Indicator
Price per m2 Argentina CABA USD/m2 - SMAs (1999-2025)Overview
This indicator plots the historical USD price per square meter of apartments in CABA (Buenos Aires City), Argentina, combining annual data (1999–2011) with monthly data (2012–2025) to reconstruct a long-term residential real estate pricing series.
All values were manually digitized, cleaned, and consolidated from public reports and market datasets to create a continuous analytical framework for historical valuation analysis.
The script also includes SMA20, SMA50, and SMA100 calculated over the custom dataset to support long-term trend analysis, cycle identification, and macro structural evaluation.
Data Sources
1999–2011 (Annual): Maure Real Estate Market Reports
2012–2020 (Monthly): UCEMA Real Estate Index
2020–2025 (Monthly): RE/MAX – UCEMA Market Monitor
All datasets referenced are derived from publicly available reports and institutional publications.
How to Use This Indicator
*USE ON THE 1 MONTH TIMEFRAME*
This tool enables investors, developers, and market analysts to:
• Identify multi-year trend shifts in residential real estate valuations
• Compare pricing cycles against Argentine macroeconomic environments
• Map long-term support and resistance zones
• Detect early signs of market recovery or contraction
• Integrate real estate fundamentals with technical analysis frameworks
The moving averages help visualize structural trends that are typically less observable in traditional property datasets.
About This Work
This historical series was reconstructed and coded by Engineer Francisco Michelich through the consolidation of market research, statistical normalization, and technical analysis methodologies.
This script does not represent an official financial index and is not affiliated with the original data institutions. It is intended solely as an educational and analytical tool for visualizing long-term trends in the Buenos Aires, Argentina residential real estate market. Indicator
S&P 500 & Normalized CAPE Z-Score AnalyzerThis macro-focused indicator visualizes the historical valuation of the U.S. equity market using the CAPE ratio (Shiller P/E), normalized over its long-term average and standard deviations. It helps traders and investors identify overvaluation and undervaluation zones over time, combining both statistical signals and historical context.
💡 Why It’s Useful
This indicator is ideal for macro traders and long-term investors looking to contextualize equity valuations across decades. It helps identify statistical extremes in valuation by referencing the standard deviation of the CAPE ratio relative to its long-term mean. The overlay of S&P 500 price with valuation zones provides a visual confirmation tool for macro decisions or timing insights.
It includes:
✅ Three display modes:
-S&P 500 (color-coded by CAPE valuation zone)
-Normalized CAPE (vs. long-term mean)
-CAPE Z-Score (standardized measure)
🎯 How to Interpret
Dynamic coloring of the S&P 500 price based on CAPE valuation:
🔴 Z > +2σ → Highly Overvalued
🟠 Z > +1σ → Overvalued
⚪ -1σ < Z < +1σ → Neutral
🟢 Z < -1σ → Undervalued
✅ Z < -2σ → Strong Buy Zone
-Live valuation label showing the current CAPE, Z-score, and zone.
-Macro event shading: major historical events (e.g. Great Depression, Oil Crisis, Dot-com Bubble, COVID Crash) are shaded on the chart for context.
✅ Built-in alerts:
CAPE > +2σ → Potential risk zone
CAPE < -2σ → Potential opportunity zone
📊 Use Cases
This indicator is ideal for:
🧠 Macro traders seeking long-term valuation extremes.
📈 Portfolio managers monitoring systemic valuation risk.
🏛️ Long-term investors timing strategic allocation shifts.
🧪 How It Works
CAPE ratio (Shiller PE) is retrieved from Quandl (MULTPL/SHILLER_PE_RATIO_MONTH).
The script calculates the long-term average and standard deviation of CAPE.
The Z-score is computed as:
(CAPE - Mean) / Standard Deviation
Users can switch between:
S&P 500 chart, color-coded by CAPE valuation zones.
Normalized CAPE, centered around zero (historic mean).
CAPE Z-score, showing statistical positioning directly.
Visual bands represent +1σ, +2σ, -1σ, -2σ thresholds.
You can switch between modes using the “Display” dropdown in the settings panel.
📊 Data Sources
CAPE: MULTPL/SHILLER_PE_RATIO_MONTH via Quandl
S&P 500: Monthly close prices of SPX (PulseWire data)
All data updated on monthly resolution
This is not a repackaged built-in or autogenerated script. It’s a custom-built and interactive indicator designed for educational and analytical use in macroeconomic valuation studies. Indicator
