster and behaves like a smoother version of sign near zero. Compression avoids unbounded excursions and makes thresholds meaningful across days.
Smoothing. Apply a short EMA to the compressed pulse to reduce noise. This creates the main line called TwinPulse in the plot.
Thresholds. You can use static symmetric levels or adaptive levels. The adaptive option computes a mean and a standard deviation of the smoothed pulse over a user window, then sets upper and lower thresholds as mean plus or minus sigma times standard deviation. This allows thresholds to adjust across regimes. Static levels are still available for traders who want repeatable levels.
Events and mode. A long event fires when the smoothed pulse crosses the upper threshold with positive flow and any optional filters agree. A short event fires on the symmetric condition. The mode reads the current state rather than fire and forget. It returns BUY when the smoothed pulse is above the upper threshold with positive flow, SELL when the smoothed pulse is below the lower threshold with negative flow, otherwise WAIT. A cooldown controls how often events can fire so alerts do not spam during choppy periods.
Inputs and default values
The script ships with defaults chosen for SPY and QQQ on one hour charts.
Symbols. SPY and QQQ by default. You can switch to any pair. Many users may test IWM versus SPY for small cap reads.
Regular hours selector. On by default. This restricts the position factor to New York regular hours. Turn it off if you prefer full session behavior.
ROC length is three bars. Z score length is fifty bars. VWAP slope window is ten bars. ATR length is fourteen bars. Pulse smoothing length is three bars.
Compression mode. Choose hyperbolic tangent or softsign. Hyperbolic tangent is default.
Weights. Leadership and flow are one by default. Position is set to zero point seven to give a modest influence to where price sits inside the day.
Thresholds. Adaptive thresholds are on by default with a lookback of one hundred bars and a sigma width of zero point eight. Static levels at plus or minus zero point six are ready if you disable adaptive mode.
Filters. ADX filter is off by default. If you enable it, the script requires ADX above a user minimum before it will signal. Higher time frame confirmation is off by default. When enabled it compares the smoothed pulse on the confirm timeframe to zero and requires alignment for longs or shorts.
Cooldown. Three bars by default so that alerts do not trigger too frequently.
UI. Bar coloring is on by default. The panel is on by default and sits at the top right.
All request security calls use lookahead off and will not request future data. All persistent state variables are assigned in a way that prevents repainting. The indicator does not use non standard chart types in its logic.
How to use the indicator
Load a one hour chart of SPY or QQQ. Keep a clean chart so that the script output is easy to read.
Turn on regular hours if you want the session position to reflect the cash session. This is recommended for SPY and QQQ.
Watch the panel. Mode reads BUY or SELL or WAIT. The strength value is a simple vote based score that ranges from zero to one hundred. It counts leadership, flow, ADX if enabled, and higher time frame confirmation if enabled. You can use strength to filter weak states.
Consider action only when mode is BUY or SELL and the signal has not just fired on the last bar. The triangles mark where an event fired. Alerts use the same logic as the events. WAIT means stand aside.
To slow the system, enable ADX and set a higher minimum or enable higher time frame confirmation. To speed it up, disable the filters, disable adaptive thresholds, or tighten the sigma width.
When publishing, use a clean chart with only this indicator. Show the symbol and timeframe clearly and make sure the plot legend is visible. If you add drawings on the chart, only include ones that help readers understand the output.
Publication notes and compliance
This description is written in English. The title uses ASCII and only uses capital letters for common abbreviations. The script is original and explains how and why the components work together. There are no links or promotional material. The script does not claim performance. It does not use lookahead. The panel and alerts exist to help a human read and act with discipline. The indicator can be published as open source or as protected. If you choose protected, the description still allows readers to understand how the logic works without access to the code.
If you later convert the logic into a strategy for publication, use realistic commission and slippage, risk no more than a small share of equity per trade, and choose a dataset that yields a large enough sample. Explain any deviations from these default recommendations in your strategy description. Do not publish results from non standard chart types since they can mislead readers on signal timing.
