Adaptive Regime Compass MovingAverage SuiteSummary in one paragraph
Regime Compass Adaptive MA Suite is a three speed adaptive moving average indicator for liquid markets on intraday through daily charts. It helps you act only when price position, MA stack structure, reliability, and higher timeframe context align. It is original because it fuses robust outlier handling with efficiency driven adaptive smoothing, then compresses multi timeframe confirmation into a single compact panel plus directional reliability shading.
Scope and intent
• Markets. Major FX pairs, index futures, large cap equities, liquid crypto, and liquid commodities
• Timeframes. One minute through daily
• Default demo used in the publication.SPY 1h
• Purpose. Provide a practical trend context layer that adapts to regime and reduces false confidence during chop by exposing a reliability score and multi timeframe agreement
• Limits. This is an indicator. It does not place orders and does not simulate fills
Originality and usefulness
This is not a mashup of standard MAs. It is a single adaptive engine expressed at three speeds, plus a reliability model and a multi timeframe state panel.
• Unique concept or fusion. Robust input conditioning plus efficiency ratio driven adaptive alpha plus a reliability score that requires both structure and strength, projected across three higher timeframes with a consensus read
• What failure mode it addresses. Single bar spikes that poison classic smoothers, and false trend impressions during low efficiency chop where fixed length MAs keep crossing
• Testability. All behaviors are controlled in Inputs and echoed in the table so users can see why the state is bullish, bearish, or mixed and tune accordingly
• Portable yardstick. Efficiency ratio is dimensionless, so it generalizes across symbols and tick sizes. Slope strength is normalized by recent average absolute slope to reduce symbol dependence
Method overview in plain language
Base measures
Return basis. The engine measures directionality with an efficiency ratio, defined as absolute net change over a window divided by the sum of absolute bar to bar changes over the same window. Values closer to 1 indicate directional movement. Values closer to 0 indicate noise.
Range basis. Optional robust clipping uses a rolling mean and a scaled mean absolute deviation of price around that mean to define a dynamic clamp band for extreme bars.
Components
• Robust Clip. Optional step that clamps extreme deviations of the input series so single spikes do not disproportionately shift the MA state. Use it on wick heavy markets or news driven sessions. Disable it if you want raw sensitivity.
• Adaptive Alpha Core. The smoothing rate adapts between a fast and slow anchor using the efficiency ratio. In directional regimes the MA accelerates. In noisy regimes it slows down.
• Base Length Shaping. A second light smoothing stage ties each line to its fast, medium, or slow horizon so the trio remains coherent instead of behaving like three unrelated formulas.
• Zero Lag Assist. Optional phase compensation that slightly pulls the line toward its recent direction to reduce lag. It is strongest on the fast line and tapered on medium and slow. Disable it if you prefer maximum stability in chop.
• Reliability Score. A composite confidence estimate built from medium efficiency, MA stack coherence, and normalized medium slope strength. It is designed as a gating variable, not as a prediction.
Fusion rule
The three lines are produced by the same adaptive engine with different base lengths. The adaptive alpha uses the efficiency ratio to interpolate between the fast and slow anchors, then squares the result to damp small changes, similar in spirit to classic adaptive averages but implemented as a coherent three speed suite. Reliability is a weighted composite of:
• medium efficiency as the directionality signal
• a stack coherence score that is true when Fast is above Medium and Medium is above Slow, or the symmetric bearish condition
• medium slope strength normalized by recent average absolute slope
Signal rule
This script does not print buy or sell markers. It provides context states.
• Bullish structure is present when Fast is above Medium and Medium is above Slow
• Bearish structure is present when Fast is below Medium and Medium is below Slow
• Reliable regime shading is shown only when reliability is at or above the threshold and structure is consistently bullish or bearish
• Higher timeframe Trend in the table is Up when higher timeframe close is above its higher timeframe Medium and the higher timeframe Medium slope is positive. Down is the symmetric condition. Otherwise it is Neutral
What you will see on the chart
• Three adaptive MA lines: Compass Fast, Compass Medium, Compass Slow
• Optional line coloring: green when close is above the line, red when close is below
• Optional background shading: green for reliable bullish structure, red for reliable bearish structure
• Compact higher timeframe panel in the top right
Table fields and quick reading guide
Table columns use short labels.
