Candle Emotion Index (CEI) StrategyThe Candle Emotion Index (CEI) Strategy is an innovative sentiment-based trading approach designed to help traders identify and capitalize on market psychology. By analyzing candlestick patterns and combining them into a unified metric, the CEI Strategy provides clear entry and exit signals while dynamically managing risk. This strategy is ideal for traders looking to leverage market sentiment to identify high-probability trading opportunities.
How It Works
The CEI Strategy is built around three core oscillators that reflect key emotional states in the market:
Indecision Oscillator . Measures market uncertainty using patterns like Doji and Spinning Tops. High values indicate hesitation, signaling potential turning points.
Fear Oscillator . Tracks bearish sentiment through patterns like Shooting Star, Hanging Man, and Bearish Engulfing. Helps identify moments of intense selling pressure.
Greed Oscillator . Detects bullish sentiment using patterns like Marubozu, Hammer, Bullish Engulfing, and Three White Soldiers. Highlights periods of strong buying interest.
These oscillators are averaged into the Candle Emotion Index (CEI):
CEI = (Indecision + Fear + Greed) / 3
This single value quantifies overall market sentiment and drives the strategy’s trading decisions.
Key Features
Sentiment-Based Trading Signals . Long Entry: Triggered when the CEI crosses above a lower threshold (e.g., 0.1), indicating increasing bullish sentiment. Short Entry: Triggered when the CEI crosses above a higher threshold (e.g., 0.2), signaling rising bearish sentiment.
Volume Confirmation . Trades are validated only if volume exceeds a user-defined multiplier of the average volume over the lookback period. This ensures entries are backed by significant market activity.
Break-Even Recovery Mechanism . If a trade moves into a loss, the strategy attempts to recover to break-even instead of immediately exiting at a loss. This feature provides flexibility, allowing the market to recover while maintaining disciplined risk management.
Dynamic Risk Management . Maximum Holding Period: Trades are closed after a user-defined number of candles to avoid overexposure to prolonged uncertainty. Profit-Taking Conditions: Positions are exited when favorable price moves are confirmed by increased volume, locking in gains. Loss Threshold: Trades are exited early if the price moves unfavorably beyond a set percentage of the entry price, limiting potential losses.
Cooldown Period . After a trade is closed, a cooldown period prevents immediate re-entry, reducing overtrading and improving signal quality.
Why Use This Strategy?
The CEI Strategy combines advanced sentiment analysis with robust trade management, making it a powerful tool for traders seeking to understand market psychology and identify high-probability setups. Its unique features, such as the break-even recovery mechanism and volume confirmation, add an extra layer of discipline and reliability to trading decisions.
Best Practices
Combine with Other Indicators . Use trend-following tools (e.g., moving averages, ADX) and momentum oscillators (e.g., RSI, MACD) to confirm signals.
Align with Key Levels . Incorporate support and resistance levels for refined entries and exits.
Multi-Market Compatibility . Apply this strategy to forex, crypto, stocks, or any asset class with strong volume and price action.
Strategy
Candle Emotion Index (CEI)The Candle Emotion Index (CEI) is a comprehensive sentiment analysis indicator that combines three sub-oscillators—Indecision Oscillator, Fear Oscillator, and Greed Oscillator—to provide a single, unified measure of market sentiment. By analyzing bullish, bearish, and indecisive candlestick patterns, the CEI delivers a holistic view of market emotions and helps traders identify key turning points.
How It Works
Indecision Oscillator: Measures market uncertainty using Doji and Spinning Top candlestick patterns. Scores their presence and normalizes the results over a user-defined lookback period.
Fear Oscillator: Measures bearish sentiment using Shooting Star, Hanging Man, and Bearish Engulfing candlestick patterns. Scores their presence and normalizes the results over a user-defined lookback period.
Greed Oscillator: Measures bullish sentiment using Marubozu, Bullish Engulfing, Hammer, and Three White Soldiers candlestick patterns. Scores their presence and normalizes the results over a user-defined lookback period.
Candle Emotion Index Calculation: The CEI is calculated as the average of the Indecision, Fear, and Greed Oscillators: CEI = (Indecision Oscillator + Fear Oscillator + Greed Oscillator) / 3
Plotting: The CEI is plotted as a single line on the chart, representing overall market sentiment.
Reference lines are added to indicate Low Emotion, Neutral, and High Emotion levels.
The Candle Emotion Index provides a unified perspective on market sentiment by blending indecision, fear, and greed into one easy-to-interpret metric. It serves as a powerful tool for traders seeking to gauge market psychology and identify high-probability trading opportunities. For best results, use the CEI in conjunction with other technical indicators to confirm signals. Indicator
Indicator
Mason’s Line IndicatorThe Macon Strategy is an idea conceived by Didier Darcet , co-founder of Gavekal Intelligence Software. Inspired by the Water Level, an instrument used by masons to check the horizontality or verticality of a wall. This method aims to measure the psychology of financial markets and determine if the market is balanced or tilting towards an unfavorable side, focusing on the behavioral risk of markets rather than economic or political factors.
The strategy examines the satisfaction and frustration of investors based on the distance between the low and high points of the market over a period of one year. Investor satisfaction is influenced by the current price of the index and the path taken to reach that price. The distance to the low point provides satisfaction, while the distance to the high point generates frustration. The balance between the two dictates investors’ desire to hold or sell their positions.
To refine the strategy, it is important to consider the opinion of a group of investors rather than just one individual. The members of a hypothetical investor club invest successively throughout the past year. The overall satisfaction of the market on a given day is a democratic expression of all participants.
If the overall satisfaction is below 50%, investors are frustrated and sell their positions. If it is above, they are satisfied and hold their positions. The position of the group of investors relative to the high and low points represents the position of the air bubble in the water level. Market performance is measured day by day based on participant satisfaction or dissatisfaction.
In conclusion, memory, emotions, and decision-making ability are closely linked, and their interaction influences investment decisions. The Macon Strategy highlights the importance of the behavioral dimension in understanding financial market dynamics. By studying investor behavior through this strategy, it is possible to better anticipate market trends and make more informed investment decisions.
Presentation of the Mason’s Line Indicator:
The main strategy of this indicator is to measure the average satisfaction of investors based on the position of an imaginary air bubble in a tube delimited by the market’s highs and lows over a given period. After calculating the satisfaction level, it is then normalized between 0 and 1, and a moving average can be used to visualize trends.
Key features:
Calculation of highs and lows over a user-defined period.
Determination of the position of the air bubble in the tube based on the closing price.
Calculation of the average satisfaction of investors over a selected period.
Normalization of the average satisfaction between 0 and 1.
Visualization of normalized or non-normalized average satisfaction levels, as well as their corresponding moving averages.
User parameters:
Period for min and max (days) : Sets the period over which highs and lows will be calculated (1 to 365 days).
Period for average satisfaction (days) : Determines the period over which the average satisfaction of investors will be calculated (1 to 365 days).
Period for SMA : Sets the period of the simple moving average used to smooth the data (1 to 1000 days).
Bubble_value : Adjustment of the air bubble value, ranging from 0 to 1, in increments of 0.025.
Normalized average satisfaction : Option to choose whether to display the normalized or non-normalized average satisfaction.
Please note that the Mason’s Line Indicator is not a guarantee of future market performance and should be used in conjunction with proper risk management. Always ensure that you have a thorough understanding of the indicator’s methodology and its limitations before making any investment decisions. Additionally, past performance is not indicative of future results.
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