Sigmoid Allocation Indicator & DashboardTL;DR This sigmoid-based allocation indicator tells you percentage of your portfolio to invest based on how much the market has dropped.
Market at all-time high? → Stay defensive, invest less (e.g., 30%)
Market crashed hard? → Get aggressive, invest more (e.g., 100%)
The "sigmoid" part just means the transition between these two extremes follows a smooth S-shaped curve.
Description
This indicator is a sigmoid-based allocation system that dynamically adjusts a portfolio exposure based on market drawdown.
It compares multiple steepness curves (K values) to find your optimal risk profile for leveraged ETF strategies, but it can also be used to scale in-out from stocks, crypto and to understand whether to use leverage or not.
The Sigmoid Allocation Dashboard helps you to dynamically adjust a portfolio allocation based on how much a market has dropped from its all-time high.
I've implemented it using a sigmoid (S-curve) function, that dynamically calculates the optimal allocation percentages. Depending on the market conditions, the S curves transition between defensive and aggressive allocations.
The Math Behind It (if you are a geek like me)
This indicator uses the sigmoid function to create smooth S-curve transitions:
α(D) = α_min + (α_max - α_min) × σ(k × (D - D_mid))
Where:
σ(x) = 1 / (1 + e^(-x)) ← Standard sigmoid function
You can also check it here:
// Sigmoid function: σ(x) = 1 / (1 + e^(-x))
sigmoid(float x) =>
1.0 / (1.0 + math.exp(-x))
// Alpha calculation: α(D) = α_min + (α_max - α_min) × σ(k × (D - D_mid))
calcAlpha(float drawdown, float k, float a_min, float a_max, float d_midpoint) =>
sig_input = k * (drawdown - d_midpoint) / 100.0
a_min + (a_max - a_min) * sigmoid(sig_input)
User parameters (you can tweak this):
Allocation Min (%): Your baseline allocation when markets are at ATH (default: 30%)
Allocation Max (%): Your maximum allocation during deep drawdowns (default: 100%)
D_mid (%): The drawdown level where you want to be at the midpoint (default: 25%)
Why do I like sigmoid and not a linear line?
Unlike linear models, the sigmoid creates "floors" and "ceilings" for your allocation. It transitions smoothly, no sudden jumps, and you never exceed your defined min/max bounds.
Understand the K Values (Steepness)
The K parameter controls how quickly your allocation shifts from defensive to aggressive.
Lower K (for example K=5) will give you a gradual transition, but at 0% drawdown you are already at a 46% allocation.
A higher like (like K=40) will give you a sharp transition, but at 0% drawdown you are close to the minimum allocation. On the other hand, a higher K will give close to 100% allocation when the markets are at new lows.
The example below illustrates this well, then the S&P 500 reached new lows in October 2022:
Different K values will affect the sigmoid curves (and you allocations differently). The chart below illustrates well how K affects the sigmoid curves:
Read the Dashboard
The main dashboard shows:
Current drawdown from ATH
Allocation % for each K value
Suggested action (Defensive → MAX LONG)
Use the Reference Chart
The static reference panel shows what your allocation would be at various drawdown levels (0%, 10%, 20%, 30%, 40%, 50%), helping you plan ahead.