• TF. The timeframe used for the row
• TREND. Up, Down, or Neutral on that higher timeframe using close versus Medium plus Medium slope sign
• C VS MED. Whether the higher timeframe close is above or below its higher timeframe Medium
• STACK. Two relationships shown together: F>M or FS or M Indicator
Sector Divergence DashboardStatistical arbitrage dashboard for markets and sector ETFs
This Sector Divergence Dashboard is a tool designed to identify mean-reversion opportunities across U.S. equity sectors. I've built it to help me with portfolio management and sector allocation by identifying uncorrelated sectors and divergences between indices and sector ETFs. These divergences are often good investment opportunities.
The indicator also helps you with sector rotation by identifying when sectors have diverged too far from their historical relationships with the broader market. This is a similar methodology used daily in institutional portfolio management and hedge funds.
In this dashboard, you can see:
Z-Score Analysis on log price ratios to detect statistical anomalies
Dual-timeframe correlation tracking to identify relationship breakdowns
Composite scoring that combines divergence magnitude, correlation shifts, and momentum
Correlation heatmap for instant relationship assessment across all pairs
You see exactly which pairs are statistically mispriced and likely to revert to their historical mean.
NOTE: This dashboard is computationally heavy and might take up to one minute to load in your PulseWire.
The Mathematics
1. Price Ratio Z-Score
The indicator calculates the logarithmic price ratio between two assets (e.g., SPY/XLE) and measures how many standard deviations this ratio has moved from its historical average. A z-score of +2.0 means the pair is 2 standard deviations expensive relative to history. This can be a mean-reversion setup.
2. Correlation Breakdown Detection
Short-term correlation (35 bars) is compared against long-term correlation (100 bars). You can change these parameters BTW. When correlations diverge significantly, it signals that the normal relationship has temporarily broken, potentially creating trading opportunities.
3. Relative Performance
Measures the momentum difference between pairs over 300 bars (roughly 60 weeks on daily charts). This captures longer-term structural shifts versus short-term noise.
4. Composite Score
All three metrics are normalized and weighted to create a single ranking score:
50% Z-Score Weight - Primary driver of mean reversion probability
25% Correlation Breakdown - Relationship stability metric
25% Relative Performance - Momentum/trend context
Features
1. Correlation Heatmap
Visualize all pairwise correlations
Color-coded from red (negative correlation) to green (strong positive)
Spot which sectors are moving together or decoupling
2. Divergence Rankings Table
Top 15 SPY-vs-sector pairs ranked by composite opportunity score
Z-scores, correlations, performance differentials, and signals
Color-coded from gray (neutral) to red (extreme divergence)
Scan it daily for setups
3. Deep Dive Chart
Detailed z-score visualization for any selected pair
Visual zones showing normal range, signal threshold, and strong signal areas
Short-term and long-term correlation overlays
Real-time information label with current metrics and signal status
Perfect for analyzing specific opportunities in depth
You can define which symbols you want to deep dive in the parameters
Parameter Guide
Short-Term Correlation - Recent relationship strength
Long-Term Correlation - Historical baseline relationship
Z-Score Length - Mean reversion lookback period
Relative Performance - Longer-term momentum context
Pro Tip : Increase z-score length to 150+ for fewer but stronger signals. Decrease to 50-75 for more frequent opportunities (but more noisy).
Use Cases
Sector Rotation: Identify which sectors are over/undervalued relative to the market
Portfolio Rebalancing: Data-driven signals for tactical asset allocation adjustments
Pairs Trading: Statistical arbitrage between correlated instruments
Risk Management: Monitor correlation stability across your portfolio
Market Regime Detection: Spot when sector relationships are breaking down
Swing Trading: Mean-reversion setups with clear entry/exit rules
Example:
XLK, a key tech ETF, is typically very correlated with the S&P 500 with a 0.88 correlation. Our dashboard detected a divergence between both, which signals a buy/rotation to XLK.
