Advanced Fear & Greed Cycle (Quant Model)## Overview
The **Advanced Fear & Greed Cycle (Quant Model) v6** is a pure quantitative oscillator designed to decode market sentiment by measuring the architectural divergence between smart money accumulation and retail distribution. Fully upgraded to Pine Script v6, this script addresses standard oscillator limitations by implementing dynamic time-frequency normalization ($0-100$ fixed scale).
Unlike standard sentiment proxies, this model filters out price-action noise by isolating volume flows, directional volatility, and mean-reversion extensions simultaneously.
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## Mathematical Architecture & Core Engines
### 1. Directional Volatility Engine
Standard models treat volatility expansions as pure panic. This algorithm isolates **Directional Volatility**:
- A 14-period Average True Range (ATR) is mathematically normalized over a dynamic 90-day rolling quarter (`lookback`).
- **Trend Filter:** Volatility is converted into the `vol_fear` metric **only** if the closing price is below its 14-period Simple Moving Average (`is_descending`). Upside expansions (bullish breakouts) are correctly filtered out to prevent false panic readings.
### 2. Normalized Volume & Flow Sentiment
Liquidity and order-flow tracking are computed via a three-layered matrix:
- Normalized Volume spikes relative to the quarterly window.
- Inside-candle Selling Pressure ( AMEX:HIGH - Close$ versus the overall candle range).
- A normalized On-Balance Volume (OBV) structure to track mathematical capital inflows and outflows.
### 3. Boundary-Proof Macro Extension (Mayer Proxy)
To track cyclical overextensions, the script calculates the asset's percentage distance from its long-term moving average (SMA 200 on Daily, SMA 40 on Weekly charts).
To solve the scale break-out issue (where different assets experience wildly different percentage extensions), a **MinMax Normalization** is applied. This compresses the structural extension into a bound $0-100\%$ scale (`extension_norm`) based on the rolling quarter's extremes.
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## The Greed Score Synthesizer
The final plotting line is the **Greed Score**, a mathematically symmetric index calculated as:
$$\text{Greed Score} = \frac{(100 - \text{Fear Index}) + \text{Extension Norm}}{2}$$
This creates a fixed-bound oscillator ($0$ to $100$) that charts three distinct market phases:
- 🟢 **INSTITUTIONAL ACCUMULATION (Green Zone / < 20):** High systemic fear combined with compressed macro price extensions (< 25%). Smart money absorbs panicking retail order flow near historical value areas.
- ⚪ **NEUTRAL REGIME (Gray Line):** Symmetrical equilibrium where supply and demand are balanced.
- 🔴 **RETAIL FOMO / BUBBLE (Red Zone / > 80):** Zero systemic fear combined with extreme quarterly price overextensions. Retail traders buying the top driven by euphoria, highlighting distribution blocks.
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## Display Dashboard & Custom Parameters
The top-right informational panel provides real-time diagnostic outputs of the quantitative data (Current Cycle State, Exact Greed Score, and Normalized Extension %). Traders can adjust the `Soglia Bolla Normalizzata` input to calibrate the macro-exhaustion scanner to specific asset classes (Equities, Forex, or Cryptocurrencies).
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Disclaimer: This tool calculates mathematical probabilities based on normalized historical structures. It does not provide definitive buy/sell signals or financial advice. Always integrate sound risk management protocols. Indicator
Indicator
Synthetic IV Rank [UAlgo]Synthetic IV Rank is a volatility analysis indicator that creates a practical proxy for IV Rank when direct options implied volatility data is not available. Instead of reading an options chain, the script estimates a synthetic volatility series from price action using a Yang Zhang style historical volatility model, then normalizes that value into a 0 to 100 rank across a user defined lookback window.
This makes the tool especially useful for traders who want an IV Rank style workflow on instruments or markets where true implied volatility is unavailable, limited, or inconsistent. The indicator can be used on stocks, indices, forex, commodities, and crypto, with a dedicated Crypto Mode for annualization based on 365 days.
The script is built as a separate pane indicator and focuses on clear regime awareness. It plots a smooth IV Rank line, adds visual threshold references for high and low volatility zones, and shows a live status label on the most recent bar with both the current rank and the raw synthetic volatility value. The overall design makes it suitable for fast regime checks, mean reversion context, premium selling style filters, and volatility expansion monitoring.
Important note: This is a synthetic IV Rank approximation based on historical price volatility. It is not a substitute for true options implied volatility from an options chain.
🔹 Features
🔸 1) Synthetic IV Rank Using a Yang Zhang Style Volatility Model
The indicator estimates volatility from price data using a Yang Zhang style framework, then converts that estimate into an IV Rank style percentile scale. This gives users an IV Rank like signal even when broker feeds do not provide options implied volatility.
🔸 2) Engine Based Design with Structured Inputs
The script uses a custom VolatilityEngine type to organize the core calculation parameters:
hv_length for volatility estimation length
lookback_length for IV Rank normalization window
annual_factor for market specific annualization
This structure makes the logic easier to maintain and extend.