Identify Zones
The color-coded chart background shows:
- 🟢 Green Zone: Aggressive positioning - "Buy the Dip"
- 🟡 Yellow Zone: Transition zone - Scaling in/out
- 🔴 Red Zone: Defensive positioning - Protect ya gains
Use Cases
Use case 1: Leveraged ETF Portfolio Management (this is my main use case)
When holding leveraged ETFs like TQQQ or UPRO, volatility makes it important to:
- Reduce exposure near all-time highs (when crashes hurt most)
- Increase exposure during drawdowns (when recovery potential is highest)
Example Strategy:
- At ATH: Hold 30% TQQQ, 70% cash/bonds or other uncorrelated assets
- At 25% drawdown: Hold 65% TQQQ, 35% cash/bonds
- At 40%+ drawdown: Hold 100% TQQQ
Use case 2: Diversified Leveraged Portfolio
Compare different K values for different assets:
- Use K = 10 for broad market (QQQ/SPY exposure via TQQQ/UPRO)
- Use K = 25 for sector bets (TECL, SOXL, TMF) that you want to scale into faster
Use case 3: Systematic Rebalancing Signals
Use the alerts to trigger rebalancing:
- Alert when K3 allocation crosses above 90% (time to add)
- Alert when drawdown exceeds your D_mid threshold
- Alert when market returns to within 5% of ATH
Tips for Best Results
It works best in longer time frames
Adjust the ATR lookback window
Match your risk tolerance level
I use this for index investing and stocks and haven't tried with crypto
Thanks for using the indicator and let me know if you have any feedback :)
- Henrique Centieiro
Indicator
Portfolio TrackerDescription
The Portfolio Tracker is a utility dashboard designed for traders who need to monitor the performance of a multi-asset portfolio directly from a single chart layout. While PulseWire provides excellent charting for individual symbols, tracking the combined Profit & Loss (PnL) of a basket of 20 different securities (stocks, crypto, forex, or indices) usually requires switching tabs, using external spreadsheets, or logging into multiple exchange accounts.
This script solves that problem by allowing users to manually input their position details into a customizable table. It fetches real-time price data for each symbol and calculates the individual and total portfolio performance, including commission costs.
Why This Tool is Useful
This indicator was built to address specific pain points for active traders:
Consolidated View: Instead of checking 20 different charts to see how your positions are doing, you get a single, real-time snapshot of your entire portfolio's health on one screen.
Risk Management: By seeing the "Total PnL" and "Total Investment" in one place, traders can better understand their overall market exposure, rather than focusing on single winning or losing trades.
Flexible Accounting: The ability to switch between "Unit Price" and "Total Cost" inputs accommodates different trading styles—whether you are a scalper entering a single price or an investor averaging down with a specific total capital allocation.
CRITICAL: Input Logic & Warnings
To ensure accurate PnL calculations, users must understand the relationship between Quantity and Cost, especially when using "Total Cost (Manual)" mode.
The Golden Rule: Your Input Cost must always match the Total Quantity entered.
Example Scenario:
Imagine you buy 2 BTC at a price of $90,000 each.
Correct Entry: You must enter Quantity: 2 and Cost: 180000 ($90k x 2).
Result: If BTC drops to $85k, your Portfolio Value is $170k. The script correctly shows a PnL of -$10,000.
Result: If BTC rises to $95k, your Portfolio Value is $190k. The script correctly shows a PnL of +$10,000.
Incorrect Entry: If you enter Quantity: 2 but leave Cost at 90000 (the unit price).
Result: The script thinks you bought 2 BTC for a total of only $90k. It will instantly show a massive, incorrect profit because the math implies you bought 2 coins for the price of 1.
Please double-check your inputs. The script includes a "Sanity Check" feature to help catch these errors, but accurate data entry is the user's responsibility.
Key Features & Benefits
Multi-Asset Tracking (20 Slots): Monitor up to 20 different tickers simultaneously.
Real-Time Valuation: Uses request.security() to fetch the current market price for every symbol in the list. Your PnL updates with every tick of the market.
Flexible Cost Basis Modes:
Auto-Calc Mode: Enter Entry Price and Quantity. (Best for simple, single-entry trades).
Manual Cost Mode: Enter Total Invested Amount. (Best for averaged-down positions).
Advanced Commission Handling: Supports both Global and Individual commission rates. This provides a realistic "Net PnL" by factoring in fees on both the entry (cost basis) and the theoretical exit (current value).
Input Safety ("Sanity Check"): A logic check that compares the user's input against the current market value. If a user switches to "Total Cost" mode but leaves a small "Unit Price" value in the input field, the script flags the row to prevent irrational PnL percentages (e.g., >100,000%).
Clean & Customizable UI: The table can be positioned in 9 different locations, and inputs are hidden from the chart status line to keep the visual workspace clean.
How It Works
The script operates using a systematic loop that processes user inputs through a series of mathematical validations:
Data Acquisition: The script collects all 20 user inputs and utilizes request.security() to fetch the real-time close price for every non-empty symbol in the list.