Let me know if you have any requests, improvements suggestions or feedback :) Indicator
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XenoSmooth Predictive Candles - Advanced Heikin Ashi CandlesXenoSmooth Predictive Candles
Summary in one paragraph
A synthetic candle engine for crypto, FX, equities, and futures on intraday to swing timeframes. It reduces noise and flip delay so structure is easier to read. The core novelty is a predictive open with inertia plus slope lead fused with a zero lag body filter and an overshoot based wick model normalized by the real range and capped by ATR. Add it to a clean chart, hide regular candles if desired, and tune lengths. Shapes can move while the bar is open and settle on close. For conservative workflows read on bar close.
Scope and intent
• Markets. Major FX pairs, index futures, large cap equities, liquid crypto
• Timeframes. One minute to daily
• Purpose. Faster and smoother visual structure than Heikin Ashi while keeping causality and realistic wicks
Originality and usefulness
• Unique concept. Predictive open with inertia and slope lead plus selectable zero lag body filter and ATR capped wick overshoot in percent of real range
• Failure mode addressed. Late flips in chop and unreal long wicks from raw extremes
• Testability. Every control is an input. Users can toggle body method, lengths, clipping, and percent modeling
• Portable yardstick. ATR based wick cap and percent of bar range scale across symbols
Method overview in plain language
Build a robust base price from O, H, L, and extra weight on Close. Smooth it with a chosen filter to produce the synthetic close. Drive a predictive open that follows the synthetic close with tunable inertia and a small lead from the last bar slope. Model wicks as the portion of the real extremes that extends beyond the synthetic body, smooth that overshoot, normalize by the bar range if selected, then cap by ATR to avoid tail spikes. Clamp synthetic values to the real high and low if enabled.
Base measures
• Range basis. True Range for the ATR cap and High minus Low for percent normalization
• Return basis. Not used
Components
• Body Base Blend. Weighted O H L with a close bias to stabilize the base
• Zero Lag Body Filter. ZLEMA or Super Smoother or WMA to set the synthetic close
• Predictive Open. Inertial follow of the synthetic close plus a slope lead term
• Wick Overshoot Model. Smoothed extension beyond the body, optional percent of real range, ATR cap
• Clamp Option. Keeps synthetic open and close inside the real bar range
Fusion rule
• Synthetic close equals filtered base
• Synthetic open equals previous open plus inertia times distance to synthetic close plus slope lead
• Wicks equal smoothed overshoot above and below the body, optionally percent of range then converted back to price and capped by ATR
Inputs with guidance
Setup
• Signal timeframe. Uses the chart timeframe
• Invert direction. Not applicable
• Session windows. Not applicable
Logic
• Body length. Core smoothing length for the synthetic close. Typical 6 to 14. Higher gives smoother and slower. Lower gives faster flips
• Body method. ZLEMA or Super Smoother or WMA. ZLEMA is fastest. Super Smoother is calmest
• Close weight in base. 0 to 1. Higher gives stronger emphasis on close and less noise
• Open inertia. 0 to 1. Higher makes the open follow the close more tightly
• Lead gain. 0 to 1. Higher adds more phase lead. Keep modest to avoid overshoot
• Clamp body to real range. On keeps synthetic body inside high and low
• Wick smooth length. Typical 4 to 10. Higher reduces jitter
• Overshoot as percent. On stabilizes wicks across regimes
• ATR length. Typical 10 to 20 for the cap
• Max wick equals ATR times. 0 disables. 1.0 to 2.0 contains extreme tails
Filters
• Efficiency or trend filter. Not used
• Micro versus macro range relation. Not used
• Location filter. Not used
Realism and responsible publication
• No performance claims
• Intrabar motion reminder. Shapes can move while a bar forms and settle on close
• Strategies must use standard candles for signals and orders
Honest limitations and failure modes
• High impact releases and thin liquidity can distort wicks and produce gaps that any smoother cannot predict
• Very quiet regimes can reduce contrast. Consider longer body length
• Session time on the chart controls the definition of each bar
Indicator
RightFlow Universal Volume Profile - Any Market Any TimeframeSummary in one paragraph
RightFlow is a right anchored microstructure volume profile for stocks, futures, FX, and liquid crypto on intraday and daily timeframes. It acts only when several conditions align inside a session window and presents the result as a compact right side profile with value area, POC, a bull bear mix by price bin, and a HUD of profile VWAP and pressure shares. It is original because it distributes each bar’s weight into multiple mid price slices, blends bull bear pressure per bin with a CLV based split, and grows the profile to the right so price action stays readable. Add to a clean chart, read the table, and use the visuals. For conservative workflows read on bar close.