Limitations and risks
Intermarket leadership is a relative measure. There are hours when both SPY and QQQ fall while leadership remains positive. Treat leadership as a context, not a stand alone trigger.
VWAP slope is a path measure inside the session. It can flip several times on a choppy day. That is why the script uses a short smoothing and an optional cooldown. Use ADX or higher time frame confirmation to avoid the worst chop.
Session position assumes a meaningful regular hours range. On half days or around openings with gaps the position factor can be less informative. If this bothers you, reduce the weight of position or turn it off.
Compression and smoothing introduce lag by design. The goal is stability and clarity. If you want earlier but noisier signals, reduce smoothing and weights, and use static thresholds.
No indicator guarantees future results. TwinPulse Q Lead is a decision aid. It should be combined with your risk rules, position size policy, and a clear exit plan. Past behavior is not a promise for the future.
Frequently asked questions
What symbols are supported. Any symbol can be used as the chart symbol. Leadership uses the two user symbols which default to SPY and QQQ. Many traders may try IWM versus SPY or DIA versus SPY.
Can I change the timeframe. Yes, but the design target is one hour. On very short timeframes the VWAP slope becomes very sensitive and you should consider stronger filters.
Does the script repaint. No. It uses request security with lookahead off and the panel updates on the last bar only. Events are based on bar close conditions unless you attach alerts on any alert function call which will still respect the logic without looking into the future.
How are the strength numbers built. The strength score is the share of aligned votes across leadership, flow, ADX if enabled, and higher time frame confirmation if enabled. A value near one hundred means many filters agree. A value near fifty means partial alignment. It is not a probability or an accuracy number.
Can I use non standard chart types. You can view the indicator on them but do not publish signals from non standard chart types because that can mislead readers about timing. Use classic candles or bars when you publish and when you test.
Why do I sometimes see BUY but the price is not moving. A BUY mode requires pulse above the upper threshold and positive flow. It does not require higher highs immediately. Treat BUY as a permission to look for entries using your own execution rules. Indicator
Indicator
Indicator
SPX Weekly Expected Moves# SPX Weekly Expected Moves Indicator
A professional Pine Script indicator for PulseWire that displays weekly expected move levels for SPX based on real options data, with integrated Fibonacci retracement analysis and intelligent alerting system.
## Overview
This indicator helps options and equity traders visualize weekly expected move ranges for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) by plotting historical and current week expected move boundaries derived from weekly options pricing. Unlike theoretical volatility calculations, this indicator uses actual market-based expected move data that you provide from options platforms.
## Key Features
### 📈 **Expected Move Visualization**
- **Historical Lines**: Display past weeks' expected moves with configurable history (10, 26, or 52 weeks)
- **Current Week Focus**: Highlighted current week with extended lines to present time
- **Friday Close Reference**: Orange baseline showing the previous Friday's close price
- **Timeframe Independent**: Works consistently across all chart timeframes (1m to 1D)
### 🎯 **Fibonacci Integration**
- **Five Fibonacci Levels**: 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 76.4% between Friday close and expected move boundaries
- **Color-Coded Levels**:
- Red: 23.6% & 76.4% (outer levels)
- Blue: 38.2% & 61.8% (golden ratio levels)
- Black: 50% (midpoint - most critical level)
- **Current Week Only**: Fibonacci levels shown only for active trading week to reduce clutter
### 📊 **Real-Time Information Table**
- **Current SPX Price**: Live market price
- **Expected Move**: ±EM value for current week
- **Previous Close**: Friday close price (baseline for calculations)
- **100% EM Levels**: Exact upper and lower boundary prices
- **Current Location**: Real-time position within the EM structure (e.g., "Above 38.2% Fib (upper zone)")
