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BTC Hashrate ribbonsBTC Hash Rate ribbons / Hash Rate cross
This strategy goes long when BTCs Hash Rate 30 day moving average crosses above the 60 day moving average, signifying that miner capitulation is over and recovery has started.
When the opposite signal is given, which signifies the beginning of miner capitulation, the strategy goes short (or flat, depending on configuration). This is generally considered the most popular Hash Rate related strategy.
The strategy is based on this medium article: medium.com
Thanks to the recent integration of IntoTheBlock data into Tradingview, we can now effortlessly show Hash Rate data on our chart,
keep in mind however, that IntoTheBlock doesn't provide Hash Rate data on timeframes below daily, so this strategy is based used on the daily, weekly or even monthly time frames.
Hash Rate definition:
The Bitcoin hash rate is the number of times per second that computers on the Bitcoin network are hashing data to verify transactions and perform the encryption that secures the network. The hash rate is an indicator of how healthy the Bitcoin network is at any given time, and is driven primarily by difficulty mining and the number of miners. Generally, a high hash rate is considered a good thing.
More precisely, the Bitcoin hash rate is the number of times per second that computers on the Bitcoin network are hashing data to verify transactions and perform the encryption that secures the network. Strategy
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HASHRATE and MINER REVENUEThis script uses daily data points from Quandl which measure Bitcoin mining hashrate, and miner revenue, and averages the two. The two data sets are fairly zigzaggy, so to smooth the data I am use a John Ehlers' filter to reduce the noise. Why did I combine the two? Both have correlation to BTC price action, and by combining hashrate and revenue, I believe it produces a stronger and more accurate signal. At times when the background is green (also displayed with a green square at the bottom), conditions are good in Bitcoinland with miner revenue/hashrate going up. No color in the background and no dot, means the combined miner revenue and hashrate indicator is dropping, but nothing to get worried about. Seeing red dots on the bottom along with a red background signals a rapidly dropping rate of hashrate/miner revenue, and with a fairly strong correlation to the Bitcoin price. Not every red zone foretells a drop in the Bitcoin price, but a significant number of them do. I wrote this script as an early warning system for when to move out of Bitcoin. Use at your own risk. Feel free to modify this code to suit your personal needs. Please only use on BTC /USD pairs with 1D bars. Since there is only one data point per day published by Quandl, it will not give accurate data for shorter timeframes. Enjoy. Indicator
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Hashrate Mining of BiznesFilosofIn addition to technical analysis, you also need to pay attention to fundamental analysis. Bitcoin has one of these indicators, it is the network hashrate. And it’s important to know when mining becomes disadvantageous. Those. when network participants turn off the equipment. And there are critical points that depend on the price and number of miners in the network.
When the blue bars of the indicator grow, then you can stand in long. When stools are reduced, then it is time to close positions or hedge risks in the derivatives market.
The vertical line indicates halving.
A red flag indicates a dangerous moment, and a green flag indicates the time of purchase.
The oscillator is based on fundamental indicators and the intersection of moving averages.
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Кроме теханализа нужно ещё обращать внимание на фундаментальный анализ. У биткоина один из таких показателей, это хэшрейт сети. И важно зать, когда майнинг становится невыгоден. Т.е. когда участники сети отключают оборудование. И есть критические точки, зависящие от цены и количества майнеров в сети.
Когда синие столбики индикатора растут, тогда можно стоять в лонг. Когда столюики уменьшаются, тогда пора закрывать позиции или хеджировать риски на рынке деривативов.
Вертикальной линией обозначен халвинг.
Красный флаг показывает опасный момент, а зелёный флаг указывает на время покупок.
Осцилятор основан на фундаментальных показателях и пересечении скользящих средних. Indicator
BTC Hash Rate & Price Stochastic IndiciatorFresh off the press, we have a new breed of indicators: Bitcoin's Hash Rate & Price.
As many of you have read, roughly 80% of BTC's price movements can be correlated to its changes in hash rate volume. I decided to make a stochastic indicator that utilizes this principle to track divergence of the price from the hash rate.
Let's break this down...
In red is the CLOSE of BTC's Price, which is then smoothed by a SMA, and smoothed again by a WMA.
In aqua is a STOCH of BTC's Hash Rate, which is then smoothed by a SMA, and smoothed again by a WMA.
The reason why I chose to use the CLOSE of the Price versus a STOCH as I did with the Hash Rate, is because the price tends to signal trends via divergence from the Hash Rate, and eventually converge with the Hash Rate at some point.
You will notice that anytime there is a significant divergence of the RED from the AQUA, a trend is closely aligned with it. This indicator does a remarkable job of indicating the beginnings and ends of both bullish and bearish price movements.
Example Strategy:
Enter long when RED (price) crosses over AQUA (hash rate), and close long when RED crosses under AQUA.
The inverse can be done for shorts, just RED diverges downwards from AQUA versus upwards.
Note:
Unlike a normal Stochastic Indicator, the upper and lower bounds do not appear to hold any significance. In other words, the lines do not seem to reverse at 20/80. As a result, I just set them to 0/100 for aesthetics.
DO NOT make trades based off of small divergences, or simply enter into positions based off the price divergences. Though this indicator times the start/end of movements very accurately, it also comes riddled with false breakouts .
Proceed at your own pace, and please, toy around with the inputs values. I experimented with a few combinations, but I'm sure there are better value combinations that yield sharper results with fewer false signals.
EASTER EGG:
Notice the "Golden Line"? Any avid user of TV knows that Fibonacci ratios show up everywhere in markets. With that said, I plotted a horizontal line at 0.618, which is 1/Phi, an important level in Fibonacci retracements.
Final Comments:
First, this is not investment, merely my experimentation and observation of happenings in the analytical world.
Second, please comment questions, improvements, etc. Dialogue opens up room for exploration!
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