Scope and intent
• Markets. Major FX pairs, index futures, large cap equities and ETFs, liquid crypto.
• Timeframes. One minute to daily.
• Default demo used in the publication. SPY on 15 minute.
• Purpose. See where participation concentrates, which side dominated by price level, and how far price sits from VA and POC.
Originality and usefulness
• Unique fusion. Right anchored growth plus per bar slicing and CLV split, with weight modes Raw, Notional, and DeltaProxy.
• Failure mode addressed. False reads from single bar direction and coarse binning.
• Testability. All parts sit in Inputs and the HUD.
• Portable yardstick. Value Area percent and POC are universal across symbols.
• Protected scripts. Not applicable. Method and use are fully disclosed.
Method overview in plain language
Pick a scope Rolling or Today or This Week. Define a window and number of price bins. For each bar, split its range into small slices, assign each slice a weight from the selected mode, and split that weight by CLV or by bar direction. Accumulate totals per bin. Find the bin with the highest total as POC. Expand left and right until the chosen share of total volume is covered to form the value area. Compute profile VWAP for all, buyers, and sellers and show them with pressure shares.
Base measures
Range basis. High minus low and mid price samples across the bar window.
Return basis. Not used. VWAP trio is price weighted by weights.
Components
• RightFlow Bins. Price histogram that grows to the right.
• Bull Bear Split. CLV based 0 to 1 share or pure bar direction.
• Weight Mode. Raw volume, notional volume times close, or DeltaProxy focus.
• Value Area Engine. POC then outward expansion to target share.
• HUD. Profile VWAP, Buy and Sell percent, winner delta, split and weight mode.
• Session windows optional. Scope resets on day or week.
Fusion rule
Color of each bin is the convex blend of bull and bear shares. Value area shading is lighter inside and darker outside.
Signal rule
This is context, not a trade signal. A strong separation between buy and sell percent with price holding inside VA often confirms balance. Price outside VA with skewed pressure often marks initiative moves.
What you will see on the chart
• Right side bins with blended colors.
• A POC line across the profile width.
• Labels for POC, VAH, and VAL.
• A compact HUD table in the top right.
Table fields and quick reading guide
• VWAP. Profile VWAP.
• Buy and Sell. Pressure shares in percent.
• Delta Winner. Winner side and margin in percent.
• Split and Weight. The active modes.
Reading tip. When Session scope is Today or This Week and Buy minus Sell is clearly positive or negative, that side often controls the day’s narrative.
Inputs with guidance
Setup
• Profile scope. Rolling or session reset. Rolling uses window bars.
• Rolling window bars. Typical 100 to 300. Larger is smoother.
Binning
• Price bins. Typical 32 to 128. More bins increase detail.
• Slices per bar. Typical 3 to 7. Raising it smooths distribution.
Weighting
• Weight mode. Raw, Notional, DeltaProxy. Notional emphasizes expensive prints.
• Bull Bear split. CLV or BarDir. CLV is more nuanced.
• Value Area percent. Typical 68 to 75.
View
• Profile width in bars, color split toggle, value area shading, opacities, POC line, VA labels.
Usage recipes
Intraday trend focus
• Scope Today, bins 64, slices 5, Value Area 70.