### 🚨 **Intelligent Alert System**
- **Zone-Aware Alerts**: Separate alerts for upper and lower zones
- **Key Level Breaches**: Alerts for 23.6% and 76.4% Fibonacci level crossings
- **Bar Close Based**: Alerts trigger on confirmed bar closes, not tick-by-tick
- **Customizable**: Enable/disable alerts through settings
## How It Works
### Data Input Method
The indicator uses a **manual data entry approach** where you input actual expected move values obtained from options platforms:
```pinescript
// Add entries using the options expiration Friday date
map.put(expected_moves, 20250613, 91.244) // Week ending June 13, 2025
map.put(expected_moves, 20250620, 95.150) // Week ending June 20, 2025
```
### Weekly Structure
- **Monday 9:30 AM ET**: Week begins
- **Friday 4:00 PM ET**: Week ends
- **Lines Extend**: From Monday open to Friday close (historical) or current time + 5 bars (current week)
- **Timezone Handling**: Uses "America/New_York" for proper DST handling
### Calculation Logic
1. **Base Price**: Previous Friday's SPX close price
2. **Expected Move**: Market-derived ±EM value from weekly options
3. **Upper Boundary**: Friday Close + Expected Move
4. **Lower Boundary**: Friday Close - Expected Move
5. **Fibonacci Levels**: Proportional levels between Friday close and EM boundaries
## Setup Instructions
### 1. Data Collection
Obtain weekly expected move values from options platforms such as:
- **ThinkOrSwim**: Use thinkBack feature to look up weekly expected moves
- **Tastyworks**: Check weekly options expected move data
- **CBOE**: Reference SPX weekly options data
- **Manual Calculation**: (ATM Call Premium + ATM Put Premium) × 0.85
### 2. Data Entry
After each Friday close, update the indicator with the next week's expected move:
```pinescript
// Example: On Friday June 7, 2025, add data for week ending June 13
map.put(expected_moves, 20250613, 91.244) // Actual EM value from your platform
```
### 3. Configuration
Customize the indicator through the settings panel:
#### Visual Settings
- **Show Current Week EM**: Toggle current week display
- **Show Past Weeks**: Toggle historical weeks display
- **Max Weeks History**: Choose 10, 26, or 52 weeks of history
- **Show Fibonacci Levels**: Toggle Fibonacci retracement levels
- **Label Controls**: Customize which labels to display
#### Colors
- **Current Week EM**: Default yellow for active week
- **Past Weeks EM**: Default gray for historical weeks
- **Friday Close**: Default orange for baseline
- **Fibonacci Levels**: Customizable colors for each level type
#### Alerts
- **Enable EM Breach Alerts**: Master toggle for all alerts
- **Specific Alerts**: Four alert types for Fibonacci level breaches
## Trading Applications
### Options Trading
- **Straddle/Strangle Positioning**: Visualize breakeven levels for neutral strategies
- **Directional Plays**: Assess probability of reaching target levels
- **Earnings Plays**: Compare actual vs. expected move outcomes
### Equity Trading
- **Support/Resistance**: Use EM boundaries and Fibonacci levels as key levels
- **Breakout Trading**: Monitor for moves beyond expected ranges
- **Mean Reversion**: Look for reversals at extreme Fibonacci levels
### Risk Management
- **Position Sizing**: Gauge likely price ranges for the week
- **Stop Placement**: Use Fibonacci levels for logical stop locations
- **Profit Targets**: Set targets based on EM structure probabilities
## Technical Implementation
### Performance Features
- **Memory Managed**: Configurable history limits prevent memory issues
- **Timeframe Independent**: Uses timestamp-based calculations for consistency
- **Object Management**: Automatic cleanup of drawing objects prevents duplicates
- **Error Handling**: Robust bounds checking and NA value handling
### Pine Script Best Practices
- **v6 Compliance**: Uses latest Pine Script version features
- **User Defined Types**: Structured data management with WeeklyEM type
- **Efficient Drawing**: Smart line/label creation and deletion
- **Professional Standards**: Clean code organization and comprehensive documentation
## Customization Guide
### Adding New Weeks
```pinescript
// Add after market close each Friday
map.put(expected_moves, YYYYMMDD, EM_VALUE)
```
### Color Schemes
Customize colors for different trading styles:
- **Dark Theme**: Use bright colors for visibility
- **Light Theme**: Use contrasting dark colors