🔸 3) Stock and Crypto Annualization Modes
The engine supports two annualization conventions through a simple input toggle:
252 day convention for traditional markets
365 day convention for crypto markets
This is a practical detail because the same raw volatility process can produce different annualized values depending on the asset class.
🔸 4) Robust IV Rank Normalization with Safe Fallback
The script computes IV Rank by comparing the current synthetic volatility value against the lowest and highest values over the selected lookback period. If the range collapses to zero, the script safely assigns a neutral rank of 50 instead of causing a division issue.
This improves reliability in flat or low variance periods.
🔸 5) Clear Regime Visualization
The indicator includes a strong visual layout designed for quick interpretation:
A main IV Rank line
A mid reference line at 50
High and low threshold markers at 80 and 20
Gradient fills that visually emphasize extreme zones
This helps users recognize volatility regime shifts at a glance.
🔸 6) Dynamic Last Bar Status Labels
On the latest bar, the script prints a compact status label that shows:
Current IV Rank value
Regime label such as EXTREME FEAR, COMPLACENCY, or NEUTRAL
It also adds a secondary information label showing the raw Yang Zhang synthetic volatility percentage. This gives both normalized context and raw measurement at the same time.
🔸 7) Practical Regime Classification
The script uses simple but effective thresholds for regime tagging:
Above 80 signals elevated volatility conditions
Below 20 signals compressed volatility conditions
Between 20 and 80 is treated as neutral
These thresholds align with common IV Rank style interpretation used in discretionary and systematic workflows.
🔹 Calculations
1) Engine Initialization
On the first bar, the script initializes the custom volatility engine and stores:
The Yang Zhang calculation length
The IV Rank lookback window
The annualization factor based on asset class mode
If Crypto Mode is enabled, the annual factor uses the square root of 365. Otherwise it uses the square root of 252.
2) Synthetic Volatility Source Series
The indicator computes a Yang Zhang style historical volatility estimate from OHLC data. The model combines multiple variance components so it can capture more market behavior than a simple close to close volatility series.
The script calculates:
A first variance component labeled as overnight in the comments
An open to close variance component
A Rogers Satchell style intraday variance component from high, low, open, and close relationships
3) First Variance Component (Commented as Overnight)
In the current implementation, the first component is built from the logarithmic return of close / close , and its rolling variance is measured over the user defined length.
This is important to note because the code comments describe an overnight style component, while the actual formula uses consecutive closes in the current version.
4) Open to Close Variance Component
The script computes the logarithmic open to close return log(close / open) and then applies a rolling variance over the selected length. This measures intrabar movement relative to the bar open.
5) Rogers Satchell Intraday Variance Component
To improve intraday variance estimation, the script calculates a Rogers Satchell style daily variance term using four logarithmic relationships derived from high, low, open, and close. It then smooths this with a rolling simple average across the same volatility length.
This component is useful because it incorporates more intrabar range information than a simple close based measure.
6) Yang Zhang Weighting Factor
The script computes a weighting coefficient k that depends on the volatility length. This weight balances the contribution of the open to close variance and the Rogers Satchell component in the final combined variance.
The implementation follows the standard Yang Zhang style weighting formula shown in the script comments.
7) Combined Synthetic Volatility and Annualization
After computing the variance components, the script combines them into a single Yang Zhang style variance estimate, takes the square root to obtain volatility, and annualizes the result with the engine annual factor. The final synthetic volatility value is expressed as a percentage.
In practical terms, this output is the raw volatility series that the script later converts into Synthetic IV Rank.
8) IV Rank Calculation
The IV Rank logic measures where the current synthetic volatility sits relative to its historical range over the selected lookback:
It finds the lowest synthetic volatility in the lookback window
It finds the highest synthetic volatility in the lookback window
It scales the current value to a 0 to 100 rank
If the lookback range is flat, the script assigns 50.0 as a neutral fallback.
This normalization step is what makes the output behave like an IV Rank style regime indicator rather than a raw volatility plot.
9) Regime State Classification
On the latest bar, the script assigns a text state from the current IV Rank:
EXTREME FEAR when rank is above 80
COMPLACENCY when rank is below 20
NEUTRAL otherwise
The label color also changes with the state, which improves visual scanning.
10) Visual Layer Logic
The visualization includes:
A plotted IV Rank line
Hidden boundary plots for fill anchors
Visible threshold markers at 80 and 20
A midpoint reference line at 50
Gradient fills for high volatility and low volatility zones
The fill logic visually intensifies as the IV Rank moves deeper into an extreme zone, helping users identify volatility compression and expansion phases quickly.
