The Vet [TFO]In collaboration with @mickey1984 , "The Vet" was created to showcase various statistical measures of price.
The first core measurement utilizes the Defining Range (DR) concept on a weekly basis. For example, we might track the session from 09:30-10:30 on Mondays to get the DR high, DR low, IDR high, and IDR low. The DR high and low are the highest high and lowest low of the session, respectively, whereas the IDR high and low would be the highest candle body level (open or close) and lowest candle body level, respectively, during this window of time.
From this data, we use the IDR range (from IDR high to IDR low) to extrapolate several, custom projections of this range from its high and low so that we can collect data on how often these levels are hit, from the close of one DR session to the open of the next one.
This information is displayed in the Range Projection Table with a few main columns of information:
- The leftmost column indicates each level that is projected from the IDR range, where (+) indicates a projection above the range high, and (-) indicates a projection below the range low
- The "First Touch" column indicates how often price has reached these levels in the past at any point until the next weekly DR session
- The "Other Side Touch" column indicates how often price has reached a given level, then reversed to hit the opposing level of the same magnitude. For example, the above chart shows that if price hit the +1 projection, ~33% of instances also hit the -1 projection before the next weekly DR session. For this reason, the probabilities will be the same for projection levels of the same but opposite magnitude (+1 would be the same as -1, +3 would be the same as -3, etc.)
- The "Next Level Touch" column provides insight into how often price reaches the next greatest projection level. For example, in the above chart, the red box in the projection table is highlighting that once price hits the -2 projection, ~86% of instances reached the -3 projection before the next weekly DR session
- The last columns, "Within ADR" and "Within AWR" show if any of the projection levels are within the current Average Daily Range, or Average Weekly Range, respectively, which can both be enabled from the Average Range section
The next section, Distributions, primarily measures and displays the average price movements from specified intraday time windows. The option to Show Distribution Boxes will overlay a box showing each respective session's average range, while adjusting itself to encapsulate the price action of that session until the average range is met/exceeded. Users can choose to display the range average by Day of Week, or the Total average from all days. Values for average ranges can either be shown as point or percent values. We can also show a table to display this information about price's average ranges for each given session, and show labels displaying the current range vs its average.
The final section, Average Range, simply offers the ability to plot the Average Daily Range (ADR) and Average Weekly Range (AWR) of a specified length. An ADR of 10 for example would take the average of the last 10 days, from high to low, while an AWR of 10 would take the average of the last 10 weeks (if the current chart provides enough data to support this). Similarly, we can also show the Average Range Table to indicate what these ADR/AWR values are, what our current range is and how it compares to those values, as well as some simple statistics on how often these levels are hit. As an example, "Hit +/- ADR: 40%/35%" in this table would indicate that price has hit the upper ADR limit 40% of the time, and the lower limit 35% of the time, for the amount of data available on the current chart.
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