- **Minimalist**: Use single color with transparency
### Label Management
Control label density:
- **Show Current Week Labels Only**: Reduce clutter for active trading
- **Show All Labels**: Full information for analysis
- **Selective Display**: Choose specific label types
## Troubleshooting
### Common Issues
1. **No Lines Appearing**: Check that expected move data is entered for current/recent weeks
2. **Wrong Time Display**: Ensure "America/New_York" timezone is properly handled
3. **Duplicate Lines**: Restart indicator if drawing objects appear duplicated
4. **Missing Fibonacci Levels**: Verify "Show Fibonacci Levels" is enabled
### Data Validation
- **Expected Move Format**: Use positive numbers (e.g., 91.244, not ±91.244)
- **Date Format**: Use YYYYMMDD format (e.g., 20250613)
- **Reasonable Values**: Verify EM values are realistic (typically 50-200 for SPX)
## Version History
### Current Version
- **Pine Script v6**: Latest version compatibility
- **Fibonacci Integration**: Five-level retracement analysis
- **Zone-Aware Alerts**: Upper/lower zone differentiation
- **Dynamic Line Management**: Smart current week extension
- **Professional UI**: Comprehensive information table
### Future Enhancements
- **Multiple Symbols**: Extend beyond SPX to other indices
- **Automated Data**: Integration with options data APIs
- **Statistical Analysis**: Success rate tracking for EM predictions
- **Additional Levels**: Custom percentage levels beyond Fibonacci
## License & Usage
This indicator is designed for educational and trading purposes. Users are responsible for:
- **Data Accuracy**: Ensuring correct expected move values
- **Risk Management**: Proper position sizing and risk controls
- **Market Understanding**: Comprehending options-based expected move concepts
## Support
For questions, issues, or feature requests related to this indicator, please refer to the code comments and documentation within the Pine Script file.
---
**Disclaimer**: This indicator is for informational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Indicator
Strategy
Indicator
Simple RSI stock Strategy [1D] The "Simple RSI Stock Strategy " is designed to long-term traders. Strategy uses a daily time frame to capitalize on signals generated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This strategy is suitable for low-leverage trading environments and focuses on identifying potential buy opportunities when the market is oversold, while incorporating strong risk management with both dynamic and static Stop Loss mechanisms.
This strategy is recommended for use with a relatively small amount of capital and is best applied by diversifying across multiple stocks in a strong uptrend, particularly in the S&P 500 stock market. It is specifically designed for equities, and may not perform well in other markets such as commodities, forex, or cryptocurrencies, where different market dynamics and volatility patterns apply.
Indicators Used in the Strategy:
1. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
- The RSI is a momentum oscillator used to identify overbought and oversold conditions in the market.
- This strategy enters long positions when the RSI drops below the oversold level (default: 30), indicating a potential buying opportunity.
- It focuses on oversold conditions but uses a filter (SMA 200) to ensure trades are only made in the context of an overall uptrend.
2. SMA 200 (Simple Moving Average):
- The 200-period SMA serves as a trend filter, ensuring that trades are only executed when the price is above the SMA, signaling a bullish market.
- This filter helps to avoid entering trades in a downtrend, thereby reducing the risk of holding positions in a declining market.
3. ATR (Average True Range):
- The ATR is used to measure market volatility and is instrumental in setting the Stop Loss.
- By multiplying the ATR value by a custom multiplier (default: 1.5), the strategy dynamically adjusts the Stop Loss level based on market volatility, allowing for flexibility in risk management.
How the Strategy Works:
Entry Signals:
The strategy opens long positions when RSI indicates that the market is oversold (below 30), and the price is above the 200-period SMA. This ensures that the strategy buys into potential market bottoms within the context of a long-term uptrend.
Take Profit Levels:
The strategy defines three distinct Take Profit (TP) levels:
TP 1: A 5% from the entry price.