11) What This Indicator Represents in Practice
This script is best understood as a normalized historical volatility regime tool designed to mimic the workflow of IV Rank when direct implied volatility data is not available. It is excellent for context filtering and regime awareness, but it should not be interpreted as a true options market implied volatility feed. Indicator
Retail Forex Sentiment Fear/Greed CurrencyPairsRetail Forex Sentiment Fear/Greed CurrencyPairs
Overview
The Retail Forex Sentiment Indicator provides sentiment data for major and cross currency pairs. This indicator displays retail trader positioning using retail brokers data, showing what percentage of retail traders are long or short on each forex pair.
Important: Indicator Split Notice
---------------------------------
Due to PulseWire's limitation of 40 data requests per indicator, the original Retail Sentiment Indicator has been split into TWO separate indicators you will find on PulseWire:
1. This indicator - Specialized for Forex currency pairs (30+ pairs)
[2. Retail Sentiment Indicator - Multi-Asset CFD & Fear/Greed Index - For indices, commodities, cryptocurrencies, and Fear/Greed indices
Please look at both indicators to access all available sentiment data.
Methodology and Scale Calculation
---------------------------------
This indicator operates on a **-50 to +50 scale** with zero representing perfect market equilibrium.
Scale Interpretation:
- **Zero (0)**: Market balance - exactly 50% of traders long, 50% short
- **Positive values**: Majority long (buying) pressure
- Example: If 63% of traders are long, the indicator shows +13 (63 - 50 = +13)
- **Negative values**: Majority short (selling) pressure
- Example: If 92% of traders are short, the indicator shows -42 (50 - 92 = -42)
Features
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- **Auto-Detection**: Automatically loads sentiment data based on the current chart symbol
- **Manual Selection**: Choose from 30+ supported currency pairs when auto-detection is unavailable
- **Visual Zones**: Clear greed/fear zones with color-coded backgrounds (green for fear zone, red for greed zone - contrarian colors)
- **Daily Updates**: Live sentiment data from retail CFD providers
Supported Currency Pairs
========================
Major Pairs
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- EURUSD (most traded pair globally)
- GBPUSD (Cable)
USD Pairs
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- USDJPY, USDCHF, USDCAD
- USDPLN
PLN (Polish Zloty) Pairs
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- USDPLN, EURPLN, GBPPLN, CHFPLN
EUR Cross Pairs
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- EURJPY, EURCHF, EURCAD, EURAUD, EURNZD, EURGBP
GBP Cross Pairs
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- GBPJPY, GBPCHF, GBPCAD, GBPAUD, GBPNZD
AUD (Australian Dollar) Pairs
-----------------------------
- AUDUSD, AUDJPY, AUDCHF, AUDNZD, AUDCAD
NZD (New Zealand Dollar) Pairs
------------------------------
- NZDUSD, NZDJPY, NZDCHF, NZDCAD
CAD Cross Pairs
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- CADJPY, CADCHF
CHF Cross Pairs
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- CHFJPY
How to Use
----------
1. **Auto Mode** (Default): Enable "Auto-load Sentiment Data" checkbox to automatically display sentiment for the current chart's currency pair
2. **Manual Mode**: Disable auto-load and select from the dropdown menu for specific currency pairs
3. **Interpretation**:
- Values above 0 (green line) indicate retail traders are net long (greed/bullish sentiment)
- Values below 0 (red line) indicate retail traders are net short (fear/bearish sentiment)
- Extreme zones (+35 to +50 and -35 to -50) indicate strong positioning
Trading Strategy & Market Philosophy
====================================
Contrarian Trading Approach
---------------------------
The primary purpose of this indicator is based on the fundamental market principle that **the majority of retail forex traders are wrong most of the time**, and currency pairs typically move opposite to the positions held by the majority of retail participants.
Key Strategy Guidelines:
- **Contrarian Signal**: When the majority of retail traders are positioned on one side, consider opportunities in the opposite direction
- **Trend Exhaustion Signal**: When retail traders finally flip to trade WITH an established trend after being wrong for extended period, this often signals trend exhaustion
Interpretation Examples:
- High greed readings (majority long) -> Consider short opportunities
- High fear readings (majority short) -> Consider long opportunities
- Sudden sentiment flip during established trends -> Potential trend reversal signal
Forex-Specific Notes
====================
Currency Correlations
---------------------
When analyzing forex sentiment, consider that:
- USD pairs often move together (if retail is long EURUSD, they're often short USDJPY)
- Cross pairs can provide confirmation signals
- Comparing sentiment across related pairs can reveal broader positioning
Auto-Detection Support
----------------------
The indicator supports automatic detection of various broker ticker formats including:
- Standard pairs (EURUSD, GBPUSD, etc.)
- CME Futures symbols (6E, 6B, JY, etc.)
- Micro futures (M6E, M6B, MJY, etc.)
This functionality is powered by regex pattern matching. However, for some CME futures pairs—particularly those involving JPY, CAD, and CHF—auto-detection may not work properly. In such cases, disable the auto-load checkbox and manually select the ticker from the dropdown menu.