• Split CLV, Weight Notional.
Intraday mean reversion
• Scope Today, bins 96, Value Area 75.
• Watch fades back to POC after initiative pushes.
Swing continuation
• Scope Rolling 200 bars, bins 48.
• Use Buy Sell skew with price relative to VA.
Realism and responsible publication
No performance claims. Shapes can move while a bar forms and settle on close. Education only.
Honest limitations and failure modes
Thin liquidity and data gaps can distort bin weights. Very quiet regimes reduce contrast. Session time is the chart venue time.
Open source reuse and credits
None.
Legal
Education and research only. Not investment advice. Test on history and simulation before live use. Indicator
Strategy
Reactive Curvature Smoother Moving Average IndicatorSummary in one paragraph
RCS MA is a reactive curvature smoother for any liquid instrument on intraday through swing timeframes. It helps you act only when context strengthens by adapting its window length with a normalized path energy score and by smoothing with robust residual weights over a quadratic fit, then optionally blending a capped one step forecast. Add it to a clean chart and watch the single colored line. Shapes can shift while a bar forms and settle on close. For conservative use, judge on bar close.
Scope and intent
• Markets: major FX pairs, index futures, large cap equities, liquid crypto
• Timeframes: one minute to daily
• Purpose: reduce lag in trends while resisting chop and outliers
• Limits: indicator only, no orders
Originality and usefulness
• Novelty: adaptive window selection by minimizing normalized path energy with directionality bias, plus Huber weighted residuals and curvature aware penalty, finished with a mintick capped forecast blend
• Failure modes addressed: whipsaws from fixed length MAs and outlier spikes that pull means
• Testable: Inputs expose all components and optional diagnostics show chosen length, directionality, and energy
• Portable yardstick: forecast cap uses mintick to stay symbol aware
Method overview in plain language
Base measures
• Range span of the tested window and a path energy defined as the sum of squared price increments, normalized by span
Components
Adaptive window chooser: scans L between Min and Max using an energy over trend score and picks the lowest score
Robust smoother: fits a quadratic to the last L bars, computes residuals, applies Huber weights and an exponential residual penalty scaled down when curvature is high
Forecast blend: projects one step ahead from the quadratic, caps displacement by a multiple of mintick, blends by user weight
Fusion rule
• Final line equals robust mean plus optional capped forecast blend
Signal rule
• Visual bias only: color turns lime when close is above the line, red otherwise
What you will see on the chart
• One colored line that tightens in trends and relaxes in chop
• Optional debug overlays for core value, chosen L, directionality, and energy
• Optional last bar label with L, directionality, and energy
• Reminder: drawings can move intrabar and settle on close
Inputs with guidance
Setup
• Source: price series to smooth
Logic
• Min window l_min. Typical 5 to 21. Higher increases stability, adds lag
• Max window l_max. Typical 40 to 128. Higher reduces noise, adds lag ceiling
• Length step grid_step. Typical 1 to 8. Smaller is finer and heavier
• Trend bias trend_bias. Typical 0.50 to 0.80. Higher favors trend persistence
• Residual penalty lambda_base. Typical 0.8 to 2.0. Higher downweights large residuals more
• Huber threshold huber_k. Typical 1.5 to 3.0. Higher admits more outliers
• Curvature guard curv_guard. Typical 0.3 to 1.0. Higher reduces influence when curve is tight
• Forecast blend lead_blend. 0 disables. Typical 0.10 to 0.40
• Forecast cap lead_limit. Typical 1 to 5 minticks
• Show chosen L and metrics show_debug. Diagnostics toggle
Optional: enable diagnostics to see length, direction, and energy
Realism and responsible publication
• No performance claims. Past results never guarantee future outcomes
• Shapes can move while bars are open and settle on close
• Use on standard candles for analysis and combine with your own risk process
Honest limitations and failure modes
• Very quiet regimes can reduce energy contrast, length selection may hover near the bounds
• Gap heavy symbols can disrupt quadratic fit on the window edges
• Excessive forecast blend may look anticipatory; use low values and the cap Indicator
Hyper SAR Reactor Trend StrategyHyperSAR Reactor Adaptive PSAR Strategy
Summary
Adaptive Parabolic SAR strategy for liquid stocks, ETFs, futures, and crypto across intraday to daily timeframes. It acts only when an adaptive trail flips and confirmation gates agree. Originality comes from a logistic boost of the SAR acceleration using drift versus ATR, plus ATR hysteresis, inertia on the trail, and a bear-only gate for shorts. Add to a clean chart and run on bar close for conservative alerts.