TP 2: A 10% from the entry price.
TP 3: A 15% from the entry price.
As each TP level is reached, the strategy closes portions of the position to secure profits: 33% of the position is closed at TP 1, 66% at TP 2, and 100% at TP 3.
Visualizing Target Points:
The strategy provides visual feedback by plotting plotshapes at each Take Profit level (TP 1, TP 2, TP 3). This allows traders to easily see the target profit levels on the chart, making it easier to monitor and manage positions as they approach key profit-taking areas.
Stop Loss Mechanism:
The strategy uses a dual Stop Loss system to effectively manage risk:
ATR Trailing Stop: This dynamic Stop Loss adjusts based on the ATR value and trails the price as the position moves in the trader’s favor. If a price reversal occurs and the market begins to trend downward, the trailing stop closes the position, locking in gains or minimizing losses.
Basic Stop Loss: Additionally, a fixed Stop Loss is set at 25%, limiting potential losses. This basic Stop Loss serves as a safeguard, automatically closing the position if the price drops 25% from the entry point. This higher Stop Loss is designed specifically for low-leverage trading, allowing more room for market fluctuations without prematurely closing positions.
to determine the level of stop loss and target point I used a piece of code by RafaelZioni, here is the script from which a piece of code was taken
Together, these mechanisms ensure that the strategy dynamically manages risk while offering robust protection against significant losses in case of sharp market downturns.
The position size has been estimated by me at 75% of the total capital. For optimal capital allocation, a recommended value based on the Kelly Criterion, which is calculated to be 59.13% of the total capital per trade, can also be considered.
Enjoy ! Strategy
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Nico's SPX Dynamic ChannelsTest of dynamic channels and some statistics made by hand.
This indicator was done specifically for the S&P500 index.
As you can see, below the 125 EMA there's a lot more volatility than in the upside. I've made some kind of a dynamic linear regression of the lows and the highs.
I've chosen the MA that best fits the SPX, and then calculated in Excel the percental mean and SDs of most important peaks and valleys that I've chosen in comparison to the 125 MA. This lead to the green, orange and red zones. BUT, I've calculated the peaks and valleys separately, as I assumed that a bear market and crashes have way more volatility than bull markets. That's why the difference between the upper and the lower channels.
The neutral blue zone is composed by an upper EMA of the highs and lower EMA of the lows. No MA in this script uses the close price as a source.
This MA makes sense because it represents a semester of trading, for this particular asset.
Backtest results
It's also interesting to try it here too, as it has a little bit more of data:
SPCFD:SPX
As it's not a trading system, I have no batting average nor ratios for this.
Still, the measures of the peaks and valleys are very accurate and repeat themselves over and over again. The results were:
3rd resistance: 12.88%
2nd resistance: 10.12%
1st resistance: 7.36%
1st support: -6.42%
2nd support: -14.8%
3rd support: -23.18%
All referred to the mean, which is the 125 EMA zone.
After the 1950's works like magic, but not before. You will see that it doesn't work in the great depression and it's crash.
How to use this indicator
Green = First grade support/resistance .
Orange = Second grade support/resistance . Caution.
Red = Third grade support/resistance . High chances of mean reversal.
Blue zone = This is the neutral zone, where the prices are not cheap nor expensive.
Often in a trending market, the price will have the blue zone as it's main support and when trending the price will stick to the green MA.
When the price touches the orange MA, the most probable is that it will return to the green MA.
If the price touches the red zone, there's a high chance that this is a big turning point and it will reverse to the mean (green or blue zone).
Imagine you've bought each time the price touched the red support, check that and you'll start liking this indicator. I think it is a great entry point for investors. The red resistance is good too, but of course it works for a short period of time.
I've backtested this indicator since the beginning of the dataset and it works like magic, but ONLY for the SPX index (spot price).
Leave a comment or some coins if you like it!!!
(I've posted it before like an analysis, not as a script, my bad) Indicator
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