Cost Basis Calculation:
In Auto-Calc Mode: The script calculates Raw Cost = Quantity * Input Price.
In Manual Mode: The script takes the Input Value directly as the Raw Cost.
"Round-Trip" Commission Modeling:
Entry Cost: Raw Cost * (1 + Commission%) (Fees increase your breakeven).
Exit Value: (Quantity * Current Price) * (1 - Commission%) (Fees reduce your payout).
Net PnL: Exit Value - Entry Cost.
Sanity Check Algorithm: Before displaying data, the script compares the Input Cost against the Gross Market Value (Qty * Price). If the Input Cost is less than a user-defined threshold (default 1%) of the Market Value, it triggers a warning, assuming the user forgot to update the field to a "Total Cost" figure.
Disclaimer
This script is for informational and educational purposes only. It is a tool to assist in tracking hypothetical or real positions based on manual user inputs and standard PulseWire data feeds. It should not be relied upon as a primary accounting ledger or tax reporting tool. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves risk. Always verify your PnL against your actual exchange or broker statements. Indicator
Portfolio HeatThe "Portfolio Heat" indicator offers a visual representation of potential risk exposure for a portfolio across up to eight different symbols. It dynamically calculates three risk metrics based on current price, the number of shares owned, your designated stop loss, and total account size.
Open Dollar Risk – the total dollar amount you will lose if your stop loss is hit.
Open % of Portfolio Risk – the risk as a percentage of your total account size.
Starting Capital Risk – the dollar amount risked based on the difference between the entry price and stop price.
These metrics adjust in real-time, allowing you to monitor and manage risk more effectively.
Open portfolio heat refers to how much you would lose if all your currently held stock positions hit their stop-losses, whether those stop-losses are below what you paid for them - referred to as your “cost basis” - at your cost basis (breakeven) or above your cost basis (in the money). Admittedly, it’s a pretty bad day when all your stops are hit at once, but as traders we need to prepare for the worst. To visualize what “open heat” looks like on a single stock position, please note the chart below:
In the example above you can see that if you were to purchase 100 shares of this stock at a cost-basis of $18/share, and your stop-loss is placed at $15, if the current price of the stock is at $20 and the stock price drops to hit your stop-loss, it would result in a $500 total drawdown in your portfolio. Keep in mind this is just one stock position. Hypothetically, if you were even holding two stocks that had the above open heat, with a $10,000 account size, you could experience a 10% drawdown quite fast if the market corrects.
The “Portfolio Heat” indicator is fully customizable allowing traders to select the number of positions in the portfolio, colors and a detailed or a summary view of risk.
Note if entering a short position, you will enter the number of shares owned as a negative number.
Indicator
Equity Trade Risk ManagerEquity Trade Risk Manager is a simple indicator that helps you protect your portfolio by going into each trade risk first !
Equity Trade Risk Manager does this by calculating your ideal position size or ideal stop loss based on your account size, purchase price and risk tolerance. This ensures you are never risking more than your predetermined amount on each trade.
Unlike most position size calculators, that will only tell traders how many shares to purchase, Equity Trade Risk Manger allows the trader to choose whether they want to calculate the ideal number of shares to purchase or where to set the trades stop loss based on the number of shares owned. Not only that, but knowing traders need to act fast, the indicator also gives the option to quickly use the current price and low of the day as an entry and stop. Lastly, your stop loss will be plotted onto the chart for a visual aid.
Features:
Dynamic Risk Settings:
Account Customization: Input your account size to get metrics tailored to you.
Calculation Choices: Decide if you want the tool to calculate the number of shares you should buy or where to set your stop-loss.
Custom Risk Parameters: Use preset risk percentages or set your own to match your comfort level.
Price Point Flexibility:
Enter your entry and stop price or opt to use the current price and the low of the day.
Interactive Display Settings:
Customizable Interface: Adjust table positions, text size, and color schemes to match your trading dashboard aesthetic.
On-Chart Stop-Loss Indication: Visualize your stop loss on the chart itself.
Get a snapshot of your dollar risk, position size, shares to buy, and stop-loss.
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