Technical Notes
---------------
- Built with PineScript v6
- Dynamic symbol detection with fallback options
- Optimized for performance with minimal resource usage
- Color-coded visualization with customizable zones
Data Sources
------------
This indicator uses curated sentiment data from retail CFD providers. Data is updated regularly and sourced from reputable financial data providers.
Data Infrastructure Status
--------------------------
Current Data Upload Process:
Please note that sentiment data uploads may occasionally experience minor interruptions. However, this should not pose significant issues as sentiment data typically changes gradually rather than rapidly.
Acknowledgments
---------------
We extend our gratitude to **PulseWire** for enabling the use of custom data feeds based on GitHub repositories, making this comprehensive forex sentiment analysis possible.
Disclaimer
----------
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. Sentiment data should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy and not as the sole basis for trading decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The contrarian approach described is a market theory and may not always produce profitable results. Forex trading involves significant risk of loss.
Indicator
Smart Fear & Greed Index [MarkitTick]💡 This comprehensive technical tool is designed to quantify market sentiment on an asset-specific basis, translating complex price action into a singular, normalized gauge of "Fear" and "Greed." While traditional Fear & Greed indices rely on macro-economic data (like put/call ratios or junk bond demand) generally applied to the broad S&P 500, this script calculates a localized index for the specific chart you are viewing. It synthesizes Momentum, Volatility, Volume, and Price Positioning into a bounded 0-100 oscillator, aiming to identify psychological extremes where market reversals are statistically more likely to occur.
✨ Originality and Utility
● Asset-Specific Sentiment Analysis
Most sentiment tools are external to the chart (e.g., news sentiment or broad market indices). The Smart Fear & Greed Index is unique because it internalizes this logic, creating a bespoke psychological profile for any ticker—whether it is Crypto, Forex, or Stocks. It allows traders to see if *this specific asset* is overheated (Greed) or oversold (Fear) relative to its own recent history.
● The "Buy the Fear, Sell the Greed" Logic
The script employs a contrarian color-coding philosophy aligned with the famous investment adage: "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."
When the indicator shows Fear (Low values), it colors the zone Green, signaling a potential buying opportunity (discount).
When the indicator shows Greed (High values), it colors the zone Red, signaling potential downside risk (premium).
● Integrated Divergence Detection
Unlike standard oscillators that leave interpretation entirely to the user, this tool includes an automated divergence engine. It detects discrepancies between the sentiment index and price action, plotting lines and labels to highlight potential exhaustion points before they become obvious on the price chart.
🔬 Methodology and Concepts
The calculation is driven by a custom User-Defined Type (UDT) called QuantEngine , which aggregates four distinct technical "pillars" to form the final Composite Index.
• Pillar 1: Momentum (RSI)
The engine utilizes the Relative Strength Index to measure the velocity and magnitude of directional price movements. High momentum contributes to the "Greed" score, while collapsing momentum contributes to "Fear."
• Pillar 2: Volatility (Inverted Normalized ATR)
This component interprets volatility through a psychological lens.
Low Volatility is interpreted as complacency or "Greed" (steady uptrends often have low vol).
High Volatility is interpreted as "Fear" (panic selling and erratic ranges often spike volatility).
The script normalizes the Average True Range (ATR) and inverts it so that stability adds to the score, and instability subtracts from it.
• Pillar 3: Volume Strength
Volume is analyzed relative to its moving average. However, raw volume isn't enough; the engine applies directional logic.
High relative volume on an Up-Close adds to the Greed score.
High relative volume on a Down-Close subtracts, adding to the Fear score.
• Pillar 4: Price Position (Stochastic)
This calculates where the current close sits relative to the recent High-Low range. Closing near the highs indicates confidence (Greed), while closing near the lows indicates pessimism (Fear).
• The Composite & Smoothing
These four metrics are averaged to create a raw composite, which is then smoothed via an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to filter out noise and produce the final, readable "Smart Fear & Greed" line.
🎨 Visual Guide
● The Oscillator Line
This is the primary fluctuating line that moves between 0 and 100.
Values > 50 suggest positive sentiment.
Values < 50 suggest negative sentiment.
● Color-Coded Zones
The plot changes color dynamically to reflect the psychological state:
Red (70-100): Extreme Greed. The market may be irrationally exuberant.
Orange (60-70): Greed. Strong bullish conviction.
Yellow (40-60): Neutral. Indecisive or transitionary market.
Light Green (30-40): Fear. Sentiment is turning bearish.
Bright Green (0-30): Extreme Fear. Panic selling, often a precursor to a value bounce.
● Background Highlights
A semi-transparent Red Background appears when the index breaches 75, warning of a potential "Top."
A semi-transparent Green Background appears when the index drops below 25, highlighting a potential "Bottom."
