Hype Check - Swing: Big Move. Or just HYPE?Is this move actually unusual?
Big candle. Big volume. Everyone suddenly has a thesis.
Cool.
A 4% move in PLTR and a 4% move in KO are not the same event. Over the
last two years PLTR did that once every 4 sessions. KO, once every 125.
Your screener paints both the same shade of green.
something special? NAH.
████░░░░░░ HOLDING THE LOWS
-7.3% from the peak
normal? yes · a normal stretch for QQQ
who's winning nobody · both sides matched
the crowd growing into the fall
next floor 658.20 · 3.4% below, tested twice
above you nothing until 712.40 · 4.6% up
but it closed well off the lows
YEAH . Something unusual is happening.
KINDA . Worth watching. Not enough for a decision.
NAH . Looks dramatic. Statistically, it isn't.
Then it names what the chart is actually doing: BREAKING DOWN, SNAPPING
BACK, HOLDING THE LOWS, COILING, GRINDING UP, RANGE BOUND, and a few more.
THREE THINGS IT DOES DIFFERENTLY
It measures the move, not the calendar. A three day collapse doesn't get
averaged away inside a 20 day window, and a bounce off the low doesn't
erase the fall that came before it.
It sizes levels in the stock's own daily range. Early versions put a
"level" 0.6% away on a stock that routinely moves 8% in a day. Useless.
Now a level only counts if price would have to work to reach it, and the
ones price has turned at more than once are drawn solid.
It will tell you nothing is happening . Most days that is the honest
answer, and most tools won't say it.
YEAH does not mean buy. It means pay attention. A rare move can continue,
reverse or stall, and a great looking setup can still be a bad trade.
No predictions. No magic arrows. No fake certainty.
Rare is not the same as actionable.
Daily swing charts. Free and open source.
Not financial advice.
Indicator
