TRADLEWARE-HODL
Buy and Hold Benchmark
This is a passive reference strategy, not a signal-based trading system. It exists to give an honest baseline: buy once, hold through everything, and see what an active strategy actually needs to beat.
How it works
Buy-and-hold ("HODL") is the simplest possible approach to markets: put the money in once and do nothing else, regardless of what price does afterward. There is no attempt to time entries or exits, no reaction to drawdowns, and no risk management of any kind. Any active strategy that cannot beat this, risk-adjusted, over the same period has not demonstrated an edge.
Entry
The entire starting capital is deployed in a single buy, on the first bar at or after the start date.
Exit
The position is held until the end date, or the end of the chart's available history, whichever comes first — at which point it is closed once so the backtest can report a final equity figure. This is bookkeeping, not a trading decision; the whole point of the strategy is that it does not exit early.
Parameters
Start Date / End Date: the single buy fires on the first bar at or after the start date; the position is held until the end date
Position sizing is set to 99.95% of equity rather than a full 100%. That small gap avoids a PulseWire position-sizing rounding artifact that can otherwise show up as an extra "Margin call" row even on a strategy with only one real trade; the effect on the actual result is negligible.
Costs modelled
0.1% commission per side, 3 ticks slippage.
Intended assets and timeframe
Works on any asset or timeframe — there is no technical logic to adapt, just a buy date and a hold period.
Known limitations
Full exposure to every drawdown the asset experiences, for the entire holding period, by design. This is not a flaw to fix — it is the deliberate point of comparison for any strategy that claims to manage risk better than doing nothing.
Strategy
Fabian Z-ScoreFabian Z-Score — % Distance & Z-Scores for SPX / DJI / XLU
What it does
This indicator measures how far three market proxies are from a moving average and standardizes those distances into z-scores so you can spot stretch/mean-reversion and relative out/under-performance.
Universe: S&P 500 (SPX), Dow Jones (DJI) and Utilities (XLU). You can change any of these in Inputs.
Anchor MA: user-selectable MA type (SMA/EMA/RMA/WMA/VWMA/HMA/LSMA/ALMA) and length (default 39; a popular weekly anchor).
Outputs
% from MA: 100 × (𝐶𝑙𝑜𝑠𝑒 − 𝑀𝐴) / 𝑀𝐴
Time-series Z: z-score of the last N % distances (default 39) → “how stretched vs its own history?”
Cross-sectional Z: z-score of each % distance within the trio on this bar → “who’s strongest vs the others right now?”
A compact mini table (top-right) shows the latest values for each symbol: % from MA, Z(ts) and Z(xsec).
Panels & Visualization
Toggle what you want to see in View:
Plot % distance — raw % above/below the MA (0% line shown).
Plot time-series Z — standardized stretch with ±Threshold guides (default ±2σ).
Plot cross-sectional Z — relative z across SPX, DJI, XLU (0 = at the trio’s mean).
Smoothing — optional light MA on the plotted series (set to 1 for none).
A price-panel Moving Average is drawn with your chosen type/length for visual context.
Colors: SPX = teal, DJI = orange, XLU = purple.
Alerts
Two built-in alert conditions (time-series Z only):
“Z(ts) crosses up +Thr” — any of the three crosses above +Threshold.
“Z(ts) crosses down -Thr” — any crosses below −Threshold.
When enabled, the chart background tints faint green (up cross) or red (down cross) on those bars.
How to use (ideas, not advice)
On weekly charts, a 39-length MA/Z lookback often captures major risk-on/off swings. (Fabian Timing)
Deep negative Z(ts) (e.g., ≤ −2σ or −3σ) frequently accompanies panic and mean-reversion setups.
High positive Z(ts) suggests over-extension; watch for momentum fades.
Cross-sectional Z helps rank leadership today:
Z(xsec) > 0 → stronger than the trio’s mean this bar; Z(xsec) < 0 → weaker.
Utilities (XLU) turning positive x-sec while the others are negative can hint at defensive rotation.
If all 3 are above 0, go long, if below 0 go cash.
Combine: look for extreme Z(ts) aligning with lead/lag Z(xsec) to time entries/exits or hedges.
Inputs (quick reference)
Symbols: SPX / DJI / XLU (editable).
MA type & length: SMA, EMA, RMA, WMA, VWMA, HMA, LSMA, ALMA; default EMA(39).
Z-score lookback (ts): default 39.
Smoothing on plots: default 1 (off).
Z threshold (±): default 2.0 (guide lines & alerts). Indicator
Auto Intelligence Selective Moving Average(AI/MA)# 🤖 Auto Intelligence Moving Average Strategy (AI/MA)
**AI/MA** is a state-adaptive moving average crossover strategy designed to **maximize returns from golden cross / death cross logic** by intelligently switching between different MA types and parameters based on market conditions.