● Divergence Elements
Red Lines/Labels ("Bear"): Bearish Divergence. Price makes a Higher High, but the Index makes a Lower High. This suggests momentum is waning despite rising prices.
Green Lines/Labels ("Bull"): Bullish Divergence. Price makes a Lower Low, but the Index makes a Higher Low. This suggests selling pressure is drying up.
📖 How to Use
• Identifying Reversals
Wait for the oscillator to enter "Extreme" zones. Do not trade immediately upon entry; wait for the line to exit the extreme zone to confirm the reversal. For example, if the line hits 80 (Red) and then crosses back down below 70, it signals that Greed is fading.
• Trend Continuation
In a strong trend, the indicator may hover in the Greed (Orange) or Fear (Light Green) zones for extended periods. In these cases, use the Neutral (Yellow) zone crosses as re-entry signals in the direction of the trend.
• Divergence Confirmation
Use the automated divergence lines as high-conviction triggers. If the background turns Green (Extreme Fear) AND a Bullish Divergence label appears, it provides a stronger technical case for a long position than the zone alone.
⚙️ Inputs and Settings
● Calculation Settings
Global Lookback Period (Default: 21): The core lookback window for RSI, ATR, Volume, and Stochastic calculations. Increasing this makes the index slower and less reactive; decreasing it makes it faster.
Smoothing Length (Default: 5): Determines how smooth the final line is. Higher numbers reduce "whipsaws" but add lag.
Color Main Chart Candles : Colors the chart bars based on Fear/Greed sentiment.
● Divergence Settings
Divergence Lookback (Default: 5): Determines the pivot strength required to register a high or low for divergence checks.
Show Divergence Lines/Labels: Toggles to hide visual clutter if you only want to see the oscillator.
🔍 Deconstruction of the Underlying Scientific and Academic Framework
● Normalization Theory
The core scientific principle here is Min-Max Normalization. The script takes heterogeneous data types—Price (Dollars/Cents), Volume (Shares/Contracts), and Volatility (Points)—and standardizes them into a unit-less distribution between 0 and 100. This allows for the summation of disparate market forces into a single vector.
● Mean Reversion and Oscillator Bounds
The indicator relies on the statistical concept of Mean Reversion. Markets, like elastic bands, can only stretch so far from their average valuation (represented by the 50 line) before snapping back. The "Extreme" zones (Upper and Lower deciles) represent areas of statistical improbability where the likelihood of a continuation decreases and the likelihood of a reversion increases.
● Divergence and Momentum Theory
The divergence logic is grounded in the principle that momentum precedes price. Mathematically, price is the integral of velocity. When the derivative (momentum/sentiment) approaches zero or reverses while the function (price) continues, it signals a non-sustainable anomaly in the data series, often resolved by a price correction.
⚠️ Disclaimer
All provided scripts and indicators are strictly for educational exploration and must not be interpreted as financial advice or a recommendation to execute trades. I expressly disclaim all liability for any financial losses or damages that may result, directly or indirectly, from the reliance on or application of these tools. Market participation carries inherent risk where past performance never guarantees future returns, leaving all investment decisions and due diligence solely at your own discretion. Indicator
VixTrixVixTrix - Because markets move in both directions.
VixTrix was born from a fundamental limitation in traditional volatility indicators: they only measure downside panic, completely missing the greed-driven extremes that form market tops.
How It Works:
Dual-Component Analysis:
vixBear = Panic selling intensity (distance from recent highs)
vixBull = FOMO buying intensity (distance from recent lows)
Oscillator = vixBear - vixBull = Net fear/greed imbalance
When the oscillator is positive, fear dominates (potential bottom forming). When negative, greed dominates (potential top forming).
Professional-Grade Filtering:
The magic happens with the symmetric RMS (Root Mean Square) bands. Unlike fixed percentage bands or standard deviation, RMS:
Creates mathematically symmetric positive/negative thresholds
Naturally adapts to changing volatility regimes
Provides statistical significance to extremes
VixTrix also adds selectable MA smoothing for the RMS calculation:
WMA (default): Balanced – middle-ground approach
VWMA: Volume-weighted – filters low-volume noise
EMA: Responsive – catches quick reversals
SMA: Stable – for swing trading
HMA: Fast and smooth – ideal for day trading
Signals require triple confirmation:
Statistical Extreme: Oscillator beyond RMS band
Price Action Confirmation: Correct candle color (bullish for bottoms, bearish for tops)
Momentum Continuation: Oscillator still moving toward extreme (exhaustion)
This multi-filter approach reduces premature entries and false signals while maintaining early positioning at potential reversal points.
Why This Matters for Your Trading:
In bull markets, traditional fear indicators sit near zero, giving no warning of impending tops.
VixTrix identifies when greed becomes excessive – when FOMO buying reaches statistical extremes that often precede corrections.
In range-bound markets, VixTrix excels at identifying overreactions in both directions, providing high-probability mean reversion opportunities.