Scope and intent
• Markets: large cap equities and ETFs, index futures, major FX, liquid crypto
• Timeframes: one minute to daily
• Default demo: BTC on 60 minute
• Purpose: faster yet calmer PSAR that resists chop and improves short discipline
• Limits: this is a strategy that places simulated orders on standard candles
Originality and usefulness
• Novel fusion: PSAR AF is boosted by a logistic function of normalized drift, trail is monotone with inertia, entries use ATR buffers and optional cooldown, shorts are allowed only in a bear bias
• Addresses false flips in low volatility and weak downtrends
• All controls are exposed in Inputs for testability
• Yardstick: ATR normalizes drift so settings port across symbols
• Open source. No links. No solicitation
Method overview
Components
• Adaptive AF: base step plus boost factor times logistic strength
• Trail inertia: one sided blend that keeps the SAR monotone
• Flip hysteresis: price must clear SAR by a buffer times ATR
• Volatility gate: ATR over its mean must exceed a ratio
• Bear bias for shorts: price below EMA of length 91 with negative slope window 54
• Cooldown bars optional after any entry
• Visual SAR smoothing is cosmetic and does not drive orders
Fusion rule
Entry requires the internal flip plus all enabled gates. No weighted scores.
Signal rule
• Long when trend flips up and close is above SAR plus buffer times ATR and gates pass
• Short when trend flips down and close is below SAR minus buffer times ATR and gates pass
• Exit uses SAR as stop and optional ATR take profit per side
Inputs with guidance
Reactor Engine
• Start AF 0.02. Lower slows new trends. Higher reacts quicker
• Max AF 1. Typical 0.2 to 1. Caps acceleration
• Base step 0.04. Typical 0.01 to 0.08. Raises speed in trends
• Strength window 18. Typical 10 to 40. Drift estimation window
• ATR length 16. Typical 10 to 30. Volatility unit
• Strength gain 4.5. Typical 2 to 6. Steepness of logistic
• Strength center 0.45. Typical 0.3 to 0.8. Midpoint of logistic
• Boost factor 0.03. Typical 0.01 to 0.08. Adds to step when strength rises
• AF smoothing 0.50. Typical 0.2 to 0.7. Adds inertia to AF growth
• Trail smoothing 0.35. Typical 0.15 to 0.45. Adds inertia to the trail
• Allow Long, Allow Short toggles
Trade Filters
• Flip confirm buffer ATR 0.50. Typical 0.2 to 0.8. Raise to cut flips
• Cooldown bars after entry 0. Typical 0 to 8. Blocks re entry for N bars
• Vol gate length 30 and Vol gate ratio 1. Raise ratio to trade only in active regimes
• Gate shorts by bear regime ON. Bear bias window 54 and Bias MA length 91 tune strictness
Risk
• TP long ATR 1.0. Set to zero to disable
• TP short ATR 0.0. Set to 0.8 to 1.2 for quicker shorts
Usage recipes
Intraday trend focus
Confirm buffer 0.35 to 0.5. Cooldown 2 to 4. Vol gate ratio 1.1. Shorts gated by bear regime.
Intraday mean reversion focus
Confirm buffer 0.6 to 0.8. Cooldown 4 to 6. Lower boost factor. Leave shorts gated.
Swing continuation
Strength window 24 to 34. ATR length 20 to 30. Confirm buffer 0.4 to 0.6. Use daily or four hour charts.