---
## 🎯 Objective
To build a moving average crossover strategy that:
- **Adapts dynamically** to market regimes (trend vs range, rising vs falling)
- **Switches intelligently** between SMA, EMA, RMA, and HMA
- **Maximizes cumulative return** under realistic backtesting
---
## 🧪 materials amd methods
- **MA Types Considered**: SMA, EMA, RMA, HMA
- **Parameter Ranges**: Periods from 5 to 40
- **Market Conditions Classification**:
- Based on the slope of a central SMA(20) line
- And the relative position of price to the central line
- Resulting in 4 regimes: A (Bull), B (Pullback), C (Rebound), D (Bear)
- **Optimization Dataset**:
- **Bybit BTCUSDT.P**
- **1-hour candles**
- **2024 full-year**
- **Search Process**:
- **Random search**: 200 parameter combinations
- Evaluated by:
- `Cumulative PnL`
- `Sharpe Ratio`
- `Max Drawdown`
- `R² of linear regression on cumulative PnL`
- **Implementation**:
- Optimization performed in **Python (Pandas + Matplotlib + Optuna-like logic)**
- Final parameters ported to **Pine Script (v5)** for PulseWire backtesting
---
## 📈 Performance Highlights (on optimization set)
| Timeframe | Return (%) | Notes |
|-----------|------------|----------------------------|
| 6H | +1731% | Strongest performance |
| 1D | +1691% | Excellent trend capture |
| 12H | +1438% | Balance of trend/range |
| 5min | +27.3% | Even survives scalping |
| 1min | +9.34% | Robust against noise |
- Leverage: 100x
- Position size: 100%
- Fees: 0.055%
- Margin calls: **none** 🎯
---
## 🛠 Technology Stack
- `Python` for data handling and optimization
- `Pine Script v5` for implementation and visualization
- Fully state-aware strategy, modular and extendable
---
## ✨ Final Words
This strategy is **not curve-fitted**, **not over-parameterized**, and has been validated across multiple timeframes. If you're a fan of dynamic, intelligent technical systems, feel free to use and expand it.
💡 The future of simple-yet-smart trading begins here. Strategy
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Up & Down Trend following trading strategy for BTC/USDT 3hThis strategy is based on multi time frame technical indicators such as;
1. RSI (10,50,100)
2. MFI (10,50,100)
3. RVI (10,50,100)
4. BOP (10,50,100)
5. Super Trend
6. SAR indicator
7. Higher highs and lower lows
8. SMA (9,500)
9. EMA (9,200)
After evaluating different parameters provided by those indicators, script is in a possition to determine optimul positions to enter in to market as well as exit from the market. In some cases stratergy will exit fully or partially depends on the situation. Other than that, this strategy is in a possition to calculate and specify the quantity you need to buy or sell depending on market situation. You can specify amount available for investment and how many times you are going to average (if downtrend). Parameters are optimised to BTC/USDT, 3h standerd candlestic chart.
goodluck Strategy
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Strategy VS Buy & HoldSUMMARY:
A strategy wrapper that makes a detailed and visual comparison between a given strategy and the buy & hold returns of the traded security.
DESCRIPTION:
PulseWire has a "Buy & Hold Return" metric in the strategy tester that is often enough to assess how our strategy compares to a simple buy hold. However, one may want more information on how and when your strategy beats or is beaten by a simple buy & hold strategy. This script aims to show such detail by providing a more comprehensive metrics and charting the profit/loss of the given strategy against buy & hold.
As seen in the script, it plots/draws 4 elements:
1) Strategy P/L: strategy net profit + strategy open profit
2) Buy & Hold P/L: unrealized return
3) Difference: Strategy P/L - Buy & Hold P/L
4) Strategy vs Buy Hold Stats
> Percent of bars strategy P/L is above Buy & Hold
> Percent of bars strategy P/L is below Buy & Hold
> All Time Average Difference
ADJUSTABLE PARAMETERS:
All labels/panels can be disabled by unchecking these two options:
>bnh_info_panel = input(true, title='Enable Info Panel')
>bnh_indicator_panel = input(true, title='Enable Indicator Panel')
Comparison Date Range can be changed to better isolate specific areas:
>From Year, From Month, From Day
default: 1970 01 01
>To Year, To Month, To Day
default: 2050 12 31
Default settings basically covers all historical data.
HOW TO USE:
The default script contains a simple 50-200 SMA cross strategy, just delete and replace it. Those are everything between these lines:
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
//////////////////////////////STRATEGY SCRIPT START//////////////////////////////////
(STRATEGY SCRIPT GOES HERE)
//////////////////////////////STRATEGY SCRIPT END////////////////////////////////////
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Removing all plots and drawings from your strategy is advisable.
If you are going to use the Comparison Date Range, apply "bnh_timeCond" to your strategy to align the dates. A sample on how it’s applied can be seen on the Placeholder MA cross strategy.
Note: bnh_timeCond returns a boolean series
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