During crashes, it captures the panic selling with the same precision as VixFix, but with better timing through its momentum confirmation.
VixTrix spots continuations through:
"No Signal" = Healthy Trend – Oscillator stays between RMS bands (no exhaustion)
Failed Extremes – Touches band but no triple confirmation = trend likely continues
Hidden Divergence – Price makes higher low while oscillator makes shallower low = uptrend continues
Controlled Emotions – Oscillator negative but not extreme in uptrends (greed present but not excessive)
Key Insight: When VixTrix doesn't give a signal during a pullback, institutions aren't panicking – they're just pausing before resuming the trend.
Green columns = Bullish exhaustion (potential bottoms)
Red columns = Bearish exhaustion (potential tops)
Golden RMS bands = Dynamic thresholds adapting to current volatility
Background highlights = Active signal conditions
The Result: A professional-grade oscillator that works in all market conditions – trending up, trending down, or ranging – by measuring the complete emotional spectrum driving price action. Indicator
Candle Emotion Index (CEI) StrategyThe Candle Emotion Index (CEI) Strategy is an innovative sentiment-based trading approach designed to help traders identify and capitalize on market psychology. By analyzing candlestick patterns and combining them into a unified metric, the CEI Strategy provides clear entry and exit signals while dynamically managing risk. This strategy is ideal for traders looking to leverage market sentiment to identify high-probability trading opportunities.
How It Works
The CEI Strategy is built around three core oscillators that reflect key emotional states in the market:
Indecision Oscillator . Measures market uncertainty using patterns like Doji and Spinning Tops. High values indicate hesitation, signaling potential turning points.
Fear Oscillator . Tracks bearish sentiment through patterns like Shooting Star, Hanging Man, and Bearish Engulfing. Helps identify moments of intense selling pressure.
Greed Oscillator . Detects bullish sentiment using patterns like Marubozu, Hammer, Bullish Engulfing, and Three White Soldiers. Highlights periods of strong buying interest.
These oscillators are averaged into the Candle Emotion Index (CEI):
CEI = (Indecision + Fear + Greed) / 3
This single value quantifies overall market sentiment and drives the strategy’s trading decisions.
Key Features
Sentiment-Based Trading Signals . Long Entry: Triggered when the CEI crosses above a lower threshold (e.g., 0.1), indicating increasing bullish sentiment. Short Entry: Triggered when the CEI crosses above a higher threshold (e.g., 0.2), signaling rising bearish sentiment.
Volume Confirmation . Trades are validated only if volume exceeds a user-defined multiplier of the average volume over the lookback period. This ensures entries are backed by significant market activity.
Break-Even Recovery Mechanism . If a trade moves into a loss, the strategy attempts to recover to break-even instead of immediately exiting at a loss. This feature provides flexibility, allowing the market to recover while maintaining disciplined risk management.
Dynamic Risk Management . Maximum Holding Period: Trades are closed after a user-defined number of candles to avoid overexposure to prolonged uncertainty. Profit-Taking Conditions: Positions are exited when favorable price moves are confirmed by increased volume, locking in gains. Loss Threshold: Trades are exited early if the price moves unfavorably beyond a set percentage of the entry price, limiting potential losses.
Cooldown Period . After a trade is closed, a cooldown period prevents immediate re-entry, reducing overtrading and improving signal quality.
Why Use This Strategy?
The CEI Strategy combines advanced sentiment analysis with robust trade management, making it a powerful tool for traders seeking to understand market psychology and identify high-probability setups. Its unique features, such as the break-even recovery mechanism and volume confirmation, add an extra layer of discipline and reliability to trading decisions.
Best Practices
Combine with Other Indicators . Use trend-following tools (e.g., moving averages, ADX) and momentum oscillators (e.g., RSI, MACD) to confirm signals.
Align with Key Levels . Incorporate support and resistance levels for refined entries and exits.
Multi-Market Compatibility . Apply this strategy to forex, crypto, stocks, or any asset class with strong volume and price action.
Strategy
Candle Emotion Index (CEI)The Candle Emotion Index (CEI) is a comprehensive sentiment analysis indicator that combines three sub-oscillators—Indecision Oscillator, Fear Oscillator, and Greed Oscillator—to provide a single, unified measure of market sentiment. By analyzing bullish, bearish, and indecisive candlestick patterns, the CEI delivers a holistic view of market emotions and helps traders identify key turning points.
How It Works
Indecision Oscillator: Measures market uncertainty using Doji and Spinning Top candlestick patterns. Scores their presence and normalizes the results over a user-defined lookback period.
Fear Oscillator: Measures bearish sentiment using Shooting Star, Hanging Man, and Bearish Engulfing candlestick patterns. Scores their presence and normalizes the results over a user-defined lookback period.
Greed Oscillator: Measures bullish sentiment using Marubozu, Bullish Engulfing, Hammer, and Three White Soldiers candlestick patterns. Scores their presence and normalizes the results over a user-defined lookback period.