Properties visible in this publication
Initial capital 10000. Base currency USD. Order size Percent of equity 3. Pyramiding 0. Commission 0.05 percent. Slippage 5 ticks. Process orders on close OFF. Bar magnifier OFF. Recalculate after order filled OFF. Calc on every tick OFF. No security calls.
Realism and responsible publication
No performance claims. Past results never guarantee future outcomes. Shapes can move while a bar forms and settle on close. Strategies execute only on standard candles.
Honest limitations and failure modes
High impact events and thin books can void assumptions. Gap heavy symbols may prefer longer ATR. Very quiet regimes can reduce contrast and invite false flips.
Open source reuse and credits
Public domain building blocks used: PSAR concept and ATR. Implementation and fusion are original. No borrowed code from other authors.
Strategy notice
Orders are simulated on standard candles. No lookahead.
Entries and exits
Long: flip up plus ATR buffer and all gates true
Short: flip down plus ATR buffer and gates true with bear bias when enabled
Exit: SAR stop per side, optional ATR take profit, optional cooldown after entry
Tie handling: stop first if both stop and target could fill in one bar
Strategy
Indicator
Sector Rotation Hedging With Volatility Index [TradeDots]The "Sector Rotation Hedging Strategy With Volatility Index" is a comprehensive trading indicator developed to optimally leverage the S&P500 volatility index. It is designed to switch between distinct ETF sectors, strategically hedging to moderate risk exposure during harsh market volatility.
HOW DOES IT WORK
The core of this indicator is grounded on the S&P500 volatility index (VIX) close price and its 60-day moving average. This serves to determine whether the prevailing market volatility is above or below the quarterly average.
In periods of elevated market volatility, risk exposure escalates significantly. Traders retaining stocks in sectors with disproportionately high volatility face increased vulnerability to negative returns. To tackle this, our indicator employs a two-pronged approach utilizing two sequential candlestick close prices to confirm if volatility surpasses the average value.
Upon confirming above-average volatility, a hedging table is deployed to spotlight ETFs with low volatility, such as the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU), to derisk the overall portfolio.
Conversely, in low-volatility conditions, sectors yielding higher returns like the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) are preferred. The hedging table is utilized to earmark high-return sector ETFs.
Thus, during highly volatile market periods, the strategy recommends enhancing portfolio allocation to low-volatility ETFs. During low-volatility windows, the portfolio is calibrated towards high-volatility ETFs for heightened returns.
IMPORTANT CONSIDERATION
In real trading, additional considerations encompassing trading commissions, management fees, and ancillary rotation costs should be factored in. False signals may arise, potentially leading to losses from these fees.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results. Indicator
CE - 42MACRO Fixed Income and Macro This is Part 2 of 2 from the 42MACRO Recreation Series
However, there will be a bonus Indicator coming soon!
The CE - 42MACRO Fixed Income and Macro Table is a next level Macroeconomic and market analysis indicator.
It aims to provide a probabilistic insight into the market realized GRID Macro regimes,
track a multiplex of important Assets, Indices, Bonds and ETF's to derive extra market insights by showing the most important aggregates and their performance over multiple timeframes... and what that might mean for the whole market direction.
For traders and especially investors, the unique functionalities will be of high value.
Quick guide on how to use it:
docs.google.com
WARNING
By the nature of the macro regimes, the outcomes are more accurate over longer Chart Timeframes (Week to Months).
However, it is also a valuable tool to form an advanced,
market realized, short to medium term bias.
NOTE
This Indicator is intended to be used alongside the 1nd part "CE - 42MACRO Equity Factor"
for a more wholistic approach and higher accuracy.
Methodology:
The Equity Factor Table tracks specifically chosen Assets to identify their performance and add the combined performances together to visualize 42MACRO's GRID Equity Model.