Candle Emotion Index Calculation: The CEI is calculated as the average of the Indecision, Fear, and Greed Oscillators: CEI = (Indecision Oscillator + Fear Oscillator + Greed Oscillator) / 3
Plotting: The CEI is plotted as a single line on the chart, representing overall market sentiment.
Reference lines are added to indicate Low Emotion, Neutral, and High Emotion levels.
The Candle Emotion Index provides a unified perspective on market sentiment by blending indecision, fear, and greed into one easy-to-interpret metric. It serves as a powerful tool for traders seeking to gauge market psychology and identify high-probability trading opportunities. For best results, use the CEI in conjunction with other technical indicators to confirm signals. Indicator
Fear/Greed Zone Reversals [UAlgo]The "Fear/Greed Zone Reversals " indicator is a custom technical analysis tool designed for PulseWire, aimed at identifying potential reversal points in the market based on sentiment zones characterized by fear and greed. This indicator utilizes a combination of moving averages, standard deviations, and price action to detect when the market transitions from extreme fear to greed or vice versa. By identifying these critical turning points, traders can gain insights into potential buy or sell opportunities.
🔶 Key Features
Customizable Moving Averages: The indicator allows users to select from various types of moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, HMA) for both fear and greed zone calculations, enabling flexible adaptation to different trading strategies.
Fear Zone Settings:
Fear Source: Select the price data point (e.g., close, high, low) used for Fear Zone calculations.
Fear Period: This defines the lookback window for calculating the Fear Zone deviation.
Fear Stdev Period: This sets the period used to calculate the standard deviation of the Fear Zone deviation.
Greed Zone Settings:
Greed Source: Select the price data point (e.g., close, high, low) used for Greed Zone calculations.
Greed Period: This defines the lookback window for calculating the Greed Zone deviation.
Greed Stdev Period: This sets the period used to calculate the standard deviation of the Greed Zone deviation.
Alert Conditions: Integrated alert conditions notify traders in real-time when a reversal in the fear or greed zone is detected, allowing for timely decision-making.
🔶 Interpreting Indicator
Greed Zone: A Greed Zone is highlighted when the price deviates significantly above the chosen moving average. This suggests market sentiment might be leaning towards greed, potentially indicating a selling opportunity.
Fear Zone Reversal: A Fear Zone is highlighted when the price deviates significantly below the chosen moving average of the selected price source. This suggests market sentiment might be leaning towards fear, potentially indicating a buying opportunity. When the indicator identifies a reversal from a fear zone, it suggests that the market is transitioning from a period of intense selling pressure to a more neutral or potentially bullish state. This is typically indicated by an upward arrow (▲) on the chart, signaling a potential buy opportunity. The fear zone is characterized by high price volatility and overselling, making it a crucial point for traders to consider entering the market.
Greed Zone Reversal: Conversely, a Greed Zone is highlighted when the price deviates significantly above the chosen moving average. This suggests market sentiment might be leaning towards greed, potentially indicating a selling opportunity. When the indicator detects a reversal from a greed zone, it indicates that the market may be moving from an overbought condition back to a more neutral or bearish state. This is marked by a downward arrow (▼) on the chart, suggesting a potential sell opportunity. The greed zone is often associated with overconfidence and high buying activity, which can precede a market correction.
🔶 Why offer multiple moving average types?
By providing various moving average types (SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, HMA) , the indicator offers greater flexibility for traders to tailor the indicator to their specific trading strategies and market preferences. Different moving averages react differently to price data and can produce varying signals.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Provides an equal weighting to all data points within the specified period.
EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Gives more weight to recent data points, making it more responsive to price changes.
WMA (Weighted Moving Average): Allows for custom weighting of data points, providing more flexibility in the calculation.
VWMA (Volume Weighted Moving Average): Considers both price and volume data, giving more weight to periods with higher trading volume.
HMA (Hull Moving Average): A combination of weighted moving averages designed to reduce lag and provide a smoother curve.
Offering multiple options allows traders to:
Experiment: Traders can try different moving averages to see which one produces the most accurate signals for their specific market.
Adapt to different market conditions: Different market conditions may require different moving average types. For example, a fast-moving market might benefit from a faster moving average like an EMA, while a slower-moving market might be better suited to a slower moving average like an SMA.
Personalize: Traders can choose the moving average that best aligns with their personal trading style and risk tolerance.
In essence, providing a variety of moving average types empowers traders to create a more personalized and effective trading experience.
🔶 Disclaimer
Use with Caution: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should exercise caution and perform their own analysis before making trading decisions based on the indicator's signals.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided by this indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the creator (UAlgo) shall not be held responsible for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Backtesting Recommended: Traders are encouraged to backtest the indicator thoroughly on historical data before using it in live trading to assess its performance and suitability for their trading strategies.
Risk Management: Trading involves inherent risks, and users should implement proper risk management strategies, including but not limited to stop-loss orders and position sizing, to mitigate potential losses.
No Guarantees: The accuracy and reliability of the indicator's signals cannot be guaranteed, as they are based on historical price data and past performance may not be indicative of future results. Indicator
Strategy
Levels Of Greed
The Levels Of Greed indicator is based on the same idea as the Levels Of Fear one and was suggested by several traders in the comment section. It helps analyze price advances to find the best levels for closing a long position in an asset after a quick surge or longer up-trend. In finance, volatility is a term that describes the degree of variation of an asset price over time. It is usually denoted by the letter σ (sigma) and estimated as the standard deviation of the asset price or price returns. The Levels Of Greed indicator helps measure the current price advance in the standard deviation units. It plots seven levels at distances of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, and 7 standard deviations (sigmas) above the base price (the recent lowest price or lower bound of the established range). In what follows, we will refer to these levels as levels of greed.
HOW TO USE
When the price in its surge reaches a certain level of greed, it means that it has surged from its recent lowest value by a corresponding number of standard deviations. The indicator helps traders see the maximum levels to which the price may rise and estimate the potential height of the current surge. Five-seven sigma surges are relatively rare events and correspond to significant market exuberance. Careful traders and shorter-term ones would not want to participate in the bandwagon effect and herd behavior that drive market bubbles. They prefer to take their profits when the market is not exceedingly overbought.
SETTINGS
Window : the averaging window or period of the indicator. The algorithm uses this parameter to calculate the base level and standard deviations. Higher values are better for measuring deeper and longer surges.
Levels Stability : the parameter used in the up-move detection. The higher the value is, the more stable and long the greed levels are, but at the same time, the lag increases. The lower it is, the faster the indicator responds to the price changes, but the greed levels are recalculated more frequently and are less stable. This parameter is mostly for fine-tuning. It does not change the overall picture much.
Mode : the parameter that defines the style for the labels. In the Cool Guys Mode, the indicator displays the labels as emojis. In the Serious Guys Mode, labels show the distance from the base level measured in standard deviation units or sigmas. Indicator
Levels Of Greed [AstrideUnicorn]The Levels Of Greed indicator is based on the same idea as the Levels Of Fear one and was suggested by several traders in the comment section. It helps analyze price advances to find the best levels for closing a long position in an asset after a quick surge or longer up-trend. In finance, volatility is a term that describes the degree of variation of an asset price over time. It is usually denoted by the letter σ (sigma) and estimated as the standard deviation of the asset price or price returns. The Levels Of Greed indicator helps measure the current price advance in the standard deviation units. It plots seven levels at distances of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, and 7 standard deviations (sigmas) above the base price (the recent lowest price or lower bound of the established range). In what follows, we will refer to these levels as levels of greed.
HOW TO USE
When the price in its surge reaches a certain level of greed, it means that it has surged from its recent lowest value by a corresponding number of standard deviations. The indicator helps traders see the maximum levels to which the price may rise and estimate the potential height of the current surge. Five-seven sigma surges are relatively rare events and correspond to significant market exuberance. Careful traders and shorter-term ones would not want to participate in the bandwagon effect and herd behavior that drive market bubbles. They prefer to take their profits when the market is not exceedingly overbought.
SETTINGS
Window : the averaging window or period of the indicator. The algorithm uses this parameter to calculate the base level and standard deviations. Higher values are better for measuring deeper and longer surges.
Levels Stability : the parameter used in the up-move detection. The higher the value is, the more stable and long the greed levels are, but at the same time, the lag increases. The lower it is, the faster the indicator responds to the price changes, but the greed levels are recalculated more frequently and are less stable. This parameter is mostly for fine-tuning. It does not change the overall picture much.
Mode : the parameter that defines the style for the labels. In the Cool Guys Mode , the indicator displays the labels as emojis. In the Serious Guys Mode , labels show the distance from the base level measured in standard deviation units or sigmas. Indicator
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GreedZone indicator - Contrarian Indicator"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful" - Warren Buffett. Greedzone is a contrarian indicator that gives us an indication when greed begins to take over in the market. Traders should be prepared for increased volatility and good trading opportunities.
The Greedzone is visualized with green candlesticks above the price.
HOW TO USE
1. Use the indicator to identify when investors are greedy.
2. Use the indicator to identify potential reversal points.
INDICATOR IN ACTION
1 hour chart
5 min chart
I hope you find this indicator useful , and please comment or contact me if you like the script or have any questions/suggestions for future improvements. Thanks!
I will continually work on this indicator, so please share your experience and feedback as it will enable me to make even better improvements. Thanks to everyone that has already contacted me regarding my scripts. Your feedback is valuable for future developments!
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Disclaimer
Copyright by Zeiierman.
The information contained in my scripts/indicators/ideas does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, or individual’s trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My scripts/indicators/ideas are only for educational purposes! Indicator
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