For this it uses the below Assets:
Convertibles ( AMEX:CWB )
Leveraged Loans ( AMEX:BKLN )
High Yield Credit ( AMEX:HYG )
Preferreds ( NASDAQ:PFF )
Emerging Market US$ Bonds ( NASDAQ:EMB )
Long Bond ( NASDAQ:TLT )
5-10yr Treasurys ( NASDAQ:IEF )
5-10yr TIPS ( AMEX:TIP )
0-5yr TIPS ( AMEX:STIP )
EM Local Currency Bonds ( AMEX:EMLC )
BDCs ( AMEX:BIZD )
Barclays Agg ( AMEX:AGG )
Investment Grade Credit ( AMEX:LQD )
MBS ( NASDAQ:MBB )
1-3yr Treasurys ( NASDAQ:SHY )
Bitcoin ( AMEX:BITO )
Industrial Metals ( AMEX:DBB )
Commodities ( AMEX:DBC )
Gold ( AMEX:GLD )
Equity Volatility ( AMEX:VIXM )
Interest Rate Volatility ( AMEX:PFIX )
Energy ( AMEX:USO )
Precious Metals ( AMEX:DBP )
Agriculture ( AMEX:DBA )
US Dollar ( AMEX:UUP )
Inverse US Dollar ( AMEX:UDN )
Functionalities:
Fixed Income and Macro Table
Shows relative market Asset performance
Comes with different Calculation options like RoC,
Sharpe ratio, Sortino ratio, Omega ratio and Normalization
Allows for advanced market (health) performance
Provides the calculated, realized GRID market regimes
Informs about "Risk ON" and "Risk OFF" market states
Visuals - for your best experience only use one (+ BarColoring) at a time:
You can visualize all important metrics:
- GRID regimes of the currently chosen calculation type
- Risk On/Risk Off with background colouring and additional +1/-1 values
- a smoother GRID model
- a smoother Risk On/ Risk Off metric
- Barcoloring for enabled metric of the above
If you have more suggestions, please write me
Fixed Income and Macro:
The visualisation of the relative performance of the different assets provides valuable information about the current market environment and the actual market performance.
It furthermore makes it possible to obtain a deeper understanding of how the interconnected market works and makes it simple to identify the actual market direction,
thus also providing all the information to derive overall market health, market strength or weakness.
Utility:
The Fixed Income and Macro Table is divided in 4 Columns which are the GRID regimes:
Economic Growth:
Goldilocks
Reflation
Economic Contraction:
Inflation
Deflation
Top 5 Fixed Income/ Macro Factors:
Are the values green for a specific Column?
If so then the market reflects the corresponding GRID behavior.
Bottom 5 Fixed Income/ Macro Factors:
Are the values red for a specific Column?
If so then the market reflects the corresponding GRID behavior.
So if we have Goldilocks as current regime we would see green values in the Top 5 Goldilocks Cells and red values in the Bottom 5 Goldilocks Cells.
You will find that Reflation will look similar, as it is also a sign of Economic Growth.
Same is the case for the two Contraction regimes.
******
This Indicator again is based to a majority on 42MACRO's models.
I only brought them into TV and added things on top of it.
If you have questions or need a more in-depth guide DM me.
GM
Indicator
SPDR TrackerMonitor all SPDR Index Funds in one location! The purpose of this indicator is to review which sectors are trend up vs down to better manage risk against SPY, other funds and/or individual stocks.
With this indicator it may become more apparent which sectors to begin investment in that are at lows compared to others, or use it to determine which stocks may be undervalued or overvalued against SPY.
There is a small table at the bottom where each fund symbol is presented along with it's mode value, last period change as well as last period volume - there's a tooltip that shows the description for each symbol for a quick reminder.
Review the configuration pane where:
Individual funds can have their visibility toggled
Change funds colors
Adjust display mode for each fund (SMA, EMA, VWMA, BBW, Change, ATR, VWAP - many more!)
Some presentation modes may look better on some timeframes vs others, adjust lengths and use anchor point for VWAP.
Future updates may bring about new features, I have some code organization and refactoring to do but wanted to share the idea anyways.
Feel free to drop any suggestions for feature enhancement and I hope it brings success to many, enjoy. Indicator
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